Michigan State at Arizona State - 2018 Matchup Preview

Michigan State Spartans at Arizona State Sun Devils(#12)

Saturday, September 8th 2018 (10:45 PM EDT)
Michigan State -4.5 (54.0)
Arizona State 16 - Michigan State: 13

Spartans (7 - 6) (4 - 9 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 19 - 17 (20 - 13 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Temp: 102.9° (12.6% Hum)
ASU 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: -1 (SP+ MSU -6.5)
Projected Score: MSU: 24 - ASU: 25 (49)
MSU Win prob: 64% | Cover: 49%
MSU Travel: 1616 miles, 2 hrs ahead

Sun Devils (7 - 6) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 30 - 26 (33 - 19 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
MSU Players
ASU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Michigan State's 2018 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Fri 8/31	Michigan State vs Utah State	-23.5	52.5	W 38 - 31	O	N
Sat 9/8	Michigan State at Arizona State	-4.5	54.0	L 13 - 16	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/22	Michigan State at Indiana	-5.5	51.0	W 35 - 21	O	Y
Sat 9/29	Michigan State vs Central Michigan	-27.5	46.0	W 31 - 20	O	N
Sat 10/6	Michigan State vs Northwestern	-10.5	43.0	L 19 - 29	O	N
Sat 10/13	Michigan State at Penn State	+13.5	53.5	W 21 - 17	U	Y
Sat 10/20	Michigan State vs Michigan	+7.5	38.5	L 7 - 21	U	N
Sat 10/27	Michigan State vs Purdue	+2.5	48.5	W 23 - 13	U	Y
Sat 11/3	Michigan State at Maryland	-3.0	43.0	W 24 - 3	U	Y
Sat 11/10	Michigan State vs Ohio State	+3.0	50.0	L 6 - 26	U	N
Sat 11/17	Michigan State at Nebraska	+1.5	48.5	L 6 - 9	U	N
Sat 11/24	Michigan State vs Rutgers	-24.5	37.0	W 14 - 10	U	N
Mon 12/31	Michigan State vs Oregon	-1.0	47.0	L 6 - 7	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Michigan State's Schedule

Arizona State's 2018 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/1	Arizona State vs UTSA	-17.0	53.5	W 49 - 7	O	Y
Sat 9/8	Arizona State vs Michigan State	+4.5	54.0	W 16 - 13	U	Y
Sat 9/15	Arizona State at San Diego State	-4.5	48.5	L 21 - 28	O	N
Sat 9/22	Arizona State at Washington	+17.5	53.0	L 20 - 27	U	Y
Sat 9/29	Arizona State vs Oregon State	-21.5	64.0	W 52 - 24	O	Y
Sat 10/6	Arizona State at Colorado	+2.5	64.0	L 21 - 28	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Thu 10/18	Arizona State vs Stanford	+2.0	57.5	L 13 - 20	U	N
Sat 10/27	Arizona State at USC	+3.0	52.5	W 38 - 35	O	Y
Sat 11/3	Arizona State vs Utah	+7.5	54.0	W 38 - 20	O	Y
Sat 11/10	Arizona State vs UCLA	-11.5	64.5	W 31 - 28	U	N
Sat 11/17	Arizona State at Oregon	+3.5	64.0	L 29 - 31	U	Y
Sat 11/24	Arizona State at Arizona	-1.5	66.0	W 41 - 40	O	N
Sat 12/15	Arizona State vs Fresno State	+6.0	54.0	L 20 - 31	U	N

Important Stats (2018)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
MSU	.02	38%	18.7	37%	2.51	125	36%	217	2.77	.01	37%	17.2	30%	39%	2.29	54.5	1.7	1.8
ASU	.22	45%	29.9	46%	2.93	184	42%	233	3.61	.18	47%	25.5	46%	45%	3.49	48.9	0.8	1.6

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
MSU	#105 (.13)	42% (86)		45% (50)	2.76 (109)	118	38% (107)	218	3.34 (116)	#85 (.19)	42% (69)		39% (25)	45% (111)	4.06 (98)	63.3	1.6	0.9
ASU	#13 (.31)	50% (8)		52% (6)	3.35 (19)	187	47% (21)	208	4.14 (48)	#36 (.12)	42% (79)		41% (49)	44% (106)	3.64 (51)	50.1	0.6	1.4

Overall Stats 2018

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
MSU Offense	13	18.7	19.8	37.7%	2.77	1.7	20	342	125	217	3.5	45%	53%	37%	36%	17%	.02
ASU Defense	13	25.5	18.7	46.5%	3.49	1.6	-	-	-	-	-	53%	45%	46%	45%	16%	.18

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
MSU Defense	13	17.2	13.2	36.6%	2.29	1.8	-	-	-	-	-	41%	57%	30%	39%	20%	.01
ASU Offense	13	29.9	33.2	45.4%	3.61	0.8	21	417	184	233	4.8	53%	45%	46%	42%	15%	.22

Additional Stats 2018

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Michigan State	13	32:50	20.2	33%	37%	6	54.5	1.7	1.8	6.5	2	1	28
Arizona State	13	29:26	21.3	42%	78%	6.2	48.9	0.8	1.6	6.4	2.2	2	28.4

Run Game Stats (2018)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
MSU Offense	13	45%	37%	35.8	124.7	3.5	13	.01	2.51	68%	9%	0.93
ASU Defense	13	53%	46%	-	-	-	-	.09	2.93	75%	11%	0.88

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
MSU Defense	13	41%	30%	-	-	-	-	-.17	2.03	59%	12%	0.79
ASU Offense	13	53%	46%	38.5	184.1	4.8	26	.17	2.93	69%	9%	0.98

Pass Game Stats (2018)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
MSU Offense	13	53%	36%	19.5	37.8	217.4	5.8	11.1	12	14	.05	1.4	34%	30%	.08	8%	1.5
ASU Defense	13	45%	45%	-	-	-	-	-	-	12	.3	1.5	29%	35%	.3	6%	1.6

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
MSU Defense	13	57%	39%	-	-	-	-	-	-	14	.16	1.4	36%	27%	.18	9%	1.6
ASU Offense	13	45%	42%	18.9	30.4	232.5	7.7	12.3	20	7	.31	1.6	30%	37%	.29	6%	1.6

Michigan State's Power Ratings
Michigan State's Power Rating: NR
Michigan State's Offense Rating: NR
Michigan State's Defense Rating: NR
2018 Talent Rating: #34
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Michigan State's 2018 Expected Record: -
Michigan State's 2018 Overall SP+ Rating: 11.5 #30
Michigan State's Offense SP+ Rating: 22.0 #111
Michigan State's Defense SP+ Rating: 10.8 #2

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Michigan State: Arizona State: 5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Michigan State: 11.5 Arizona State: 5.0

Arizona State's Power Ratings
Arizona State's Power Rating: 5 NR
Arizona State's Offense Rating: NR
Arizona State's Defense Rating: NR
2018 Talent Rating: #29
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Arizona State's 2018 Expected Record: -
Arizona State's 2018 Overall SP+ Rating: 5.0 #51
Arizona State's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.9 #35
Arizona State's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.4 #86

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Michigan State Scoring
Offense: 18.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 19.8
Defense: 17.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 13.2

Michigan State's 2018 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 4 - 9 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 9
Record on Road: 3 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 6 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Arizona State 25
Michigan State 24

Total Points: 49

Based on Last 4 Games
Michigan State 27
Arizona State 26

Total Points: 53

Based on Entire Season
Arizona State 24
Michigan State 21

Total Points: 45

Arizona State Scoring
Offense: 29.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 33.2
Defense: 25.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 18.7

Arizona State's 2018 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2019	09/14	Michigan State	7	Arizona State	10	Michigan State -15.5	Arizona State	42.0	Under
2018	09/08	Arizona State	16	Michigan State	13	Michigan State -4.5	Arizona State	54.0	Under

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Arizona State	2	2	0 Overs
Michigan State	0	0	2 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	1 - 1	1 - 1	0 - 1	1 - 0
Road Teams	1 - 1	1 - 1	0 - 1	1 - 0

(#) MSU at (#) ASU

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	MSU	ASU
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#30	#51
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#34	#29
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Michigan State Injury Report

Arizona State Injury Report

Michigan State on Offense


CategoryCat	MSU Off	ASU Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#111	#86
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Michigan State Run Game


CategoryCat	MSU Off	ASU Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Michigan State Pass Game


CategoryCat	MSU Off	ASU Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Arizona State on Offense


CategoryCat	ASU Off	MSU Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#35	#2
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Arizona State Run Game


CategoryCat	ASU Off	MSU Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Arizona State Pass Game


CategoryCat	ASU Off	MSU Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
ASU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'18 Profile: Down to Below Avg P4

MSU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'18 Profile: Down to Average P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Sun Devil Stadium
Conditions: Fair
Temp: 103°

Rematch from Week 2
Michigan State 4.5 (54.0)
Arizona State won vs Michigan State this year (16-13)

No Matchups Past 4 Years

MSU's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Michigan State's Full Roster

MSU's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

ASU's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Arizona State's Full Roster

ASU's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD