Liberty at New Mexico - 2018 Matchup Preview
Liberty logo Liberty Flames at New Mexico LobosNew Mexico logo
Saturday, September 29th 2018 (6:00 PM EDT)
New Mexico -7 (65.0)
Liberty 52 - New Mexico: 43

 
Flames (6 - 6) (5 - 6 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 33 - 37 (32 - 48 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
UNM coming off BYE
Our Line: -7.5  (SP+ UNM -10)
Projected Score: LIB: 33 - UNM: 38 (71)
UNM Win prob: 70% | Cover: 49%
LIB Travel: 1533 miles, 2 hrs ahead
Lobos (3 - 9) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 27 - 36 (25 - 38 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Liberty's 2018 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/1 Liberty vs Old Dominion+5.059.0W 52 - 10OY
Sat 9/8 Liberty at Army+7.557.0L 14 - 38UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/22 Liberty vs North Texas+10.567.5L 7 - 47UN
Sat 9/29 Liberty at New Mexico+7.065.0W 52 - 43OY
Sat 10/6 Liberty at New Mexico State-3.064.0L 41 - 49ON
Sat 10/13 Liberty vs Troy+12.062.5W 22 - 16UY
Sat 10/20 Liberty vs Idaho State-7.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/3 Liberty at Massachusetts-1.566.0L 59 - 62ON
Sat 11/10 Liberty at Virginia+24.058.0L 24 - 45OY
Sat 11/17 Liberty at Auburn+29.563.5L 0 - 53UN
Sat 11/24 Liberty vs New Mexico State-7.072.5W 28 - 21UN
Sat 12/1 Liberty vs Norfolk State-30.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Liberty's Schedule
New Mexico's 2018 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/1 New Mexico vs Incarnate Word-36.063.5W 62 - 30ON
Sat 9/8 New Mexico at Wisconsin+35.558.0L 14 - 45OY
Sat 9/15 New Mexico at New Mexico State-3.060.5W 42 - 25OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/29 New Mexico vs Liberty-7.065.0L 43 - 52ON
Sat 10/6 New Mexico at UNLV+8.062.5W 50 - 14OY
Sat 10/13 New Mexico at Colorado State-1.563.0L 18 - 20UN
Sat 10/20 New Mexico vs Fresno State+14.052.5L 7 - 38UN
Sat 10/27 New Mexico at Utah State+20.064.0L 19 - 61ON
Sat 11/3 New Mexico vs San Diego State+12.045.5L 23 - 31OY
Sat 11/10 New Mexico at Air Force+14.055.0L 24 - 42ON
Fri 11/16 New Mexico vs Boise State+21.061.0L 14 - 45UN
Sat 11/24 New Mexico vs Wyoming+7.043.0L 3 - 31UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for New Mexico's Schedule
Important Stats (2018)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
LIB.1542%33.343%2.7916241%2624.18.2147%36.851%41%438.221.8
UNM.1142%26.644%2.6915336%1784.02.2847%36.249%42%3.8148.72.21.8
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
LIB#24 (.26)50% (7)54% (2)3.56 (7)23843% (60)1614.21 (43)#24 (.1)39% (39)39% (30)40% (66)3.68 (58)64.41.31.3
UNM#14 (.31)49% (10)53% (3)3.81 (1)25444% (40)2313.83 (79)#132 (.34)50% (132)50% (125)51% (131)4.64 (128)81.51.60.8



Overall Stats 2018
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
LIB Offense1233.331.742.3%4.18223423162262449%51%43%41%16%.15
UNM Defense1236.237.846.7%3.811.8 - - - - - 54%44%49%42%14%.28
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
LIB Defense1236.848.346.7%41.8 - - - - - 49%49%51%41%15%.21
UNM Offense1226.625.341.6%4.022.2183311531783.761%38%44%36%18%.11

Additional Stats 2018
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Liberty1229:3023.142%60%4.338.221.85.12.2229.6
New Mexico1227:2917.537%33%4.848.72.21.85.52.2229.7
Run Game Stats (2018)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
LIB Offense1249%43%40.7161.9430.082.7976%8%0.91
UNM Defense1254%49% - - - - .223.3175%9%1
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
LIB Defense1249%51% - - - - .233.2765%9%1
UNM Offense1261%44%42153.23.717.042.6974%12%0.82

Pass Game Stats (2018)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
LIB Offense1251%41%20.437.3261.5712.82118.231.731%35%.368%2
UNM Defense1244%42% - - - - - - 9.381.929%38%.485%2
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
LIB Defense1249%41% - - - - - - 12.211.631%33%.266%1.8
UNM Offense1238%36%12.824178.17.4142117.21230%30%.366%2.3

Liberty's Power Ratings
Liberty's Power Rating: NR
Liberty's Offense Rating: NR
Liberty's Defense Rating: NR
2018 Talent Rating:  #146
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Liberty's 2018 Expected Record: -
Liberty's 2018 Overall SP+ Rating: -19.7  #121
Liberty's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.1  #95
Liberty's Defense SP+ Rating: 41.7  #122

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Liberty:    New Mexico: -2.25

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Liberty: -19.7   New Mexico: -9.5




New Mexico's Power Ratings
New Mexico's Power Rating: -2.25 NR
New Mexico's Offense Rating: NR
New Mexico's Defense Rating: NR
2018 Talent Rating:  #93
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
New Mexico's 2018 Expected Record: -
New Mexico's 2018 Overall SP+ Rating: -9.5  #99
New Mexico's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.8  #106
New Mexico's Defense SP+ Rating: 35.7  #109

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


Liberty Scoring
Offense: 33.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 31.7
Defense: 36.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 48.3

Liberty's 2018 Record
Record: 6 - 6
Record vs Spread: 5 - 6 - 1
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
New Mexico 38
Liberty 33

Total Points: 71

Based on Last 4 Games
New Mexico 43
Liberty 31

Total Points: 74

Based on Entire Season
Liberty 35
New Mexico 34

Total Points: 69
New Mexico Scoring
Offense: 26.6 PPG
Offense at Home: 25.3
Defense: 36.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 37.8

New Mexico's 2018 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 4
Record at home: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
201909/28Liberty17New Mexico10Liberty -7.5New Mexico72.0Under
201809/29New Mexico43Liberty52New Mexico -7Liberty65.0Over
TeamWinsCoversO/U
New Mexico011 Overs
Liberty211 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 10 - 20 - 20 - 0
Road Teams1 - 12 - 00 - 02 - 0

(#) LIB at (#) UNM
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatLIBUNM
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #121 #99
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #146 #93
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Liberty on Offense
CategoryCat
LIB OffUNM Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #95 #109
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Liberty Run Game
CategoryCat
LIB OffUNM Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Liberty Pass Game
CategoryCat
LIB OffUNM Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
New Mexico on Offense
CategoryCatUNM OffLIB Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #106 #122
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
New Mexico Run Game
CategoryCat
UNM OffLIB Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
New Mexico Pass Game
CategoryCatUNM OffLIB Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
UNM 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'18 Profile: Down to Average G5

LIB 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'18 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in University Stadium
Conditions: Fair
Temp: 83°
Rematch from Week 5
New Mexico -7.0 (65.0)
Liberty won at New Mexico this year (52-43)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
LIB's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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LIB's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

UNM's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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UNM's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD