Houston at South Florida - 2017 Matchup Preview
Houston logo Houston Cougars at South Florida Bulls(#18)South Florida logo
Saturday, October 28th 2017 (3:45 PM EDT)
South Florida -10 (55.0) (0)  Open: 0.0
Houston 28 - South Florida: 24  (American Athletic)

 
Cougars (7 - 5) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 28 - 24 (20 - 24 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
HOU is playing their 9th straight game
Our Line: -4  (SP+ USF -3)

Projected Score: HOU: 20 - USF: 33 (53)
USF Win prob: 77% | Cover: 50%
HOU Travel: 786 miles, 1 hrs behind
Bulls (10 - 2) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 38 - 24 (34 - 16 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Houston's 2017 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/9 Houston at Arizona-1.566.0W 19 - 16UY
Sat 9/16 Houston vs Rice-23.053.5W 38 - 3UY
Sat 9/23 Houston vs Texas Tech-7.068.0L 24 - 27UN
Sat 9/30 Houston at Temple-11.044.5W 20 - 13UN
Sat 10/7 Houston vs SMU-10.060.5W 35 - 22UY
Sat 10/14 Houston at Tulsa-13.563.5L 17 - 45UN
Thu 10/19 Houston vs Memphis-1.061.0L 38 - 42ON
Sat 10/28 Houston at South Florida+10.055.0W 28 - 24UY
Sat 11/4 Houston vs East Carolina-23.562.5W 52 - 27OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/18 Houston at Tulane-9.548.0L 17 - 20UN
Fri 11/24 Houston vs Navy-6.555.0W 24 - 14UY
Sun 12/24 Houston vs Fresno State-2.552.0L 27 - 33ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Houston's Schedule
South Florida's 2017 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/26 South Florida at San José State-21.571.5W 42 - 22UN
Sat 9/2 South Florida vs Stony Brook-36.0
BYE WEEK
Fri 9/15 South Florida vs Illinois-16.555.5W 47 - 23OY
Thu 9/21 South Florida vs Temple-18.061.5W 43 - 7UY
Sat 9/30 South Florida at East Carolina-22.573.0W 61 - 31OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/14 South Florida vs Cincinnati-24.063.0W 33 - 3UY
Sat 10/21 South Florida at Tulane-11.054.0W 34 - 28ON
Sat 10/28 South Florida vs Houston-10.055.0L 24 - 28UN
Sat 11/4 South Florida at UConn-24.064.5W 37 - 20UN
BYE WEEK
Thu 11/16 South Florida vs Tulsa-23.565.5W 27 - 20UN
Fri 11/24 South Florida at UCF+10.064.5L 42 - 49OY
Sat 12/23 South Florida vs Texas Tech-2.066.0W 38 - 34OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for South Florida's Schedule
Important Stats (2017)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
HOU.1844%28.341%2.8516745%2613.65.1143%23.842%43%2.7653.81.91.8
USF.2243%38.343%2.9526440%2493.79.0435%23.535%35%3.387.31.22
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
HOU#133 (-)35% (129)35% (130)2.52 (129)13737% (115)1532.57 (134)#51 (.14)40% (41)40% (41)39% (49)3.52 (41)51.92.31.6
USF#83 (.17)38% (118)39% (112)3.06 (60)18138% (106)2273.88 (74)#66 (.16)39% (36)38% (17)40% (69)4 (88)70.91.42.1



Overall Stats 2017
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
HOU Offense1228.320.243.9%3.651.9214281672614.549%49%41%45%16%.18
USF Defense1223.516.335.3%3.32 - - - - - 47%52%35%35%20%.04
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
HOU Defense1223.823.643.3%2.761.8 - - - - - 47%51%42%43%16%.11
USF Offense1238.334.243%3.791.226513264249560%38%43%40%13%.22

Additional Stats 2017
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Houston1228:022145%44%653.81.91.86.81.9131.1
South Florida1230:2925.844%60%9.387.31.228.43232.9
Run Game Stats (2017)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
HOU Offense1249%41%37.2166.84.525.12.8571%11%1.07
USF Defense1247%35% - - - - -.062.2852%12%1.03
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
HOU Defense1247%42% - - - - .052.766%10%0.91
USF Offense1260%43%52.8264.1530.162.9566%9%1.07

Pass Game Stats (2017)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
HOU Offense1249%45%23.434.3261.37.611.21612.281.531%34%.396%1.9
USF Defense1252%35% - - - - - - 20.141.837%33%.358%2.1
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
HOU Defense1251%43% - - - - - - 15.211.433%33%.136%1.5
USF Offense1238%40%16.330.6248.98.115.2256.351.933%37%.454%2

Houston's Power Ratings
Houston's Power Rating: NR
Houston's Offense Rating: NR
Houston's Defense Rating: NR
2017 Talent Rating:  #57
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Houston's 2017 Expected Record: -
Houston's 2017 Overall SP+ Rating: 7.7  #43
Houston's Offense SP+ Rating: 32.3  #41
Houston's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.8  #56

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Houston:    South Florida: 7.6

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Houston: 7.7   South Florida: 10.2




South Florida's Power Ratings
South Florida's Power Rating: 7.6 NR
South Florida's Offense Rating: NR
South Florida's Defense Rating: NR
2017 Talent Rating:  #59
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
South Florida's 2017 Expected Record: -
South Florida's 2017 Overall SP+ Rating: 10.2  #32
South Florida's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.6  #47
South Florida's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.2  #29

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


Houston Scoring
Offense: 28.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 20.2
Defense: 23.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 23.6

Houston's 2017 Record
Record: 7 - 5
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 3 - 9
Record on Road: 3 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
South Florida 33
Houston 20


Total Points: 53

Based on Last 4 Games
South Florida 35
Houston 17

Total Points: 52

Based on Entire Season
South Florida 30
Houston 22

Total Points: 52
South Florida Scoring
Offense: 38.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 34.2
Defense: 23.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 16.3

South Florida's 2017 Record
Record: 10 - 2
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202210/29Houston42South Florida27Houston -17South Florida59.0Over
202111/06South Florida42Houston54Houston -13.5South Florida53.0Over
202011/14Houston56South Florida21Houston -15Houston58.5Over
201810/27Houston57South Florida36Houston -10Houston76.0Over
201710/28South Florida24Houston28South Florida -10Houston55.0Under
201411/01South Florida3Houston27Houston -10Houston0
201310/31Houston35South Florida23Houston -10.5Houston0
200111/03South Florida45Houston6
TeamWinsCoversO/U
South Florida124 Overs
Houston751 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams5 - 34 - 33 - 21 - 1
Road Teams3 - 53 - 41 - 12 - 3

(#) HOU at (#) USF
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatHOUUSF
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #43 #32
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #57 #59
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Houston on Offense
CategoryCat
HOU OffUSF Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #41 #29
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Houston Run Game
CategoryCat
HOU OffUSF Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Houston Pass Game
CategoryCat
HOU OffUSF Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
South Florida on Offense
CategoryCatUSF OffHOU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #47 #56
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
South Florida Run Game
CategoryCat
USF OffHOU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
South Florida Pass Game
CategoryCatUSF OffHOU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
USF 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'17 Profile: Down to Average P4

HOU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'17 Profile: Down to Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Raymond James Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 79° - Wind: 6 mph
Rematch from Week 9
South Florida -10.0 (55.0)
Houston won at South Florida this year (28-24)

Previous Matchups
Houston beat South Florida in 2022 (42-27)

  
HOU's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
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HOU's DC ()
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USF's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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USF's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD