Florida Atlantic at UCF - 2018 Matchup Preview
Florida Atlantic logo Florida Atlantic Owls at UCF KnightsUCF logo
Friday, September 21st 2018 (7:00 PM EDT)
UCF -14 (74.5)
UCF 56 - Florida Atlantic: 36

 
Owls (5 - 7) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 31 - 32 (28 - 38 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
UCF coming off BYE
FAU is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: -11  (SP+ UCF -17)
Projected Score: FAU: 26 - UCF: 44 (70)
UCF Win prob: 86% | Cover: 55%
FAU Travel: 168 miles
Knights (12 - 1) (9 - 3 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 43 - 23 (46 - 24 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Florida Atlantic's 2018 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/1 Florida Atlantic at Oklahoma+18.567.0L 14 - 63ON
Sat 9/8 Florida Atlantic vs Air Force-8.061.0W 33 - 26UN
Sat 9/15 Florida Atlantic vs Bethune-Cookman-41.0
Fri 9/21 Florida Atlantic at UCF+14.074.5L 36 - 56ON
Sat 9/29 Florida Atlantic at Middle Tennessee-2.563.5L 24 - 25UN
Sat 10/6 Florida Atlantic vs Old Dominion-13.563.5W 52 - 33OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/20 Florida Atlantic at Marshall-2.559.5L 7 - 31UN
Fri 10/26 Florida Atlantic vs Louisiana Tech-3.558.5L 13 - 21UN
Sat 11/3 Florida Atlantic at Florida International+2.059.5W 49 - 14OY
Sat 11/10 Florida Atlantic vs Western Kentucky-17.559.5W 34 - 15UY
Thu 11/15 Florida Atlantic at North Texas+4.563.5L 38 - 41OY
Sat 11/24 Florida Atlantic vs Charlotte-16.554.5L 24 - 27UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Florida Atlantic's Schedule
UCF's 2018 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/30 UCF at UConn-24.070.0W 56 - 17OY
Sat 9/8 UCF vs South Carolina State-32
BYE WEEK
Fri 9/21 UCF vs Florida Atlantic-14.074.5W 56 - 36OY
Sat 9/29 UCF vs Pittsburgh-13.065.5W 45 - 14UY
Sat 10/6 UCF vs SMU-25.073.5W 48 - 20UY
Sat 10/13 UCF at Memphis-5.080.5W 31 - 30UN
Sat 10/20 UCF at East Carolina-21.565.5W 37 - 10UY
BYE WEEK
Thu 11/1 UCF vs Temple-10.559.0W 52 - 40OY
Sat 11/10 UCF vs Navy-23.568.0W 35 - 24UN
Sat 11/17 UCF vs Cincinnati-7.560.0W 38 - 13UY
Fri 11/23 UCF at South Florida-16.570.0W 38 - 10UY
Sat 12/1 UCF vs Memphis-1.065.0W 56 - 41OY
Tue 1/1 UCF vs LSU+7.557.5L 32 - 40ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for UCF's Schedule
Important Stats (2018)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
FAU.2244%31.145%2.8824241%2373.99.1643%31.740%45%3.9262.81.81.3
UCF.3448%43.247%3.4726547%2574.88.1141%22.741%39%2.6264.81.12.2
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
FAU#80 (.17)39% (108)40% (107)3.15 (48)18939% (99)2093.19 (122)#90 (.21)41% (54)43% (72)38% (39)3.72 (62)51.61.51.6
UCF#58 (.21)46% (28)52% (8)3.62 (2)24838% (103)2003.75 (86)#63 (.16)40% (45)37% (12)42% (84)4.37 (118)54.41.60.9



Overall Stats 2018
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
FAU Offense1231.12844.3%3.991.8244792422375.159%40%45%41%17%.22
UCF Defense1322.723.541.3%2.622.2 - - - - - 57%41%41%39%19%.11
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
FAU Defense1231.738.342.5%3.921.3 - - - - - 51%48%40%45%15%.16
UCF Offense1343.24647.7%4.881.1275232652575.857%41%47%47%13%.34

Additional Stats 2018
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Florida Atlantic1229:2323.933%55%6.662.81.81.35.82128.4
UCF1325:1026.750%62%7.464.81.12.28.12.2228.5
Run Game Stats (2018)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
FAU Offense1259%45%47.2241.85.135.212.8869%11%1.14
UCF Defense1357%41% - - - - .082.9661%12%1.02
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
FAU Defense1251%40% - - - - .052.7467%9%1.01
UCF Offense1357%47%45.7265.25.842.283.4780%8%1.14

Pass Game Stats (2018)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
FAU Offense1240%41%18.830.32377.812.61415.251.732%30%.246%2
UCF Defense1341%39% - - - - - - 14.181.735%37%.328%1.8
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
FAU Defense1248%45% - - - - - - 11.291.532%30%.255%2
UCF Offense1341%47%17.230.2257.58.514.9297.431.730%44%.635%1.9

Florida Atlantic's Power Ratings
Florida Atlantic's Power Rating: NR
Florida Atlantic's Offense Rating: NR
Florida Atlantic's Defense Rating: NR
2018 Talent Rating:  #67
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Florida Atlantic's 2018 Expected Record: -
Florida Atlantic's 2018 Overall SP+ Rating: -0.8  #81
Florida Atlantic's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.8  #49
Florida Atlantic's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.9  #82

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Florida Atlantic:    UCF: 10.75

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Florida Atlantic: -0.8   UCF: 16.5




UCF's Power Ratings
UCF's Power Rating: 10.75 NR
UCF's Offense Rating: NR
UCF's Defense Rating: NR
2018 Talent Rating:  #55
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
UCF's 2018 Expected Record: -
UCF's 2018 Overall SP+ Rating: 16.5  #18
UCF's Offense SP+ Rating: 39.9  #11
UCF's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.2  #47

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


Florida Atlantic Scoring
Offense: 31.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 28
Defense: 31.7 PPG
Defense on Road: 38.3

Florida Atlantic's 2018 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
UCF 44
Florida Atlantic 26

Total Points: 70

Based on Last 4 Games
UCF 48
Florida Atlantic 26

Total Points: 74

Based on Entire Season
UCF 40
Florida Atlantic 26

Total Points: 66
UCF Scoring
Offense: 43.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 46
Defense: 22.7 PPG
Defense at Home: 23.5

UCF's 2018 Record
Record: 12 - 1
Record vs Spread: 9 - 3 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record at home: 8 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 6 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 9 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 6 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202209/17Florida Atlantic14UCF40UCF -7.5UCF61.5Under
201909/07Florida Atlantic14UCF48UCF -13.5UCF69.0Under
201809/21UCF56Florida Atlantic36UCF -14UCF74.5Over
200309/13UCF33Florida Atlantic29
TeamWinsCoversO/U
UCF431 Overs
Florida Atlantic002 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams2 - 21 - 21 - 00 - 2
Road Teams2 - 22 - 12 - 00 - 1

(#) FAU at (#) UCF
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatFAUUCF
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #81 #18
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #67 #55
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Florida Atlantic on Offense
CategoryCat
FAU OffUCF Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #49 #47
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Florida Atlantic Run Game
CategoryCat
FAU OffUCF Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Florida Atlantic Pass Game
CategoryCat
FAU OffUCF Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
UCF on Offense
CategoryCatUCF OffFAU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #11 #82
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
UCF Run Game
CategoryCat
UCF OffFAU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
UCF Pass Game
CategoryCatUCF OffFAU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
UCF 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'18 Profile: Down to Top 25 Contenders

FAU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'18 Profile: Down to Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Bright House Networks Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 83° - Wind: 11 mph
Rematch from Week 4
UCF -14.0 (74.5)
UCF won vs Florida Atlantic this year (56-36)

Previous Matchups
UCF beat Florida Atlantic in 2022 (40-14)

  
FAU's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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FAU's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

UCF's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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UCF's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD