Pittsburgh at Virginia - 2018 Matchup Preview

Pittsburgh Panthers at Virginia Cavaliers(#15)

Friday, November 2nd 2018 (7:30 PM EDT)
Virginia -7 (45.5)
Pittsburgh 23 - Virginia: 13 (ACC)

Panthers (7 - 7) (8 - 6 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 26 - 28 (21 - 25 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

UVA 2nd straight Home Game
UVA is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: -4.5 (SP+ UVA -4)
Projected Score: PITT: 21 - UVA: 29 (50)
UVA Win prob: 70% | Cover: 49%
PITT Travel: 185 miles

Cavaliers (8 - 5) (9 - 4 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 29 - 20 (31 - 18 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
PITT Players
UVA Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Pittsburgh's 2018 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/1	Pittsburgh vs UAlbany	-27.0	43.5	W 33 - 7	U	N
Sat 9/8	Pittsburgh vs Penn State	+7.5	51.0	L 6 - 51	O	N
Sat 9/15	Pittsburgh vs Georgia Tech	+3.0	54.0	W 24 - 19	U	Y
Sat 9/22	Pittsburgh at North Carolina	-3.0	48.0	L 35 - 38	O	N
Sat 9/29	Pittsburgh at UCF	+13.0	65.5	L 14 - 45	U	N
Sat 10/6	Pittsburgh vs Syracuse	+3.5	58.0	W 44 - 37	O	Y
Sat 10/13	Pittsburgh at Notre Dame	+21.0	56.0	L 14 - 19	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/27	Pittsburgh vs Duke	+3.0	46.0	W 54 - 45	O	Y
Fri 11/2	Pittsburgh at Virginia	+7.0	45.5	W 23 - 13	U	Y
Sat 11/10	Pittsburgh vs Virginia Tech	-4.0	52.0	W 52 - 22	O	Y
Sat 11/17	Pittsburgh at Wake Forest	-5.0	62.5	W 34 - 13	U	Y
Sat 11/24	Pittsburgh at Miami	+5.5	45.5	L 3 - 24	U	N
Sat 12/1	Pittsburgh vs Clemson	+27.0	53.0	L 10 - 42	U	N
Mon 12/31	Pittsburgh vs Stanford	+3.5	52.5	L 13 - 14	U	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Pittsburgh's Schedule

Virginia's 2018 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/1	Virginia vs Richmond	-14.5	55.5	W 42 - 13	U	Y
Sat 9/8	Virginia at Indiana	+5.0	48.5	L 16 - 20	U	Y
Sat 9/15	Virginia vs Ohio	-5.0	54.5	W 45 - 31	O	Y
Sat 9/22	Virginia vs Louisville	-4.5	51.5	W 27 - 3	U	Y
Sat 9/29	Virginia at NC State	+5.5	52.5	L 21 - 35	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/13	Virginia vs Miami	+7.0	46.5	W 16 - 13	U	Y
Sat 10/20	Virginia at Duke	+6.5	45.5	W 28 - 14	U	Y
Sat 10/27	Virginia vs North Carolina	-7.5	51.0	W 31 - 21	O	Y
Fri 11/2	Virginia vs Pittsburgh	-7.0	45.5	L 13 - 23	U	N
Sat 11/10	Virginia vs Liberty	-24.0	58.0	W 45 - 24	O	N
Sat 11/17	Virginia at Georgia Tech	+6.0	52.5	L 27 - 30	O	Y
Fri 11/23	Virginia at Virginia Tech	-5.0	49.5	L 31 - 34	O	N
Sat 12/29	Virginia vs South Carolina	+3.5	54.0	W 28 - 0	U	Y

Important Stats (2018)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
PITT	.2	42%	25.6	47%	3.13	229	33%	142	3.41	.15	42%	27.8	43%	40%	3.48	67.1	1.1	1.2
UVA	.2	46%	28.5	45%	3.26	173	45%	212	3.76	.12	39%	20.1	39%	36%	3.04	40.7	1.4	1.6

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
PITT	#91 (.15)	42% (85)		45% (56)	3.1 (53)	119	39% (97)	256	4.11 (49)	#35 (.12)	38% (25)		38% (20)	38% (38)	3.68 (57)	58.2	1.3	1.2
UVA	#102 (.13)	40% (103)		43% (77)	3.29 (25)	133	37% (113)	229	3.47 (106)	#116 (.27)	43% (80)		44% (77)	42% (77)	4.04 (94)	45.3	1.6	1.3

Overall Stats 2018

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
PITT Offense	14	25.6	20.5	42.4%	3.41	1.1	17	371	229	142	5.6	60%	38%	47%	33%	16%	.2
UVA Defense	13	20.1	18.3	38.8%	3.04	1.6	-	-	-	-	-	52%	46%	39%	36%	19%	.12

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
PITT Defense	14	27.8	25.3	42.2%	3.48	1.2	-	-	-	-	-	52%	47%	43%	40%	18%	.15
UVA Offense	13	28.5	31.3	45.9%	3.76	1.4	21	384	173	212	4.5	52%	46%	45%	45%	15%	.2

Additional Stats 2018

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Pittsburgh	14	33:26	17.2	36%	45%	7.2	67.1	1.1	1.2	5.5	2	3	26.9
Virginia	13	34:48	21.2	49%	62%	4.5	40.7	1.4	1.6	4.7	1.8	1	32.6

Run Game Stats (2018)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
PITT Offense	14	60%	47%	40.7	229.2	5.6	30	.27	3.13	86%	12%	1.16
UVA Defense	13	52%	39%	-	-	-	-	.11	2.86	67%	9%	1.07

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
PITT Defense	14	52%	43%	-	-	-	-	.16	2.92	81%	12%	1.05
UVA Offense	13	52%	45%	38.2	172.7	4.5	19	.17	3.26	82%	11%	0.97

Pass Game Stats (2018)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
PITT Offense	14	38%	33%	13	22.5	141.8	6.3	10.9	12	6	.07	1.6	34%	33%	.36	4%	1.9
UVA Defense	13	46%	36%	-	-	-	-	-	-	17	.14	1.6	34%	30%	.24	10%	1.7

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
PITT Defense	14	47%	40%	-	-	-	-	-	-	8	.16	1.6	33%	30%	.26	6%	1.9
UVA Offense	13	46%	45%	17.5	27.5	211.5	7.7	12.1	26	9	.28	1.5	28%	29%	.29	5%	1.7

Pittsburgh's Power Ratings
Pittsburgh's Power Rating: NR
Pittsburgh's Offense Rating: NR
Pittsburgh's Defense Rating: NR
2018 Talent Rating: #38
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Pittsburgh's 2018 Expected Record: -
Pittsburgh's 2018 Overall SP+ Rating: 2.7 #61
Pittsburgh's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.0 #71
Pittsburgh's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.6 #53

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Pittsburgh: Virginia: 6.05

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Pittsburgh: 2.7 Virginia: 7.1

Virginia's Power Ratings
Virginia's Power Rating: 6.05 NR
Virginia's Offense Rating: NR
Virginia's Defense Rating: NR
2018 Talent Rating: #66
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Virginia's 2018 Expected Record: -
Virginia's 2018 Overall SP+ Rating: 7.1 #42
Virginia's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.7 #61
Virginia's Defense SP+ Rating: 22.0 #31

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Pittsburgh Scoring
Offense: 25.6 PPG
Offense on Road: 20.5
Defense: 27.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 25.3

Pittsburgh's 2018 Record
Record: 7 - 7
Record vs Spread: 8 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 9
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 6 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Virginia 29
Pittsburgh 21

Total Points: 50

Based on Last 4 Games
Virginia 29
Pittsburgh 21

Total Points: 50

Based on Entire Season
Virginia 28
Pittsburgh 21

Total Points: 49

Virginia Scoring
Offense: 28.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 31.3
Defense: 20.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 18.3

Virginia's 2018 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	11/09	Pittsburgh	19	Virginia	24	Pittsburgh -7.5	Virginia	56.5	Under
2022	11/12	Virginia	7	Pittsburgh	37	Pittsburgh -5.5	Pittsburgh	41.5	Over
2021	11/20	Pittsburgh	48	Virginia	38	Pittsburgh -12.5	Virginia	69.0	Over
2019	08/31	Pittsburgh	14	Virginia	30	Virginia -2.5	Virginia	46.5	Under
2018	11/02	Virginia	13	Pittsburgh	23	Virginia -7	Pittsburgh	45.5	Under
2017	10/28	Pittsburgh	31	Virginia	14	Pittsburgh -1	Pittsburgh	49.0	Under
2016	10/15	Virginia	31	Pittsburgh	45	Pittsburgh -5	Pittsburgh	60.5	Over
2015	10/10	Pittsburgh	26	Virginia	19	Pittsburgh -10	Virginia	45.0	Push
2014	10/04	Virginia	24	Pittsburgh	19	Virginia -4	Virginia	0
2013	09/28	Pittsburgh	14	Virginia	3	Pittsburgh -6.5	Pittsburgh	0
2007	09/29	Virginia	44	Pittsburgh	14
2006	09/02	Pittsburgh	38	Virginia	13
2003	12/27	Virginia	23	Pittsburgh	16

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Virginia	5	5	3 Overs
Pittsburgh	8	5	4 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	8 - 5	3 - 7	3 - 4	0 - 3
Road Teams	5 - 8	7 - 3	3 - 0	4 - 3

(#) PITT at (#) UVA

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	PITT	UVA
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#61	#42
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#38	#66
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Pittsburgh Injury Report

Virginia Injury Report

Pittsburgh on Offense


CategoryCat	PITT Off	UVA Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#71	#31
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Pittsburgh Run Game


CategoryCat	PITT Off	UVA Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Pittsburgh Pass Game


CategoryCat	PITT Off	UVA Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Virginia on Offense


CategoryCat	UVA Off	PITT Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#61	#53
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Virginia Run Game


CategoryCat	UVA Off	PITT Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Virginia Pass Game


CategoryCat	UVA Off	PITT Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
UVA 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'18 Profile: Down to Below Avg P4

PITT 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'18 Profile: Down to Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Scott Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 60° - Wind: 8 mph
Rain: 0.11

Rematch from Week 10
Virginia -7.0 (45.5)
Pittsburgh won at Virginia this year (23-13)

Previous Matchups
Virginia beat Pittsburgh last year (24-19)
Pittsburgh beat Virginia in 2022 (37-7)

PITT's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Pittsburgh's Full Roster

PITT's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

UVA's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Virginia's Full Roster

UVA's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD