Florida Atlantic at North Texas - 2018 Matchup Preview

Florida Atlantic Owls at North Texas Mean Green

Thursday, November 15th 2018 (9:30 PM EST)
North Texas -4.5 (63.5)
North Texas 41 - Florida Atlantic: 38 (Conference USA)

Owls (5 - 7) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 31 - 32 (28 - 38 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

FAU is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: -4 (SP+ UNT -3)
Projected Score: FAU: 24 - UNT: 32 (56)
UNT Win prob: 64% | Cover: 49%
FAU Travel: 1124 miles, 1 hrs ahead

Mean Green (9 - 4) (4 - 9 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 35 - 24 (41 - 22 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
FAU Players
UNT Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Florida Atlantic's 2018 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/1	Florida Atlantic at Oklahoma	+18.5	67.0	L 14 - 63	O	N
Sat 9/8	Florida Atlantic vs Air Force	-8.0	61.0	W 33 - 26	U	N
Sat 9/15	Florida Atlantic vs Bethune-Cookman	-41.0
Fri 9/21	Florida Atlantic at UCF	+14.0	74.5	L 36 - 56	O	N
Sat 9/29	Florida Atlantic at Middle Tennessee	-2.5	63.5	L 24 - 25	U	N
Sat 10/6	Florida Atlantic vs Old Dominion	-13.5	63.5	W 52 - 33	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/20	Florida Atlantic at Marshall	-2.5	59.5	L 7 - 31	U	N
Fri 10/26	Florida Atlantic vs Louisiana Tech	-3.5	58.5	L 13 - 21	U	N
Sat 11/3	Florida Atlantic at Florida International	+2.0	59.5	W 49 - 14	O	Y
Sat 11/10	Florida Atlantic vs Western Kentucky	-17.5	59.5	W 34 - 15	U	Y
Thu 11/15	Florida Atlantic at North Texas	+4.5	63.5	L 38 - 41	O	Y
Sat 11/24	Florida Atlantic vs Charlotte	-16.5	54.5	L 24 - 27	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Florida Atlantic's Schedule

North Texas's 2018 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/1	North Texas vs SMU	-3.5	70.5	W 46 - 23	U	Y
Sat 9/8	North Texas vs Incarnate Word	-43.5	79.0	W 58 - 16	U	N
Sat 9/15	North Texas at Arkansas	+5.5	64.5	W 44 - 17	U	Y
Sat 9/22	North Texas at Liberty	-10.5	67.5	W 47 - 7	U	Y
Sat 9/29	North Texas vs Louisiana Tech	-7.0	62.5	L 27 - 29	U	N
Sat 10/6	North Texas at UTEP	-26.0	52.5	W 27 - 24	U	N
Sat 10/13	North Texas vs Southern Miss	-7.0	52.5	W 30 - 7	U	Y
Sat 10/20	North Texas at UAB	+1.5	53.0	L 21 - 29	U	N
Sat 10/27	North Texas vs Rice	-30.0	58.0	W 41 - 17	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/10	North Texas at Old Dominion	-14.0	67.0	L 31 - 34	U	N
Thu 11/15	North Texas vs Florida Atlantic	-4.5	63.5	W 41 - 38	O	N
Sat 11/24	North Texas at UTSA	-25.0	51.5	W 24 - 21	U	N
Sat 12/15	North Texas vs Utah State	+7.0	67.5	L 13 - 52	U	N

Important Stats (2018)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
FAU	.22	44%	31.1	45%	2.88	242	41%	237	3.99	.16	43%	31.7	40%	45%	3.92	62.8	1.8	1.3
UNT	.19	45%	34.6	43%	2.67	154	45%	307	3.87	.09	40%	24.2	40%	37%	3.11	49.5	1.3	1.7

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
FAU	#80 (.17)	39% (108)		40% (107)	3.15 (48)	189	39% (99)	209	3.19 (122)	#90 (.21)	41% (54)		43% (72)	38% (39)	3.72 (62)	51.6	1.5	1.6
UNT	#45 (.23)	42% (70)		40% (109)	2.75 (111)	153	44% (39)	298	3.91 (69)	#98 (.22)	44% (98)		47% (106)	42% (79)	4.03 (93)	52.5	1.5	1.1

Overall Stats 2018

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
FAU Offense	12	31.1	28	44.3%	3.99	1.8	24	479	242	237	5.1	59%	40%	45%	41%	17%	.22
UNT Defense	13	24.2	21.7	39.9%	3.11	1.7	-	-	-	-	-	44%	54%	40%	37%	19%	.09

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
FAU Defense	12	31.7	38.3	42.5%	3.92	1.3	-	-	-	-	-	51%	48%	40%	45%	15%	.16
UNT Offense	13	34.6	40.5	45.1%	3.87	1.3	25	460	154	307	4.3	43%	55%	43%	45%	16%	.19

Additional Stats 2018

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Florida Atlantic	12	29:23	23.9	33%	55%	6.6	62.8	1.8	1.3	5.8	2	1	28.4
North Texas	13	31:13	24.6	37%	42%	4.4	49.5	1.3	1.7	7.5	2.6	4	31.3

Run Game Stats (2018)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
FAU Offense	12	59%	45%	47.2	241.8	5.1	35	.21	2.88	69%	11%	1.14
UNT Defense	13	44%	40%	-	-	-	-	.04	2.48	69%	12%	0.96

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
FAU Defense	12	51%	40%	-	-	-	-	.05	2.74	67%	9%	1.01
UNT Offense	13	43%	43%	35.4	153.5	4.3	28	.05	2.67	60%	11%	0.93

Pass Game Stats (2018)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
FAU Offense	12	40%	41%	18.8	30.3	237	7.8	12.6	14	15	.25	1.7	32%	30%	.24	6%	2
UNT Defense	13	54%	37%	-	-	-	-	-	-	18	.15	1.7	34%	30%	.23	7%	1.9

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
FAU Defense	12	48%	45%	-	-	-	-	-	-	11	.29	1.5	32%	30%	.25	5%	2
UNT Offense	13	55%	45%	24.7	38.8	306.8	7.9	12.4	28	9	.33	1.6	31%	35%	.36	5%	1.9

Florida Atlantic's Power Ratings
Florida Atlantic's Power Rating: NR
Florida Atlantic's Offense Rating: NR
Florida Atlantic's Defense Rating: NR
2018 Talent Rating: #67
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Florida Atlantic's 2018 Expected Record: -
Florida Atlantic's 2018 Overall SP+ Rating: -0.8 #81
Florida Atlantic's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.8 #49
Florida Atlantic's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.9 #82

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Florida Atlantic: North Texas: 3.55

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Florida Atlantic: -0.8 North Texas: 2.1

North Texas's Power Ratings
North Texas's Power Rating: 3.55 NR
North Texas's Offense Rating: NR
North Texas's Defense Rating: NR
2018 Talent Rating: #107
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
North Texas's 2018 Expected Record: -
North Texas's 2018 Overall SP+ Rating: 2.1 #65
North Texas's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.2 #67
North Texas's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.5 #78

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Florida Atlantic Scoring
Offense: 31.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 28
Defense: 31.7 PPG
Defense on Road: 38.3

Florida Atlantic's 2018 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
North Texas 32
Florida Atlantic 24

Total Points: 56

Based on Last 4 Games
North Texas 27
Florida Atlantic 22

Total Points: 49

Based on Entire Season
North Texas 36
Florida Atlantic 26

Total Points: 62

North Texas Scoring
Offense: 34.6 PPG
Offense at Home: 40.5
Defense: 24.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 21.7

North Texas's 2018 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 4 - 9 - 0
Over/Under Record: 1 - 12
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 7 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	10/12	Florida Atlantic	37	North Texas	41	North Texas -5.5	Florida Atlantic	58.5	Over
2022	10/01	North Texas	45	Florida Atlantic	28	Florida Atlantic -3	North Texas	67.5	Over
2018	11/15	North Texas	41	Florida Atlantic	38	North Texas -4.5	Florida Atlantic	63.5	Over
2017	12/02	Florida Atlantic	41	North Texas	17	Florida Atlantic -12	Florida Atlantic	71.5	Under
2017	10/21	Florida Atlantic	69	North Texas	31	Florida Atlantic -3.5	Florida Atlantic	66.5	Over
2014	11/08	North Texas	31	Florida Atlantic	10	Florida Atlantic -3.5	North Texas	0
2012	09/29	Florida Atlantic	14	North Texas	20
2011	10/08	North Texas	31	Florida Atlantic	17
2010	09/25	Florida Atlantic	17	North Texas	21
2009	10/17	North Texas	40	Florida Atlantic	44
2008	11/08	Florida Atlantic	46	North Texas	13
2007	09/22	North Texas	20	Florida Atlantic	30
2006	11/18	North Texas	16	Florida Atlantic	17
2005	11/12	Florida Atlantic	26	North Texas	23
2004	09/11	North Texas	13	Florida Atlantic	20

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
North Texas	7	2	4 Overs
Florida Atlantic	8	4	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	8 - 7	5 - 1	2 - 1	3 - 0
Road Teams	7 - 8	1 - 5	0 - 3	1 - 2

(#) FAU at (#) UNT

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	FAU	UNT
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#81	#65
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#67	#107
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Florida Atlantic Injury Report

North Texas Injury Report

Florida Atlantic on Offense


CategoryCat	FAU Off	UNT Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#49	#78
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Florida Atlantic Run Game


CategoryCat	FAU Off	UNT Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Florida Atlantic Pass Game


CategoryCat	FAU Off	UNT Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

North Texas on Offense


CategoryCat	UNT Off	FAU Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#67	#82
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

North Texas Run Game


CategoryCat	UNT Off	FAU Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

North Texas Pass Game


CategoryCat	UNT Off	FAU Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
UNT 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'18 Profile: Down to Top G5

FAU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'18 Profile: Down to Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Apogee Stadium
Conditions: Fair
Temp: 51° - Wind: 9 mph

Rematch from Week 12
North Texas -4.5 (63.5)
North Texas won vs Florida Atlantic this year (41-38)

Previous Matchups
North Texas beat Florida Atlantic last year (41-37)
North Texas beat Florida Atlantic in 2022 (45-28)

FAU's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Florida Atlantic's Full Roster

FAU's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

UNT's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View North Texas's Full Roster

UNT's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD