Nevada at Boise State - 2017 Matchup Preview
Nevada logo   Nevada Wolf Pack at Boise State Broncos  Boise State logo
Saturday, November 4th 2017 (7:00 PM EDT)
Boise State -20.5 (63.0) (0)  Open: 0.0
Boise State 41 - Nevada: 14  (Mountain West)

 
Wolf Pack (3 - 9) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 18 - 28 (16 - 30 on Road)
'17 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
NEV coming off BYE
BSU is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: -15.5  (SP+ BSU -26)
Projected Score: NEV: 20 - BSU: 32 (52)
BSU Win prob: 94% | Cover: 54%
NEV Travel: 337 miles, 1 hrs behind
Broncos (11 - 3) (8 - 5 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 30 - 24 (41 - 22 @ Home)
'17 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Nevada's 2017 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Nevada at Northwestern+24.060.5L 20 - 31UY
Sat 9/9 Nevada vs Toledo+10.569.5L 24 - 37UN
Sat 9/16 Nevada vs Idaho State-34.5
Sat 9/23 Nevada at Washington State+28.565.5L 7 - 45UN
Sat 9/30 Nevada at Fresno State+7.559.5L 21 - 41ON
Sat 10/7 Nevada vs Hawai'i+4.562.5W 35 - 21UY
Sat 10/14 Nevada at Colorado State+24.565.5L 42 - 44OY
Fri 10/20 Nevada vs Air Force+6.565.0L 42 - 45OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/4 Nevada at Boise State+20.563.0L 14 - 41UN
Sat 11/11 Nevada vs San José State-17.567.5W 59 - 14OY
Sat 11/18 Nevada at San Diego State+17.556.0L 23 - 42ON
Sat 11/25 Nevada vs UNLV-3.070.0W 23 - 16UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Nevada's Schedule
Boise State's 2017 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Boise State vs Troy-11.059.0W 24 - 13UN
Sat 9/9 Boise State at Washington State+7.558.0L 44 - 47OY
Thu 9/14 Boise State vs New Mexico-16.056.5W 28 - 14UN
Fri 9/22 Boise State vs Virginia-13.550.0L 23 - 42ON
BYE WEEK
Fri 10/6 Boise State at BYU-7.546.5W 24 - 7UY
Sat 10/14 Boise State at San Diego State+5.547.0W 31 - 14UY
Sat 10/21 Boise State vs Wyoming-15.044.5W 24 - 14UN
Sat 10/28 Boise State at Utah State-13.051.5W 41 - 14OY
Sat 11/4 Boise State vs Nevada-20.563.0W 41 - 14UY
Sat 11/11 Boise State at Colorado State-6.559.0W 59 - 52OY
Sat 11/18 Boise State vs Air Force-17.560.5W 44 - 19OY
Sat 11/25 Boise State at Fresno State-6.549.0L 17 - 28UN
Sat 12/2 Boise State vs Fresno State-9.551.0W 17 - 14UN
Sat 12/16 Boise State vs Oregon+7.063.0W 38 - 28OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Boise State's Schedule
Important Stats (2016)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
NEV.1844%17.647%3.1817439%2083.18.2448%27.548%46%3.7240.20.91.1
BSU.2849%29.948%3.0417449%2984.35.1243%24.143%40%2.8637.81.40.7
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
NEV0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
BSU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2016
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
NEV Offense1217.615.544.3%3.180.9223821742084.455%44%47%39%14%.18
BSU Defense1324.122.342.6%2.860.7 - - - - - 49%49%43%40%15%.12
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
NEV Defense1227.529.848.4%3.721.1 - - - - - 67%31%48%46%13%.24
BSU Offense1329.941.348.9%4.351.4234731742984.651%47%48%49%14%.28

Additional Stats 2016
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Nevada1229:1721.849%62%4.340.20.91.14.61.1027.8
Boise State1328:0123.148%53%4.337.81.40.76.23.2126.2
Run Game Stats (2017)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
NEV Offense1255%47%39.51744.420.143.1882%9%0.89
BSU Defense1349%43% - - - - .092.9585%9%0.91
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
NEV Defense1267%48% - - - - .233.1968%9%1.08
BSU Offense1351%48%37.9174.54.629.173.0475%10%0.98

Pass Game Stats (2017)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
NEV Offense1244%39%17.529.7208.2711.9189.271.630%31%.325%1.8
BSU Defense1349%40% - - - - - - 7.171.533%32%.196%1.7
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
NEV Defense1231%46% - - - - - - 5.311.629%43%.394%1.7
BSU Offense1347%49%19.531.2298.39.615.3288.431.728%42%.524%1.9

Nevada's Power Ratings
Nevada's Power Rating: NR
Nevada's Offense Rating: NR
Nevada's Defense Rating: NR
2017 Talent Rating:  #103
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Nevada's 2017 Expected Record: -
Nevada's 2017 Overall SP+ Rating: -16.4  #116
Nevada's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.6  #85
Nevada's Defense SP+ Rating: 41.1  #124

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Nevada:    Boise State: 7.05

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Nevada: -16.4   Boise State: 9.1




Boise State's Power Ratings
Boise State's Power Rating: 7.05 NR
Boise State's Offense Rating: NR
Boise State's Defense Rating: NR
2017 Talent Rating:  #71
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Boise State's 2017 Expected Record: -
Boise State's 2017 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.1  #37
Boise State's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.6  #63
Boise State's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.5  #26

Average Talent
Average Pac-12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Nevada Scoring
Offense: 17.6 PPG
Offense on Road: 15.5
Defense: 27.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 29.8

Nevada's 2017 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record on Road: 0 - 6
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0
Projected Score
Boise State 32
Nevada 20

Projected Total Points: 52
Boise State Scoring
Offense: 29.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 41.3
Defense: 24.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 22.3

Boise State's 2017 Record
Record: 11 - 3
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 1
Over/Under Record: 6 - 8
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 5 - 1
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 1


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202510/24Nevada3Boise State24Boise State -20.5Boise State51.5Under
202411/09Boise State28Nevada21Boise State -23.5Nevada60.5Under
202211/12Nevada3Boise State41Boise State -21Boise State47.0Under
202110/02Boise State31Nevada41Boise State -3.5Nevada59.0Over
201810/13Nevada27Boise State31Boise State -15Nevada59.5Under
201711/04Boise State41Nevada14Boise State -20.5Boise State63.0Under
201410/04Nevada46Boise State51Boise State -1.5Boise State0
201310/19Boise State34Nevada17Boise State -21.5Nevada0
201212/01Nevada21Boise State27
201110/01Boise State30Nevada10
201011/26Nevada34Boise State31
200911/27Boise State44Nevada33
200811/22Nevada34Boise State41
200710/14Boise State69Nevada67
200611/25Nevada7Boise State38
200510/29Boise State49Nevada14
200411/27Nevada21Boise State58
200311/29Boise State56Nevada3
200110/27Boise State49Nevada7
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Boise State1741 Overs
Nevada245 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams10 - 92 - 61 - 31 - 3
Road Teams9 - 106 - 23 - 13 - 1

(#) NEV at (#) BSU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatNEVBSU
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #116 #37
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #103 #71
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Nevada on Offense
CategoryCat
NEV OffBSU Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #85 #26
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Nevada Run Game
CategoryCat
NEV OffBSU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Nevada Pass Game
CategoryCat
NEV OffBSU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Boise State on Offense
CategoryCatBSU OffNEV Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #63 #124
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Boise State Run Game
CategoryCat
BSU OffNEV Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Boise State Pass Game
CategoryCatBSU OffNEV Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
BSU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'17 Profile: Down to Average P4

NEV 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'17 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Albertsons Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 10
Boise State -20.5 (63.0)
Boise State won vs Nevada this year (41-14)

Previous Matchups
Boise State beat Nevada last year (24-3)
Boise State beat Nevada in 2024 (28-21)

  
NEV's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Nevada's Full Roster

NEV's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

BSU's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Boise State's Full Roster

BSU's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD