Penn State at Michigan - 2018 Matchup Preview

Penn State Nittany Lions at Michigan Wolverines

Saturday, November 3rd 2018 (3:45 PM EDT)
Michigan -13.5 (48.0)
Michigan 42 - Penn State: 7 (Big Ten)

Nittany Lions (9 - 4) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 31 - 21 (29 - 30 on Road)
'18 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

MICH coming off BYE
PSU is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: -4 (SP+ MICH -3)
Projected Score: PSU: 24 - MICH: 27 (51)
MICH Win prob: 84% | Cover: 56%
PSU Travel: 321 miles

Wolverines (10 - 3) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 28 - 20 (29 - 13 @ Home)
'18 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
PSU Players
MICH Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Penn State's 2018 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/1	Penn State vs App State	-24.0	54.0	W 45 - 38	O	N
Sat 9/8	Penn State at Pittsburgh	-7.5	51.0	W 51 - 6	O	Y
Sat 9/15	Penn State vs Kent State	-35.0	64.5	W 63 - 10	O	Y
Fri 9/21	Penn State at Illinois	-26.5	61.0	W 63 - 24	O	Y
Sat 9/29	Penn State vs Ohio State	+3.0	68.5	L 26 - 27	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/13	Penn State vs Michigan State	-13.5	53.5	L 17 - 21	U	N
Sat 10/20	Penn State at Indiana	-14.0	56.5	W 33 - 28	O	N
Sat 10/27	Penn State vs Iowa	-5.5	52.0	W 30 - 24	O	Y
Sat 11/3	Penn State at Michigan	+13.5	48.0	L 7 - 42	O	N
Sat 11/10	Penn State vs Wisconsin	-7.5	52.0	W 22 - 10	U	Y
Sat 11/17	Penn State at Rutgers	-28.5	52.5	W 20 - 7	U	N
Sat 11/24	Penn State vs Maryland	-12.0	51.5	W 38 - 3	U	Y
Tue 1/1	Penn State vs Kentucky	-4.5	47.5	L 24 - 27	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Penn State's Schedule

Michigan's 2018 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/1	Michigan at Notre Dame	-2.5	46.5	L 17 - 24	U	N
Sat 9/8	Michigan vs Western Michigan	-27.5	54.5	W 49 - 3	U	Y
Sat 9/15	Michigan vs SMU	-37.0	54.5	W 45 - 20	O	N
Sat 9/22	Michigan vs Nebraska	-18.0	52.0	W 56 - 10	O	Y
Sat 9/29	Michigan at Northwestern	-14.5	46.5	W 20 - 17	U	N
Sat 10/6	Michigan vs Maryland	-17.5	44.0	W 42 - 21	O	Y
Sat 10/13	Michigan vs Wisconsin	-10.0	47.5	W 38 - 13	O	Y
Sat 10/20	Michigan at Michigan State	-7.5	38.5	W 21 - 7	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/3	Michigan vs Penn State	-13.5	48.0	W 42 - 7	O	Y
Sat 11/10	Michigan at Rutgers	-36.5	45.0	W 42 - 7	O	N
Sat 11/17	Michigan vs Indiana	-28.0	53.5	W 31 - 20	U	N
Sat 11/24	Michigan at Ohio State	-4.5	52.5	L 39 - 62	O	N
Sat 12/29	Michigan vs Florida	-4.0	51.0	L 15 - 41	O	N

Important Stats (2017)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
PSU	.26	47%	31	45%	2.51	170	48%	290	4.01	.05	36%	20.5	35%	35%	2.45	37.7	1	1.9
MICH	.08	39%	27.5	40%	2.83	178	35%	171	3.11	-.02	32%	20.4	33%	29%	2.79	57.2	1.6	1.2

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
PSU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
MICH		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2017

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
PSU Offense	13	31	28.6	46.9%	4.01	1	23	460	170	290	4.9	44%	55%	45%	48%	15%	.26
MICH Defense	13	20.4	13.3	32%	2.79	1.2	-	-	-	-	-	52%	47%	33%	29%	24%	-.02

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
PSU Defense	13	20.5	30.2	35.8%	2.45	1.9	-	-	-	-	-	43%	56%	35%	35%	19%	.05
MICH Offense	13	27.5	29.2	39.1%	3.11	1.6	17	349	178	171	4.4	56%	42%	40%	35%	17%	.08

Additional Stats 2017

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Penn State	13	30:20	22.8	48%	57%	4.2	37.7	1	1.9	7.2	3.2	3	36.5
Michigan	13	31:57	17.5	32%	56%	6.6	57.2	1.6	1.2	8.7	3.2	3	33.7

Run Game Stats (2018)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
PSU Offense	13	44%	45%	34.7	170.2	4.9	36	.17	2.51	60%	10%	1.16
MICH Defense	13	52%	33%	-	-	-	-	.01	2.24	53%	17%	1.13

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
PSU Defense	13	43%	35%	-	-	-	-	-.01	2.6	62%	12%	0.95
MICH Offense	13	56%	40%	40.7	177.7	4.4	26	.1	2.83	77%	12%	1.02

Pass Game Stats (2018)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
PSU Offense	13	55%	48%	23.2	35.2	290.2	8.2	12.5	32	10	.35	1.6	31%	42%	.64	5%	2.2
MICH Defense	13	47%	29%	-	-	-	-	-	-	10	-.04	1.7	37%	24%	.11	7%	1.8

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
PSU Defense	13	56%	35%	-	-	-	-	-	-	10	.11	1.5	37%	26%	.16	7%	1.9
MICH Offense	13	42%	35%	14.2	26.6	171.2	6.4	12	9	10	.08	1.7	35%	32%	.26	5%	1.9

Penn State's Power Ratings
Penn State's Power Rating: NR
Penn State's Offense Rating: NR
Penn State's Defense Rating: NR
2018 Talent Rating: #12
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Penn State's 2018 Expected Record: -
Penn State's 2018 Overall SP+ Rating: 19.0 #15
Penn State's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.9 #35
Penn State's Defense SP+ Rating: 14.6 #11

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Penn State: Michigan: 13.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Penn State: 19.0 Michigan: 22.0

Michigan's Power Ratings
Michigan's Power Rating: 13.5 NR
Michigan's Offense Rating: NR
Michigan's Defense Rating: NR
2018 Talent Rating: #8
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Michigan's 2018 Expected Record: -
Michigan's 2018 Overall SP+ Rating: 22.0 #10
Michigan's Offense SP+ Rating: 35.5 #25
Michigan's Defense SP+ Rating: 14.3 #9

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Penn State Scoring
Offense: 31 PPG
Offense on Road: 28.6
Defense: 20.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 30.2

Penn State's 2018 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 5
Record on Road: 4 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Michigan 27
Penn State 24

Projected Total Points: 51

Michigan Scoring
Offense: 27.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 29.2
Defense: 20.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 13.3

Michigan's 2018 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 5
Record at home: 7 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 5 - 2 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2023	11/11	Penn State	15	Michigan	24	Michigan -4.0	Michigan	44.5	Under
2022	10/15	Michigan	41	Penn State	17	Michigan -7	Michigan	49.0	Over
2021	11/13	Penn State	17	Michigan	21	Michigan -2.5	Michigan	48.0	Under
2020	11/28	Michigan	17	Penn State	27	Michigan -1.0	Penn State	56.0	Under
2019	10/19	Penn State	28	Michigan	21	Penn State -7.5	Michigan	47.0	Over
2018	11/03	Michigan	42	Penn State	7	Michigan -13.5	Michigan	48.0	Over
2017	10/21	Penn State	42	Michigan	13	Penn State -7.5	Penn State	42.5	Over
2016	09/24	Michigan	49	Penn State	10	Michigan -15.5	Michigan	56.0	Over
2015	11/21	Penn State	16	Michigan	28	Michigan -5	Michigan	43.0	Over
2014	10/11	Michigan	18	Penn State	13	Penn State -2	Michigan	0
2013	10/12	Penn State	43	Michigan	40	Michigan -1	Penn State	0
2010	10/30	Penn State	41	Michigan	31
2009	10/24	Michigan	10	Penn State	35
2008	10/18	Penn State	46	Michigan	17
2007	09/22	Michigan	14	Penn State	9
2006	10/14	Penn State	10	Michigan	17
2005	10/15	Michigan	27	Penn State	25
2002	10/12	Michigan	27	Penn State	24
2001	10/06	Penn State	0	Michigan	20
2000	11/10	Michigan	33	Penn State	11

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Michigan	13	8	6 Overs
Penn State	7	3	3 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	13 - 7	6 - 5	4 - 2	2 - 3
Road Teams	7 - 13	5 - 6	3 - 2	2 - 4

(#) PSU at (#) MICH

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	PSU	MICH
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#15	#10
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#12	#8
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Penn State Injury Report

Michigan Injury Report

Penn State on Offense


CategoryCat	PSU Off	MICH Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#35	#9
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Penn State Run Game


CategoryCat	PSU Off	MICH Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Penn State Pass Game


CategoryCat	PSU Off	MICH Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Michigan on Offense


CategoryCat	MICH Off	PSU Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#25	#11
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Michigan Run Game


CategoryCat	MICH Off	PSU Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Michigan Pass Game


CategoryCat	MICH Off	PSU Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
MICH 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'18 Profile: Down to Title Contenders

PSU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'18 Profile: Down to CFP Hopefuls

Weather Forecast
Playing in Michigan Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 10
Michigan -13.5 (48.0)
Michigan won vs Penn State this year (42-7)

Previous Matchups
Michigan beat Penn State in 2023 (24-15)

PSU's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Penn State's Full Roster

PSU's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

MICH's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Michigan's Full Roster

MICH's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD