Purdue at Michigan State - 2018 Matchup Preview

Purdue Boilermakers at Michigan State Spartans

Saturday, October 27th 2018 (12:00 PM EDT)
Purdue -2.5 (48.5)
Michigan State 23 - Purdue: 13 (Big Ten)

Boilermakers (6 - 7) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 31 - 30 (28 - 24 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Light Rain Predicted
MSU 2nd straight Home Game
MSU is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: -5 (SP+ MSU -5)
Projected Score: PUR: 28 - MSU: 21 (49)
PUR Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
PUR Travel: 202 miles

Spartans (7 - 6) (4 - 9 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 19 - 17 (20 - 21 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
PUR Players
MSU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Purdue's 2018 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 8/30	Purdue vs Northwestern	-1.0	52.5	L 27 - 31	O	N
Sat 9/8	Purdue vs Eastern Michigan	-15.0	50.0	L 19 - 20	U	N
Sat 9/15	Purdue vs Missouri	+5.0	68.0	L 37 - 40	O	Y
Sat 9/22	Purdue vs Boston College	+6.5	62.5	W 30 - 13	U	Y
Sat 9/29	Purdue at Nebraska	-3.5	58.5	W 42 - 28	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/13	Purdue at Illinois	-10.5	62.0	W 46 - 7	U	Y
Sat 10/20	Purdue vs Ohio State	+12.0	66.0	W 49 - 20	O	Y
Sat 10/27	Purdue at Michigan State	-2.5	48.5	L 13 - 23	U	N
Sat 11/3	Purdue vs Iowa	-1.5	51.5	W 38 - 36	O	Y
Sat 11/10	Purdue at Minnesota	-10.5	58.0	L 10 - 41	U	N
Sat 11/17	Purdue vs Wisconsin	-3.5	56.0	L 44 - 47	O	N
Sat 11/24	Purdue at Indiana	-3.5	65.0	W 28 - 21	U	Y
Fri 12/28	Purdue vs Auburn	+3.5	58.5	L 14 - 63	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Purdue's Schedule

Michigan State's 2018 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Fri 8/31	Michigan State vs Utah State	-23.5	52.5	W 38 - 31	O	N
Sat 9/8	Michigan State at Arizona State	-4.5	54.0	L 13 - 16	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/22	Michigan State at Indiana	-5.5	51.0	W 35 - 21	O	Y
Sat 9/29	Michigan State vs Central Michigan	-27.5	46.0	W 31 - 20	O	N
Sat 10/6	Michigan State vs Northwestern	-10.5	43.0	L 19 - 29	O	N
Sat 10/13	Michigan State at Penn State	+13.5	53.5	W 21 - 17	U	Y
Sat 10/20	Michigan State vs Michigan	+7.5	38.5	L 7 - 21	U	N
Sat 10/27	Michigan State vs Purdue	+2.5	48.5	W 23 - 13	U	Y
Sat 11/3	Michigan State at Maryland	-3.0	43.0	W 24 - 3	U	Y
Sat 11/10	Michigan State vs Ohio State	+3.0	50.0	L 6 - 26	U	N
Sat 11/17	Michigan State at Nebraska	+1.5	48.5	L 6 - 9	U	N
Sat 11/24	Michigan State vs Rutgers	-24.5	37.0	W 14 - 10	U	N
Mon 12/31	Michigan State vs Oregon	-1.0	47.0	L 6 - 7	U	N

Important Stats (2018)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
PUR	.2	45%	30.5	44%	2.85	136	43%	308	3.79	.21	47%	30	46%	46%	3.48	64.5	1.5	1.1
MSU	.02	38%	18.7	37%	2.51	125	36%	217	2.77	.01	37%	17.2	30%	39%	2.29	54.5	1.7	1.8

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
PUR	#112 (.11)	41% (96)		42% (90)	3.04 (65)	116	40% (93)	184	3.34 (115)	#134 (.39)	49% (129)		49% (120)	50% (129)	4.82 (134)	51.8	1.6	0.4
MSU	#105 (.13)	42% (86)		45% (50)	2.76 (109)	118	38% (107)	218	3.34 (116)	#85 (.19)	42% (69)		39% (25)	45% (111)	4.06 (98)	63.3	1.6	0.9

Overall Stats 2018

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
PUR Offense	13	30.5	27.8	44.6%	3.79	1.5	22	444	136	308	4.5	38%	60%	44%	43%	17%	.2
MSU Defense	13	17.2	21.4	36.6%	2.29	1.8	-	-	-	-	-	41%	57%	30%	39%	20%	.01

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
PUR Defense	13	30	24	46.9%	3.48	1.1	-	-	-	-	-	46%	52%	46%	46%	12%	.21
MSU Offense	13	18.7	19.7	37.7%	2.77	1.7	20	342	125	217	3.5	45%	53%	37%	36%	17%	.02

Additional Stats 2018

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Purdue	13	29:37	21.8	38%	53%	6.2	64.5	1.5	1.1	3.9	1.8	1	28.2
Michigan State	13	32:50	20.2	33%	37%	6	54.5	1.7	1.8	6.5	2	1	28

Run Game Stats (2018)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
PUR Offense	13	38%	44%	30.6	136.4	4.5	20	.12	2.85	71%	10%	1.01
MSU Defense	13	41%	30%	-	-	-	-	-.17	2.03	59%	12%	0.79

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
PUR Defense	13	46%	46%	-	-	-	-	.16	3.1	75%	7%	0.94
MSU Offense	13	45%	37%	35.8	124.7	3.5	13	.01	2.51	68%	9%	0.93

Pass Game Stats (2018)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
PUR Offense	13	60%	43%	25.6	39.2	307.5	7.9	12	28	13	.27	1.5	31%	36%	.32	7%	1.6
MSU Defense	13	57%	39%	-	-	-	-	-	-	14	.16	1.4	36%	27%	.18	9%	1.6

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
PUR Defense	13	52%	46%	-	-	-	-	-	-	11	.29	1.5	31%	33%	.33	5%	1.9
MSU Offense	13	53%	36%	19.5	37.8	217.4	5.8	11.1	12	14	.05	1.4	34%	30%	.08	8%	1.5

Purdue's Power Ratings
Purdue's Power Rating: NR
Purdue's Offense Rating: NR
Purdue's Defense Rating: NR
2018 Talent Rating: #71
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Purdue's 2018 Expected Record: -
Purdue's 2018 Overall SP+ Rating: 6.5 #44
Purdue's Offense SP+ Rating: 37.2 #17
Purdue's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.8 #88

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Purdue: Michigan State: 8.25

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Purdue: 6.5 Michigan State: 11.5

Michigan State's Power Ratings
Michigan State's Power Rating: 8.25 NR
Michigan State's Offense Rating: NR
Michigan State's Defense Rating: NR
2018 Talent Rating: #34
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Michigan State's 2018 Expected Record: -
Michigan State's 2018 Overall SP+ Rating: 11.5 #30
Michigan State's Offense SP+ Rating: 22.0 #111
Michigan State's Defense SP+ Rating: 10.8 #2

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Purdue Scoring
Offense: 30.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 27.8
Defense: 30 PPG
Defense on Road: 24

Purdue's 2018 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record on Road: 3 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Purdue 28
Michigan State 21

Total Points: 49

Based on Last 4 Games
Purdue 33
Michigan State 18

Total Points: 51

Based on Entire Season
Purdue 24
Michigan State 23

Total Points: 47

Michigan State Scoring
Offense: 18.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 19.7
Defense: 17.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 21.4

Michigan State's 2018 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 4 - 9 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 9
Record at home: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 6 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	11/22	Michigan State	24	Purdue	17	Michigan State -14	Purdue	49.0	Under
2021	11/06	Purdue	40	Michigan State	29	Michigan State -2.5	Purdue	53.0	Over
2018	10/27	Michigan State	23	Purdue	13	Purdue -2.5	Michigan State	48.5	Under
2015	10/03	Michigan State	24	Purdue	21	Michigan State -24.5	Purdue	53.0	Under
2014	10/11	Purdue	31	Michigan State	45	Michigan State -21.5	Purdue	0
2013	10/19	Michigan State	14	Purdue	0	Michigan State -21	Purdue	0
2010	11/20	Michigan State	35	Purdue	31
2009	11/14	Purdue	37	Michigan State	40
2008	11/08	Michigan State	21	Purdue	7
2007	11/10	Purdue	31	Michigan State	48
2006	11/04	Michigan State	15	Purdue	17
2005	11/05	Purdue	28	Michigan State	21
2002	11/16	Michigan State	42	Purdue	45
2001	11/17	Purdue	24	Michigan State	14
2000	11/10	Michigan State	30	Purdue	10

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Michigan State	10	1	1 Overs
Purdue	5	5	3 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	10 - 5	3 - 3	0 - 3	3 - 0
Road Teams	5 - 10	3 - 3	0 - 3	3 - 0

(#) PUR at (#) MSU

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	PUR	MSU
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#44	#30
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#71	#34
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Purdue Injury Report

Michigan State Injury Report

Purdue on Offense


CategoryCat	PUR Off	MSU Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#17	#2
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Purdue Run Game


CategoryCat	PUR Off	MSU Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Purdue Pass Game


CategoryCat	PUR Off	MSU Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Michigan State on Offense


CategoryCat	MSU Off	PUR Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#111	#88
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Michigan State Run Game


CategoryCat	MSU Off	PUR Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Michigan State Pass Game


CategoryCat	MSU Off	PUR Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
MSU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'18 Profile: Down to Average P4

PUR 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'18 Profile: Down to Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Spartan Stadium
Conditions: Light Rain
Temp: 44° - Wind: 8 mph

Rematch from Week 9
Purdue 2.5 (48.5)
Michigan State won vs Purdue this year (23-13)

Previous Matchups
Michigan State beat Purdue last year (24-17)

PUR's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Purdue's Full Roster

PUR's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

MSU's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Michigan State's Full Roster

MSU's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD