Wisconsin at Penn State - 2018 Matchup Preview

Wisconsin Badgers at Penn State Nittany Lions

Saturday, November 10th 2018 (12:00 PM EST)
Penn State -7.5 (52.0)
Penn State 22 - Wisconsin: 10 (Big Ten)

Badgers (8 - 5) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 30 - 23 (23 - 30 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Wind: 26.1 MPH
PSU is playing their 5th straight game
WIS is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: -4.5 (SP+ PSU -4)
Projected Score: WIS: 23 - PSU: 28 (51)
PSU Win prob: 73% | Cover: 49%
WIS Travel: 614 miles, 1 hrs behind

Nittany Lions (9 - 4) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 34 - 21 (34 - 19 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
WIS Players
PSU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Wisconsin's 2018 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Fri 8/31	Wisconsin vs Western Kentucky	-36.5	52.0	W 34 - 3	U	N
Sat 9/8	Wisconsin vs New Mexico	-35.5	58.0	W 45 - 14	O	N
Sat 9/15	Wisconsin vs BYU	-23.5	51.0	L 21 - 24	U	N
Sat 9/22	Wisconsin at Iowa	-3.0	43.5	W 28 - 17	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/6	Wisconsin vs Nebraska	-7.5
Sat 10/13	Wisconsin at Michigan	+10.0	47.5	L 13 - 38	O	N
Sat 10/20	Wisconsin vs Illinois	-24.0	53.5	W 49 - 20	O	Y
Sat 10/27	Wisconsin at Northwestern	-4.5	50.0	L 17 - 31	U	N
Sat 11/3	Wisconsin vs Rutgers	-29.0	50.5	W 31 - 17	U	N
Sat 11/10	Wisconsin at Penn State	+7.5	52.0	L 10 - 22	U	N
Sat 11/17	Wisconsin at Purdue	+3.5	56.0	W 47 - 44	O	Y
Sat 11/24	Wisconsin vs Minnesota	-10.5	53.0	L 15 - 37	U	N
Thu 12/27	Wisconsin vs Miami	+2.5	43.5	W 35 - 3	U	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Wisconsin's Schedule

Penn State's 2018 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/1	Penn State vs App State	-24.0	54.0	W 45 - 38	O	N
Sat 9/8	Penn State at Pittsburgh	-7.5	51.0	W 51 - 6	O	Y
Sat 9/15	Penn State vs Kent State	-35.0	64.5	W 63 - 10	O	Y
Fri 9/21	Penn State at Illinois	-26.5	61.0	W 63 - 24	O	Y
Sat 9/29	Penn State vs Ohio State	+3.0	68.5	L 26 - 27	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/13	Penn State vs Michigan State	-13.5	53.5	L 17 - 21	U	N
Sat 10/20	Penn State at Indiana	-14.0	56.5	W 33 - 28	O	N
Sat 10/27	Penn State vs Iowa	-5.5	52.0	W 30 - 24	O	Y
Sat 11/3	Penn State at Michigan	+13.5	48.0	L 7 - 42	O	N
Sat 11/10	Penn State vs Wisconsin	-7.5	52.0	W 22 - 10	U	Y
Sat 11/17	Penn State at Rutgers	-28.5	52.5	W 20 - 7	U	N
Sat 11/24	Penn State vs Maryland	-12.0	51.5	W 38 - 3	U	Y
Tue 1/1	Penn State vs Kentucky	-4.5	47.5	L 24 - 27	O	N

Important Stats (2018)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
WIS	.24	52%	29.7	58%	3.81	273	41%	161	4.02	.08	42%	22.6	43%	38%	3.03	54.1	1.8	1.9
PSU	.15	45%	33.8	49%	3.35	205	38%	219	4.1	.07	38%	20.5	41%	34%	2.86	43.1	1.5	1.4

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
WIS	#97 (.14)	42% (73)		46% (39)	3.16 (46)	154	38% (107)	197	4.02 (57)	#80 (.18)	43% (88)		45% (86)	42% (81)	4.17 (105)	37.5	1.5	1
PSU	#11 (.32)	51% (4)		52% (9)	3.42 (10)	176	51% (4)	209	4.69 (9)	#9 (.05)	38% (21)		39% (27)	37% (25)	3.22 (18)	41.4	0.8	1.3

Overall Stats 2018

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
WIS Offense	13	29.7	23	52%	4.02	1.8	22	435	273	161	6.2	62%	37%	58%	41%	13%	.24
PSU Defense	13	20.5	19	38.3%	2.86	1.4	-	-	-	-	-	52%	47%	41%	34%	20%	.07

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
WIS Defense	13	22.6	30.4	41.8%	3.03	1.9	-	-	-	-	-	51%	46%	43%	38%	15%	.08
PSU Offense	13	33.8	34.4	44.6%	4.1	1.5	21	423	205	219	5.1	53%	45%	49%	38%	16%	.15

Additional Stats 2018

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Wisconsin	13	32:07	21.5	41%	42%	5.7	54.1	1.8	1.9	4.4	1.4	0	30
Penn State	13	27:32	21.4	37%	53%	4.6	43.1	1.5	1.4	8.2	3.7	1	30.8

Run Game Stats (2018)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
WIS Offense	13	62%	58%	43.9	273.4	6.2	32	.29	3.81	84%	7%	0.89
PSU Defense	13	52%	41%	-	-	-	-	.1	2.72	69%	13%	1.02

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
WIS Defense	13	51%	43%	-	-	-	-	.04	2.75	65%	9%	0.85
PSU Offense	13	53%	49%	39.8	204.6	5.1	34	.25	3.35	87%	10%	1.02

Pass Game Stats (2018)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
WIS Offense	13	37%	41%	13.8	23.4	161.2	6.9	11.7	19	14	.19	1.6	26%	37%	.32	6%	1.7
PSU Defense	13	47%	34%	-	-	-	-	-	-	13	.05	1.5	35%	29%	.25	7%	1.7

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
WIS Defense	13	46%	38%	-	-	-	-	-	-	14	.15	1.6	32%	27%	.18	7%	1.8
PSU Offense	13	45%	38%	15.8	29.2	218.6	7.5	13.9	21	8	.06	1.4	32%	30%	.17	5%	1.6

Wisconsin's Power Ratings
Wisconsin's Power Rating: NR
Wisconsin's Offense Rating: NR
Wisconsin's Defense Rating: NR
2018 Talent Rating: #35
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Wisconsin's 2018 Expected Record: -
Wisconsin's 2018 Overall SP+ Rating: 15.5 #19
Wisconsin's Offense SP+ Rating: 39.3 #12
Wisconsin's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.6 #29

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Wisconsin: Penn State: 12

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Wisconsin: 15.5 Penn State: 19.0

Penn State's Power Ratings
Penn State's Power Rating: 12 NR
Penn State's Offense Rating: NR
Penn State's Defense Rating: NR
2018 Talent Rating: #12
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Penn State's 2018 Expected Record: -
Penn State's 2018 Overall SP+ Rating: 19.0 #15
Penn State's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.9 #35
Penn State's Defense SP+ Rating: 14.6 #11

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Wisconsin Scoring
Offense: 29.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 23
Defense: 22.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 30.4

Wisconsin's 2018 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record on Road: 2 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Penn State 28
Wisconsin 23

Total Points: 51

Based on Last 4 Games
Penn State 27
Wisconsin 23

Total Points: 50

Based on Entire Season
Penn State 30
Wisconsin 23

Total Points: 53

Penn State Scoring
Offense: 33.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 34.4
Defense: 20.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 19

Penn State's 2018 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 5
Record at home: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	10/26	Wisconsin	13	Penn State	28	Penn State -6.5	Penn State	47.0	Under
2021	09/04	Wisconsin	10	Penn State	16	Wisconsin -5.5	Penn State	48.5	Under
2018	11/10	Penn State	22	Wisconsin	10	Penn State -7.5	Penn State	52.0	Under
2016	12/03	Penn State	38	Wisconsin	31	Wisconsin -1	Penn State	47.0	Over
2013	11/30	Wisconsin	24	Penn State	31	Wisconsin -23.5	Penn State	0
2012	11/24	Penn State	24	Wisconsin	21
2011	11/26	Wisconsin	45	Penn State	7
2008	10/11	Wisconsin	7	Penn State	48
2007	10/13	Penn State	38	Wisconsin	7
2006	11/04	Wisconsin	13	Penn State	3
2005	11/05	Penn State	35	Wisconsin	14
2004	09/25	Wisconsin	16	Penn State	3
2003	10/04	Penn State	23	Wisconsin	30
2002	10/05	Wisconsin	31	Penn State	34
2001	09/22	Penn State	6	Wisconsin	18

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Penn State	10	5	1 Overs
Wisconsin	5	0	3 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	8 - 7	2 - 3	1 - 2	1 - 1
Road Teams	7 - 8	3 - 2	1 - 1	2 - 1

(#) WIS at (#) PSU

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	WIS	PSU
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#19	#15
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#35	#12
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Wisconsin Injury Report

Penn State Injury Report

Wisconsin on Offense


CategoryCat	WIS Off	PSU Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#12	#11
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Wisconsin Run Game


CategoryCat	WIS Off	PSU Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Wisconsin Pass Game


CategoryCat	WIS Off	PSU Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Penn State on Offense


CategoryCat	PSU Off	WIS Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#35	#29
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Penn State Run Game


CategoryCat	PSU Off	WIS Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Penn State Pass Game


CategoryCat	PSU Off	WIS Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
PSU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'18 Profile: Down to CFP Hopefuls

WIS 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'18 Profile: Down to Top 25 Contenders

Weather Forecast
Playing in Beaver Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 32° - Wind: 26 mph

Rematch from Week 11
Penn State -7.5 (52.0)
Penn State won vs Wisconsin this year (22-10)

Previous Matchups
Penn State beat Wisconsin last year (28-13)

WIS's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Wisconsin's Full Roster

WIS's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

PSU's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Penn State's Full Roster

PSU's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD