South Florida at East Carolina - 2017 Matchup Preview

South Florida Bulls at East Carolina Pirates

Saturday, September 30th 2017 (12:00 PM EDT)
South Florida -22.5 (73.0) (0) Open: 0.0
South Florida 61 - East Carolina: 31 (American Athletic)

Bulls (10 - 2) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 38 - 24 (43 - 30 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

ECU is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: -9.5 (SP+ USF -24)
Projected Score: USF: 38 - ECU: 20 (58)
USF Win prob: 95% | Cover: 53%
USF Travel: 607 miles

Pirates (3 - 9) (3 - 9 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 25 - 45 (25 - 37 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
USF Players
ECU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

South Florida's 2017 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/26	South Florida at San José State	-21.5	71.5	W 42 - 22	U	N
Sat 9/2	South Florida vs Stony Brook	-36.0
	BYE WEEK
Fri 9/15	South Florida vs Illinois	-16.5	55.5	W 47 - 23	O	Y
Thu 9/21	South Florida vs Temple	-18.0	61.5	W 43 - 7	U	Y
Sat 9/30	South Florida at East Carolina	-22.5	73.0	W 61 - 31	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/14	South Florida vs Cincinnati	-24.0	63.0	W 33 - 3	U	Y
Sat 10/21	South Florida at Tulane	-11.0	54.0	W 34 - 28	O	N
Sat 10/28	South Florida vs Houston	-10.0	55.0	L 24 - 28	U	N
Sat 11/4	South Florida at UConn	-24.0	64.5	W 37 - 20	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Thu 11/16	South Florida vs Tulsa	-23.5	65.5	W 27 - 20	U	N
Fri 11/24	South Florida at UCF	+10.0	64.5	L 42 - 49	O	Y
Sat 12/23	South Florida vs Texas Tech	-2.0	66.0	W 38 - 34	O	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for South Florida's Schedule

East Carolina's 2017 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	East Carolina vs James Madison	+2.5
Sat 9/9	East Carolina at West Virginia	+24.5	68.5	L 20 - 56	O	N
Sat 9/16	East Carolina vs Virginia Tech	+27.0	60.5	L 17 - 64	O	N
Sun 9/24	East Carolina at UConn	+5.0	63.5	W 41 - 38	O	Y
Sat 9/30	East Carolina vs South Florida	+22.5	73.0	L 31 - 61	O	N
Sat 10/7	East Carolina vs Temple	+3.5	59.0	L 10 - 34	U	N
Sat 10/14	East Carolina at UCF	+35.0	70.0	L 21 - 63	O	N
Sat 10/21	East Carolina vs BYU	+5.5	55.0	W 33 - 17	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/4	East Carolina at Houston	+23.5	62.5	L 27 - 52	O	N
Sat 11/11	East Carolina vs Tulane	+6.5	64.0	L 24 - 31	U	N
Sat 11/18	East Carolina vs Cincinnati	+4.5	67.5	W 48 - 20	O	Y
Sat 11/25	East Carolina at Memphis	+29.5	81.0	L 13 - 70	O	N

Important Stats (2017)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
USF	.22	43%	38.3	43%	2.95	264	40%	249	3.79	.04	35%	23.5	35%	35%	3.3	87.3	1.2	2
ECU	.12	41%	24.9	36%	2.39	108	43%	318	3.12	.43	52%	45	51%	52%	4.3	58.8	1.8	0.8

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
USF	#83 (.17)	38% (118)		39% (112)	3.06 (60)	181	38% (106)	227	3.88 (74)	#66 (.16)	39% (36)		38% (17)	40% (69)	4 (88)	70.9	1.4	2.1
ECU	#49 (.22)	43% (62)		44% (71)	3.07 (57)	147	43% (54)	253	3.79 (83)	#64 (.16)	40% (40)		37% (11)	43% (86)	3.85 (76)	61	2.2	1.6

Overall Stats 2017

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
USF Offense	12	38.3	43.2	43%	3.79	1.2	26	513	264	249	5	60%	38%	43%	40%	13%	.22
ECU Defense	12	45	37.3	51.9%	4.3	0.8	-	-	-	-	-	55%	44%	51%	52%	10%	.43

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
USF Defense	12	23.5	30	35.3%	3.3	2	-	-	-	-	-	47%	52%	35%	35%	20%	.04
ECU Offense	12	24.9	25.3	41.1%	3.12	1.8	23	426	108	318	3.3	40%	58%	36%	43%	17%	.12

Additional Stats 2017

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
South Florida	12	30:29	25.8	44%	60%	9.3	87.3	1.2	2	8.4	3	2	32.9
East Carolina	12	31:08	23.3	41%	59%	6.7	58.8	1.8	0.8	3.3	0.9	0	27.4

Run Game Stats (2017)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
USF Offense	12	60%	43%	52.8	264.1	5	30	.16	2.95	66%	9%	1.07
ECU Defense	12	55%	51%	-	-	-	-	.27	3.34	75%	6%	1.04

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
USF Defense	12	47%	35%	-	-	-	-	-.06	2.28	52%	12%	1.03
ECU Offense	12	40%	36%	33	107.7	3.3	10	-.1	2.39	63%	8%	0.79

Pass Game Stats (2017)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
USF Offense	12	38%	40%	16.3	30.6	248.9	8.1	15.2	25	6	.35	1.9	33%	37%	.45	4%	2
ECU Defense	12	44%	52%	-	-	-	-	-	-	7	.66	1.9	25%	46%	.7	4%	2

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
USF Defense	12	52%	35%	-	-	-	-	-	-	20	.14	1.8	37%	33%	.35	8%	2.1
ECU Offense	12	58%	43%	25.6	45.1	317.9	7.1	12.4	26	16	.28	1.7	34%	37%	.33	9%	1.8

South Florida's Power Ratings
South Florida's Power Rating: NR
South Florida's Offense Rating: NR
South Florida's Defense Rating: NR
2017 Talent Rating: #59
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
South Florida's 2017 Expected Record: -
South Florida's 2017 Overall SP+ Rating: 10.2 #32
South Florida's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.6 #47
South Florida's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.2 #29

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
South Florida: East Carolina: -4.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
South Florida: 10.2 East Carolina: -14.0

East Carolina's Power Ratings
East Carolina's Power Rating: -4.5 NR
East Carolina's Offense Rating: NR
East Carolina's Defense Rating: NR
2017 Talent Rating: #74
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
East Carolina's 2017 Expected Record: -
East Carolina's 2017 Overall SP+ Rating: -14.0 #110
East Carolina's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.2 #77
East Carolina's Defense SP+ Rating: 41.8 #125

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

South Florida Scoring
Offense: 38.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 43.2
Defense: 23.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 30

South Florida's 2017 Record
Record: 10 - 2
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record on Road: 4 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 6 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0

Projected Score
South Florida 38
East Carolina 20

Total Points: 58

Based on Last 4 Games
South Florida 34
East Carolina 15

Total Points: 49

Based on Entire Season
South Florida 41
East Carolina 26

Total Points: 67

East Carolina Scoring
Offense: 24.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 25.3
Defense: 45 PPG
Defense at Home: 37.3

East Carolina's 2017 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 3 - 9 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 4
Record at home: 2 - 5
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 9 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 5 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2022	10/01	South Florida	28	East Carolina	48	East Carolina -10	East Carolina	55.5	Over
2021	10/28	East Carolina	29	South Florida	14	East Carolina -9.5	East Carolina	55.5	Under
2020	10/10	South Florida	24	East Carolina	44	South Florida -5.5	East Carolina	58.5	Over
2019	10/26	East Carolina	20	South Florida	45	South Florida -1	South Florida	51.0	Over
2018	09/22	South Florida	20	East Carolina	13	South Florida -20.5	East Carolina	67.5	Under
2017	09/30	East Carolina	31	South Florida	61	South Florida -22.5	South Florida	73.0	Over
2016	10/08	South Florida	38	East Carolina	22	South Florida -20	East Carolina	68.5	Under
2015	11/07	East Carolina	17	South Florida	22	East Carolina -3	South Florida	55.0	Under
2014	10/11	South Florida	17	East Carolina	28	East Carolina -14.5	South Florida	0
2006	12/23	East Carolina	7	South Florida	24
2004	11/13	South Florida	41	East Carolina	17
2003	11/08	East Carolina	37	South Florida	38
2002	10/19	East Carolina	30	South Florida	46

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
East Carolina	4	5	4 Overs
South Florida	9	4	4 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	4 - 9	2 - 7	1 - 4	1 - 3
Road Teams	9 - 4	7 - 2	3 - 1	4 - 1

(#) USF at (#) ECU

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	USF	ECU
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#32	#110
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#59	#74
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

South Florida Injury Report

East Carolina Injury Report

South Florida on Offense


CategoryCat	USF Off	ECU Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#47	#125
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

South Florida Run Game


CategoryCat	USF Off	ECU Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

South Florida Pass Game


CategoryCat	USF Off	ECU Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

East Carolina on Offense


CategoryCat	ECU Off	USF Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#77	#29
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

East Carolina Run Game


CategoryCat	ECU Off	USF Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

East Carolina Pass Game


CategoryCat	ECU Off	USF Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
ECU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'17 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

USF 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'17 Profile: Down to Average P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Dowdy-Ficklen Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 73° - Wind: 10 mph

Rematch from Week 5
South Florida 22.5 (73.0)
South Florida won at East Carolina this year (61-31)

Previous Matchups
East Carolina beat South Florida in 2022 (48-28)

USF's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View South Florida's Full Roster

USF's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

ECU's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View East Carolina's Full Roster

ECU's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD