Michigan State at Nebraska - 2018 Matchup Preview

Michigan State Spartans at Nebraska Cornhuskers

Saturday, November 17th 2018 (12:00 PM EST)
Nebraska -1.5 (48.5)
Nebraska 9 - Michigan State: 6 (Big Ten)

Spartans (7 - 6) (4 - 9 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 25 - 30 (22 - 33 on Road)
'18 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

NEB 2nd straight Home Game
NEB is playing their 11th straight game
MSU is playing their 9th straight game
Our Line: -0.5 (SP+ MSU -6)
Projected Score: MSU: 23 - NEB: 32 (55)
NEB Win prob: 50% | Cover: 47%
MSU Travel: 643 miles, 1 hrs ahead

Cornhuskers (4 - 8) (5 - 5 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 29 - 25 (36 - 21 @ Home)
'18 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
MSU Players
NEB Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Michigan State's 2018 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Fri 8/31	Michigan State vs Utah State	-23.5	52.5	W 38 - 31	O	N
Sat 9/8	Michigan State at Arizona State	-4.5	54.0	L 13 - 16	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/22	Michigan State at Indiana	-5.5	51.0	W 35 - 21	O	Y
Sat 9/29	Michigan State vs Central Michigan	-27.5	46.0	W 31 - 20	O	N
Sat 10/6	Michigan State vs Northwestern	-10.5	43.0	L 19 - 29	O	N
Sat 10/13	Michigan State at Penn State	+13.5	53.5	W 21 - 17	U	Y
Sat 10/20	Michigan State vs Michigan	+7.5	38.5	L 7 - 21	U	N
Sat 10/27	Michigan State vs Purdue	+2.5	48.5	W 23 - 13	U	Y
Sat 11/3	Michigan State at Maryland	-3.0	43.0	W 24 - 3	U	Y
Sat 11/10	Michigan State vs Ohio State	+3.0	50.0	L 6 - 26	U	N
Sat 11/17	Michigan State at Nebraska	+1.5	48.5	L 6 - 9	U	N
Sat 11/24	Michigan State vs Rutgers	-24.5	37.0	W 14 - 10	U	N
Mon 12/31	Michigan State vs Oregon	-1.0	47.0	L 6 - 7	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Michigan State's Schedule

Nebraska's 2018 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/8	Nebraska vs Colorado	-3.0	62.0	L 28 - 33	U	N
Sat 9/15	Nebraska vs Troy	-13.0	55.0	L 19 - 24	U	N
Sat 9/22	Nebraska at Michigan	+18.0	52.0	L 10 - 56	O	N
Sat 9/29	Nebraska vs Purdue	+3.5	58.5	L 28 - 42	O	N
Sat 10/6	Nebraska at Wisconsin	+7.5
Sat 10/13	Nebraska at Northwestern	+3.0	59.0	L 31 - 34	O	Y
Sat 10/20	Nebraska vs Minnesota	-4.5	54.5	W 53 - 28	O	Y
Sat 10/27	Nebraska vs Bethune-Cookman	-48.0
Sat 11/3	Nebraska at Ohio State	+17.0	75.5	L 31 - 36	U	Y
Sat 11/10	Nebraska vs Illinois	-17.0	71.0	W 54 - 35	O	Y
Sat 11/17	Nebraska vs Michigan State	-1.5	48.5	W 9 - 6	U	Y
Fri 11/23	Nebraska at Iowa	+7.5	52.0	L 28 - 31	O	Y

Important Stats (2017)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
MSU	.13	43%	24.6	40%	2.77	168	44%	215	3	.07	38%	29.9	35%	38%	2.98	59.1	1.5	1.8
NEB	.1	40%	28.7	39%	2.74	108	39%	278	3.57	.25	51%	24.6	52%	49%	4.06	60.7	1.6	1

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
MSU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
NEB		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2017

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
MSU Offense	13	24.6	21.6	43.1%	3	1.5	22	383	168	215	4	54%	45%	40%	44%	15%	.13
NEB Defense	12	24.6	20.9	51%	4.06	1	-	-	-	-	-	53%	46%	52%	49%	13%	.25

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
MSU Defense	13	29.9	32.8	37.9%	2.98	1.8	-	-	-	-	-	44%	55%	35%	38%	18%	.07
NEB Offense	12	28.7	36.1	40%	3.57	1.6	20	385	108	278	3.5	43%	56%	39%	39%	19%	.1

Additional Stats 2017

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Michigan State	13	35:18	21.6	45%	58%	6.5	59.1	1.5	1.8	5	2.2	1	30.9
Nebraska	12	30:34	19.7	38%	48%	6.3	60.7	1.6	1	4.5	1.2	3	29.5

Run Game Stats (2018)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
MSU Offense	13	54%	40%	42	167.8	4	18	.01	2.77	66%	10%	0.86
NEB Defense	12	53%	52%	-	-	-	-	.28	3.18	72%	9%	1.01

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
MSU Defense	13	44%	35%	-	-	-	-	-.03	2.45	67%	10%	0.89
NEB Offense	12	43%	39%	30.7	107.5	3.5	13		2.74	79%	10%	0.81

Pass Game Stats (2018)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
MSU Offense	13	45%	44%	19	32.6	215.2	6.6	11.3	20	8	.29	1.6	30%	39%	.3	5%	1.7
NEB Defense	12	46%	49%	-	-	-	-	-	-	9	.25	1.3	27%	39%	.29	4%	1.6

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
MSU Defense	13	55%	38%	-	-	-	-	-	-	14	.15	1.5	35%	29%	.22	7%	1.8
NEB Offense	12	56%	39%	22.1	38.3	277.5	7.3	12.6	23	17	.21	1.7	36%	29%	.17	10%	1.9

Michigan State's Power Ratings
Michigan State's Power Rating: NR
Michigan State's Offense Rating: NR
Michigan State's Defense Rating: NR
2018 Talent Rating: #34
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Michigan State's 2018 Expected Record: -
Michigan State's 2018 Overall SP+ Rating: 11.5 #30
Michigan State's Offense SP+ Rating: 22.0 #111
Michigan State's Defense SP+ Rating: 10.8 #2

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Michigan State: Nebraska: 5.2

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Michigan State: 11.5 Nebraska: 5.4

Nebraska's Power Ratings
Nebraska's Power Rating: 5.2 NR
Nebraska's Offense Rating: NR
Nebraska's Defense Rating: NR
2018 Talent Rating: #25
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Nebraska's 2018 Expected Record: -
Nebraska's 2018 Overall SP+ Rating: 5.4 #49
Nebraska's Offense SP+ Rating: 32.7 #42
Nebraska's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.9 #55

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Michigan State Scoring
Offense: 24.6 PPG
Offense on Road: 21.6
Defense: 29.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 32.8

Michigan State's 2018 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 4 - 9 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 9
Record on Road: 3 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Nebraska 32
Michigan State 23

Projected Total Points: 55

Nebraska Scoring
Offense: 28.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 36.1
Defense: 24.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 20.9

Nebraska's 2018 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 5 - 5 - 1
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record at home: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	10/04	Nebraska	38	Michigan State	27	Nebraska -12.5	Michigan State	48.5	Over
2023	11/04	Michigan State	20	Nebraska	17	Nebraska -3	Michigan State	34.5	Over
2021	09/25	Michigan State	23	Nebraska	20	Michigan State -3.5	Nebraska	55.0	Under
2018	11/17	Nebraska	9	Michigan State	6	Nebraska -1.5	Nebraska	48.5	Under
2015	11/07	Nebraska	39	Michigan State	38	Michigan State -4.5	Nebraska	55.5	Over
2014	10/04	Michigan State	27	Nebraska	22	Michigan State -8	Nebraska	0
2013	11/16	Nebraska	28	Michigan State	41	Michigan State -3.5	Michigan State	0
2012	11/03	Michigan State	24	Nebraska	28
2011	10/29	Nebraska	24	Michigan State	3
2003	12/29	Nebraska	17	Michigan State	3

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Nebraska	6	4	3 Overs
Michigan State	4	3	2 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	8 - 2	3 - 4	1 - 3	2 - 1
Road Teams	2 - 8	4 - 3	1 - 2	3 - 1

(#) MSU at (#) NEB

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	MSU	NEB
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#30	#49
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#34	#25
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Michigan State Injury Report

Nebraska Injury Report

Michigan State on Offense


CategoryCat	MSU Off	NEB Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#111	#55
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Michigan State Run Game


CategoryCat	MSU Off	NEB Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Michigan State Pass Game


CategoryCat	MSU Off	NEB Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Nebraska on Offense


CategoryCat	NEB Off	MSU Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#42	#2
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Nebraska Run Game


CategoryCat	NEB Off	MSU Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Nebraska Pass Game


CategoryCat	NEB Off	MSU Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
NEB 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'18 Profile: Down to Below Avg P4

MSU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'18 Profile: Down to Average P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Memorial Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 12
Nebraska -1.5 (48.5)
Nebraska won vs Michigan State this year (9-6)

Previous Matchups
Nebraska beat Michigan State last year (38-27)
Michigan State beat Nebraska in 2023 (20-17)

MSU's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Michigan State's Full Roster

MSU's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

NEB's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Nebraska's Full Roster

NEB's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD