South Florida at UCF - 2017 Matchup Preview
South Florida logo South Florida Bulls at UCF KnightsUCF logo
Friday, November 24th 2017 (3:30 PM EST)
UCF -10 (64.5) (0)  Open: 0.0
UCF 49 - South Florida: 42  (American Athletic)

 
Bulls (10 - 2) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 38 - 24 (43 - 30 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
UCF is playing their 10th straight game
Our Line: -4.5  (SP+ UCF -4)
Projected Score: USF: 32 - UCF: 40 (72)
UCF Win prob: 77% | Cover: 50%
USF Travel: 91 miles
Knights (13 - 0) (8 - 4 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 48 - 25 (57 - 29 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
South Florida's 2017 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/26 South Florida at San José State-21.571.5W 42 - 22UN
Sat 9/2 South Florida vs Stony Brook-36.0
BYE WEEK
Fri 9/15 South Florida vs Illinois-16.555.5W 47 - 23OY
Thu 9/21 South Florida vs Temple-18.061.5W 43 - 7UY
Sat 9/30 South Florida at East Carolina-22.573.0W 61 - 31OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/14 South Florida vs Cincinnati-24.063.0W 33 - 3UY
Sat 10/21 South Florida at Tulane-11.054.0W 34 - 28ON
Sat 10/28 South Florida vs Houston-10.055.0L 24 - 28UN
Sat 11/4 South Florida at UConn-24.064.5W 37 - 20UN
BYE WEEK
Thu 11/16 South Florida vs Tulsa-23.565.5W 27 - 20UN
Fri 11/24 South Florida at UCF+10.064.5L 42 - 49OY
Sat 12/23 South Florida vs Texas Tech-2.066.0W 38 - 34OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for South Florida's Schedule
UCF's 2017 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/31 UCF vs Florida International-17.056.5W 61 - 17OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/23 UCF at Maryland+4.561.5W 38 - 10UY
Sat 9/30 UCF vs Memphis-5.568.5W 40 - 13UY
Sat 10/7 UCF at Cincinnati-15.052.5W 51 - 23OY
Sat 10/14 UCF vs East Carolina-35.070.0W 63 - 21OY
Sat 10/21 UCF at Navy-9.565.5W 31 - 21UY
Sat 10/28 UCF vs Austin Peay-43.5
Sat 11/4 UCF at SMU-14.075.0W 31 - 24UN
Sat 11/11 UCF vs UConn-38.064.0W 49 - 24ON
Sat 11/18 UCF at Temple-13.059.5W 45 - 19OY
Fri 11/24 UCF vs South Florida-10.064.5W 49 - 42ON
Sat 12/2 UCF vs Memphis-7.082.0W 62 - 55ON
Mon 1/1 UCF vs Auburn+9.567.0W 34 - 27UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for UCF's Schedule
Important Stats (2017)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
USF.2243%38.343%2.9526440%2493.79.0435%23.535%35%3.387.31.22
UCF.3549%48.245%2.7819952%3324.09.1238%25.338%37%368.31.22.5
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
USF#83 (.17)38% (118)39% (112)3.06 (60)18138% (106)2273.88 (74)#66 (.16)39% (36)38% (17)40% (69)4 (88)70.91.42.1
UCF#58 (.21)46% (28)52% (8)3.62 (2)24838% (103)2003.75 (86)#63 (.16)40% (45)37% (12)42% (84)4.37 (118)54.41.60.9



Overall Stats 2017
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
USF Offense1238.343.243%3.791.226513264249560%38%43%40%13%.22
UCF Defense1325.329.338%32.5 - - - - - 48%51%38%37%17%.12
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
USF Defense1223.53035.3%3.32 - - - - - 47%52%35%35%20%.04
UCF Offense1348.256.749.3%4.091.2255301993325.250%49%45%52%14%.35

Additional Stats 2017
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
South Florida1230:2925.844%60%9.387.31.228.43232.9
UCF1328:0425.245%50%8.468.31.22.562.1635.1
Run Game Stats (2017)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
USF Offense1260%43%52.8264.1530.162.9566%9%1.07
UCF Defense1348%38% - - - - .052.7261%10%1.04
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
USF Defense1247%35% - - - - -.062.2852%12%1.03
UCF Offense1350%45%38.5198.75.239.182.7854%9%1.2

Pass Game Stats (2017)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
USF Offense1238%40%16.330.6248.98.115.2256.351.933%37%.454%2
UCF Defense1351%37% - - - - - - 20.211.935%32%.367%2.2
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
USF Defense1252%35% - - - - - - 20.141.837%33%.358%2.1
UCF Offense1349%52%22.132.6331.810.215389.541.728%41%.535%2.1

South Florida's Power Ratings
South Florida's Power Rating: NR
South Florida's Offense Rating: NR
South Florida's Defense Rating: NR
2017 Talent Rating:  #59
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
South Florida's 2017 Expected Record: -
South Florida's 2017 Overall SP+ Rating: 10.2  #32
South Florida's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.6  #47
South Florida's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.2  #29

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
South Florida:    UCF: 9.55

SP+ Ratings Matchup
South Florida: 10.2   UCF: 14.1




UCF's Power Ratings
UCF's Power Rating: 9.55 NR
UCF's Offense Rating: NR
UCF's Defense Rating: NR
2017 Talent Rating:  #54
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
UCF's 2017 Expected Record: -
UCF's 2017 Overall SP+ Rating: 14.1  #22
UCF's Offense SP+ Rating: 40.5  #6
UCF's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.9  #63

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


South Florida Scoring
Offense: 38.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 43.2
Defense: 23.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 30

South Florida's 2017 Record
Record: 10 - 2
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record on Road: 4 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
UCF 40
South Florida 32

Total Points: 72

Based on Last 4 Games
UCF 40
South Florida 30

Total Points: 70

Based on Entire Season
UCF 40
South Florida 34

Total Points: 74
UCF Scoring
Offense: 48.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 56.7
Defense: 25.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 29.3

UCF's 2017 Record
Record: 13 - 0
Record vs Spread: 8 - 4 - 1
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record at home: 7 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 4 - 1
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 1


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202211/26South Florida39UCF46UCF -20South Florida67.5Over
202111/26UCF17South Florida13UCF -17South Florida62.0Under
202011/27South Florida46UCF58UCF -26.0South Florida70.5Over
201911/29UCF34South Florida7UCF -24UCF61.5Under
201811/23South Florida10UCF38UCF -16.5UCF70.0Under
201711/24UCF49South Florida42UCF -10South Florida64.5Over
201611/26South Florida48UCF31South Florida -9.5South Florida66.0Over
201511/26UCF3South Florida44South Florida -22.5South Florida53.5Under
201411/28South Florida0UCF16UCF -9.5UCF0
201311/29UCF23South Florida20UCF -26South Florida0
200809/06UCF24South Florida31
200710/13South Florida64UCF12
200609/16UCF17South Florida24
200509/17South Florida31UCF14
TeamWinsCoversO/U
UCF834 Overs
South Florida674 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams7 - 74 - 62 - 32 - 3
Road Teams7 - 76 - 43 - 23 - 2

(#) USF at (#) UCF
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatUSFUCF
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #32 #22
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #59 #54
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
South Florida on Offense
CategoryCat
USF OffUCF Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #47 #63
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
South Florida Run Game
CategoryCat
USF OffUCF Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
South Florida Pass Game
CategoryCat
USF OffUCF Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
UCF on Offense
CategoryCatUCF OffUSF Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #6 #29
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
UCF Run Game
CategoryCat
UCF OffUSF Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
UCF Pass Game
CategoryCatUCF OffUSF Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
UCF 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'17 Profile: Down to Top 25 Contenders

USF 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'17 Profile: Down to Average P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Bright House Networks Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 64° - Wind: 7 mph
Rematch from Week 13
UCF -10.0 (64.5)
UCF won vs South Florida this year (49-42)

Previous Matchups
UCF beat South Florida in 2022 (46-39)

  
USF's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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USF's DC ()
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SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

UCF's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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UCF's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD