Illinois at South Florida - 2017 Matchup Preview

Illinois Fighting Illini at South Florida Bulls

Friday, September 15th 2017 (7:00 PM EDT)
South Florida -16.5 (55.5) (0) Open: 0.0
South Florida 47 - Illinois: 23

Fighting Illini (2 - 10) (4 - 7 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 29 - 24 (27 - 36 on Road)
'17 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

USF coming off BYE
Our Line: -11.5 (SP+ USF -18)
Projected Score: ILL: 23 - USF: 38 (61)
USF Win prob: 90% | Cover: 54%
ILL Travel: 899 miles, 1 hrs behind

Bulls (10 - 2) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 41 - 23 (51 - 14 @ Home)
'17 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
ILL Players
USF Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Illinois's 2017 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Illinois vs Ball State	-5.0	55.5	W 24 - 21	U	N
Sat 9/9	Illinois vs Western Kentucky	+6.5	52.0	W 20 - 7	U	Y
Fri 9/15	Illinois at South Florida	+16.5	55.5	L 23 - 47	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Fri 9/29	Illinois vs Nebraska	+6.5	47.5	L 6 - 28	U	N
Sat 10/7	Illinois at Iowa	+16.0	42.5	L 16 - 45	O	N
Sat 10/14	Illinois vs Rutgers	-1.0	47.0	L 24 - 35	O	N
Sat 10/21	Illinois at Minnesota	+14.5	48.5	L 17 - 24	U	Y
Sat 10/28	Illinois vs Wisconsin	+28.5	51.0	L 10 - 24	U	Y
Sat 11/4	Illinois at Purdue	+14.0	50.0	L 10 - 29	U	N
Sat 11/11	Illinois vs Indiana	+10.0	51.5	L 14 - 24	U	Y
Sat 11/18	Illinois at Ohio State	+41.0	54.5	L 14 - 52	O	Y
Sat 11/25	Illinois vs Northwestern	+16.5	46.0	L 7 - 42	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Illinois's Schedule

South Florida's 2017 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/26	South Florida at San José State	-21.5	71.5	W 42 - 22	U	N
Sat 9/2	South Florida vs Stony Brook	-36.0
	BYE WEEK
Fri 9/15	South Florida vs Illinois	-16.5	55.5	W 47 - 23	O	Y
Thu 9/21	South Florida vs Temple	-18.0	61.5	W 43 - 7	U	Y
Sat 9/30	South Florida at East Carolina	-22.5	73.0	W 61 - 31	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/14	South Florida vs Cincinnati	-24.0	63.0	W 33 - 3	U	Y
Sat 10/21	South Florida at Tulane	-11.0	54.0	W 34 - 28	O	N
Sat 10/28	South Florida vs Houston	-10.0	55.0	L 24 - 28	U	N
Sat 11/4	South Florida at UConn	-24.0	64.5	W 37 - 20	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Thu 11/16	South Florida vs Tulsa	-23.5	65.5	W 27 - 20	U	N
Fri 11/24	South Florida at UCF	+10.0	64.5	L 42 - 49	O	Y
Sat 12/23	South Florida vs Texas Tech	-2.0	66.0	W 38 - 34	O	Y

Important Stats (2016)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ILL	.08	38%	29.4	37%	2.77	141	37%	175	2.88	.16	46%	23.6	46%	44%	3.38	53.3	1.7	1.5
USF	.37	47%	40.5	48%	3.44	285	44%	226	4.45	.22	49%	23.4	49%	46%	3.81	58.7	1.3	2

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ILL		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
USF		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2016

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ILL Offense	12	29.4	26.6	37.9%	2.88	1.7	15	315	141	175	4.8	46%	52%	37%	37%	19%	.08
USF Defense	13	23.4	14.3	48.7%	3.81	2	-	-	-	-	-	50%	48%	49%	46%	13%	.22

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ILL Defense	12	23.6	35.6	46.2%	3.38	1.5	-	-	-	-	-	59%	39%	46%	44%	17%	.16
USF Offense	13	40.5	51	46.9%	4.45	1.3	23	512	285	226	6.5	60%	39%	48%	44%	13%	.37

Additional Stats 2016

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Illinois	12	25:59	15	28%	44%	6.3	53.3	1.7	1.5	8.1	2.3	1	30.3
South Florida	13	26:48	23.1	44%	89%	6.4	58.7	1.3	2	6.1	2.4	3	31.7

Run Game Stats (2017)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ILL Offense	12	46%	37%	29.4	140.5	4.8	14	.07	2.77	55%	12%	1.17
USF Defense	13	50%	49%	-	-	-	-	.16	3.15	71%	9%	0.89

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ILL Defense	12	59%	46%	-	-	-	-	.13	3.01	70%	13%	0.91
USF Offense	13	60%	48%	43.8	285.3	6.5	47	.41	3.44	78%	10%	1.38

Pass Game Stats (2017)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ILL Offense	12	52%	37%	15.3	29.8	174.6	5.9	11.5	13	9	.11	1.4	34%	28%	.2	7%	1.8
USF Defense	13	48%	46%	-	-	-	-	-	-	15	.29	1.5	27%	38%	.23	4%	1.5

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ILL Defense	12	39%	44%	-	-	-	-	-	-	7	.23	1.5	32%	37%	.38	4%	1.6
USF Offense	13	39%	44%	17.3	27.5	226.2	8.2	13.1	26	8	.34	1.7	30%	36%	.38	3%	1.7

Illinois's Power Ratings
Illinois's Power Rating: NR
Illinois's Offense Rating: NR
Illinois's Defense Rating: NR
2017 Talent Rating: #64
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Illinois's 2017 Expected Record: -
Illinois's 2017 Overall SP+ Rating: -7.4 #96
Illinois's Offense SP+ Rating: 21.6 #107
Illinois's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.9 #81

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Illinois: South Florida: 7.6

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Illinois: -7.4 South Florida: 10.2

South Florida's Power Ratings
South Florida's Power Rating: 7.6 NR
South Florida's Offense Rating: NR
South Florida's Defense Rating: NR
2017 Talent Rating: #59
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
South Florida's 2017 Expected Record: -
South Florida's 2017 Overall SP+ Rating: 10.2 #32
South Florida's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.6 #47
South Florida's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.2 #29

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Illinois Scoring
Offense: 29.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 26.6
Defense: 23.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 35.6

Illinois's 2017 Record
Record: 2 - 10
Record vs Spread: 4 - 7 - 1
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record on Road: 0 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 5 - 1
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0

Projected Score
South Florida 38
Illinois 23

Projected Total Points: 61

South Florida Scoring
Offense: 40.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 51
Defense: 23.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 14.3

South Florida's 2017 Record
Record: 10 - 2
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2018	09/15	Illinois	19	South Florida	25	South Florida -14	Illinois	59.0	Under
2017	09/15	South Florida	47	Illinois	23	South Florida -16.5	South Florida	55.5	Over

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
South Florida	2	1	1 Overs
Illinois	0	1	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	1 - 1	2 - 0	1 - 0	1 - 0
Road Teams	1 - 1	0 - 2	0 - 1	0 - 1

(#) ILL at (#) USF

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	ILL	USF
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#96	#32
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#64	#59
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Illinois Injury Report

South Florida Injury Report

Illinois on Offense


CategoryCat	ILL Off	USF Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#107	#29
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Illinois Run Game


CategoryCat	ILL Off	USF Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Illinois Pass Game


CategoryCat	ILL Off	USF Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

South Florida on Offense


CategoryCat	USF Off	ILL Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#47	#81
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

South Florida Run Game


CategoryCat	USF Off	ILL Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

South Florida Pass Game


CategoryCat	USF Off	ILL Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
USF 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'17 Profile: Down to Average P4

ILL 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'17 Profile: Down to Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Raymond James Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 3
South Florida -16.5 (55.5)
South Florida won vs Illinois this year (47-23)

No Matchups Past 4 Years

ILL's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Illinois's Full Roster

ILL's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

USF's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View South Florida's Full Roster

USF's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD