North Texas at Arkansas - 2018 Matchup Preview

North Texas Mean Green at Arkansas Razorbacks

Saturday, September 15th 2018 (4:00 PM EDT)
Arkansas -5.5 (64.5)
North Texas 44 - Arkansas: 17

Mean Green (9 - 4) (4 - 9 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 35 - 24 (32 - 22 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Our Line: -3.5 (SP+ ARK -2)
Projected Score: UNT: 31 - ARK: 31 (62)
ARK Win prob: 67% | Cover: 51%
UNT Travel: 261 miles

Razorbacks (2 - 10) (5 - 6 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 22 - 35 (30 - 34 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
UNT Players
ARK Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

North Texas's 2018 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/1	North Texas vs SMU	-3.5	70.5	W 46 - 23	U	Y
Sat 9/8	North Texas vs Incarnate Word	-43.5	79.0	W 58 - 16	U	N
Sat 9/15	North Texas at Arkansas	+5.5	64.5	W 44 - 17	U	Y
Sat 9/22	North Texas at Liberty	-10.5	67.5	W 47 - 7	U	Y
Sat 9/29	North Texas vs Louisiana Tech	-7.0	62.5	L 27 - 29	U	N
Sat 10/6	North Texas at UTEP	-26.0	52.5	W 27 - 24	U	N
Sat 10/13	North Texas vs Southern Miss	-7.0	52.5	W 30 - 7	U	Y
Sat 10/20	North Texas at UAB	+1.5	53.0	L 21 - 29	U	N
Sat 10/27	North Texas vs Rice	-30.0	58.0	W 41 - 17	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/10	North Texas at Old Dominion	-14.0	67.0	L 31 - 34	U	N
Thu 11/15	North Texas vs Florida Atlantic	-4.5	63.5	W 41 - 38	O	N
Sat 11/24	North Texas at UTSA	-25.0	51.5	W 24 - 21	U	N
Sat 12/15	North Texas vs Utah State	+7.0	67.5	L 13 - 52	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for North Texas's Schedule

Arkansas's 2018 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/1	Arkansas vs Eastern Illinois	-35.0	58.5	W 55 - 20	O	N
Sat 9/8	Arkansas at Colorado State	-14.0	70.5	L 27 - 34	U	N
Sat 9/15	Arkansas vs North Texas	-5.5	64.5	L 17 - 44	U	N
Sat 9/22	Arkansas at Auburn	+30.0	57.5	L 3 - 34	U	N
Sat 9/29	Arkansas vs Texas A&M	+20.0	56.5	L 17 - 24	U	Y
Sat 10/6	Arkansas vs Alabama	+35.0	58.5	L 31 - 65	O	Y
Sat 10/13	Arkansas vs Ole Miss	+6.5	66.5	L 33 - 37	O	Y
Sat 10/20	Arkansas vs Tulsa	-7.5	52.0	W 23 - 0	U	Y
Sat 10/27	Arkansas vs Vanderbilt	+1.0	51.5	L 31 - 45	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/10	Arkansas vs LSU	+12.5	49.5	L 17 - 24	U	Y
Sat 11/17	Arkansas at Mississippi State	+22.5	49.0	L 6 - 52	O	N
Fri 11/23	Arkansas at Missouri	+24.0	59.0	L 0 - 38	U	N

Important Stats (2018)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
UNT	.19	45%	34.6	43%	2.67	154	45%	307	3.87	.09	40%	24.2	40%	37%	3.11	49.5	1.3	1.7
ARK	.12	40%	21.7	42%	2.86	143	34%	192	3.05	.24	48%	34.8	48%	46%	3.61	50.5	2.2	1.3

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
UNT	#45 (.23)	42% (70)		40% (109)	2.75 (111)	153	44% (39)	298	3.91 (69)	#98 (.22)	44% (98)		47% (106)	42% (79)	4.03 (93)	52.5	1.5	1.1
ARK	#27 (.25)	48% (13)		52% (5)	3.23 (38)	168	44% (41)	248	3.95 (64)	#45 (.13)	42% (66)		39% (32)	44% (100)	3.31 (22)	56.3	1.7	1

Overall Stats 2018

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
UNT Offense	13	34.6	32.3	45.1%	3.87	1.3	25	460	154	307	4.3	43%	55%	43%	45%	16%	.19
ARK Defense	12	34.8	33.6	47.6%	3.61	1.3	-	-	-	-	-	53%	45%	48%	46%	16%	.24

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
UNT Defense	13	24.2	22	39.9%	3.11	1.7	-	-	-	-	-	44%	54%	40%	37%	19%	.09
ARK Offense	12	21.7	29.6	39.7%	3.05	2.2	18	335	143	192	3.9	48%	49%	42%	34%	22%	.12

Additional Stats 2018

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
North Texas	13	31:13	24.6	37%	42%	4.4	49.5	1.3	1.7	7.5	2.6	4	31.3
Arkansas	12	29:43	18.3	31%	36%	5.7	50.5	2.2	1.3	5.7	2.2	0	26.4

Run Game Stats (2018)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
UNT Offense	13	43%	43%	35.4	153.5	4.3	28	.05	2.67	60%	11%	0.93
ARK Defense	12	53%	48%	-	-	-	-	.18	3.24	72%	11%	0.92

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
UNT Defense	13	44%	40%	-	-	-	-	.04	2.48	69%	12%	0.96
ARK Offense	12	48%	42%	36.7	143.3	3.9	11	.1	2.86	75%	13%	0.92

Pass Game Stats (2018)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
UNT Offense	13	55%	45%	24.7	38.8	306.8	7.9	12.4	28	9	.33	1.6	31%	35%	.36	5%	1.9
ARK Defense	12	45%	46%	-	-	-	-	-	-	5	.33	1.5	27%	37%	.44	6%	1.8

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
UNT Defense	13	54%	37%	-	-	-	-	-	-	18	.15	1.7	34%	30%	.23	7%	1.9
ARK Offense	12	49%	34%	16.8	30.8	191.8	6.2	11.4	17	18	.16	1.6	36%	33%	.32	9%	1.7

North Texas's Power Ratings
North Texas's Power Rating: NR
North Texas's Offense Rating: NR
North Texas's Defense Rating: NR
2018 Talent Rating: #107
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
North Texas's 2018 Expected Record: -
North Texas's 2018 Overall SP+ Rating: 2.1 #65
North Texas's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.2 #67
North Texas's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.5 #78

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
North Texas: Arkansas: 4.75

SP+ Ratings Matchup
North Texas: 2.1 Arkansas: 4.5

Arkansas's Power Ratings
Arkansas's Power Rating: 4.75 NR
Arkansas's Offense Rating: NR
Arkansas's Defense Rating: NR
2018 Talent Rating: #27
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Arkansas's 2018 Expected Record: -
Arkansas's 2018 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.5 #53
Arkansas's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.7 #61
Arkansas's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.7 #49

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

North Texas Scoring
Offense: 34.6 PPG
Offense on Road: 32.3
Defense: 24.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 22

North Texas's 2018 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 4 - 9 - 0
Over/Under Record: 1 - 12
Record on Road: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
North Texas 31
Arkansas 31

Total Points: 62

Based on Last 4 Games
Arkansas 38
North Texas 29

Total Points: 67

Based on Entire Season
North Texas 34
Arkansas 24

Total Points: 58

Arkansas Scoring
Offense: 21.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 29.6
Defense: 34.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 33.6

Arkansas's 2018 Record
Record: 2 - 10
Record vs Spread: 5 - 6 - 1
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record at home: 2 - 5
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 1
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 1

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2018	09/15	Arkansas	17	North Texas	44	Arkansas -5.5	North Texas	64.5	Under
2007	09/29	Arkansas	66	North Texas	7
2003	09/20	Arkansas	31	North Texas	7

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Arkansas	2	0	0 Overs
North Texas	1	1	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	2 - 1	0 - 1	0 - 1	0 - 0
Road Teams	1 - 2	1 - 0	0 - 0	1 - 0

(#) UNT at (#) ARK

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	UNT	ARK
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#65	#53
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#107	#27
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

North Texas Injury Report

Arkansas Injury Report

North Texas on Offense


CategoryCat	UNT Off	ARK Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#67	#49
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

North Texas Run Game


CategoryCat	UNT Off	ARK Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

North Texas Pass Game


CategoryCat	UNT Off	ARK Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Arkansas on Offense


CategoryCat	ARK Off	UNT Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#61	#78
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Arkansas Run Game


CategoryCat	ARK Off	UNT Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Arkansas Pass Game


CategoryCat	ARK Off	UNT Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
ARK 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'18 Profile: Down to Below Avg P4

UNT 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'18 Profile: Down to Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Razorback Stadium Frank Broyles Field
Conditions:
Temp: 89° - Wind: 6 mph

Rematch from Week 3
Arkansas -5.5 (64.5)
North Texas won at Arkansas this year (44-17)

No Matchups Past 4 Years

UNT's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View North Texas's Full Roster

UNT's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

ARK's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Arkansas's Full Roster

ARK's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD