Stony Brook at South Florida - 2017 Matchup Preview
Stony Brook logo Stony Brook Seawolves at South Florida BullsSouth Florida logo
Saturday, September 2nd 2017 (4:00 PM EDT)
South Florida -36 (0)  Open: 0.0
South Florida 31 - Stony Brook: 17

 
Seawolves (0 - 1) (1 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 17 - 31 (17 - 31 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Light Rain Predicted
Our Line: -7.5  (SP+ USF -10)

USF Win prob: 97% | Cover: 58%
Bulls (10 - 2) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 38 - 24 (34 - 16 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Stony Brook's 2017 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Stony Brook at South Florida+36.0

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Stony Brook's Schedule
South Florida's 2017 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/26 South Florida at San José State-21.571.5W 42 - 22UN
Sat 9/2 South Florida vs Stony Brook-36.0
BYE WEEK
Fri 9/15 South Florida vs Illinois-16.555.5W 47 - 23OY
Thu 9/21 South Florida vs Temple-18.061.5W 43 - 7UY
Sat 9/30 South Florida at East Carolina-22.573.0W 61 - 31OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/14 South Florida vs Cincinnati-24.063.0W 33 - 3UY
Sat 10/21 South Florida at Tulane-11.054.0W 34 - 28ON
Sat 10/28 South Florida vs Houston-10.055.0L 24 - 28UN
Sat 11/4 South Florida at UConn-24.064.5W 37 - 20UN
BYE WEEK
Thu 11/16 South Florida vs Tulsa-23.565.5W 27 - 20UN
Fri 11/24 South Florida at UCF+10.064.5L 42 - 49OY
Sat 12/23 South Florida vs Texas Tech-2.066.0W 38 - 34OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for South Florida's Schedule
Important Stats (2017)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
STON0%170%000%000%310%0%0000
USF.2243%38.343%2.9526440%2493.79.0435%23.535%35%3.387.31.22
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
STON0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
USF#83 (.17)38% (118)39% (112)3.06 (60)18138% (106)2273.88 (74)#66 (.16)39% (36)38% (17)40% (69)4 (88)70.91.42.1



Overall Stats 2017
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
STON Offense117170%00000000%0%0%0%0%
USF Defense1223.516.335.3%3.32 - - - - - 47%52%35%35%20%.04
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
STON Defense131310%00 - - - - - 0%0%0%0%0%
USF Offense1238.334.243%3.791.226513264249560%38%43%40%13%.22

Additional Stats 2017
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Stony Brook10:000NAN%0%0000000100
South Florida1230:2925.844%60%9.387.31.228.43232.9
Run Game Stats (2017)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
STON Offense10%0%000000%0%0
USF Defense1247%35% - - - - -.062.2852%12%1.03
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
STON Defense10%0% - - - - 00%0%0
USF Offense1260%43%52.8264.1530.162.9566%9%1.07

Pass Game Stats (2017)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
STON Offense10%0%000000000%0%0%0
USF Defense1252%35% - - - - - - 20.141.837%33%.358%2.1
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
STON Defense10%0% - - - - - - 000%0%0%0
USF Offense1238%40%16.330.6248.98.115.2256.351.933%37%.454%2

Stony Brook's Power Ratings
Stony Brook's Power Rating: NR
Stony Brook's Offense Rating: NR
Stony Brook's Defense Rating: NR
2017 Talent Rating:  #131
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Stony Brook's 2017 Expected Record: -
Stony Brook's 2017 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Stony Brook's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Stony Brook's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average CAA Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Stony Brook:    South Florida: 7.6

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Stony Brook:    South Florida: 10.2




South Florida's Power Ratings
South Florida's Power Rating: 7.6 NR
South Florida's Offense Rating: NR
South Florida's Defense Rating: NR
2017 Talent Rating:  #59
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
South Florida's 2017 Expected Record: -
South Florida's 2017 Overall SP+ Rating: 10.2  #32
South Florida's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.6  #47
South Florida's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.2  #29

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


Stony Brook Scoring
Offense: 17 PPG
Offense on Road: 17
Defense: 31 PPG
Defense on Road: 31

Stony Brook's 2017 Record
Record: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 1
Record on Road: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 0 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
South Florida 34
Stony Brook 22


Total Points: 56

Based on Last 4 Games
South Florida 35
Stony Brook 26

Total Points: 61

Based on Entire Season
South Florida 34
Stony Brook 18

Total Points: 52
South Florida Scoring
Offense: 38.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 34.2
Defense: 23.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 16.3

South Florida's 2017 Record
Record: 10 - 2
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
201709/02South Florida31Stony Brook17South Florida -36Stony Brook0
201009/04South Florida59Stony Brook14
TeamWinsCoversO/U
South Florida200 Overs
Stony Brook010 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams2 - 00 - 10 - 10 - 0
Road Teams0 - 21 - 00 - 01 - 0

(#) STON at (#) USF
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatSTONUSF
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+NR #32
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #131 #59
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Stony Brook on Offense
CategoryCat
STON OffUSF Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NR #29
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Stony Brook Run Game
CategoryCat
STON OffUSF Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Stony Brook Pass Game
CategoryCat
STON OffUSF Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
South Florida on Offense
CategoryCatUSF OffSTON Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #47NR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
South Florida Run Game
CategoryCat
USF OffSTON Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
South Florida Pass Game
CategoryCatUSF OffSTON Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
USF 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'17 Profile: Down to Average P4

STON 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'17 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Raymond James Stadium
Conditions: Light Rain
Temp: 77° - Wind: 9 mph
Rain: 0.079
Rematch from Week 1
South Florida -36.0 (0)
South Florida won vs Stony Brook this year (31-17)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
STON's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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STON's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

USF's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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USF's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD