Cincinnati at Navy - 2017 Matchup Preview
Cincinnati logo Cincinnati Bearcats at Navy MidshipmenNavy logo
Saturday, September 23rd 2017 (3:30 PM EDT)
Navy -8.5 (52.5) (0)  Open: 0.0
Navy 42 - Cincinnati: 32  (American Athletic)

 
Bearcats (4 - 8) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 21 - 32 (18 - 32 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
CIN 3rd straight Road Game
NAVY coming off BYE
CIN is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: -5.5  (SP+ NAVY -6)
Projected Score: CIN: 22 - NAVY: 32 (54)
NAVY Win prob: 71% | Cover: 46%
CIN Travel: 430 miles
Midshipmen (7 - 6) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 31 - 26 (38 - 29 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Cincinnati's 2017 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/31 Cincinnati vs Austin Peay-43.0
Sat 9/9 Cincinnati at Michigan+32.550.5L 14 - 36UY
Sat 9/16 Cincinnati at Miami (OH)+3.549.0W 21 - 17UY
Sat 9/23 Cincinnati at Navy+8.552.5L 32 - 42ON
Sat 9/30 Cincinnati vs Marshall-3.052.5L 21 - 38ON
Sat 10/7 Cincinnati vs UCF+15.052.5L 23 - 51ON
Sat 10/14 Cincinnati at South Florida+24.063.0L 3 - 33UN
Sat 10/21 Cincinnati vs SMU+6.066.0L 28 - 31UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/4 Cincinnati at Tulane+5.554.5W 17 - 16UY
Fri 11/10 Cincinnati vs Temple+3.049.5L 24 - 35ON
Sat 11/18 Cincinnati at East Carolina-4.567.5L 20 - 48ON
Sat 11/25 Cincinnati vs UConn-6.059.0W 22 - 21UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Cincinnati's Schedule
Navy's 2017 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 9/1 Navy at Florida Atlantic-9.064.0W 42 - 19UY
Sat 9/9 Navy vs Tulane-8.549.5W 23 - 21UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/23 Navy vs Cincinnati-8.552.5W 42 - 32OY
Sat 9/30 Navy at Tulsa-7.570.5W 31 - 21UY
Sat 10/7 Navy vs Air Force-8.553.5W 48 - 45ON
Sat 10/14 Navy at Memphis+3.573.0L 27 - 30UY
Sat 10/21 Navy vs UCF+9.565.5L 21 - 31UN
BYE WEEK
Thu 11/2 Navy at Temple-6.551.5L 26 - 34ON
Sat 11/11 Navy vs SMU-1.566.0W 43 - 40OY
Sat 11/18 Navy at Notre Dame+20.558.5L 17 - 24UY
Fri 11/24 Navy at Houston+6.555.0L 14 - 24UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 12/9 Navy vs Army-2.544.5L 13 - 14UN
Thu 12/28 Navy vs Virginia-2.551.0W 49 - 7OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Navy's Schedule
Important Stats (2017)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
CIN.1240%20.942%2.9313537%2163.14.2144%31.841%44%3.96731.30.8
NAVY.2648%30.549%3.4135133%774.2546%26.343%48%3.4640.61.51.2
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
CIN#59 (.21)45% (43)44% (67)3.03 (69)18545% (32)2373.33 (118)#75 (.18)42% (76)46% (94)39% (43)3.51 (40)44.41.51.2
NAVY#12 (.31)44% (51)46% (43)3.27 (32)23139% (101)1174.39 (26)#28 (.1)41% (61)46% (95)37% (24)3.48 (35)41.91.11.8



Overall Stats 2017
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
CIN Offense1220.917.839.9%3.141.3203521352164.444%55%42%37%16%.12
NAVY Defense1326.329.346%3.461.2 - - - - - 53%45%43%48%15%.25
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
CIN Defense1231.83243.7%3.960.8 - - - - - 57%41%41%44%13%.21
NAVY Offense1330.537.747.8%41.521429351775.687%12%49%33%10%.26

Additional Stats 2017
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Cincinnati1226:3519.739%53%7.8731.30.84.81128.3
Navy1336:1821.245%66%4.140.61.51.24.81.2034
Run Game Stats (2017)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
CIN Offense1244%42%30.9135.34.411.122.9362%9%0.95
NAVY Defense1353%43% - - - - .12.7270%10%0.97
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
CIN Defense1257%41% - - - - .112.7372%8%1
NAVY Offense1387%49%63.2351.45.642.273.4183%7%1.06

Pass Game Stats (2017)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
CIN Offense1255%37%20.436.2216.4610.6209.141.635%34%.276%1.7
NAVY Defense1345%48% - - - - - - 7.451.731%37%.346%1.8
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
CIN Defense1241%44% - - - - - - 5.381.731%36%.394%1.8
NAVY Offense1312%33%3.27.877.39.923.91010.262.427%30%.273%1.8

Cincinnati's Power Ratings
Cincinnati's Power Rating: NR
Cincinnati's Offense Rating: NR
Cincinnati's Defense Rating: NR
2017 Talent Rating:  #72
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Cincinnati's 2017 Expected Record: -
Cincinnati's 2017 Overall SP+ Rating: -6.4  #95
Cincinnati's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.3  #101
Cincinnati's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.2  #68

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Cincinnati:    Navy: 2.15

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Cincinnati: -6.4   Navy: -0.7




Navy's Power Ratings
Navy's Power Rating: 2.15 NR
Navy's Offense Rating: NR
Navy's Defense Rating: NR
2017 Talent Rating:  #91
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Navy's 2017 Expected Record: -
Navy's 2017 Overall SP+ Rating: -0.7  #73
Navy's Offense SP+ Rating: 32.5  #39
Navy's Defense SP+ Rating: 32.1  #92

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


Cincinnati Scoring
Offense: 20.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 17.8
Defense: 31.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 32

Cincinnati's 2017 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Navy 32
Cincinnati 22

Total Points: 54

Based on Last 4 Games
Navy 32
Cincinnati 20

Total Points: 52

Based on Entire Season
Navy 33
Cincinnati 24

Total Points: 57
Navy Scoring
Offense: 30.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 37.7
Defense: 26.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 29.3

Navy's 2017 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202501/02Cincinnati13Navy35Navy -7.5Navy57.5Under
202211/05Cincinnati20Navy10Cincinnati -18.5Navy43.5Under
202110/23Navy20Cincinnati27Cincinnati -28.5Navy49.5Under
201811/03Cincinnati42Navy0Cincinnati -13Cincinnati47.0Under
201709/23Navy42Cincinnati32Navy -8.5Navy52.5Over
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Navy241 Overs
Cincinnati314 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams3 - 23 - 22 - 11 - 1
Road Teams2 - 32 - 31 - 11 - 2

(#) CIN at (#) NAVY
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatCINNAVY
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #95 #73
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #72 #91
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Cincinnati on Offense
CategoryCat
CIN OffNAVY Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #101 #92
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Cincinnati Run Game
CategoryCat
CIN OffNAVY Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Cincinnati Pass Game
CategoryCat
CIN OffNAVY Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Navy on Offense
CategoryCatNAVY OffCIN Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #39 #68
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Navy Run Game
CategoryCat
NAVY OffCIN Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Navy Pass Game
CategoryCatNAVY OffCIN Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
NAVY 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'17 Profile: Down to Top G5

CIN 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'17 Profile: Down to Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 86°
Rematch from Week 4
Navy -8.5 (52.5)
Navy won vs Cincinnati this year (42-32)

Previous Matchups
Cincinnati beat Navy in 2022 (20-10)

  
CIN's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Cincinnati's Full Roster

CIN's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

NAVY's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Navy's Full Roster

NAVY's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD