Nevada at Fresno State - 2017 Matchup Preview

Nevada Wolf Pack at Fresno State Bulldogs

Saturday, September 30th 2017 (10:00 PM EDT)
Fresno State -7.5 (59.5) (0) Open: 0.0
Fresno State 41 - Nevada: 21 (Mountain West)

Wolf Pack (3 - 9) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 28 - 34 (21 - 41 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

NEV 2nd straight Road Game
FRES coming off BYE
NEV is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: -9.5 (SP+ FRES -14)
Projected Score: NEV: 18 - FRES: 38 (56)
FRES Win prob: 73% | Cover: 49%
NEV Travel: 189 miles

Bulldogs (10 - 4) (10 - 2 - 2)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 27 - 18 (35 - 13 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
NEV Players
FRES Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Nevada's 2017 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Nevada at Northwestern	+24.0	60.5	L 20 - 31	U	Y
Sat 9/9	Nevada vs Toledo	+10.5	69.5	L 24 - 37	U	N
Sat 9/16	Nevada vs Idaho State	-34.5
Sat 9/23	Nevada at Washington State	+28.5	65.5	L 7 - 45	U	N
Sat 9/30	Nevada at Fresno State	+7.5	59.5	L 21 - 41	O	N
Sat 10/7	Nevada vs Hawai'i	+4.5	62.5	W 35 - 21	U	Y
Sat 10/14	Nevada at Colorado State	+24.5	65.5	L 42 - 44	O	Y
Fri 10/20	Nevada vs Air Force	+6.5	65.0	L 42 - 45	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/4	Nevada at Boise State	+20.5	63.0	L 14 - 41	U	N
Sat 11/11	Nevada vs San José State	-17.5	67.5	W 59 - 14	O	Y
Sat 11/18	Nevada at San Diego State	+17.5	56.0	L 23 - 42	O	N
Sat 11/25	Nevada vs UNLV	-3.0	70.0	W 23 - 16	U	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Nevada's Schedule

Fresno State's 2017 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Fresno State vs Incarnate Word	-35.0
Sat 9/9	Fresno State at Alabama	+42.5	54.0	L 10 - 41	U	Y
Sat 9/16	Fresno State at Washington	+34.0	56.5	L 16 - 48	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/30	Fresno State vs Nevada	-7.5	59.5	W 41 - 21	O	Y
Sat 10/7	Fresno State at San José State	-17.0	59.5	W 27 - 10	U	N
Sat 10/14	Fresno State vs New Mexico	+2.5	54.5	W 38 - 0	U	Y
Sat 10/21	Fresno State at San Diego State	+6.5	49.5	W 27 - 3	U	Y
Sat 10/28	Fresno State vs UNLV	-21.5	59.0	L 16 - 26	U	N
Sat 11/4	Fresno State vs BYU	-10.0	48.5	W 20 - 13	U	N
Sat 11/11	Fresno State at Hawai'i	-10.0	53.0	W 31 - 21	U	N
Sat 11/18	Fresno State at Wyoming	-2.5	39.0	W 13 - 7	U	Y
Sat 11/25	Fresno State vs Boise State	+6.5	49.0	W 28 - 17	U	Y
Sat 12/2	Fresno State at Boise State	+9.5	51.0	L 14 - 17	U	Y
Sun 12/24	Fresno State vs Houston	+2.5	52.0	W 33 - 27	O	Y

Important Stats (2017)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
NEV	.16	41%	28.2	43%	2.95	127	39%	270	3.99	.24	50%	33.9	47%	52%	3.31	43.3	1.8	1.6
FRES	.16	45%	27.1	44%	2.78	155	43%	238	3.56	.05	42%	17.9	42%	40%	2.84	43.6	0.9	1.4

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
NEV	#55 (.21)	45% (46)		47% (33)	3.06 (59)	164	42% (65)	213	3.88 (73)	#110 (.24)	46% (117)		49% (121)	43% (92)	4.33 (114)	73.1	1.2	1
FRES	#110 (.11)	39% (110)		38% (121)	2.73 (115)	101	41% (76)	242	3.68 (91)	#17 (.08)	40% (51)		43% (74)	38% (33)	3.63 (47)	55	1.3	1.5

Overall Stats 2017

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
NEV Offense	12	28.2	21.2	41.4%	3.99	1.8	20	398	127	270	4.2	43%	56%	43%	39%	15%	.16
FRES Defense	14	17.9	12.8	41.9%	2.84	1.4	-	-	-	-	-	46%	52%	42%	40%	17%	.05

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
NEV Defense	12	33.9	40.7	49.6%	3.31	1.6	-	-	-	-	-	59%	40%	47%	52%	15%	.24
FRES Offense	14	27.1	34.8	45.2%	3.56	0.9	19	393	155	238	4.2	51%	46%	44%	43%	12%	.16

Additional Stats 2017

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Nevada	12	25:44	19.8	40%	39%	4.8	43.3	1.8	1.6	6.8	1.9	1	31.5
Fresno State	14	31:16	19.2	36%	67%	5.3	43.6	0.9	1.4	6.4	2.4	2	32.7

Run Game Stats (2017)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
NEV Offense	12	43%	43%	30.2	127.2	4.2	12	.05	2.95	70%	9%	0.82
FRES Defense	14	46%	42%	-	-	-	-	-.04	2.81	63%	11%	0.75

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
NEV Defense	12	59%	47%	-	-	-	-	.13	2.96	71%	11%	0.92
FRES Offense	14	51%	44%	36.8	155	4.2	22	.04	2.78	72%	7%	0.75

Pass Game Stats (2017)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
NEV Offense	12	56%	39%	22.5	37.6	270.4	7.2	12	30	15	.27	1.8	31%	32%	.37	6%	2
FRES Defense	14	52%	40%	-	-	-	-	-	-	9	.14	1.4	32%	28%	.08	6%	1.5

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
NEV Defense	12	40%	52%	-	-	-	-	-	-	8	.44	1.6	29%	44%	.53	4%	1.9
FRES Offense	14	46%	43%	19.1	31.2	237.9	7.6	12.4	19	7	.35	1.5	29%	30%	.09	5%	1.5

Nevada's Power Ratings
Nevada's Power Rating: NR
Nevada's Offense Rating: NR
Nevada's Defense Rating: NR
2017 Talent Rating: #103
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Nevada's 2017 Expected Record: -
Nevada's 2017 Overall SP+ Rating: -16.4 #116
Nevada's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.6 #85
Nevada's Defense SP+ Rating: 41.1 #124

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Nevada: Fresno State: 1.15

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Nevada: -16.4 Fresno State: -2.7

Fresno State's Power Ratings
Fresno State's Power Rating: 1.15 NR
Fresno State's Offense Rating: NR
Fresno State's Defense Rating: NR
2017 Talent Rating: #92
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Fresno State's 2017 Expected Record: -
Fresno State's 2017 Overall SP+ Rating: -2.7 #81
Fresno State's Offense SP+ Rating: 22.3 #105
Fresno State's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.5 #53

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Nevada Scoring
Offense: 28.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 21.2
Defense: 33.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 40.7

Nevada's 2017 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record on Road: 0 - 6
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0

Projected Score
Fresno State 38
Nevada 18

Total Points: 56

Based on Last 4 Games
Fresno State 43
Nevada 16

Total Points: 58

Based on Entire Season
Fresno State 34
Nevada 20

Total Points: 54

Fresno State Scoring
Offense: 27.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 34.8
Defense: 17.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 12.8

Fresno State's 2017 Record
Record: 10 - 4
Record vs Spread: 10 - 2 - 2
Over/Under Record: 3 - 11
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 2
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	10/04	Fresno State	20	Nevada	17	Fresno State -12.5	Nevada	45.5	Under
2024	10/18	Nevada	21	Fresno State	24	Fresno State -3	NA	50.0	Under
2023	09/30	Fresno State	27	Nevada	9	Fresno State -25.5	Nevada	50.5	Under
2022	11/19	Nevada	14	Fresno State	41	Fresno State -22.5	Fresno State	54.0	Over
2021	10/23	Fresno State	34	Nevada	32	Fresno State -3.5	Nevada	64.5	Over
2020	12/05	Nevada	37	Fresno State	26	Nevada -6.5	Nevada	59.0	Over
2019	11/23	Fresno State	28	Nevada	35	Fresno State -13.5	Nevada	51.5	Over
2018	10/06	Nevada	3	Fresno State	21	Fresno State -15	Fresno State	59.0	Under
2017	09/30	Fresno State	41	Nevada	21	Fresno State -7.5	Fresno State	59.5	Over
2016	10/08	Nevada	27	Fresno State	22	Nevada -11.5	Fresno State	54.0	Under
2015	11/05	Fresno State	16	Nevada	30	Nevada -3.5	Nevada	54.0	Under
2014	11/22	Nevada	20	Fresno State	40	Nevada -6.5	Fresno State	0
2013	11/02	Fresno State	41	Nevada	23	Fresno State -23	Nevada	0
2012	11/10	Nevada	36	Fresno State	52
2011	10/22	Nevada	45	Fresno State	38
2010	11/13	Fresno State	34	Nevada	35
2009	11/14	Nevada	52	Fresno State	14
2008	11/07	Fresno State	28	Nevada	41
2007	10/06	Nevada	41	Fresno State	49
2006	09/01	Fresno State	28	Nevada	19
2005	11/26	Nevada	38	Fresno State	35
2004	11/20	Fresno State	54	Nevada	17
2003	11/08	Nevada	10	Fresno State	27
2001	11/17	Nevada	14	Fresno State	61
2000	10/13	Fresno State	58	Nevada	21

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Fresno State	16	5	5 Overs
Nevada	9	7	6 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	13 - 12	2 - 10	2 - 7	0 - 3
Road Teams	12 - 13	10 - 2	3 - 0	7 - 2

(#) NEV at (#) FRES

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	NEV	FRES
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#116	#81
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#103	#92
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Nevada Injury Report

Fresno State Injury Report

Nevada on Offense


CategoryCat	NEV Off	FRES Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#85	#53
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Nevada Run Game


CategoryCat	NEV Off	FRES Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Nevada Pass Game


CategoryCat	NEV Off	FRES Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Fresno State on Offense


CategoryCat	FRES Off	NEV Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#105	#124
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Fresno State Run Game


CategoryCat	FRES Off	NEV Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Fresno State Pass Game


CategoryCat	FRES Off	NEV Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
FRES 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'17 Profile: Down to Average G5

NEV 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'17 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Bulldog Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 78° - Wind: 10 mph

Rematch from Week 5
Fresno State -7.5 (59.5)
Fresno State won vs Nevada this year (41-21)

Previous Matchups
Fresno State beat Nevada last year (24-21)
Fresno State beat Nevada in 2023 (27-9)
Fresno State beat Nevada in 2022 (41-14)

NEV's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Nevada's Full Roster

NEV's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

FRES's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Fresno State's Full Roster

FRES's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD