Colorado at Colorado State - 2018 Matchup Preview

Colorado Buffaloes vs Colorado State Rams

Friday, August 31st 2018 (9:30 PM EDT)
Colorado -7 (65.5)
Colorado 45 - Colorado State: 13

Buffaloes (5 - 7) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 27 - 27 (24 - 32 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Our Line: -5 (SP+ COLO -9.5)
Projected Score: COLO: 30 - CSU: 32 (62)
COLO Win prob: 70% | Cover: 49%
COLO Travel: 23 miles

Rams (3 - 9) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 23 - 37 (25 - 31 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
COLO Players
CSU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Colorado's 2018 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Fri 8/31	Colorado vs Colorado State	-7.0	65.5	W 45 - 13	U	Y
Sat 9/8	Colorado at Nebraska	+3.0	62.0	W 33 - 28	U	Y
Sat 9/15	Colorado vs New Hampshire	-37.0	53.0	W 45 - 14	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Fri 9/28	Colorado vs UCLA	-9.0	56.5	W 38 - 16	U	Y
Sat 10/6	Colorado vs Arizona State	-2.5	64.0	W 28 - 21	U	Y
Sat 10/13	Colorado at USC	+7.0	57.0	L 20 - 31	U	N
Sat 10/20	Colorado at Washington	+18.0	50.5	L 13 - 27	U	Y
Sat 10/27	Colorado vs Oregon State	-26.5	59.5	L 34 - 41	O	N
Fri 11/2	Colorado at Arizona	+3.0	57.0	L 34 - 42	O	N
Sat 11/10	Colorado vs Washington State	+5.5	59.5	L 7 - 31	U	N
Sat 11/17	Colorado vs Utah	+7.0	47.0	L 7 - 30	U	N
Sat 11/24	Colorado at California	+10.5	44.5	L 21 - 33	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Colorado's Schedule

Colorado State's 2018 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/25	Colorado State vs Hawai'i	-17.0	58.0	L 34 - 43	O	N
Fri 8/31	Colorado State vs Colorado	+7.0	65.5	L 13 - 45	U	N
Sat 9/8	Colorado State vs Arkansas	+14.0	70.5	W 34 - 27	U	Y
Sat 9/15	Colorado State at Florida	+21.5	60.0	L 10 - 48	U	N
Sat 9/22	Colorado State vs Illinois State	-4.0	58.5	L 19 - 35	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/6	Colorado State at San José State	-3.0	59.0	W 42 - 30	O	Y
Sat 10/13	Colorado State vs New Mexico	+1.5	63.0	W 20 - 18	U	Y
Fri 10/19	Colorado State at Boise State	+24.0	63.5	L 28 - 56	O	N
Fri 10/26	Colorado State vs Wyoming	+3.0	47.5	L 21 - 34	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/10	Colorado State at Nevada	+14.0	61.5	L 10 - 49	U	N
Sat 11/17	Colorado State vs Utah State	+30.5	66.5	L 24 - 29	U	Y
Thu 11/22	Colorado State at Air Force	+14.5	64.0	L 19 - 27	U	Y

Important Stats (2018)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
COLO	.12	39%	27.1	36%	2.49	143	40%	250	3.67	.15	42%	27.3	41%	40%	3.42	54.8	1.6	1.3
CSU	.15	42%	22.8	36%	2.56	106	45%	305	3.23	.26	50%	36.8	50%	46%	4.13	68.6	1.8	0.9

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
COLO	#35 (.24)	44% (48)		44% (73)	2.76 (110)	66	45% (34)	302	4.34 (28)	#22 (.09)	38% (30)		40% (43)	36% (17)	3.3 (21)	62.8	0.9	1.8
CSU	#90 (.16)	42% (76)		43% (80)	2.88 (96)	162	41% (81)	192	3.56 (98)	#61 (.16)	42% (78)		42% (59)	43% (94)	4 (88)	47.3	1.2	1.5

Overall Stats 2018

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
COLO Offense	12	27.1	24.2	39%	3.67	1.6	21	393	143	250	3.8	46%	53%	36%	40%	19%	.12
CSU Defense	12	36.8	31	49.9%	4.13	0.9	-	-	-	-	-	57%	41%	50%	46%	15%	.26

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
COLO Defense	12	27.3	32.2	41.8%	3.42	1.3	-	-	-	-	-	50%	48%	41%	40%	16%	.15
CSU Offense	12	22.8	25.3	41.6%	3.23	1.8	23	411	106	305	3.2	40%	58%	36%	45%	17%	.15

Additional Stats 2018

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Colorado	12	30:52	20.6	36%	39%	5.8	54.8	1.6	1.3	6.7	2.4	1	28
Colorado State	12	30:30	22.8	43%	53%	7.8	68.6	1.8	0.9	5.1	1.3	1	27.2

Run Game Stats (2018)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
COLO Offense	12	46%	36%	37.8	143.2	3.8	21	.03	2.49	69%	14%	1.17
CSU Defense	12	57%	50%	-	-	-	-	.2	3.41	75%	9%	0.93

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
COLO Defense	12	50%	41%	-	-	-	-	.06	2.94	73%	11%	0.88
CSU Offense	12	40%	36%	32.7	105.6	3.2	8	-	2.56	69%	9%	0.92

Pass Game Stats (2018)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
COLO Offense	12	53%	40%	22.5	34.9	249.5	7.2	11.1	19	12	.2	1.7	34%	31%	.24	5%	2.1
CSU Defense	12	41%	46%	-	-	-	-	-	-	7	.38	1.7	28%	35%	.41	6%	2

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
COLO Defense	12	48%	40%	-	-	-	-	-	-	8	.25	1.7	34%	32%	.3	5%	1.8
CSU Offense	12	58%	45%	25.3	41.8	304.9	7.3	12.1	26	16	.27	1.5	34%	31%	.16	9%	1.7

Colorado's Power Ratings
Colorado's Power Rating: NR
Colorado's Offense Rating: NR
Colorado's Defense Rating: NR
2018 Talent Rating: #53
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Colorado's 2018 Expected Record: -
Colorado's 2018 Overall SP+ Rating: -0.7 #79
Colorado's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.0 #85
Colorado's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.2 #58

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Colorado: Colorado State: -5.15

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Colorado: -0.7 Colorado State: -10.3

Colorado State's Power Ratings
Colorado State's Power Rating: -5.15 NR
Colorado State's Offense Rating: NR
Colorado State's Defense Rating: NR
2018 Talent Rating: #75
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Colorado State's 2018 Expected Record: -
Colorado State's 2018 Overall SP+ Rating: -10.3 #102
Colorado State's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.6 #80
Colorado State's Defense SP+ Rating: 36.7 #110

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Colorado Scoring
Offense: 27.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 24.2
Defense: 27.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 32.2

Colorado's 2018 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 8
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0

Projected Score
Colorado State 32
Colorado 30

Total Points: 62

Based on Last 4 Games
Colorado State 37
Colorado 31

Total Points: 67

Based on Entire Season
Colorado 30
Colorado State 27

Total Points: 57

Colorado State Scoring
Offense: 22.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 25.3
Defense: 36.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 31

Colorado State's 2018 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 8
Record at home: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	09/14	Colorado State	9	Colorado	28	Colorado -7.5	Colorado	58.5	Under
2023	09/16	Colorado	43	Colorado State	35	Colorado -23	Colorado State	63.0	Over
2019	08/30	Colorado	52	Colorado State	31	Colorado -12	Colorado	55.0	Over
2018	08/31	Colorado State	13	Colorado	45	Colorado -7	Colorado	65.5	Under
2017	09/01	Colorado	17	Colorado State	3	Colorado -3	Colorado	69.5	Under
2016	09/02	Colorado	44	Colorado State	7	Colorado -10	Colorado	56.0	Under
2015	09/19	Colorado State	24	Colorado	27	Colorado State -1	Colorado	56.5	Under
2014	08/29	Colorado	17	Colorado State	31	Colorado -3	Colorado State	0
2013	09/01	Colorado State	27	Colorado	41	Colorado -1.5	Colorado	0
2012	09/01	Colorado	17	Colorado State	22
2011	09/17	Colorado	28	Colorado State	14
2010	09/04	Colorado State	3	Colorado	24
2009	09/06	Colorado	17	Colorado State	23
2008	08/31	Colorado	38	Colorado State	17
2007	09/01	Colorado	31	Colorado State	28
2006	09/09	Colorado State	14	Colorado	10
2005	09/03	Colorado	31	Colorado State	28
2004	09/04	Colorado	27	Colorado State	24
2003	08/30	Colorado State	35	Colorado	42
2002	08/31	Colorado	14	Colorado State	19
2001	09/01	Colorado State	14	Colorado	41
2000	09/01	Colorado State	28	Colorado	24

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Colorado State	6	2	2 Overs
Colorado	16	7	5 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	11 - 11	3 - 6	3 - 3	0 - 3
Road Teams	11 - 11	6 - 3	3 - 0	3 - 3

(#) COLO at (#) CSU

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	COLO	CSU
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#79	#102
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#53	#75
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Colorado Injury Report

Colorado State Injury Report

Colorado on Offense


CategoryCat	COLO Off	CSU Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#85	#110
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Colorado Run Game


CategoryCat	COLO Off	CSU Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Colorado Pass Game


CategoryCat	COLO Off	CSU Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Colorado State on Offense


CategoryCat	CSU Off	COLO Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#80	#58
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Colorado State Run Game


CategoryCat	CSU Off	COLO Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Colorado State Pass Game


CategoryCat	CSU Off	COLO Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
CSU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'18 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

COLO 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'18 Profile: Down to Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Empower Field at Mile High
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 70° - Wind: 9 mph

Rematch from Week 1
Colorado 7.0 (65.5)
Colorado won at Colorado State this year (45-13)

Previous Matchups
Colorado beat Colorado State last year (28-9)
Colorado beat Colorado State in 2023 (43-35)

COLO's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Colorado's Full Roster

COLO's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

CSU's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Colorado State's Full Roster

CSU's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD