Liberty at Auburn - 2018 Matchup Preview
Liberty logo Liberty Flames at Auburn TigersAuburn logo
Saturday, November 17th 2018 (4:00 PM EST)
Auburn -29.5 (63.5)
Auburn 53 - Liberty: 0

 
Flames (6 - 6) (5 - 6 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 33 - 37 (32 - 48 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
LIB 3rd straight Road Game
Our Line: -24  (SP+ AUB -43)

Projected Score: LIB: 29 - AUB: 37 (66)
AUB Win prob: 99% | Cover: 51%
LIB Travel: 485 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Tigers (8 - 5) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 31 - 19 (35 - 14 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Liberty's 2018 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/1 Liberty vs Old Dominion+5.059.0W 52 - 10OY
Sat 9/8 Liberty at Army+7.557.0L 14 - 38UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/22 Liberty vs North Texas+10.567.5L 7 - 47UN
Sat 9/29 Liberty at New Mexico+7.065.0W 52 - 43OY
Sat 10/6 Liberty at New Mexico State-3.064.0L 41 - 49ON
Sat 10/13 Liberty vs Troy+12.062.5W 22 - 16UY
Sat 10/20 Liberty vs Idaho State-7.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/3 Liberty at Massachusetts-1.566.0L 59 - 62ON
Sat 11/10 Liberty at Virginia+24.058.0L 24 - 45OY
Sat 11/17 Liberty at Auburn+29.563.5L 0 - 53UN
Sat 11/24 Liberty vs New Mexico State-7.072.5W 28 - 21UN
Sat 12/1 Liberty vs Norfolk State-30.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Liberty's Schedule
Auburn's 2018 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/1 Auburn vs Washington-1.550.5W 21 - 16UY
Sat 9/8 Auburn vs Alabama State-62.059.5W 63 - 9ON
Sat 9/15 Auburn vs LSU-10.045.5L 21 - 22UN
Sat 9/22 Auburn vs Arkansas-30.057.5W 34 - 3UY
Sat 9/29 Auburn vs Southern Miss-27.051.0W 24 - 13UN
Sat 10/6 Auburn at Mississippi State-3.045.0L 9 - 23UN
Sat 10/13 Auburn vs Tennessee-14.546.0L 24 - 30ON
Sat 10/20 Auburn at Ole Miss-5.064.0W 31 - 16UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/3 Auburn vs Texas A&M-3.547.0W 28 - 24OY
Sat 11/10 Auburn at Georgia+12.552.5L 10 - 27UN
Sat 11/17 Auburn vs Liberty-29.563.5W 53 - 0UY
Sat 11/24 Auburn at Alabama+26.053.0L 21 - 52ON
Fri 12/28 Auburn vs Purdue-3.558.5W 63 - 14OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Auburn's Schedule
Important Stats (2018)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
LIB.1542%33.343%2.7916241%2624.18.2147%36.851%41%438.221.8
AUB.1743%30.944%2.9116741%2223.42.0838%19.238%35%2.4850.111.7
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
LIB#24 (.26)50% (7)54% (2)3.56 (7)23843% (60)1614.21 (43)#24 (.1)39% (39)39% (30)40% (66)3.68 (58)64.41.31.3
AUB#42 (.24)45% (40)48% (21)3.32 (23)16642% (67)2643.42 (110)#21 (.09)38% (20)38% (19)38% (34)3.35 (25)49.31.81.1



Overall Stats 2018
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
LIB Offense1233.331.742.3%4.18223423162262449%51%43%41%16%.15
AUB Defense1319.214.438.2%2.481.7 - - - - - 48%49%38%35%19%.08
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
LIB Defense1236.848.346.7%41.8 - - - - - 49%49%51%41%15%.21
AUB Offense1330.935.343.5%3.421193901672224.348%50%44%41%14%.17

Additional Stats 2018
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Liberty1229:3023.142%60%4.338.221.85.12.2229.6
Auburn1325:5719.137%50%5.650.111.76.92.8532.1
Run Game Stats (2018)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
LIB Offense1249%43%40.7161.9430.082.7976%8%0.91
AUB Defense1348%38% - - - - .012.7564%12%0.93
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
LIB Defense1249%51% - - - - .233.2765%9%1
AUB Offense1348%44%39.4167.54.325.072.9166%10%0.85

Pass Game Stats (2018)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
LIB Offense1251%41%20.437.3261.5712.82118.231.731%35%.368%2
AUB Defense1349%35% - - - - - - 14.151.838%32%.237%1.7
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
LIB Defense1249%41% - - - - - - 12.211.631%33%.266%1.8
AUB Offense1350%41%17.929.4222.57.612.4215.281.629%32%.325%1.9

Liberty's Power Ratings
Liberty's Power Rating: NR
Liberty's Offense Rating: NR
Liberty's Defense Rating: NR
2018 Talent Rating:  #146
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Liberty's 2018 Expected Record: -
Liberty's 2018 Overall SP+ Rating: -19.7  #121
Liberty's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.1  #95
Liberty's Defense SP+ Rating: 41.7  #122

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Liberty:    Auburn: 14.3

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Liberty: -19.7   Auburn: 23.6




Auburn's Power Ratings
Auburn's Power Rating: 14.3 NR
Auburn's Offense Rating: NR
Auburn's Defense Rating: NR
2018 Talent Rating:  #14
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Auburn's 2018 Expected Record: -
Auburn's 2018 Overall SP+ Rating: 23.6  #7
Auburn's Offense SP+ Rating: 36.9  #19
Auburn's Defense SP+ Rating: 14.1  #6

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


Liberty Scoring
Offense: 33.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 31.7
Defense: 36.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 48.3

Liberty's 2018 Record
Record: 6 - 6
Record vs Spread: 5 - 6 - 1
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Auburn 37
Liberty 29


Total Points: 66

Based on Last 4 Games
Auburn 36
Liberty 33

Total Points: 69

Based on Entire Season
Auburn 38
Liberty 25

Total Points: 63
Auburn Scoring
Offense: 30.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 35.3
Defense: 19.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 14.4

Auburn's 2018 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record at home: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 4 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
201811/17Auburn53Liberty0Auburn -29.5Auburn63.5Under
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Auburn110 Overs
Liberty001 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 01 - 01 - 00 - 0
Road Teams0 - 10 - 10 - 00 - 1

(#) LIB at (#) AUB
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatLIBAUB
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #121 #7
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #146 #14
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Liberty on Offense
CategoryCat
LIB OffAUB Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #95 #6
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Liberty Run Game
CategoryCat
LIB OffAUB Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Liberty Pass Game
CategoryCat
LIB OffAUB Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Auburn on Offense
CategoryCatAUB OffLIB Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #19 #122
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Auburn Run Game
CategoryCat
AUB OffLIB Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Auburn Pass Game
CategoryCatAUB OffLIB Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
AUB 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'18 Profile: Down to Title Contenders

LIB 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'18 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Jordan-Hare Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 12
Auburn -29.5 (63.5)
Auburn won vs Liberty this year (53-0)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
LIB's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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LIB's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

AUB's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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AUB's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD