UConn at South Florida - 2018 Matchup Preview

UConn Huskies at South Florida Bulls

Saturday, October 20th 2018 (7:00 PM EDT)
South Florida -33 (67.5)
South Florida 38 - UConn: 30 (American Athletic)

Huskies (1 - 11) (3 - 8 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 35 - 27 (34 - 32 on Road)
'18 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

CONN coming off BYE
Our Line: -15 (SP+ USF -25)
Projected Score: CONN: 26 - USF: 38 (64)
USF Win prob: 99% | Cover: 52%
CONN Travel: 1103 miles

Bulls (7 - 6) (4 - 9 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 41 - 23 (51 - 14 @ Home)
'18 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
CONN Players
USF Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

UConn's 2018 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 8/30	UConn vs UCF	+24.0	70.0	L 17 - 56	O	N
Sat 9/8	UConn at Boise State	+34.0	63.5	L 7 - 62	O	N
Sat 9/15	UConn vs Rhode Island	-10.5
Sat 9/22	UConn at Syracuse	+30.5	74.5	L 21 - 51	U	Y
Sat 9/29	UConn vs Cincinnati	+15.5	62.5	L 7 - 49	U	N
Sat 10/6	UConn at Memphis	+36.0	77.5	L 14 - 55	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/20	UConn at South Florida	+33.0	67.5	L 30 - 38	O	Y
Sat 10/27	UConn vs Massachusetts	+3.5	63.5	L 17 - 22	U	N
Sat 11/3	UConn at Tulsa	+18.5	60.0	L 19 - 49	O	N
Sat 11/10	UConn vs SMU	+18.0	66.0	L 50 - 62	O	Y
Sat 11/17	UConn at East Carolina	+17.0	71.5	L 21 - 55	O	N
Sat 11/24	UConn vs Temple	+30.5	68.0	L 7 - 57	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for UConn's Schedule

South Florida's 2018 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/1	South Florida vs Elon	-27.0	56.5	W 34 - 14	U	N
Sat 9/8	South Florida vs Georgia Tech	+3.0	61.0	W 49 - 38	O	Y
Sat 9/15	South Florida vs Illinois	-14.0	59.0	W 25 - 19	U	N
Sat 9/22	South Florida vs East Carolina	-20.5	67.5	W 20 - 13	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/6	South Florida at Massachusetts	-15.0	71.5	W 58 - 42	O	Y
Fri 10/12	South Florida at Tulsa	-10.0	60.5	W 25 - 24	U	N
Sat 10/20	South Florida vs UConn	-33.0	67.5	W 38 - 30	O	N
Sat 10/27	South Florida at Houston	+10.0	76.0	L 36 - 57	O	N
Sat 11/3	South Florida vs Tulane	-6.0	60.5	L 15 - 41	U	N
Sat 11/10	South Florida at Cincinnati	+14.0	53.0	L 23 - 35	O	Y
Sat 11/17	South Florida at Temple	+14.0	63.0	L 17 - 27	U	Y
Fri 11/23	South Florida vs UCF	+16.5	70.0	L 10 - 38	U	N
Thu 12/20	South Florida vs Marshall	+3.5	51.0	L 20 - 38	O	N

Important Stats (2017)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
CONN	.11	40%	35.3	37%	2.54	146	41%	269	2.69	.29	48%	27	45%	50%	4.36	48.8	1.6	0.9
USF	.22	43%	40.5	43%	2.95	264	40%	249	3.79	.04	35%	23.4	35%	35%	3.3	87.3	1.2	2

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
CONN		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
USF		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2017

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
CONN Offense	12	35.3	33.5	39.7%	2.69	1.6	21	415	146	269	3.6	49%	49%	37%	41%	17%	.11
USF Defense	12	23.4	14.3	35.3%	3.3	2	-	-	-	-	-	47%	52%	35%	35%	20%	.04

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
CONN Defense	12	27	32.2	48.2%	4.36	0.9	-	-	-	-	-	44%	54%	45%	50%	13%	.29
USF Offense	12	40.5	51	43%	3.79	1.2	26	513	264	249	5	60%	38%	43%	40%	13%	.22

Additional Stats 2017

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
UConn	12	29:30	21.3	40%	41%	5.3	48.8	1.6	0.9	5.5	1.9	1	29
South Florida	12	30:29	25.8	44%	60%	9.3	87.3	1.2	2	8.4	3	2	32.9

Run Game Stats (2018)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
CONN Offense	12	49%	37%	40.5	146	3.6	17	-.01	2.54	63%	12%	0.96
USF Defense	12	47%	35%	-	-	-	-	-.06	2.28	52%	12%	1.03

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
CONN Defense	12	44%	45%	-	-	-	-	.15	3.16	64%	9%	1.01
USF Offense	12	60%	43%	52.8	264.1	5	30	.16	2.95	66%	9%	1.07

Pass Game Stats (2018)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
CONN Offense	12	49%	41%	21.3	35.1	269.2	7.7	12.6	18	11	.23	1.8	33%	35%	.3	5%	2
USF Defense	12	52%	35%	-	-	-	-	-	-	20	.14	1.8	37%	33%	.35	8%	2.1

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
CONN Defense	12	54%	50%	-	-	-	-	-	-	6	.41	1.5	31%	38%	.54	4%	2
USF Offense	12	38%	40%	16.3	30.6	248.9	8.1	15.2	25	6	.35	1.9	33%	37%	.45	4%	2

UConn's Power Ratings
UConn's Power Rating: NR
UConn's Offense Rating: NR
UConn's Defense Rating: NR
2018 Talent Rating: #98
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
UConn's 2018 Expected Record: -
UConn's 2018 Overall SP+ Rating: -26.4 #128
UConn's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.7 #99
UConn's Defense SP+ Rating: 51.9 #130

Average Talent
Average FBS Independents Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
UConn: South Florida: 1.9

SP+ Ratings Matchup
UConn: -26.4 South Florida: -1.2

South Florida's Power Ratings
South Florida's Power Rating: 1.9 NR
South Florida's Offense Rating: NR
South Florida's Defense Rating: NR
2018 Talent Rating: #62
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
South Florida's 2018 Expected Record: -
South Florida's 2018 Overall SP+ Rating: -1.2 #83
South Florida's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.1 #69
South Florida's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.8 #80

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

UConn Scoring
Offense: 35.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 33.5
Defense: 27 PPG
Defense on Road: 32.2

UConn's 2018 Record
Record: 1 - 11
Record vs Spread: 3 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record on Road: 0 - 6
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 8 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0

Projected Score
South Florida 38
UConn 26

Projected Total Points: 64

South Florida Scoring
Offense: 40.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 51
Defense: 23.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 14.3

South Florida's 2018 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 4 - 9 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record at home: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 6 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 0 - 4 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2023	10/21	UConn	21	South Florida	24	Connecticut -1	South Florida	57.0	Under
2019	10/05	UConn	22	South Florida	48	South Florida -10.5	South Florida	48.5	Over
2018	10/20	South Florida	38	UConn	30	South Florida -33	UConn	67.5	Over
2017	11/04	UConn	20	South Florida	37	South Florida -24	UConn	64.5	Under
2016	10/15	South Florida	42	UConn	27	South Florida -17	UConn	53.5	Over
2015	10/17	UConn	20	South Florida	28	Connecticut -1.5	South Florida	44.0	Over
2014	09/19	South Florida	17	UConn	14	South Florida -2.5	South Florida	0
2013	10/12	UConn	10	South Florida	13	Connecticut -6	South Florida	0
2012	11/03	South Florida	13	UConn	6
2011	10/15	UConn	16	South Florida	10
2010	12/04	South Florida	16	UConn	19
2009	12/05	UConn	29	South Florida	27
2008	11/23	South Florida	17	UConn	13
2007	10/27	UConn	22	South Florida	15
2006	10/07	South Florida	38	UConn	16
2005	11/26	UConn	15	South Florida	10
2001	10/13	South Florida	40	UConn	21
2000	10/27	UConn	13	South Florida	21

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
South Florida	13	5	4 Overs
UConn	5	3	2 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	11 - 7	2 - 6	1 - 5	1 - 1
Road Teams	7 - 11	6 - 2	1 - 1	5 - 1

(#) CONN at (#) USF

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	CONN	USF
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#128	#83
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#98	#62
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

UConn Injury Report

South Florida Injury Report

UConn on Offense


CategoryCat	CONN Off	USF Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#99	#80
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

UConn Run Game


CategoryCat	CONN Off	USF Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

UConn Pass Game


CategoryCat	CONN Off	USF Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

South Florida on Offense


CategoryCat	USF Off	CONN Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#69	#130
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

South Florida Run Game


CategoryCat	USF Off	CONN Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

South Florida Pass Game


CategoryCat	USF Off	CONN Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
USF 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'18 Profile: Down to Average G5

CONN 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'18 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Raymond James Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 8
South Florida -33.0 (67.5)
South Florida won vs UConn this year (38-30)

Previous Matchups
South Florida beat UConn in 2023 (24-21)

CONN's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View UConn's Full Roster

CONN's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

USF's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View South Florida's Full Roster

USF's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD