Toledo at Nevada - 2017 Matchup Preview
Toledo logo   Toledo Rockets at Nevada Wolf Pack  Nevada logo
Saturday, September 9th 2017 (7:00 PM EDT)
Toledo -10.5 (69.5) (0)  Open: 0.0
Toledo 37 - Nevada: 24

 
Rockets (11 - 3) (7 - 7 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 31 - 13 (17 - 17 on Road)
'17 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Our Line: -9  (SP+ TOL -23)
Projected Score: TOL: 25 - NEV: 17 (42)
TOL Win prob: 76% | Cover: 44%
TOL Travel: 1891 miles, 3 hrs ahead
Wolf Pack (3 - 9) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 18 - 28 (20 - 25 @ Home)
'17 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Toledo's 2017 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/31 Toledo vs Elon-44.5
Sat 9/9 Toledo at Nevada-10.569.5W 37 - 24UY
Sat 9/16 Toledo vs Tulsa-7.074.0W 54 - 51ON
Sat 9/23 Toledo at Miami+13.561.0L 30 - 52ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/7 Toledo vs Eastern Michigan-13.560.0W 20 - 15UN
Sat 10/14 Toledo at Central Michigan-9.555.0W 30 - 10UY
Sat 10/21 Toledo vs Akron-15.558.5W 48 - 21OY
Thu 10/26 Toledo at Ball State-26.555.5W 58 - 17OY
Thu 11/2 Toledo vs Northern Illinois-7.556.5W 27 - 17UY
Wed 11/8 Toledo at Ohio-3.063.5L 10 - 38UN
Wed 11/15 Toledo at Bowling Green-17.566.0W 66 - 37OY
Fri 11/24 Toledo vs Western Michigan-12.062.0W 37 - 10UY
Sat 12/2 Toledo vs Akron-20.561.5W 45 - 28ON
Sat 12/23 Toledo vs App State-6.061.5L 0 - 34UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Toledo's Schedule
Nevada's 2017 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Nevada at Northwestern+24.060.5L 20 - 31UY
Sat 9/9 Nevada vs Toledo+10.569.5L 24 - 37UN
Sat 9/16 Nevada vs Idaho State-34.5
Sat 9/23 Nevada at Washington State+28.565.5L 7 - 45UN
Sat 9/30 Nevada at Fresno State+7.559.5L 21 - 41ON
Sat 10/7 Nevada vs Hawai'i+4.562.5W 35 - 21UY
Sat 10/14 Nevada at Colorado State+24.565.5L 42 - 44OY
Fri 10/20 Nevada vs Air Force+6.565.0L 42 - 45OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/4 Nevada at Boise State+20.563.0L 14 - 41UN
Sat 11/11 Nevada vs San José State-17.567.5W 59 - 14OY
Sat 11/18 Nevada at San Diego State+17.556.0L 23 - 42ON
Sat 11/25 Nevada vs UNLV-3.070.0W 23 - 16UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Nevada's Schedule
Important Stats (2016)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TOL.3349%30.845%3.2619550%3234.08.1639%13.338%39%3.3960.21.10.8
NEV.1844%17.647%3.1817439%2083.18.2448%27.548%46%3.7240.20.91.1
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TOL0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
NEV0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2016
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TOL Offense1330.817.348.6%4.081.124518195323551%47%45%50%14%.33
NEV Defense1227.525.248.4%3.721.1 - - - - - 67%31%48%46%13%.24
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TOL Defense1313.316.739.3%3.390.8 - - - - - 50%48%38%39%16%.16
NEV Offense1217.619.744.3%3.180.9223821742084.455%44%47%39%14%.18

Additional Stats 2016
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Toledo1330:1024.251%40%760.21.10.85.91.6228.7
Nevada1229:1721.849%62%4.340.20.91.14.61.1027.8
Run Game Stats (2017)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TOL Offense1351%45%39.4195517.113.2679%8%0.8
NEV Defense1267%48% - - - - .233.1968%9%1.08
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TOL Defense1350%38% - - - - .092.7665%10%1.15
NEV Offense1255%47%39.51744.420.143.1882%9%0.89

Pass Game Stats (2017)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TOL Offense1347%50%22.432.5322.89.914.4469.591.830%45%.725%2.1
NEV Defense1231%46% - - - - - - 5.311.629%43%.394%1.7
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TOL Defense1348%39% - - - - - - 6.251.736%35%.316%1.8
NEV Offense1244%39%17.529.7208.2711.9189.271.630%31%.325%1.8

Toledo's Power Ratings
Toledo's Power Rating: NR
Toledo's Offense Rating: NR
Toledo's Defense Rating: NR
2017 Talent Rating:  #95
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Toledo's 2017 Expected Record: -
Toledo's 2017 Overall SP+ Rating: 6.6  #45
Toledo's Offense SP+ Rating: 32.2  #44
Toledo's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.7  #54

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Toledo:    Nevada: -5.7

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Toledo: 6.6   Nevada: -16.4




Nevada's Power Ratings
Nevada's Power Rating: -5.7 NR
Nevada's Offense Rating: NR
Nevada's Defense Rating: NR
2017 Talent Rating:  #103
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Nevada's 2017 Expected Record: -
Nevada's 2017 Overall SP+ Rating: -16.4  #116
Nevada's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.6  #85
Nevada's Defense SP+ Rating: 41.1  #124

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Toledo Scoring
Offense: 30.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 17.3
Defense: 13.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 16.7

Toledo's 2017 Record
Record: 11 - 3
Record vs Spread: 7 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 8
Record on Road: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 4 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Toledo 25
Nevada 17

Projected Total Points: 42
Nevada Scoring
Offense: 17.6 PPG
Offense at Home: 19.7
Defense: 27.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 25.2

Nevada's 2017 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
201809/22Toledo63Nevada44Toledo -10.5Toledo67.5Over
201709/09Nevada24Toledo37Toledo -10.5Toledo69.5Under
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Nevada001 Overs
Toledo221 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 11 - 11 - 00 - 1
Road Teams1 - 11 - 11 - 00 - 1

(#) TOL at (#) NEV
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatTOLNEV
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #45 #116
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #95 #103
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Toledo on Offense
CategoryCat
TOL OffNEV Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #44 #124
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Toledo Run Game
CategoryCat
TOL OffNEV Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Toledo Pass Game
CategoryCat
TOL OffNEV Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Nevada on Offense
CategoryCatNEV OffTOL Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #85 #54
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Nevada Run Game
CategoryCat
NEV OffTOL Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Nevada Pass Game
CategoryCatNEV OffTOL Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
NEV 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'17 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

TOL 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'17 Profile: Down to Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Mackay Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 2
Toledo 10.5 (69.5)
Toledo won at Nevada this year (37-24)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
TOL's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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TOL's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

NEV's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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NEV's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD