Troy at Liberty - 2018 Matchup Preview

Troy Trojans at Liberty Flames

Saturday, October 13th 2018 (2:00 PM EDT)
Troy -12 (62.5)
Liberty 22 - Troy: 16

Trojans (10 - 3) (9 - 3 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 24 - 24 (23 - 26 on Road)
'18 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

LIB is playing their 4th straight game
TROY is playing their 7th straight game
Our Line: -8.5 (SP+ TROY -22.5)
Projected Score: TROY: 25 - LIB: 27 (52)
TROY Win prob: 79% | Cover: 45%
TROY Travel: 544 miles, 1 hrs behind

Flames (6 - 6) (5 - 6 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 26 - 27 (32 - 27 @ Home)
'18 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
TROY Players
LIB Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Troy's 2018 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/1	Troy vs Boise State	+9.0	48.5	L 20 - 56	O	N
Sat 9/8	Troy vs Florida A&M	-34.5	59.5	W 59 - 7	O	Y
Sat 9/15	Troy at Nebraska	+13.0	55.0	W 24 - 19	U	Y
Sat 9/22	Troy at UL Monroe	-4.5	59.0	W 35 - 27	O	Y
Sat 9/29	Troy vs Coastal Carolina	-13.5	57.5	W 45 - 21	O	Y
Thu 10/4	Troy vs Georgia State	-17.0	55.5	W 37 - 20	O	N
Sat 10/13	Troy at Liberty	-12.0	62.5	L 16 - 22	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Tue 10/23	Troy at South Alabama	-11.0	52.5	W 38 - 17	O	Y
Sat 11/3	Troy vs Louisiana	-7.5	64.5	W 26 - 16	U	Y
Sat 11/10	Troy at Georgia Southern	-2.0	44.5	W 35 - 21	O	Y
Sat 11/17	Troy vs Texas State	-23.0	47.5	W 12 - 7	U	N
Sat 11/24	Troy at App State	+12.0	45.0	L 10 - 21	U	Y
Sat 12/22	Troy vs Buffalo	+2.0	50.5	W 42 - 32	O	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Troy's Schedule

Liberty's 2018 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/1	Liberty vs Old Dominion	+5.0	59.0	W 52 - 10	O	Y
Sat 9/8	Liberty at Army	+7.5	57.0	L 14 - 38	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/22	Liberty vs North Texas	+10.5	67.5	L 7 - 47	U	N
Sat 9/29	Liberty at New Mexico	+7.0	65.0	W 52 - 43	O	Y
Sat 10/6	Liberty at New Mexico State	-3.0	64.0	L 41 - 49	O	N
Sat 10/13	Liberty vs Troy	+12.0	62.5	W 22 - 16	U	Y
Sat 10/20	Liberty vs Idaho State	-7.5
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/3	Liberty at Massachusetts	-1.5	66.0	L 59 - 62	O	N
Sat 11/10	Liberty at Virginia	+24.0	58.0	L 24 - 45	O	Y
Sat 11/17	Liberty at Auburn	+29.5	63.5	L 0 - 53	U	N
Sat 11/24	Liberty vs New Mexico State	-7.0	72.5	W 28 - 21	U	N
Sat 12/1	Liberty vs Norfolk State	-30.5

Important Stats (2017)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
TROY	.18	45%	23.5	44%	2.64	149	44%	270	3.41	.01	38%	23.9	36%	39%	2.42	57.1	1.5	1.9
LIB	.23	47%	25.6	40%	2.1	0	48%	0	4.44	.34	43%	26.5	50%	33%	6.2	0	0	0

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
TROY		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
LIB		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2017

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
TROY Offense	13	23.5	23.4	44.5%	3.41	1.5	20	419	149	270	4.7	44%	55%	44%	44%	14%	.18
LIB Defense	1	26.5	27.3	43.1%	6.2	0	-	-	-	-	-	52%	46%	50%	33%	9%	.34

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
TROY Defense	13	23.9	25.9	38.3%	2.42	1.9	-	-	-	-	-	49%	50%	36%	39%	21%	.01
LIB Offense	1	25.6	31.5	46.7%	4.44	0	0	0	0	0	0	40%	56%	40%	48%	18%	.23

Additional Stats 2017

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Troy	13	27:35	20.3	43%	63%	6.9	57.1	1.5	1.9	8.6	3.2	4	32.6
Liberty	1	0:00	0	NAN%	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	28.2

Run Game Stats (2018)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
TROY Offense	13	44%	44%	31.7	149	4.7	30	.09	2.64	73%	8%	1
LIB Defense	1	52%	50%	-	-	-	-	.43	3.97	75%	3%	1.26

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
TROY Defense	13	49%	36%	-	-	-	-	-.08	2.35	65%	14%	0.85
LIB Offense	1	40%	40%	0	0	0	0	-.08	2.1	100%	11%	0.7

Pass Game Stats (2018)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
TROY Offense	13	55%	44%	22.5	35.4	269.6	7.6	12	19	7	.27	1.5	32%	33%	.25	6%	1.9
LIB Defense	1	46%	33%	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	.26	2.6	29%	37%	.41	6%	1.7

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
TROY Defense	13	50%	39%	-	-	-	-	-	-	17	.09	1.6	37%	30%	.21	7%	1.8
LIB Offense	1	56%	48%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	.48	1.6	34%	47%	.77	7%	2.2

Troy's Power Ratings
Troy's Power Rating: NR
Troy's Offense Rating: NR
Troy's Defense Rating: NR
2018 Talent Rating: #113
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Troy's 2018 Expected Record: -
Troy's 2018 Overall SP+ Rating: 2.6 #62
Troy's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.4 #89
Troy's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.6 #48

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Troy: Liberty: -7.35

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Troy: 2.6 Liberty: -19.7

Liberty's Power Ratings
Liberty's Power Rating: -7.35 NR
Liberty's Offense Rating: NR
Liberty's Defense Rating: NR
2018 Talent Rating: #146
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Liberty's 2018 Expected Record: -
Liberty's 2018 Overall SP+ Rating: -19.7 #121
Liberty's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.1 #95
Liberty's Defense SP+ Rating: 41.7 #122

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Troy Scoring
Offense: 23.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 23.4
Defense: 23.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 25.9

Troy's 2018 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 9 - 3 - 1
Over/Under Record: 8 - 5
Record on Road: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 5 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 2 - 1
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Liberty 27
Troy 25

Projected Total Points: 52

Liberty Scoring
Offense: 25.6 PPG
Offense at Home: 31.5
Defense: 26.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 27.3

Liberty's 2018 Record
Record: 6 - 6
Record vs Spread: 5 - 6 - 1
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 2 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2021	09/11	Troy	13	Liberty	21	Liberty -3	Liberty	62.5	Under
2018	10/13	Liberty	22	Troy	16	Troy -12	Liberty	62.5	Under

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Liberty	2	2	0 Overs
Troy	0	0	2 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	1 - 1	1 - 1	0 - 0	1 - 1
Road Teams	1 - 1	1 - 1	1 - 1	0 - 0

(#) TROY at (#) LIB

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	TROY	LIB
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#62	#121
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#113	#146
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Troy Injury Report

Liberty Injury Report

Troy on Offense


CategoryCat	TROY Off	LIB Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#89	#122
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Troy Run Game


CategoryCat	TROY Off	LIB Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Troy Pass Game


CategoryCat	TROY Off	LIB Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Liberty on Offense


CategoryCat	LIB Off	TROY Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#95	#48
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Liberty Run Game


CategoryCat	LIB Off	TROY Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Liberty Pass Game


CategoryCat	LIB Off	TROY Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
LIB 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'18 Profile: Remains Poor G5

TROY 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'18 Profile: Down to Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Williams Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 7
Troy 12.0 (62.5)
Liberty won vs Troy this year (22-16)

No Matchups Past 4 Years

TROY's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Troy's Full Roster

TROY's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

LIB's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Liberty's Full Roster

LIB's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD