Liberty at New Mexico - 2018 Matchup Preview

Liberty Flames at New Mexico Lobos

Saturday, September 29th 2018 (6:00 PM EDT)
New Mexico -7 (65.0)
Liberty 52 - New Mexico: 43

Flames (6 - 6) (5 - 6 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 26 - 27 (20 - 26 on Road)
'18 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

UNM coming off BYE
Our Line: -7.5 (SP+ UNM -10)
Projected Score: LIB: 22 - UNM: 27 (49)
UNM Win prob: 70% | Cover: 49%
LIB Travel: 1533 miles, 2 hrs ahead

Lobos (3 - 9) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 27 - 22 (28 - 19 @ Home)
'18 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
LIB Players
UNM Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Liberty's 2018 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/1	Liberty vs Old Dominion	+5.0	59.0	W 52 - 10	O	Y
Sat 9/8	Liberty at Army	+7.5	57.0	L 14 - 38	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/22	Liberty vs North Texas	+10.5	67.5	L 7 - 47	U	N
Sat 9/29	Liberty at New Mexico	+7.0	65.0	W 52 - 43	O	Y
Sat 10/6	Liberty at New Mexico State	-3.0	64.0	L 41 - 49	O	N
Sat 10/13	Liberty vs Troy	+12.0	62.5	W 22 - 16	U	Y
Sat 10/20	Liberty vs Idaho State	-7.5
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/3	Liberty at Massachusetts	-1.5	66.0	L 59 - 62	O	N
Sat 11/10	Liberty at Virginia	+24.0	58.0	L 24 - 45	O	Y
Sat 11/17	Liberty at Auburn	+29.5	63.5	L 0 - 53	U	N
Sat 11/24	Liberty vs New Mexico State	-7.0	72.5	W 28 - 21	U	N
Sat 12/1	Liberty vs Norfolk State	-30.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Liberty's Schedule

New Mexico's 2018 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/1	New Mexico vs Incarnate Word	-36.0	63.5	W 62 - 30	O	N
Sat 9/8	New Mexico at Wisconsin	+35.5	58.0	L 14 - 45	O	Y
Sat 9/15	New Mexico at New Mexico State	-3.0	60.5	W 42 - 25	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/29	New Mexico vs Liberty	-7.0	65.0	L 43 - 52	O	N
Sat 10/6	New Mexico at UNLV	+8.0	62.5	W 50 - 14	O	Y
Sat 10/13	New Mexico at Colorado State	-1.5	63.0	L 18 - 20	U	N
Sat 10/20	New Mexico vs Fresno State	+14.0	52.5	L 7 - 38	U	N
Sat 10/27	New Mexico at Utah State	+20.0	64.0	L 19 - 61	O	N
Sat 11/3	New Mexico vs San Diego State	+12.0	45.5	L 23 - 31	O	Y
Sat 11/10	New Mexico at Air Force	+14.0	55.0	L 24 - 42	O	N
Fri 11/16	New Mexico vs Boise State	+21.0	61.0	L 14 - 45	U	N
Sat 11/24	New Mexico vs Wyoming	+7.0	43.0	L 3 - 31	U	N

Important Stats (2017)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
LIB	.23	47%	25.6	40%	2.1	0	48%	0	4.44	.34	43%	26.5	50%	33%	6.2	0	0	0
UNM	.09	40%	27.1	43%	2.96	235	31%	124	2.77	.25	43%	22.3	40%	43%	4.1	51.1	2.4	1.1

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
LIB		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
UNM		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2017

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
LIB Offense	1	25.6	19.7	46.7%	4.44	0	0	0	0	0	0	40%	56%	40%	48%	18%	.23
UNM Defense	12	22.3	18.7	42.7%	4.1	1.1	-	-	-	-	-	48%	50%	40%	43%	15%	.25

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
LIB Defense	1	26.5	25.7	43.1%	6.2	0	-	-	-	-	-	52%	46%	50%	33%	9%	.34
UNM Offense	12	27.1	28.3	39.9%	2.77	2.4	18	360	235	124	5.2	67%	32%	43%	31%	16%	.09

Additional Stats 2017

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Liberty	1	0:00	0	NAN%	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	28.2
New Mexico	12	32:24	17.6	30%	43%	6.1	51.1	2.4	1.1	4.9	1.8	2	32

Run Game Stats (2018)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
LIB Offense	1	40%	40%	0	0	0	0	-.08	2.1	100%	11%	0.7
UNM Defense	12	48%	40%	-	-	-	-	.11	2.8	76%	10%	1.07

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
LIB Defense	1	52%	50%	-	-	-	-	.43	3.97	75%	3%	1.26
UNM Offense	12	67%	43%	45.2	235.4	5.2	21	.11	2.96	61%	10%	1.07

Pass Game Stats (2018)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
LIB Offense	1	56%	48%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	.48	1.6	34%	47%	.77	7%	2.2
UNM Defense	12	50%	43%	-	-	-	-	-	-	6	.39	1.7	35%	34%	.36	6%	1.9

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
LIB Defense	1	46%	33%	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	.26	2.6	29%	37%	.41	6%	1.7
UNM Offense	12	32%	31%	10	20.2	124.1	6.2	12.4	8	14	.05	1.8	31%	30%	.25	6%	2

Liberty's Power Ratings
Liberty's Power Rating: NR
Liberty's Offense Rating: NR
Liberty's Defense Rating: NR
2018 Talent Rating: #146
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Liberty's 2018 Expected Record: -
Liberty's 2018 Overall SP+ Rating: -19.7 #121
Liberty's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.1 #95
Liberty's Defense SP+ Rating: 41.7 #122

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Liberty: New Mexico: -2.25

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Liberty: -19.7 New Mexico: -9.5

New Mexico's Power Ratings
New Mexico's Power Rating: -2.25 NR
New Mexico's Offense Rating: NR
New Mexico's Defense Rating: NR
2018 Talent Rating: #93
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
New Mexico's 2018 Expected Record: -
New Mexico's 2018 Overall SP+ Rating: -9.5 #99
New Mexico's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.8 #106
New Mexico's Defense SP+ Rating: 35.7 #109

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Liberty Scoring
Offense: 25.6 PPG
Offense on Road: 19.7
Defense: 26.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 25.7

Liberty's 2018 Record
Record: 6 - 6
Record vs Spread: 5 - 6 - 1
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
New Mexico 27
Liberty 22

Projected Total Points: 49

New Mexico Scoring
Offense: 27.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 28.3
Defense: 22.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 18.7

New Mexico's 2018 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 4
Record at home: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2019	09/28	Liberty	17	New Mexico	10	Liberty -7.5	New Mexico	72.0	Under
2018	09/29	New Mexico	43	Liberty	52	New Mexico -7	Liberty	65.0	Over

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
New Mexico	0	1	1 Overs
Liberty	2	1	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	1 - 1	0 - 2	0 - 2	0 - 0
Road Teams	1 - 1	2 - 0	0 - 0	2 - 0

(#) LIB at (#) UNM

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	LIB	UNM
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#121	#99
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#146	#93
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Liberty Injury Report

New Mexico Injury Report

Liberty on Offense


CategoryCat	LIB Off	UNM Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#95	#109
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Liberty Run Game


CategoryCat	LIB Off	UNM Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Liberty Pass Game


CategoryCat	LIB Off	UNM Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

New Mexico on Offense


CategoryCat	UNM Off	LIB Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#106	#122
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

New Mexico Run Game


CategoryCat	UNM Off	LIB Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

New Mexico Pass Game


CategoryCat	UNM Off	LIB Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
UNM 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'18 Profile: Down to Average G5

LIB 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'18 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in University Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 5
New Mexico -7.0 (65.0)
Liberty won at New Mexico this year (52-43)

No Matchups Past 4 Years

LIB's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Liberty's Full Roster

LIB's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

UNM's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View New Mexico's Full Roster

UNM's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD