North Texas at Liberty - 2018 Matchup Preview
North Texas logo North Texas Mean Green at Liberty FlamesLiberty logo
Saturday, September 22nd 2018 (6:00 PM EDT)
North Texas -10.5 (67.5)
North Texas 47 - Liberty: 7

 
Mean Green (9 - 4) (4 - 9 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 35 - 24 (32 - 22 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Light Rain Predicted
Wind: 12.7 MPH
UNT 2nd straight Road Game
LIB coming off BYE
UNT is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: -8.5  (SP+ UNT -22)
Projected Score: UNT: 32 - LIB: 31 (63)
UNT Win prob: 76% | Cover: 44%
UNT Travel: 1052 miles, 1 hrs behind
Flames (6 - 6) (5 - 6 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 33 - 37 (35 - 25 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
North Texas's 2018 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/1 North Texas vs SMU-3.570.5W 46 - 23UY
Sat 9/8 North Texas vs Incarnate Word-43.579.0W 58 - 16UN
Sat 9/15 North Texas at Arkansas+5.564.5W 44 - 17UY
Sat 9/22 North Texas at Liberty-10.567.5W 47 - 7UY
Sat 9/29 North Texas vs Louisiana Tech-7.062.5L 27 - 29UN
Sat 10/6 North Texas at UTEP-26.052.5W 27 - 24UN
Sat 10/13 North Texas vs Southern Miss-7.052.5W 30 - 7UY
Sat 10/20 North Texas at UAB+1.553.0L 21 - 29UN
Sat 10/27 North Texas vs Rice-30.058.0W 41 - 17UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/10 North Texas at Old Dominion-14.067.0L 31 - 34UN
Thu 11/15 North Texas vs Florida Atlantic-4.563.5W 41 - 38ON
Sat 11/24 North Texas at UTSA-25.051.5W 24 - 21UN
Sat 12/15 North Texas vs Utah State+7.067.5L 13 - 52UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for North Texas's Schedule
Liberty's 2018 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/1 Liberty vs Old Dominion+5.059.0W 52 - 10OY
Sat 9/8 Liberty at Army+7.557.0L 14 - 38UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/22 Liberty vs North Texas+10.567.5L 7 - 47UN
Sat 9/29 Liberty at New Mexico+7.065.0W 52 - 43OY
Sat 10/6 Liberty at New Mexico State-3.064.0L 41 - 49ON
Sat 10/13 Liberty vs Troy+12.062.5W 22 - 16UY
Sat 10/20 Liberty vs Idaho State-7.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/3 Liberty at Massachusetts-1.566.0L 59 - 62ON
Sat 11/10 Liberty at Virginia+24.058.0L 24 - 45OY
Sat 11/17 Liberty at Auburn+29.563.5L 0 - 53UN
Sat 11/24 Liberty vs New Mexico State-7.072.5W 28 - 21UN
Sat 12/1 Liberty vs Norfolk State-30.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Liberty's Schedule
Important Stats (2018)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UNT.1945%34.643%2.6715445%3073.87.0940%24.240%37%3.1149.51.31.7
LIB.1542%33.343%2.7916241%2624.18.2147%36.851%41%438.221.8
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UNT#45 (.23)42% (70)40% (109)2.75 (111)15344% (39)2983.91 (69)#98 (.22)44% (98)47% (106)42% (79)4.03 (93)52.51.51.1
LIB#24 (.26)50% (7)54% (2)3.56 (7)23843% (60)1614.21 (43)#24 (.1)39% (39)39% (30)40% (66)3.68 (58)64.41.31.3



Overall Stats 2018
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UNT Offense1334.632.345.1%3.871.3254601543074.343%55%43%45%16%.19
LIB Defense1236.825.346.7%41.8 - - - - - 49%49%51%41%15%.21
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UNT Defense1324.22239.9%3.111.7 - - - - - 44%54%40%37%19%.09
LIB Offense1233.334.842.3%4.18223423162262449%51%43%41%16%.15

Additional Stats 2018
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
North Texas1331:1324.637%42%4.449.51.31.77.52.6431.3
Liberty1229:3023.142%60%4.338.221.85.12.2229.6
Run Game Stats (2018)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UNT Offense1343%43%35.4153.54.328.052.6760%11%0.93
LIB Defense1249%51% - - - - .233.2765%9%1
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UNT Defense1344%40% - - - - .042.4869%12%0.96
LIB Offense1249%43%40.7161.9430.082.7976%8%0.91

Pass Game Stats (2018)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UNT Offense1355%45%24.738.8306.87.912.4289.331.631%35%.365%1.9
LIB Defense1249%41% - - - - - - 12.211.631%33%.266%1.8
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UNT Defense1354%37% - - - - - - 18.151.734%30%.237%1.9
LIB Offense1251%41%20.437.3261.5712.82118.231.731%35%.368%2

North Texas's Power Ratings
North Texas's Power Rating: NR
North Texas's Offense Rating: NR
North Texas's Defense Rating: NR
2018 Talent Rating:  #107
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
North Texas's 2018 Expected Record: -
North Texas's 2018 Overall SP+ Rating: 2.1  #65
North Texas's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.2  #67
North Texas's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.5  #78

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
North Texas:    Liberty: -7.35

SP+ Ratings Matchup
North Texas: 2.1   Liberty: -19.7




Liberty's Power Ratings
Liberty's Power Rating: -7.35 NR
Liberty's Offense Rating: NR
Liberty's Defense Rating: NR
2018 Talent Rating:  #146
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Liberty's 2018 Expected Record: -
Liberty's 2018 Overall SP+ Rating: -19.7  #121
Liberty's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.1  #95
Liberty's Defense SP+ Rating: 41.7  #122

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


North Texas Scoring
Offense: 34.6 PPG
Offense on Road: 32.3
Defense: 24.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 22

North Texas's 2018 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 4 - 9 - 0
Over/Under Record: 1 - 12
Record on Road: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 7 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0
Projected Score
North Texas 32
Liberty 31

Total Points: 63

Based on Last 4 Games
Liberty 32
North Texas 31

Total Points: 63

Based on Entire Season
North Texas 32
Liberty 29

Total Points: 61
Liberty Scoring
Offense: 33.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 34.8
Defense: 36.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 25.3

Liberty's 2018 Record
Record: 6 - 6
Record vs Spread: 5 - 6 - 1
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 2 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202110/23North Texas26Liberty35Liberty -21North Texas61.0Push
201809/22Liberty7North Texas47North Texas -10.5North Texas67.5Under
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Liberty100 Overs
North Texas121 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams0 - 21 - 10 - 01 - 1
Road Teams2 - 01 - 11 - 10 - 0

(#) UNT at (#) LIB
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatUNTLIB
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #65 #121
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #107 #146
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
North Texas on Offense
CategoryCat
UNT OffLIB Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #67 #122
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
North Texas Run Game
CategoryCat
UNT OffLIB Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
North Texas Pass Game
CategoryCat
UNT OffLIB Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Liberty on Offense
CategoryCatLIB OffUNT Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #95 #78
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Liberty Run Game
CategoryCat
LIB OffUNT Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Liberty Pass Game
CategoryCatLIB OffUNT Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
LIB 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'18 Profile: Remains Poor G5

UNT 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'18 Profile: Down to Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Williams Stadium
Conditions: Light Rain
Temp: 74° - Wind: 13 mph
Rain: 0.079
Rematch from Week 4
North Texas 10.5 (67.5)
North Texas won at Liberty this year (47-7)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
UNT's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
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UNT's DC ()
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LIB's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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LIB's DC ()
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