SMU at North Texas - 2018 Matchup Preview
SMU logo SMU Mustangs at North Texas Mean Green(#24)North Texas logo
Saturday, September 1st 2018 (7:30 PM EDT)
North Texas -3.5 (70.5)
North Texas 46 - SMU: 23

 
Mustangs (5 - 7) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 30 - 35 (29 - 40 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Temp: 93.4° (41.8% Hum)
Our Line: -6.5  (SP+ UNT -8)
Projected Score: SMU: 30 - UNT: 42 (72)
UNT Win prob: 62% | Cover: 49%
SMU Travel: 33 miles
Mean Green (9 - 4) (4 - 9 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 35 - 24 (41 - 22 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
SMU's 2018 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/1 SMU at North Texas+3.570.5L 23 - 46UN
Fri 9/7 SMU vs TCU+23.559.5L 12 - 42UN
Sat 9/15 SMU at Michigan+37.054.5L 20 - 45OY
Sat 9/22 SMU vs Navy+6.557.5W 31 - 30OY
Sat 9/29 SMU vs Houston Christian-44.5
Sat 10/6 SMU at UCF+25.073.5L 20 - 48UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/20 SMU at Tulane+7.055.5W 27 - 23UY
Sat 10/27 SMU vs Cincinnati+9.550.0L 20 - 26UY
Sat 11/3 SMU vs Houston+14.071.0W 45 - 31OY
Sat 11/10 SMU at UConn-18.066.0W 62 - 50ON
Fri 11/16 SMU vs Memphis+7.574.5L 18 - 28UN
Sat 11/24 SMU at Tulsa-2.552.5L 24 - 27UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for SMU's Schedule
North Texas's 2018 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/1 North Texas vs SMU-3.570.5W 46 - 23UY
Sat 9/8 North Texas vs Incarnate Word-43.579.0W 58 - 16UN
Sat 9/15 North Texas at Arkansas+5.564.5W 44 - 17UY
Sat 9/22 North Texas at Liberty-10.567.5W 47 - 7UY
Sat 9/29 North Texas vs Louisiana Tech-7.062.5L 27 - 29UN
Sat 10/6 North Texas at UTEP-26.052.5W 27 - 24UN
Sat 10/13 North Texas vs Southern Miss-7.052.5W 30 - 7UY
Sat 10/20 North Texas at UAB+1.553.0L 21 - 29UN
Sat 10/27 North Texas vs Rice-30.058.0W 41 - 17UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/10 North Texas at Old Dominion-14.067.0L 31 - 34UN
Thu 11/15 North Texas vs Florida Atlantic-4.563.5W 41 - 38ON
Sat 11/24 North Texas at UTSA-25.051.5W 24 - 21UN
Sat 12/15 North Texas vs Utah State+7.067.5L 13 - 52UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for North Texas's Schedule
Important Stats (2018)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
SMU.1139%30.436%2.4511639%2703.39.1843%35.343%43%3.9145.31.21.9
UNT.1945%34.643%2.6715445%3073.87.0940%24.240%37%3.1149.51.31.7
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
SMU#38 (.24)44% (53)44% (62)2.97 (83)16944% (45)2634.41 (25)#5 (.03)37% (9)39% (35)35% (10)3.09 (13)77.71.71.6
UNT#45 (.23)42% (70)40% (109)2.75 (111)15344% (39)2983.91 (69)#98 (.22)44% (98)47% (106)42% (79)4.03 (93)52.51.51.1



Overall Stats 2018
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
SMU Offense1230.429.338.6%3.391.2203871162703.543%56%36%39%17%.11
UNT Defense1324.221.739.9%3.111.7 - - - - - 44%54%40%37%19%.09
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
SMU Defense1235.339.843.5%3.911.9 - - - - - 55%43%43%43%17%.18
UNT Offense1334.640.545.1%3.871.3254601543074.343%55%43%45%16%.19

Additional Stats 2018
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
SMU1227:132033%59%5.245.31.21.97.42.1129.7
North Texas1331:1324.637%42%4.449.51.31.77.52.6431.3
Run Game Stats (2018)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
SMU Offense1243%36%33.3116.13.517-.012.4563%11%1.02
UNT Defense1344%40% - - - - .042.4869%12%0.96
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
SMU Defense1255%43% - - - - .132.8164%12%1.06
UNT Offense1343%43%35.4153.54.328.052.6760%11%0.93

Pass Game Stats (2018)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
SMU Offense1256%39%22.338.8270.4712.2287.231.837%31%.26%2
UNT Defense1354%37% - - - - - - 18.151.734%30%.237%1.9
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
SMU Defense1243%43% - - - - - - 12.271.633%38%.385%1.9
UNT Offense1355%45%24.738.8306.87.912.4289.331.631%35%.365%1.9

SMU's Power Ratings
SMU's Power Rating: NR
SMU's Offense Rating: NR
SMU's Defense Rating: NR
2018 Talent Rating:  #73
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
SMU's 2018 Expected Record: -
SMU's 2018 Overall SP+ Rating: -5.4  #93
SMU's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.0  #105
SMU's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.7  #79

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
SMU:    North Texas: 3.55

SP+ Ratings Matchup
SMU: -5.4   North Texas: 2.1




North Texas's Power Ratings
North Texas's Power Rating: 3.55 NR
North Texas's Offense Rating: NR
North Texas's Defense Rating: NR
2018 Talent Rating:  #107
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
North Texas's 2018 Expected Record: -
North Texas's 2018 Overall SP+ Rating: 2.1  #65
North Texas's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.2  #67
North Texas's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.5  #78

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


SMU Scoring
Offense: 30.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 29.3
Defense: 35.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 39.8

SMU's 2018 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 8
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
North Texas 42
SMU 30

Total Points: 72

Based on Last 4 Games
North Texas 46
SMU 35

Total Points: 80

Based on Entire Season
North Texas 38
SMU 26

Total Points: 64
North Texas Scoring
Offense: 34.6 PPG
Offense at Home: 40.5
Defense: 24.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 21.7

North Texas's 2018 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 4 - 9 - 0
Over/Under Record: 1 - 12
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 7 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202311/10SMU45North Texas21SMU -21.5SMU67.5Under
202209/03North Texas10SMU48SMU -9.5SMU67.5Under
202109/11SMU35North Texas12SMU -22.5SMU75.5Under
202009/19North Texas35SMU65SMU -15SMU71.5Over
201909/07SMU49North Texas27SMU -3.5SMU72.5Over
201809/01North Texas46SMU23North Texas -3.5North Texas70.5Under
201709/09SMU54North Texas32SMU -13SMU64.5Over
201609/03North Texas21SMU34SMU -12SMU68.0Under
201509/12SMU31North Texas13SMU -6SMU60.0Under
201409/06North Texas43SMU6North Texas -4North Texas0
200709/08SMU45North Texas31
200609/09North Texas24SMU6
TeamWinsCoversO/U
North Texas323 Overs
SMU986 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams9 - 37 - 37 - 00 - 3
Road Teams3 - 93 - 73 - 00 - 7

(#) SMU at (#) UNT
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatSMUUNT
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #93 #65
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #73 #107
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
SMU on Offense
CategoryCat
SMU OffUNT Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #105 #78
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
SMU Run Game
CategoryCat
SMU OffUNT Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
SMU Pass Game
CategoryCat
SMU OffUNT Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
North Texas on Offense
CategoryCatUNT OffSMU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #67 #79
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
North Texas Run Game
CategoryCat
UNT OffSMU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
North Texas Pass Game
CategoryCatUNT OffSMU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
UNT 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'18 Profile: Down to Top G5

SMU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'18 Profile: Down to Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Apogee Stadium
Conditions: Fair
Temp: 93° - Wind: 11 mph
Rematch from Week 1
North Texas -3.5 (70.5)
North Texas won vs SMU this year (46-23)

Previous Matchups
SMU beat North Texas in 2023 (45-21)
SMU beat North Texas in 2022 (48-10)

  
SMU's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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SMU's DC ()
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UNT's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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UNT's DC ()
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SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
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