Navy at SMU - 2018 Matchup Preview

Navy Midshipmen at SMU Mustangs

Saturday, September 22nd 2018 (12:00 PM EDT)
Navy -6.5 (57.5)
SMU 31 - Navy: 30 (American Athletic)

Midshipmen (3 - 10) (4 - 8 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 32 - 25 (26 - 30 on Road)
'18 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

SMU is playing their 4th straight game
NAVY is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: -5 (SP+ SMU -5)
Projected Score: NAVY: 24 - SMU: 31 (55)
NAVY Win prob: 68% | Cover: 48%
NAVY Travel: 1208 miles, 1 hrs ahead

Mustangs (5 - 7) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 32 - 21 (36 - 19 @ Home)
'18 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
NAVY Players
SMU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Navy's 2018 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/1	Navy at Hawai'i	-12.5	62.5	L 41 - 59	O	N
Sat 9/8	Navy vs Memphis	+7.0	67.0	W 22 - 21	U	Y
Sat 9/15	Navy vs Lehigh	-33.0	57.5	W 51 - 21	O	N
Sat 9/22	Navy at SMU	-6.5	57.5	L 30 - 31	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/6	Navy at Air Force	-2.5	47.0	L 7 - 35	U	N
Sat 10/13	Navy vs Temple	+6.5	49.0	L 17 - 24	U	N
Sat 10/20	Navy vs Houston	+11.0	59.5	L 36 - 49	O	N
Sat 10/27	Navy vs Notre Dame	+21.5	55.5	L 22 - 44	O	N
Sat 11/3	Navy at Cincinnati	+13.0	47.0	L 0 - 42	U	N
Sat 11/10	Navy at UCF	+23.5	68.0	L 24 - 35	U	Y
Sat 11/17	Navy vs Tulsa	-5.0	50.5	W 37 - 29	O	Y
Sat 11/24	Navy at Tulane	+5.0	51.5	L 28 - 29	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 12/8	Navy vs Army	+7.0	38.5	L 10 - 17	U	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Navy's Schedule

SMU's 2018 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/1	SMU at North Texas	+3.5	70.5	L 23 - 46	U	N
Fri 9/7	SMU vs TCU	+23.5	59.5	L 12 - 42	U	N
Sat 9/15	SMU at Michigan	+37.0	54.5	L 20 - 45	O	Y
Sat 9/22	SMU vs Navy	+6.5	57.5	W 31 - 30	O	Y
Sat 9/29	SMU vs Houston Christian	-44.5
Sat 10/6	SMU at UCF	+25.0	73.5	L 20 - 48	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/20	SMU at Tulane	+7.0	55.5	W 27 - 23	U	Y
Sat 10/27	SMU vs Cincinnati	+9.5	50.0	L 20 - 26	U	Y
Sat 11/3	SMU vs Houston	+14.0	71.0	W 45 - 31	O	Y
Sat 11/10	SMU at UConn	-18.0	66.0	W 62 - 50	O	N
Fri 11/16	SMU vs Memphis	+7.5	74.5	L 18 - 28	U	N
Sat 11/24	SMU at Tulsa	-2.5	52.5	L 24 - 27	U	N

Important Stats (2017)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
NAVY	.26	48%	31.5	49%	3.41	351	33%	77	4	.25	46%	25	43%	48%	3.46	40.6	1.5	1.2
SMU	.23	45%	32.2	45%	2.99	184	44%	294	3.93	.25	46%	20.5	46%	46%	3.3	59.2	1.5	1.8

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
NAVY		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
SMU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2017

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
NAVY Offense	13	31.5	25.8	47.8%	4	1.5	21	429	351	77	5.6	87%	12%	49%	33%	10%	.26
SMU Defense	13	20.5	19.2	46.4%	3.3	1.8	-	-	-	-	-	56%	43%	46%	46%	17%	.25

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
NAVY Defense	13	25	30.2	46%	3.46	1.2	-	-	-	-	-	53%	45%	43%	48%	15%	.25
SMU Offense	13	32.2	36	45.3%	3.93	1.5	24	478	184	294	4.9	46%	53%	45%	44%	15%	.23

Additional Stats 2017

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Navy	13	36:18	21.2	45%	66%	4.1	40.6	1.5	1.2	4.8	1.2	0	34
SMU	13	29:32	24	43%	70%	6.4	59.2	1.5	1.8	6.9	2.4	2	34

Run Game Stats (2018)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
NAVY Offense	13	87%	49%	63.2	351.4	5.6	42	.27	3.41	83%	7%	1.06
SMU Defense	13	56%	46%	-	-	-	-	.18	2.95	61%	12%	1.07

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
NAVY Defense	13	53%	43%	-	-	-	-	.1	2.72	70%	10%	0.97
SMU Offense	13	46%	45%	37.4	184.4	4.9	26	.18	2.99	66%	9%	1.03

Pass Game Stats (2018)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
NAVY Offense	13	12%	33%	3.2	7.8	77.3	9.9	23.9	10	10	.26	2.4	27%	30%	.27	3%	1.8
SMU Defense	13	43%	46%	-	-	-	-	-	-	12	.35	1.7	30%	39%	.44	6%	2

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
NAVY Defense	13	45%	48%	-	-	-	-	-	-	7	.45	1.7	31%	37%	.34	6%	1.8
SMU Offense	13	53%	44%	21.8	37.5	294.1	7.9	13.5	35	13	.29	1.7	31%	39%	.37	7%	2

Navy's Power Ratings
Navy's Power Rating: NR
Navy's Offense Rating: NR
Navy's Defense Rating: NR
2018 Talent Rating: #115
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Navy's 2018 Expected Record: -
Navy's 2018 Overall SP+ Rating: -10.2 #101
Navy's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.5 #82
Navy's Defense SP+ Rating: 38.3 #114

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Navy: SMU: -0.2

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Navy: -10.2 SMU: -5.4

SMU's Power Ratings
SMU's Power Rating: -0.2 NR
SMU's Offense Rating: NR
SMU's Defense Rating: NR
2018 Talent Rating: #73
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
SMU's 2018 Expected Record: -
SMU's 2018 Overall SP+ Rating: -5.4 #93
SMU's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.0 #105
SMU's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.7 #79

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Navy Scoring
Offense: 31.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 25.8
Defense: 25 PPG
Defense on Road: 30.2

Navy's 2018 Record
Record: 3 - 10
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 1
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record on Road: 0 - 6
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 0 - 3 - 0

Projected Score
SMU 31
Navy 24

Projected Total Points: 55

SMU Scoring
Offense: 32.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 36
Defense: 20.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 19.2

SMU's 2018 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 8
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2023	11/25	SMU	59	Navy	14	SMU -20	SMU	46.0	Over
2022	10/14	SMU	40	Navy	34	SMU -12.5	Navy	59.0	Over
2021	10/09	Navy	24	SMU	31	SMU -13.5	Navy	57.0	Under
2020	10/31	SMU	51	Navy	37	SMU -14.0	Push	0
2019	11/23	Navy	35	SMU	28	Navy -3.5	Navy	68.5	Under
2018	09/22	SMU	31	Navy	30	Navy -6.5	SMU	57.5	Over
2017	11/11	Navy	43	SMU	40	Navy -1.5	Navy	66.0	Over
2016	11/26	SMU	31	Navy	75	Navy -8	Navy	65.5	Over
2015	11/14	Navy	55	SMU	14	Navy -20	Navy	59.5	Over
2011	11/12	SMU	17	Navy	24
2010	10/16	Navy	28	SMU	21
2009	10/17	SMU	35	Navy	38
2008	10/25	Navy	34	SMU	7
2002	08/31	SMU	7	Navy	38

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
SMU	5	2	6 Overs
Navy	9	6	2 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	9 - 5	6 - 2	4 - 1	2 - 1
Road Teams	5 - 9	2 - 6	1 - 2	1 - 4

(#) NAVY at (#) SMU

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	NAVY	SMU
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#101	#93
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#115	#73
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Navy Injury Report

SMU Injury Report

Navy on Offense


CategoryCat	NAVY Off	SMU Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#82	#79
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Navy Run Game


CategoryCat	NAVY Off	SMU Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Navy Pass Game


CategoryCat	NAVY Off	SMU Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

SMU on Offense


CategoryCat	SMU Off	NAVY Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#105	#114
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

SMU Run Game


CategoryCat	SMU Off	NAVY Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

SMU Pass Game


CategoryCat	SMU Off	NAVY Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
SMU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'18 Profile: Down to Average G5

NAVY 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'18 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Gerald J. Ford Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 4
Navy 6.5 (57.5)
SMU won vs Navy this year (31-30)

Previous Matchups
SMU beat Navy in 2023 (59-14)

NAVY's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Navy's Full Roster

NAVY's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

SMU's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View SMU's Full Roster

SMU's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD