Troy at Liberty - 2018 Matchup Preview
Troy logo Troy Trojans at Liberty FlamesLiberty logo
Saturday, October 13th 2018 (2:00 PM EDT)
Troy -12 (62.5)
Liberty 22 - Troy: 16

 
Trojans (10 - 3) (9 - 3 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 31 - 22 (26 - 21 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
LIB is playing their 4th straight game
TROY is playing their 7th straight game
Our Line: -8.5  (SP+ TROY -22.5)
Projected Score: TROY: 35 - LIB: 24 (59)
TROY Win prob: 79% | Cover: 45%
TROY Travel: 544 miles, 1 hrs behind
Flames (6 - 6) (5 - 6 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 33 - 37 (35 - 25 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Troy's 2018 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/1 Troy vs Boise State+9.048.5L 20 - 56ON
Sat 9/8 Troy vs Florida A&M-34.559.5W 59 - 7OY
Sat 9/15 Troy at Nebraska+13.055.0W 24 - 19UY
Sat 9/22 Troy at UL Monroe-4.559.0W 35 - 27OY
Sat 9/29 Troy vs Coastal Carolina-13.557.5W 45 - 21OY
Thu 10/4 Troy vs Georgia State-17.055.5W 37 - 20ON
Sat 10/13 Troy at Liberty-12.062.5L 16 - 22UN
BYE WEEK
Tue 10/23 Troy at South Alabama-11.052.5W 38 - 17OY
Sat 11/3 Troy vs Louisiana-7.564.5W 26 - 16UY
Sat 11/10 Troy at Georgia Southern-2.044.5W 35 - 21OY
Sat 11/17 Troy vs Texas State-23.047.5W 12 - 7UN
Sat 11/24 Troy at App State+12.045.0L 10 - 21UY
Sat 12/22 Troy vs Buffalo+2.050.5W 42 - 32OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Troy's Schedule
Liberty's 2018 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/1 Liberty vs Old Dominion+5.059.0W 52 - 10OY
Sat 9/8 Liberty at Army+7.557.0L 14 - 38UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/22 Liberty vs North Texas+10.567.5L 7 - 47UN
Sat 9/29 Liberty at New Mexico+7.065.0W 52 - 43OY
Sat 10/6 Liberty at New Mexico State-3.064.0L 41 - 49ON
Sat 10/13 Liberty vs Troy+12.062.5W 22 - 16UY
Sat 10/20 Liberty vs Idaho State-7.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/3 Liberty at Massachusetts-1.566.0L 59 - 62ON
Sat 11/10 Liberty at Virginia+24.058.0L 24 - 45OY
Sat 11/17 Liberty at Auburn+29.563.5L 0 - 53UN
Sat 11/24 Liberty vs New Mexico State-7.072.5W 28 - 21UN
Sat 12/1 Liberty vs Norfolk State-30.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Liberty's Schedule
Important Stats (2018)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TROY.1842%30.738%2.7117542%2153.56.1241%2240%41%3.4555.91.62.3
LIB.1542%33.343%2.7916241%2624.18.2147%36.851%41%438.221.8
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TROY#50 (.22)44% (49)42% (94)2.88 (95)15748% (15)2134.43 (22)#77 (.18)43% (87)45% (87)42% (76)3.77 (65)58.81.30.7
LIB#24 (.26)50% (7)54% (2)3.56 (7)23843% (60)1614.21 (43)#24 (.1)39% (39)39% (30)40% (66)3.68 (58)64.41.31.3



Overall Stats 2018
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TROY Offense1330.726.341.6%3.561.6193901752154.752%46%38%42%16%.18
LIB Defense1236.825.346.7%41.8 - - - - - 49%49%51%41%15%.21
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TROY Defense132221.240.9%3.452.3 - - - - - 53%46%40%41%20%.12
LIB Offense1233.334.842.3%4.18223423162262449%51%43%41%16%.15

Additional Stats 2018
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Troy1330:0219.138%48%755.91.62.37.73331.7
Liberty1229:3023.142%60%4.338.221.85.12.2229.6
Run Game Stats (2018)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TROY Offense1352%38%37.2174.54.721.122.7179%10%1.1
LIB Defense1249%51% - - - - .233.2765%9%1
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TROY Defense1353%40% - - - - -.012.5867%14%0.85
LIB Offense1249%43%40.7161.9430.082.7976%8%0.91

Pass Game Stats (2018)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TROY Offense1346%42%19.128.7215.37.511.3258.271.533%26%.235%2.1
LIB Defense1249%41% - - - - - - 12.211.631%33%.266%1.8
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TROY Defense1346%41% - - - - - - 18.291.734%33%.357%1.9
LIB Offense1251%41%20.437.3261.5712.82118.231.731%35%.368%2

Troy's Power Ratings
Troy's Power Rating: NR
Troy's Offense Rating: NR
Troy's Defense Rating: NR
2018 Talent Rating:  #113
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Troy's 2018 Expected Record: -
Troy's 2018 Overall SP+ Rating: 2.6  #62
Troy's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.4  #89
Troy's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.6  #48

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Troy:    Liberty: -7.35

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Troy: 2.6   Liberty: -19.7




Liberty's Power Ratings
Liberty's Power Rating: -7.35 NR
Liberty's Offense Rating: NR
Liberty's Defense Rating: NR
2018 Talent Rating:  #146
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Liberty's 2018 Expected Record: -
Liberty's 2018 Overall SP+ Rating: -19.7  #121
Liberty's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.1  #95
Liberty's Defense SP+ Rating: 41.7  #122

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


Troy Scoring
Offense: 30.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 26.3
Defense: 22 PPG
Defense on Road: 21.2

Troy's 2018 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 9 - 3 - 1
Over/Under Record: 8 - 5
Record on Road: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 5 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 2 - 1
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Troy 35
Liberty 24

Total Points: 59

Based on Last 4 Games
Troy 39
Liberty 20

Total Points: 59

Based on Entire Season
Troy 30
Liberty 28

Total Points: 58
Liberty Scoring
Offense: 33.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 34.8
Defense: 36.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 25.3

Liberty's 2018 Record
Record: 6 - 6
Record vs Spread: 5 - 6 - 1
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 2 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202109/11Troy13Liberty21Liberty -3Liberty62.5Under
201810/13Liberty22Troy16Troy -12Liberty62.5Under
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Liberty220 Overs
Troy002 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 11 - 10 - 01 - 1
Road Teams1 - 11 - 11 - 10 - 0

(#) TROY at (#) LIB
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatTROYLIB
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #62 #121
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #113 #146
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Troy on Offense
CategoryCat
TROY OffLIB Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #89 #122
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Troy Run Game
CategoryCat
TROY OffLIB Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Troy Pass Game
CategoryCat
TROY OffLIB Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Liberty on Offense
CategoryCatLIB OffTROY Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #95 #48
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Liberty Run Game
CategoryCat
LIB OffTROY Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Liberty Pass Game
CategoryCatLIB OffTROY Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
LIB 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'18 Profile: Remains Poor G5

TROY 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'18 Profile: Down to Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Williams Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 62° - Wind: 7 mph
Rematch from Week 7
Troy 12.0 (62.5)
Liberty won vs Troy this year (22-16)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
TROY's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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TROY's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

LIB's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Liberty's Full Roster

LIB's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD