UCF at Cincinnati - 2017 Matchup Preview
UCF logo UCF Knights at Cincinnati BearcatsCincinnati logo
Saturday, October 7th 2017 (8:00 PM EDT)
UCF -15 (52.5) (0)  Open: 0.0
UCF 51 - Cincinnati: 23  (American Athletic)

 
Knights (13 - 0) (8 - 4 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 48 - 25 (39 - 19 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
CIN 2nd straight Home Game
CIN is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: -8  (SP+ UCF -20.5)
Projected Score: UCF: 38 - CIN: 20 (58)
UCF Win prob: 85% | Cover: 46%
UCF Travel: 752 miles
Bearcats (4 - 8) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 21 - 32 (24 - 32 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
UCF's 2017 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/31 UCF vs Florida International-17.056.5W 61 - 17OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/23 UCF at Maryland+4.561.5W 38 - 10UY
Sat 9/30 UCF vs Memphis-5.568.5W 40 - 13UY
Sat 10/7 UCF at Cincinnati-15.052.5W 51 - 23OY
Sat 10/14 UCF vs East Carolina-35.070.0W 63 - 21OY
Sat 10/21 UCF at Navy-9.565.5W 31 - 21UY
Sat 10/28 UCF vs Austin Peay-43.5
Sat 11/4 UCF at SMU-14.075.0W 31 - 24UN
Sat 11/11 UCF vs UConn-38.064.0W 49 - 24ON
Sat 11/18 UCF at Temple-13.059.5W 45 - 19OY
Fri 11/24 UCF vs South Florida-10.064.5W 49 - 42ON
Sat 12/2 UCF vs Memphis-7.082.0W 62 - 55ON
Mon 1/1 UCF vs Auburn+9.567.0W 34 - 27UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for UCF's Schedule
Cincinnati's 2017 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/31 Cincinnati vs Austin Peay-43.0
Sat 9/9 Cincinnati at Michigan+32.550.5L 14 - 36UY
Sat 9/16 Cincinnati at Miami (OH)+3.549.0W 21 - 17UY
Sat 9/23 Cincinnati at Navy+8.552.5L 32 - 42ON
Sat 9/30 Cincinnati vs Marshall-3.052.5L 21 - 38ON
Sat 10/7 Cincinnati vs UCF+15.052.5L 23 - 51ON
Sat 10/14 Cincinnati at South Florida+24.063.0L 3 - 33UN
Sat 10/21 Cincinnati vs SMU+6.066.0L 28 - 31UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/4 Cincinnati at Tulane+5.554.5W 17 - 16UY
Fri 11/10 Cincinnati vs Temple+3.049.5L 24 - 35ON
Sat 11/18 Cincinnati at East Carolina-4.567.5L 20 - 48ON
Sat 11/25 Cincinnati vs UConn-6.059.0W 22 - 21UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Cincinnati's Schedule
Important Stats (2017)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UCF.3549%48.245%2.7819952%3324.09.1238%25.338%37%368.31.22.5
CIN.1240%20.942%2.9313537%2163.14.2144%31.841%44%3.96731.30.8
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UCF#58 (.21)46% (28)52% (8)3.62 (2)24838% (103)2003.75 (86)#63 (.16)40% (45)37% (12)42% (84)4.37 (118)54.41.60.9
CIN#59 (.21)45% (43)44% (67)3.03 (69)18545% (32)2373.33 (118)#75 (.18)42% (76)46% (94)39% (43)3.51 (40)44.41.51.2



Overall Stats 2017
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UCF Offense1348.239.249.3%4.091.2255301993325.250%49%45%52%14%.35
CIN Defense1231.831.743.7%3.960.8 - - - - - 57%41%41%44%13%.21
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UCF Defense1325.319.438%32.5 - - - - - 48%51%38%37%17%.12
CIN Offense1220.92439.9%3.141.3203521352164.444%55%42%37%16%.12

Additional Stats 2017
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
UCF1328:0425.245%50%8.468.31.22.562.1635.1
Cincinnati1226:3519.739%53%7.8731.30.84.81128.3
Run Game Stats (2017)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UCF Offense1350%45%38.5198.75.239.182.7854%9%1.2
CIN Defense1257%41% - - - - .112.7372%8%1
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UCF Defense1348%38% - - - - .052.7261%10%1.04
CIN Offense1244%42%30.9135.34.411.122.9362%9%0.95

Pass Game Stats (2017)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UCF Offense1349%52%22.132.6331.810.215389.541.728%41%.535%2.1
CIN Defense1241%44% - - - - - - 5.381.731%36%.394%1.8
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UCF Defense1351%37% - - - - - - 20.211.935%32%.367%2.2
CIN Offense1255%37%20.436.2216.4610.6209.141.635%34%.276%1.7

UCF's Power Ratings
UCF's Power Rating: NR
UCF's Offense Rating: NR
UCF's Defense Rating: NR
2017 Talent Rating:  #54
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
UCF's 2017 Expected Record: -
UCF's 2017 Overall SP+ Rating: 14.1  #22
UCF's Offense SP+ Rating: 40.5  #6
UCF's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.9  #63

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
UCF:    Cincinnati: -0.7

SP+ Ratings Matchup
UCF: 14.1   Cincinnati: -6.4




Cincinnati's Power Ratings
Cincinnati's Power Rating: -0.7 NR
Cincinnati's Offense Rating: NR
Cincinnati's Defense Rating: NR
2017 Talent Rating:  #72
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Cincinnati's 2017 Expected Record: -
Cincinnati's 2017 Overall SP+ Rating: -6.4  #95
Cincinnati's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.3  #101
Cincinnati's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.2  #68

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


UCF Scoring
Offense: 48.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 39.2
Defense: 25.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 19.4

UCF's 2017 Record
Record: 13 - 0
Record vs Spread: 8 - 4 - 1
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record on Road: 6 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 4 - 1
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
UCF 38
Cincinnati 20

Total Points: 58

Based on Last 4 Games
UCF 38
Cincinnati 17

Total Points: 56

Based on Entire Season
UCF 38
Cincinnati 22

Total Points: 60
Cincinnati Scoring
Offense: 20.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 24
Defense: 31.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 31.7

Cincinnati's 2017 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record at home: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202510/11Cincinnati20UCF11Cincinnati -10UCF55.5Under
202410/12UCF13Cincinnati19UCF -2Cincinnati58.0Under
202311/04Cincinnati26UCF28UCF -3.5Cincinnati59.5Under
202210/29UCF25Cincinnati21UCF -1.5UCF55.5Under
202110/16Cincinnati56UCF21Cincinnati -21.5Cincinnati56.0Over
202011/21UCF33Cincinnati36Cincinnati -4.5UCF66.0Over
201910/04Cincinnati27UCF24UCF -3.5Cincinnati64.0Under
201811/17UCF38Cincinnati13UCF -7.5UCF60.0Under
201710/07Cincinnati23UCF51UCF -15UCF52.5Over
201611/12UCF24Cincinnati3UCF -10UCF55.0Under
201510/31Cincinnati52UCF7Cincinnati -20.5Cincinnati61.5Under
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Cincinnati653 Overs
UCF568 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams7 - 48 - 35 - 23 - 1
Road Teams4 - 73 - 81 - 32 - 5

(#) UCF at (#) CIN
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatUCFCIN
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #22 #95
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #54 #72
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
UCF on Offense
CategoryCat
UCF OffCIN Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #6 #68
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
UCF Run Game
CategoryCat
UCF OffCIN Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
UCF Pass Game
CategoryCat
UCF OffCIN Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Cincinnati on Offense
CategoryCatCIN OffUCF Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #101 #63
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Cincinnati Run Game
CategoryCat
CIN OffUCF Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Cincinnati Pass Game
CategoryCatCIN OffUCF Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
CIN 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'17 Profile: Down to Average G5

UCF 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'17 Profile: Down to Top 25 Contenders

Weather Forecast
Playing in Nippert Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 79° - Wind: 10 mph
Rematch from Week 6
UCF 15.0 (52.5)
UCF won at Cincinnati this year (51-23)

Previous Matchups
Cincinnati beat UCF last year (19-13)
UCF beat Cincinnati in 2023 (28-26)
UCF beat Cincinnati in 2022 (25-21)

  
UCF's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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UCF's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

CIN's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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CIN's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD