Cincinnati at South Florida - 2017 Matchup Preview

Cincinnati Bearcats at South Florida Bulls(#24)

Saturday, October 14th 2017 (7:30 PM EDT)
South Florida -24 (63.0) (0) Open: 0.0
South Florida 33 - Cincinnati: 3 (American Athletic)

Bearcats (4 - 8) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 21 - 32 (18 - 32 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

USF coming off BYE
CIN is playing their 7th straight game
Our Line: -11 (SP+ USF -17)
Projected Score: CIN: 21 - USF: 37 (58)
USF Win prob: 96% | Cover: 57%
CIN Travel: 779 miles

Bulls (10 - 2) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 38 - 24 (34 - 16 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
CIN Players
USF Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Cincinnati's 2017 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 8/31	Cincinnati vs Austin Peay	-43.0
Sat 9/9	Cincinnati at Michigan	+32.5	50.5	L 14 - 36	U	Y
Sat 9/16	Cincinnati at Miami (OH)	+3.5	49.0	W 21 - 17	U	Y
Sat 9/23	Cincinnati at Navy	+8.5	52.5	L 32 - 42	O	N
Sat 9/30	Cincinnati vs Marshall	-3.0	52.5	L 21 - 38	O	N
Sat 10/7	Cincinnati vs UCF	+15.0	52.5	L 23 - 51	O	N
Sat 10/14	Cincinnati at South Florida	+24.0	63.0	L 3 - 33	U	N
Sat 10/21	Cincinnati vs SMU	+6.0	66.0	L 28 - 31	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/4	Cincinnati at Tulane	+5.5	54.5	W 17 - 16	U	Y
Fri 11/10	Cincinnati vs Temple	+3.0	49.5	L 24 - 35	O	N
Sat 11/18	Cincinnati at East Carolina	-4.5	67.5	L 20 - 48	O	N
Sat 11/25	Cincinnati vs UConn	-6.0	59.0	W 22 - 21	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Cincinnati's Schedule

South Florida's 2017 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/26	South Florida at San José State	-21.5	71.5	W 42 - 22	U	N
Sat 9/2	South Florida vs Stony Brook	-36.0
	BYE WEEK
Fri 9/15	South Florida vs Illinois	-16.5	55.5	W 47 - 23	O	Y
Thu 9/21	South Florida vs Temple	-18.0	61.5	W 43 - 7	U	Y
Sat 9/30	South Florida at East Carolina	-22.5	73.0	W 61 - 31	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/14	South Florida vs Cincinnati	-24.0	63.0	W 33 - 3	U	Y
Sat 10/21	South Florida at Tulane	-11.0	54.0	W 34 - 28	O	N
Sat 10/28	South Florida vs Houston	-10.0	55.0	L 24 - 28	U	N
Sat 11/4	South Florida at UConn	-24.0	64.5	W 37 - 20	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Thu 11/16	South Florida vs Tulsa	-23.5	65.5	W 27 - 20	U	N
Fri 11/24	South Florida at UCF	+10.0	64.5	L 42 - 49	O	Y
Sat 12/23	South Florida vs Texas Tech	-2.0	66.0	W 38 - 34	O	Y

Important Stats (2017)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
CIN	.12	40%	20.9	42%	2.93	135	37%	216	3.14	.21	44%	31.8	41%	44%	3.96	73	1.3	0.8
USF	.22	43%	38.3	43%	2.95	264	40%	249	3.79	.04	35%	23.5	35%	35%	3.3	87.3	1.2	2

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
CIN	#59 (.21)	45% (43)		44% (67)	3.03 (69)	185	45% (32)	237	3.33 (118)	#75 (.18)	42% (76)		46% (94)	39% (43)	3.51 (40)	44.4	1.5	1.2
USF	#83 (.17)	38% (118)		39% (112)	3.06 (60)	181	38% (106)	227	3.88 (74)	#66 (.16)	39% (36)		38% (17)	40% (69)	4 (88)	70.9	1.4	2.1

Overall Stats 2017

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
CIN Offense	12	20.9	17.8	39.9%	3.14	1.3	20	352	135	216	4.4	44%	55%	42%	37%	16%	.12
USF Defense	12	23.5	16.3	35.3%	3.3	2	-	-	-	-	-	47%	52%	35%	35%	20%	.04

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
CIN Defense	12	31.8	32	43.7%	3.96	0.8	-	-	-	-	-	57%	41%	41%	44%	13%	.21
USF Offense	12	38.3	34.2	43%	3.79	1.2	26	513	264	249	5	60%	38%	43%	40%	13%	.22

Additional Stats 2017

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Cincinnati	12	26:35	19.7	39%	53%	7.8	73	1.3	0.8	4.8	1	1	28.3
South Florida	12	30:29	25.8	44%	60%	9.3	87.3	1.2	2	8.4	3	2	32.9

Run Game Stats (2017)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
CIN Offense	12	44%	42%	30.9	135.3	4.4	11	.12	2.93	62%	9%	0.95
USF Defense	12	47%	35%	-	-	-	-	-.06	2.28	52%	12%	1.03

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
CIN Defense	12	57%	41%	-	-	-	-	.11	2.73	72%	8%	1
USF Offense	12	60%	43%	52.8	264.1	5	30	.16	2.95	66%	9%	1.07

Pass Game Stats (2017)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
CIN Offense	12	55%	37%	20.4	36.2	216.4	6	10.6	20	9	.14	1.6	35%	34%	.27	6%	1.7
USF Defense	12	52%	35%	-	-	-	-	-	-	20	.14	1.8	37%	33%	.35	8%	2.1

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
CIN Defense	12	41%	44%	-	-	-	-	-	-	5	.38	1.7	31%	36%	.39	4%	1.8
USF Offense	12	38%	40%	16.3	30.6	248.9	8.1	15.2	25	6	.35	1.9	33%	37%	.45	4%	2

Cincinnati's Power Ratings
Cincinnati's Power Rating: NR
Cincinnati's Offense Rating: NR
Cincinnati's Defense Rating: NR
2017 Talent Rating: #72
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Cincinnati's 2017 Expected Record: -
Cincinnati's 2017 Overall SP+ Rating: -6.4 #95
Cincinnati's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.3 #101
Cincinnati's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.2 #68

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Cincinnati: South Florida: 7.6

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Cincinnati: -6.4 South Florida: 10.2

South Florida's Power Ratings
South Florida's Power Rating: 7.6 NR
South Florida's Offense Rating: NR
South Florida's Defense Rating: NR
2017 Talent Rating: #59
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
South Florida's 2017 Expected Record: -
South Florida's 2017 Overall SP+ Rating: 10.2 #32
South Florida's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.6 #47
South Florida's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.2 #29

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Cincinnati Scoring
Offense: 20.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 17.8
Defense: 31.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 32

Cincinnati's 2017 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
South Florida 37
Cincinnati 21

Total Points: 58

Based on Last 4 Games
South Florida 40
Cincinnati 22

Total Points: 62

Based on Entire Season
South Florida 34
Cincinnati 20

Total Points: 54

South Florida Scoring
Offense: 38.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 34.2
Defense: 23.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 16.3

South Florida's 2017 Record
Record: 10 - 2
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2022	10/08	Cincinnati	28	South Florida	24	Cincinnati -27	South Florida	58.5	Under
2021	11/12	South Florida	28	Cincinnati	45	Cincinnati -24.5	South Florida	58.5	Over
2020	10/03	Cincinnati	28	South Florida	7	Cincinnati -22	South Florida	44.5	Under
2019	11/16	South Florida	17	Cincinnati	20	Cincinnati -13	South Florida	46.5	Under
2018	11/10	Cincinnati	35	South Florida	23	Cincinnati -14	South Florida	53.0	Over
2017	10/14	South Florida	33	Cincinnati	3	South Florida -24	South Florida	63.0	Under
2016	10/01	Cincinnati	20	South Florida	45	South Florida -6	South Florida	64.5	Over
2015	11/20	South Florida	65	Cincinnati	27	Cincinnati -2.5	South Florida	66.0	Over
2014	10/24	Cincinnati	34	South Florida	17	Cincinnati -10	Cincinnati	0
2013	10/05	South Florida	26	Cincinnati	20	Cincinnati -13.5	South Florida	0
2012	11/23	Cincinnati	27	South Florida	10
2011	10/22	South Florida	34	Cincinnati	37
2010	10/22	Cincinnati	30	South Florida	38
2009	10/15	South Florida	17	Cincinnati	34
2008	10/30	Cincinnati	24	South Florida	10
2007	11/03	South Florida	33	Cincinnati	38
2006	10/22	Cincinnati	23	South Florida	6
2005	11/19	South Florida	31	Cincinnati	16
2004	11/20	Cincinnati	45	South Florida	23
2003	10/31	South Florida	24	Cincinnati	17

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
South Florida	7	9	4 Overs
Cincinnati	13	1	4 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	13 - 7	6 - 4	2 - 3	4 - 1
Road Teams	7 - 13	4 - 6	1 - 4	3 - 2

(#) CIN at (#) USF

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	CIN	USF
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#95	#32
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#72	#59
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Cincinnati Injury Report

South Florida Injury Report

Cincinnati on Offense


CategoryCat	CIN Off	USF Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#101	#29
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Cincinnati Run Game


CategoryCat	CIN Off	USF Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Cincinnati Pass Game


CategoryCat	CIN Off	USF Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

South Florida on Offense


CategoryCat	USF Off	CIN Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#47	#68
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

South Florida Run Game


CategoryCat	USF Off	CIN Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

South Florida Pass Game


CategoryCat	USF Off	CIN Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
USF 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'17 Profile: Down to Average P4

CIN 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'17 Profile: Down to Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Raymond James Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 86° - Wind: 7 mph

Rematch from Week 7
South Florida -24.0 (63.0)
South Florida won vs Cincinnati this year (33-3)

Previous Matchups
Cincinnati beat South Florida in 2022 (28-24)

CIN's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Cincinnati's Full Roster

CIN's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

USF's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View South Florida's Full Roster

USF's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD