Liberty at Army - 2018 Matchup Preview
Liberty logo Liberty Flames at Army Black KnightsArmy logo
Saturday, September 8th 2018 (12:00 PM EDT)
Army -7.5 (57.0)
Army 38 - Liberty: 14

 
Flames (6 - 6) (5 - 6 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 33 - 37 (32 - 48 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Our Line: -11.5  (SP+ ARMY -18)
Projected Score: LIB: 23 - ARMY: 31 (54)
ARMY Win prob: 73% | Cover: 49%
LIB Travel: 394 miles
Black Knights (11 - 2) (7 - 4 - 2)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 33 - 18 (29 - 18 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Liberty's 2018 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/1 Liberty vs Old Dominion+5.059.0W 52 - 10OY
Sat 9/8 Liberty at Army+7.557.0L 14 - 38UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/22 Liberty vs North Texas+10.567.5L 7 - 47UN
Sat 9/29 Liberty at New Mexico+7.065.0W 52 - 43OY
Sat 10/6 Liberty at New Mexico State-3.064.0L 41 - 49ON
Sat 10/13 Liberty vs Troy+12.062.5W 22 - 16UY
Sat 10/20 Liberty vs Idaho State-7.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/3 Liberty at Massachusetts-1.566.0L 59 - 62ON
Sat 11/10 Liberty at Virginia+24.058.0L 24 - 45OY
Sat 11/17 Liberty at Auburn+29.563.5L 0 - 53UN
Sat 11/24 Liberty vs New Mexico State-7.072.5W 28 - 21UN
Sat 12/1 Liberty vs Norfolk State-30.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Liberty's Schedule
Army's 2018 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/31 Army at Duke+14.046.5L 14 - 34ON
Sat 9/8 Army vs Liberty-7.557.0W 38 - 14UY
Sat 9/15 Army vs Hawai'i-7.062.5W 28 - 21UN
Sat 9/22 Army at Oklahoma+30.059.5L 21 - 28UY
Sat 9/29 Army at Buffalo+7.554.5W 42 - 13OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/13 Army vs San José State-17.550.5W 52 - 3OY
Sat 10/20 Army vs Miami (OH)-6.546.5W 31 - 30ON
Sat 10/27 Army at Eastern Michigan-1.547.5W 37 - 22OY
Sat 11/3 Army vs Air Force-4.541.5W 17 - 14UN
Sat 11/10 Army vs Lafayette-46.053.5W 31 - 13UN
Sat 11/17 Army vs Colgate-10.037.0W 28 - 14OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 12/8 Army vs Navy-7.038.5W 17 - 10UN
Sat 12/22 Army vs Houston-6.556.0W 70 - 14OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Army's Schedule
Important Stats (2018)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
LIB.1542%33.343%2.7916241%2624.18.2147%36.851%41%438.221.8
ARMY.2747%32.847%3.1831243%804.96.1542%17.743%40%3.148.20.51.4
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
LIB#24 (.26)50% (7)54% (2)3.56 (7)23843% (60)1614.21 (43)#24 (.1)39% (39)39% (30)40% (66)3.68 (58)64.41.31.3
ARMY#10 (.32)51% (6)52% (7)3.57 (5)27843% (52)764.47 (19)#39 (.12)43% (89)45% (87)43% (88)2.57 (2)30.50.61.4



Overall Stats 2018
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
LIB Offense1233.331.742.3%4.18223423162262449%51%43%41%16%.15
ARMY Defense1317.717.742.5%3.11.4 - - - - - 49%50%43%40%18%.15
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
LIB Defense1236.848.346.7%41.8 - - - - - 49%49%51%41%15%.21
ARMY Offense1332.828.847.2%4.960.522392312804.988%11%47%43%7%.27

Additional Stats 2018
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Liberty1229:3023.142%60%4.338.221.85.12.2229.6
Army1338:1921.857%86%4.848.20.51.44.21.2030.6
Run Game Stats (2018)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
LIB Offense1249%43%40.7161.9430.082.7976%8%0.91
ARMY Defense1349%43% - - - - .062.9964%10%0.83
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
LIB Defense1249%51% - - - - .233.2765%9%1
ARMY Offense1388%47%63.2312.24.947.233.1885%5%0.98

Pass Game Stats (2018)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
LIB Offense1251%41%20.437.3261.5712.82118.231.731%35%.368%2
ARMY Defense1350%40% - - - - - - 5.231.632%29%.167%1.8
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
LIB Defense1249%41% - - - - - - 12.211.631%33%.266%1.8
ARMY Offense1311%43%47.580.110.72072.742.526%33%.342%1.7

Liberty's Power Ratings
Liberty's Power Rating: NR
Liberty's Offense Rating: NR
Liberty's Defense Rating: NR
2018 Talent Rating:  #146
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Liberty's 2018 Expected Record: -
Liberty's 2018 Overall SP+ Rating: -19.7  #121
Liberty's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.1  #95
Liberty's Defense SP+ Rating: 41.7  #122

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Liberty:    Army: 1.75

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Liberty: -19.7   Army: -1.5




Army's Power Ratings
Army's Power Rating: 1.75 NR
Army's Offense Rating: NR
Army's Defense Rating: NR
2018 Talent Rating:  #128
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Army's 2018 Expected Record: -
Army's 2018 Overall SP+ Rating: -1.5  #84
Army's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.4  #65
Army's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.7  #68

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


Liberty Scoring
Offense: 33.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 31.7
Defense: 36.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 48.3

Liberty's 2018 Record
Record: 6 - 6
Record vs Spread: 5 - 6 - 1
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Army 31
Liberty 23

Total Points: 54

Based on Last 4 Games
Army 26
Liberty 21

Total Points: 47

Based on Entire Season
Army 37
Liberty 25

Total Points: 62
Army Scoring
Offense: 32.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 28.8
Defense: 17.7 PPG
Defense at Home: 17.7

Army's 2018 Record
Record: 11 - 2
Record vs Spread: 7 - 4 - 2
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record at home: 6 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 3 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 2
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 1


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202111/27Liberty16Army31Liberty -3.0Army51.5Under
201809/08Army38Liberty14Army -7.5Army57.0Under
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Army220 Overs
Liberty002 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 11 - 11 - 10 - 0
Road Teams1 - 11 - 10 - 01 - 1

(#) LIB at (#) ARMY
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatLIBARMY
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #121 #84
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #146 #128
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Liberty on Offense
CategoryCat
LIB OffARMY Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #95 #68
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Liberty Run Game
CategoryCat
LIB OffARMY Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Liberty Pass Game
CategoryCat
LIB OffARMY Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Army on Offense
CategoryCatARMY OffLIB Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #65 #122
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Army Run Game
CategoryCat
ARMY OffLIB Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Army Pass Game
CategoryCatARMY OffLIB Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
ARMY 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'18 Profile: Down to Average G5

LIB 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'18 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Blaik Field at Michie Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 66° - Wind: 10 mph
Rematch from Week 2
Army -7.5 (57.0)
Army won vs Liberty this year (38-14)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
LIB's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Liberty's Full Roster

LIB's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

ARMY's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Army's Full Roster

ARMY's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD