Penn State at Pittsburgh - 2018 Matchup Preview
Penn State logo (#2)Penn State Nittany Lions at Pittsburgh PanthersPittsburgh logo
Saturday, September 8th 2018 (8:00 PM EDT)
Penn State -7.5 (51.0)
Penn State 51 - Pittsburgh: 6

 
Nittany Lions (9 - 4) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 34 - 21 (35 - 21 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Light Rain Predicted
Wind: 12.2 MPH
PITT 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: -5.5  (SP+ PSU -16.5)
Projected Score: PSU: 33 - PITT: 23 (56)
PSU Win prob: 73% | Cover: 49%
PSU Travel: 116 miles
Panthers (7 - 7) (8 - 6 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 26 - 28 (36 - 30 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Penn State's 2018 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/1 Penn State vs App State-24.054.0W 45 - 38ON
Sat 9/8 Penn State at Pittsburgh-7.551.0W 51 - 6OY
Sat 9/15 Penn State vs Kent State-35.064.5W 63 - 10OY
Fri 9/21 Penn State at Illinois-26.561.0W 63 - 24OY
Sat 9/29 Penn State vs Ohio State+3.068.5L 26 - 27UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/13 Penn State vs Michigan State-13.553.5L 17 - 21UN
Sat 10/20 Penn State at Indiana-14.056.5W 33 - 28ON
Sat 10/27 Penn State vs Iowa-5.552.0W 30 - 24OY
Sat 11/3 Penn State at Michigan+13.548.0L 7 - 42ON
Sat 11/10 Penn State vs Wisconsin-7.552.0W 22 - 10UY
Sat 11/17 Penn State at Rutgers-28.552.5W 20 - 7UN
Sat 11/24 Penn State vs Maryland-12.051.5W 38 - 3UY
Tue 1/1 Penn State vs Kentucky-4.547.5L 24 - 27ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Penn State's Schedule
Pittsburgh's 2018 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/1 Pittsburgh vs UAlbany-27.043.5W 33 - 7UN
Sat 9/8 Pittsburgh vs Penn State+7.551.0L 6 - 51ON
Sat 9/15 Pittsburgh vs Georgia Tech+3.054.0W 24 - 19UY
Sat 9/22 Pittsburgh at North Carolina-3.048.0L 35 - 38ON
Sat 9/29 Pittsburgh at UCF+13.065.5L 14 - 45UN
Sat 10/6 Pittsburgh vs Syracuse+3.558.0W 44 - 37OY
Sat 10/13 Pittsburgh at Notre Dame+21.056.0L 14 - 19UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/27 Pittsburgh vs Duke+3.046.0W 54 - 45OY
Fri 11/2 Pittsburgh at Virginia+7.045.5W 23 - 13UY
Sat 11/10 Pittsburgh vs Virginia Tech-4.052.0W 52 - 22OY
Sat 11/17 Pittsburgh at Wake Forest-5.062.5W 34 - 13UY
Sat 11/24 Pittsburgh at Miami+5.545.5L 3 - 24UN
Sat 12/1 Pittsburgh vs Clemson+27.053.0L 10 - 42UN
Mon 12/31 Pittsburgh vs Stanford+3.552.5L 13 - 14UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Pittsburgh's Schedule
Important Stats (2018)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
PSU.1545%33.849%3.3520538%2194.1.0738%20.541%34%2.8643.11.51.4
PITT.242%25.647%3.1322933%1423.41.1542%27.843%40%3.4867.11.11.2
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
PSU#11 (.32)51% (4)52% (9)3.42 (10)17651% (4)2094.69 (9)#9 (.05)38% (21)39% (27)37% (25)3.22 (18)41.40.81.3
PITT#91 (.15)42% (85)45% (56)3.1 (53)11939% (97)2564.11 (49)#35 (.12)38% (25)38% (20)38% (38)3.68 (57)58.21.31.2



Overall Stats 2018
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
PSU Offense1333.834.844.6%4.11.5214232052195.153%45%49%38%16%.15
PITT Defense1427.830.242.2%3.481.2 - - - - - 52%47%43%40%18%.15
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
PSU Defense1320.521.438.3%2.861.4 - - - - - 52%47%41%34%20%.07
PITT Offense1425.635.542.4%3.411.1173712291425.660%38%47%33%16%.2

Additional Stats 2018
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Penn State1327:3221.437%53%4.643.11.51.48.23.7130.8
Pittsburgh1433:2617.236%45%7.267.11.11.25.52326.9
Run Game Stats (2018)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
PSU Offense1353%49%39.8204.65.134.253.3587%10%1.02
PITT Defense1452%43% - - - - .162.9281%12%1.05
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
PSU Defense1352%41% - - - - .12.7269%13%1.02
PITT Offense1460%47%40.7229.25.630.273.1386%12%1.16

Pass Game Stats (2018)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
PSU Offense1345%38%15.829.2218.67.513.9218.061.432%30%.175%1.6
PITT Defense1447%40% - - - - - - 8.161.633%30%.266%1.9
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
PSU Defense1347%34% - - - - - - 13.051.535%29%.257%1.7
PITT Offense1438%33%1322.5141.86.310.9126.071.634%33%.364%1.9

Penn State's Power Ratings
Penn State's Power Rating: NR
Penn State's Offense Rating: NR
Penn State's Defense Rating: NR
2018 Talent Rating:  #12
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Penn State's 2018 Expected Record: -
Penn State's 2018 Overall SP+ Rating: 19.0  #15
Penn State's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.9  #35
Penn State's Defense SP+ Rating: 14.6  #11

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Penn State:    Pittsburgh: 3.85

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Penn State: 19.0   Pittsburgh: 2.7




Pittsburgh's Power Ratings
Pittsburgh's Power Rating: 3.85 NR
Pittsburgh's Offense Rating: NR
Pittsburgh's Defense Rating: NR
2018 Talent Rating:  #38
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Pittsburgh's 2018 Expected Record: -
Pittsburgh's 2018 Overall SP+ Rating: 2.7  #61
Pittsburgh's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.0  #71
Pittsburgh's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.6  #53

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


Penn State Scoring
Offense: 33.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 34.8
Defense: 20.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 21.4

Penn State's 2018 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 5
Record on Road: 4 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Penn State 33
Pittsburgh 23

Total Points: 56

Based on Last 4 Games
Penn State 35
Pittsburgh 20

Total Points: 55

Based on Entire Season
Penn State 32
Pittsburgh 26

Total Points: 58
Pittsburgh Scoring
Offense: 25.6 PPG
Offense at Home: 35.5
Defense: 27.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 30.2

Pittsburgh's 2018 Record
Record: 7 - 7
Record vs Spread: 8 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 9
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 6 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
201909/14Penn State17Pittsburgh10Penn State -17Pittsburgh53.5Under
201809/08Pittsburgh6Penn State51Penn State -7.5Penn State51.0Over
201709/09Penn State33Pittsburgh14Penn State -20Pittsburgh63.5Under
201609/10Pittsburgh42Penn State39Pittsburgh -4.5Penn State44.0Over
200009/15Pittsburgh12Penn State0
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Pittsburgh222 Overs
Penn State322 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams4 - 10 - 40 - 30 - 1
Road Teams1 - 44 - 01 - 03 - 0

(#) PSU at (#) PITT
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatPSUPITT
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #15 #61
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #12 #38
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Penn State on Offense
CategoryCat
PSU OffPITT Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #35 #53
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Penn State Run Game
CategoryCat
PSU OffPITT Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Penn State Pass Game
CategoryCat
PSU OffPITT Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Pittsburgh on Offense
CategoryCatPITT OffPSU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #71 #11
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Pittsburgh Run Game
CategoryCat
PITT OffPSU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Pittsburgh Pass Game
CategoryCatPITT OffPSU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
PITT 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'18 Profile: Down to Top G5

PSU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'18 Profile: Down to CFP Hopefuls

Weather Forecast
Playing in Acrisure Stadium
Conditions: Light Rain
Temp: 57° - Wind: 12 mph
Rain: 0.047
Rematch from Week 2
Penn State 7.5 (51.0)
Penn State won at Pittsburgh this year (51-6)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
PSU's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Penn State's Full Roster

PSU's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

PITT's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Pittsburgh's Full Roster

PITT's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD