Cincinnati at SMU - 2018 Matchup Preview
Cincinnati logo (#21)Cincinnati Bearcats at SMU MustangsSMU logo
Saturday, October 27th 2018 (3:30 PM EDT)
Cincinnati -9.5 (50.0)
Cincinnati 26 - SMU: 20  (American Athletic)

 
Bearcats (11 - 2) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 35 - 17 (25 - 18 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
CIN 2nd straight Road Game
Our Line: -3  (SP+ CIN -11)
Projected Score: CIN: 32 - SMU: 27 (59)
CIN Win prob: 79% | Cover: 55%
CIN Travel: 811 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Mustangs (5 - 7) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 30 - 35 (32 - 31 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Cincinnati's 2018 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/1 Cincinnati at UCLA+14.062.0W 26 - 17UY
Sat 9/8 Cincinnati at Miami (OH)+1.548.0W 21 - 0UY
Sat 9/15 Cincinnati vs Alabama A&M-26
Sat 9/22 Cincinnati vs Ohio-7.056.5W 34 - 30ON
Sat 9/29 Cincinnati at UConn-15.562.5W 49 - 7UY
Sat 10/6 Cincinnati vs Tulane-7.048.0W 37 - 21OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/20 Cincinnati at Temple+2.547.0L 17 - 24UN
Sat 10/27 Cincinnati at SMU-9.550.0W 26 - 20UN
Sat 11/3 Cincinnati vs Navy-13.047.0W 42 - 0UY
Sat 11/10 Cincinnati vs South Florida-14.053.0W 35 - 23ON
Sat 11/17 Cincinnati at UCF+7.560.0L 13 - 38UN
Fri 11/23 Cincinnati vs East Carolina-15.549.5W 56 - 6OY
Mon 12/31 Cincinnati vs Virginia Tech-5.548.5W 35 - 31ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Cincinnati's Schedule
SMU's 2018 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/1 SMU at North Texas+3.570.5L 23 - 46UN
Fri 9/7 SMU vs TCU+23.559.5L 12 - 42UN
Sat 9/15 SMU at Michigan+37.054.5L 20 - 45OY
Sat 9/22 SMU vs Navy+6.557.5W 31 - 30OY
Sat 9/29 SMU vs Houston Christian-44.5
Sat 10/6 SMU at UCF+25.073.5L 20 - 48UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/20 SMU at Tulane+7.055.5W 27 - 23UY
Sat 10/27 SMU vs Cincinnati+9.550.0L 20 - 26UY
Sat 11/3 SMU vs Houston+14.071.0W 45 - 31OY
Sat 11/10 SMU at UConn-18.066.0W 62 - 50ON
Fri 11/16 SMU vs Memphis+7.574.5L 18 - 28UN
Sat 11/24 SMU at Tulsa-2.552.5L 24 - 27UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for SMU's Schedule
Important Stats (2018)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
CIN.2544%34.945%3.1123943%2183.95.0435%17.236%32%2.8773.71.61.5
SMU.1139%30.436%2.4511639%2703.39.1843%35.343%43%3.9145.31.21.9
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
CIN#59 (.21)45% (43)44% (67)3.03 (69)18545% (32)2373.33 (118)#75 (.18)42% (76)46% (94)39% (43)3.51 (40)44.41.51.2
SMU#38 (.24)44% (53)44% (62)2.97 (83)16944% (45)2634.41 (25)#5 (.03)37% (9)39% (35)35% (10)3.09 (13)77.71.71.6



Overall Stats 2018
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
CIN Offense1334.925.344.4%3.951.6234572392185.257%43%45%43%13%.25
SMU Defense1235.330.743.5%3.911.9 - - - - - 55%43%43%43%17%.18
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
CIN Defense1317.217.734.7%2.871.5 - - - - - 46%53%36%32%19%.04
SMU Offense1230.431.538.6%3.391.2203871162703.543%56%36%39%17%.11

Additional Stats 2018
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Cincinnati1332:5123.548%48%8.273.71.61.56.42.4129.5
SMU1227:132033%59%5.245.31.21.97.42.1129.7
Run Game Stats (2018)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
CIN Offense1357%45%46.2239.25.237.193.1170%9%1.09
SMU Defense1255%43% - - - - .132.8164%12%1.06
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
CIN Defense1346%36% - - - - -.012.5456%11%0.88
SMU Offense1243%36%33.3116.13.517-.012.4563%11%1.02

Pass Game Stats (2018)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
CIN Offense1343%43%17.528.9217.87.512.4228.331.731%39%.564%2
SMU Defense1243%43% - - - - - - 12.271.633%38%.385%1.9
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
CIN Defense1353%32% - - - - - - 11.11.740%24%.138%2
SMU Offense1256%39%22.338.8270.4712.2287.231.837%31%.26%2

Cincinnati's Power Ratings
Cincinnati's Power Rating: NR
Cincinnati's Offense Rating: NR
Cincinnati's Defense Rating: NR
2018 Talent Rating:  #64
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Cincinnati's 2018 Expected Record: -
Cincinnati's 2018 Overall SP+ Rating: 5.4  #49
Cincinnati's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.3  #74
Cincinnati's Defense SP+ Rating: 22.6  #36

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Cincinnati:    SMU: -0.2

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Cincinnati: 5.4   SMU: -5.4




SMU's Power Ratings
SMU's Power Rating: -0.2 NR
SMU's Offense Rating: NR
SMU's Defense Rating: NR
2018 Talent Rating:  #73
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
SMU's 2018 Expected Record: -
SMU's 2018 Overall SP+ Rating: -5.4  #93
SMU's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.0  #105
SMU's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.7  #79

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


Cincinnati Scoring
Offense: 34.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 25.3
Defense: 17.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 17.7

Cincinnati's 2018 Record
Record: 11 - 2
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record on Road: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Cincinnati 32
SMU 27

Total Points: 59

Based on Last 4 Games
Cincinnati 32
SMU 30

Total Points: 62

Based on Entire Season
Cincinnati 32
SMU 24

Total Points: 56
SMU Scoring
Offense: 30.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 31.5
Defense: 35.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 30.7

SMU's 2018 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 8
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202210/22SMU27Cincinnati29Cincinnati -3.5SMU59.5Under
202111/20Cincinnati48SMU14Cincinnati -9.5Cincinnati65.5Under
202010/24SMU13Cincinnati42SMU -1.5Cincinnati56.5Under
201810/27SMU20Cincinnati26Cincinnati -9.5SMU50.0Under
201710/21Cincinnati28SMU31SMU -6Cincinnati66.0Under
201410/18SMU3Cincinnati41Cincinnati -14.5Cincinnati0
201311/09Cincinnati28SMU25Cincinnati -10.5SMU0
TeamWinsCoversO/U
SMU130 Overs
Cincinnati645 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams2 - 54 - 31 - 23 - 1
Road Teams5 - 23 - 41 - 32 - 1

(#) CIN at (#) SMU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatCINSMU
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #49 #93
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #64 #73
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Cincinnati on Offense
CategoryCat
CIN OffSMU Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #74 #79
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Cincinnati Run Game
CategoryCat
CIN OffSMU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Cincinnati Pass Game
CategoryCat
CIN OffSMU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
SMU on Offense
CategoryCatSMU OffCIN Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #105 #36
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
SMU Run Game
CategoryCat
SMU OffCIN Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
SMU Pass Game
CategoryCatSMU OffCIN Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
SMU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'18 Profile: Down to Average G5

CIN 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'18 Profile: Down to Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Gerald J. Ford Stadium
Conditions: Fair
Temp: 80° - Wind: 8 mph
Rematch from Week 9
Cincinnati 9.5 (50.0)
Cincinnati won at SMU this year (26-20)

Previous Matchups
Cincinnati beat SMU in 2022 (29-27)

  
CIN's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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CIN's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

SMU's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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SMU's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD