Stanford at Oregon - 2018 Matchup Preview

Saturday, September 22nd 2018 (8:00 PM EDT)
Stanford -2.5 (59.0)
Stanford 38 - Oregon: 31 (Pac-12)

Cardinal (9 - 4) (7 - 5 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 28 - 23 (28 - 27 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Wind: 15 MPH
ORE 4th straight Home Game
ORE is playing their 4th straight game
STAN is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: -0.5 (SP+ STAN -5.5)
Projected Score: STAN: 21 - ORE: 29 (50)
STAN Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
STAN Travel: 460 miles

Ducks (9 - 4) (5 - 8 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 35 - 25 (41 - 25 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
STAN Players
ORE Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Stanford's 2018 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Fri 8/31	Stanford vs San Diego State	-13.5	49.5	W 31 - 10	U	Y
Sat 9/8	Stanford vs USC	-4.5	54.5	W 17 - 3	U	Y
Sat 9/15	Stanford vs UC Davis	-31.0	66.5	W 30 - 10	U	N
Sat 9/22	Stanford at Oregon	-2.5	59.0	W 38 - 31	O	Y
Sat 9/29	Stanford at Notre Dame	+4.5	52.5	L 17 - 38	O	N
Sat 10/6	Stanford vs Utah	-3.5	45.0	L 21 - 40	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Thu 10/18	Stanford at Arizona State	-2.0	57.5	W 20 - 13	U	Y
Sat 10/27	Stanford vs Washington State	-2.5	55.0	L 38 - 41	O	N
Sat 11/3	Stanford at Washington	+9.5	43.5	L 23 - 27	O	Y
Sat 11/10	Stanford vs Oregon State	-23.5	61.5	W 48 - 17	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/24	Stanford at UCLA	-7.0	61.0	W 49 - 42	O	N
Sat 12/1	Stanford at California	-3.0	46.5	W 23 - 13	U	Y
Mon 12/31	Stanford vs Pittsburgh	-3.5	52.5	W 14 - 13	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Stanford's Schedule

Oregon's 2018 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/1	Oregon vs Bowling Green	-34.5	71.0	W 58 - 24	O	N
Sat 9/8	Oregon vs Portland State	-49.5
Sat 9/15	Oregon vs San José State	-42.5	70.5	W 35 - 22	U	N
Sat 9/22	Oregon vs Stanford	+2.5	59.0	L 31 - 38	O	N
Sat 9/29	Oregon at California	-2.0	58.5	W 42 - 24	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/13	Oregon vs Washington	+3.5	59.0	W 30 - 27	U	Y
Sat 10/20	Oregon at Washington State	+3.0	70.0	L 20 - 34	U	N
Sat 10/27	Oregon at Arizona	-7.5	64.5	L 15 - 44	U	N
Sat 11/3	Oregon vs UCLA	-10.5	59.5	W 42 - 21	O	Y
Sat 11/10	Oregon at Utah	+5.5	51.0	L 25 - 32	O	N
Sat 11/17	Oregon vs Arizona State	-3.5	64.0	W 31 - 29	U	N
Fri 11/23	Oregon at Oregon State	-18.0	71.0	W 55 - 15	U	Y
Mon 12/31	Oregon vs Michigan State	+1.0	47.0	W 7 - 6	U	Y

Important Stats (2018)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
STAN	.21	44%	28.4	36%	2.51	108	49%	272	3.71	.17	44%	22.9	42%	44%	2.73	39.8	1.2	1.5
ORE	.23	45%	34.8	47%	3.1	180	41%	248	4.45	.12	42%	25.4	38%	44%	3.15	47.9	1.4	1.8

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
STAN	#114 (.1)	40% (101)		41% (95)	2.72 (116)	134	39% (98)	191	3.67 (92)	#120 (.27)	47% (119)		45% (92)	48% (124)	4.53 (124)	49	1.8	1.3
ORE	#7 (.33)	51% (5)		51% (11)	3.5 (8)	160	50% (6)	258	4.68 (10)	#33 (.11)	38% (18)		42% (64)	34% (2)	3.68 (59)	40.5	0.8	1.2

Overall Stats 2018

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
STAN Offense	13	28.4	28.3	44.2%	3.71	1.2	19	380	108	272	3.7	43%	55%	36%	49%	21%	.21
ORE Defense	13	25.4	25	42.4%	3.15	1.8	-	-	-	-	-	49%	49%	38%	44%	17%	.12

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
STAN Defense	13	22.9	27.3	44.4%	2.73	1.5	-	-	-	-	-	46%	52%	42%	44%	17%	.17
ORE Offense	13	34.8	41.3	44.9%	4.45	1.4	21	427	180	248	4.4	52%	47%	47%	41%	15%	.23

Additional Stats 2018

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Stanford	13	29:56	19.2	39%	67%	5.4	39.8	1.2	1.5	5.5	2.8	0	30.5
Oregon	13	27:54	21.5	43%	61%	5	47.9	1.4	1.8	4.5	2	3	30.3

Run Game Stats (2018)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
STAN Offense	13	43%	36%	29.5	107.9	3.7	16	-.02	2.51	72%	10%	0.85
ORE Defense	13	49%	38%	-	-	-	-	.02	2.78	70%	8%	0.92

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
STAN Defense	13	46%	42%	-	-	-	-	.12	3.03	69%	9%	0.9
ORE Offense	13	52%	47%	40.5	179.6	4.4	27	.14	3.1	81%	8%	0.87

Pass Game Stats (2018)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
STAN Offense	13	55%	49%	20.8	32.5	271.6	8.4	13.1	29	11	.42	1.6	33%	33%	.42	10%	2.1
ORE Defense	13	49%	44%	-	-	-	-	-	-	17	.25	1.5	32%	33%	.15	8%	1.5

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
STAN Defense	13	52%	44%	-	-	-	-	-	-	11	.25	1.5	32%	34%	.24	8%	1.6
ORE Offense	13	47%	41%	18.9	32.2	247.8	7.7	13.1	29	8	.33	1.8	30%	35%	.46	7%	2.1

Stanford's Power Ratings
Stanford's Power Rating: NR
Stanford's Offense Rating: NR
Stanford's Defense Rating: NR
2018 Talent Rating: #17
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Stanford's 2018 Expected Record: -
Stanford's 2018 Overall SP+ Rating: 13.0 #26
Stanford's Offense SP+ Rating: 35.4 #26
Stanford's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.3 #43

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Stanford: Oregon: 6.15

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Stanford: 13.0 Oregon: 7.3

Oregon's Power Ratings
Oregon's Power Rating: 6.15 NR
Oregon's Offense Rating: NR
Oregon's Defense Rating: NR
2018 Talent Rating: #26
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Oregon's 2018 Expected Record: -
Oregon's 2018 Overall SP+ Rating: 7.3 #41
Oregon's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.7 #31
Oregon's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.8 #50

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Stanford Scoring
Offense: 28.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 28.3
Defense: 22.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 27.3

Stanford's 2018 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 1
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record on Road: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 1 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 3 - 1
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 3 - 0 - 0

Projected Score
Oregon 29
Stanford 21

Total Points: 50

Based on Last 4 Games
Oregon 25
Stanford 15

Total Points: 40

Based on Entire Season
Oregon 32
Stanford 27

Total Points: 59

Oregon Scoring
Offense: 34.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 41.3
Defense: 25.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 25

Oregon's 2018 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 5 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2023	09/30	Stanford	6	Oregon	42	Oregon -27	Oregon	59.5	Under
2022	10/01	Oregon	45	Stanford	27	Oregon -17	Oregon	63.0	Over
2021	10/02	Stanford	31	Oregon	24	Oregon -8.5	Stanford	57.5	Under
2020	11/07	Oregon	35	Stanford	14	Oregon -12	Oregon	49.0	Push
2019	09/21	Stanford	6	Oregon	21	Oregon -13	Oregon	55.5	Under
2018	09/22	Oregon	31	Stanford	38	Stanford -2.5	Stanford	59.0	Over
2017	10/14	Stanford	49	Oregon	7	Stanford -10	Stanford	57.0	Under
2016	11/12	Oregon	27	Stanford	52	Stanford -1	Stanford	57.5	Over
2015	11/14	Stanford	36	Oregon	38	Stanford -8.5	Oregon	65.5	Over
2014	11/01	Oregon	45	Stanford	16	Oregon -12.5	Oregon	0
2013	11/07	Stanford	26	Oregon	20	Oregon -9.5	Stanford	0
2012	11/17	Oregon	14	Stanford	17
2011	11/12	Stanford	30	Oregon	53
2010	10/02	Oregon	52	Stanford	31
2009	11/07	Stanford	51	Oregon	42
2008	11/08	Oregon	35	Stanford	28
2007	09/22	Stanford	31	Oregon	55
2006	09/02	Oregon	48	Stanford	10
2005	10/01	Stanford	20	Oregon	44
2004	10/23	Stanford	13	Oregon	16
2003	10/25	Oregon	35	Stanford	0
2002	11/02	Oregon	41	Stanford	14
2001	10/20	Oregon	42	Stanford	49

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Oregon	15	6	4 Overs
Stanford	8	5	4 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	12 - 11	6 - 5	4 - 1	2 - 4
Road Teams	11 - 12	5 - 6	4 - 2	1 - 4

(#) STAN at (#) ORE

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	STAN	ORE
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#26	#41
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#17	#26
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Stanford Injury Report

Oregon Injury Report

Stanford on Offense


CategoryCat	STAN Off	ORE Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#26	#50
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Stanford Run Game


CategoryCat	STAN Off	ORE Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Stanford Pass Game


CategoryCat	STAN Off	ORE Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Oregon on Offense


CategoryCat	ORE Off	STAN Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#31	#43
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Oregon Run Game


CategoryCat	ORE Off	STAN Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Oregon Pass Game


CategoryCat	ORE Off	STAN Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
ORE 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'18 Profile: Down to Below Avg P4

STAN 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'18 Profile: Down to Average P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Autzen Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 68° - Wind: 15 mph

Rematch from Week 4
Stanford 2.5 (59.0)
Stanford won at Oregon this year (38-31)

Previous Matchups
Oregon beat Stanford in 2023 (42-6)
Oregon beat Stanford in 2022 (45-27)

STAN's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Stanford's Full Roster

STAN's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

ORE's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Oregon's Full Roster

ORE's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD