Cincinnati at North Carolina - 2013 Matchup Preview
Cincinnati logo   Cincinnati Bearcats vs North Carolina Tar Heels  North Carolina logo
Saturday, December 28th 2013 (3:20 PM EST)
North Carolina -2.5 (60.0) (0)  Open: 0.0
North Carolina 39 - Cincinnati: 17  (BELK BOWL)

 
Bearcats (9 - 4) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 30 - 26 (31 - 35 on Road)
'13 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Tar Heels (7 - 6) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 19 - 25 (21 - 26 @ Home)
'13 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Cincinnati's 2013 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Cincinnati vs Purdue-14.0
Sat 9/7 Cincinnati at Illinois-10.5
Sat 9/14 Cincinnati vs Northwestern State-31.0
Sat 9/21 Cincinnati at Miami (OH)-24.0
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/5 Cincinnati at South Florida-13.5
Fri 10/11 Cincinnati vs Temple-20.0
Sat 10/19 Cincinnati vs UConn-14.5
BYE WEEK
Wed 10/30 Cincinnati at Memphis-3.0
Sat 11/9 Cincinnati vs SMU-10.5
Sat 11/16 Cincinnati at Rutgers-2.5
Sat 11/23 Cincinnati at Houston+2.5
BYE WEEK
Thu 12/5 Cincinnati vs Louisville+6.5
Sat 12/28 Cincinnati vs North Carolina+2.560.0L 17 - 39UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Cincinnati's Schedule
North Carolina's 2013 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/29 North Carolina at South Carolina+11.5
Sat 9/7 North Carolina vs Middle Tennessee-21.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/21 North Carolina at Georgia Tech+3.5
Sat 9/28 North Carolina vs East Carolina-10.0
Sat 10/5 North Carolina at Virginia Tech+7.0
BYE WEEK
Thu 10/17 North Carolina vs Miami+7.5
Sat 10/26 North Carolina vs Boston College-10.0
Sat 11/2 North Carolina at NC State-3.0
Sat 11/9 North Carolina vs Virginia-14.0
Sat 11/16 North Carolina at Pittsburgh-1.053.0W 34 - 27OY
Sat 11/23 North Carolina vs Old Dominion-17.0
Sat 11/30 North Carolina vs Duke-5.5
Sat 12/28 North Carolina vs Cincinnati-2.560.0W 39 - 17UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for North Carolina's Schedule
Important Stats (2012)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
CIN.0942%30.343%3.1220139%239-0.14.0742%25.643%39%-0.1853.51.52.2
UNC.1547%19.347%319445%292-0.14.0538%24.538%37%-0.0964.31.52.1
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
CIN0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
UNC0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2012
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
CIN Offense1330.330.842.2%-0.141.5204402012395.353%45%43%39%3%.09
UNC Defense1224.52638.4%-0.092.1 - - - - - 49%50%38%37%3%.05
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
CIN Defense1325.635.342.1%-0.182.2 - - - - - 45%53%43%39%2%.07
UNC Offense1219.32147%-0.141.5244861942925.146%52%47%45%1%.15

Additional Stats 2012
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Cincinnati1329:1820.443%50%5.653.51.52.200232.5
North Carolina1227:5024.342%67%7.564.31.52.100532
Run Game Stats (2013)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
CIN Offense1353%43%37.8201.55.325.053.1267%0%0.81
UNC Defense1249%38% - - - - -.012.7268%0%0.77
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
CIN Defense1345%43% - - - - .023.0455%0%0.69
UNC Offense1246%47%38.1193.85.128.09369%0%0.73

Pass Game Stats (2013)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
CIN Offense1345%39%16.228.5238.88.414.82511.151.432%33%.263%1.7
UNC Defense1250%37% - - - - - - 16.121.436%34%.343%1.6
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
CIN Defense1353%39% - - - - - - 16.121.233%33%.242%1.6
UNC Offense1252%45%23.936.8291.87.912.2297.211.231%38%.331%1.5

Cincinnati's Power Ratings
Cincinnati's Power Rating: NR
Cincinnati's Offense Rating: NR
Cincinnati's Defense Rating: NR
2013 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Cincinnati's 2013 Expected Record: -
Cincinnati's 2013 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Cincinnati's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Cincinnati's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Cincinnati:    North Carolina: 0

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Cincinnati:    North Carolina:




North Carolina's Power Ratings
North Carolina's Power Rating: 0 NR
North Carolina's Offense Rating: NR
North Carolina's Defense Rating: NR
2013 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
North Carolina's 2013 Expected Record: -
North Carolina's 2013 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
North Carolina's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
North Carolina's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Cincinnati Scoring
Offense: 30.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 30.8
Defense: 25.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 35.3

Cincinnati's 2013 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 13
Record on Road: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Cincinnati 28
North Carolina 26

Projected Total Points: 54
North Carolina Scoring
Offense: 19.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 21
Defense: 24.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 26

North Carolina's 2013 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 1 - 12
Record at home: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
201312/28North Carolina39Cincinnati17North Carolina -2.5North Carolina60.0Under
TeamWinsCoversO/U
North Carolina110 Overs
Cincinnati001 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 01 - 01 - 00 - 0
Road Teams0 - 10 - 10 - 00 - 1

Cincinnati Recent Bowl History
DateBowlMatchupSpreadTotalResult
2013Belk Bowl Cincinnati vs North Carolina+2.560.0L 17 - 39
2012Belk Bowl Cincinnati vs Duke  W 48 - 34
2011Liberty Bowl Cincinnati vs Vanderbilt  W 31 - 24
2009Sugar Bowl Cincinnati vs Florida  L 24 - 51
2008Orange Bowl Cincinnati vs Virginia Tech  L 7 - 20
2007N/A Cincinnati vs Southern Miss  W 31 - 21
North Carolina Recent Bowl History
DateBowlMatchupSpreadTotalResult
2013Belk Bowl North Carolina vs Cincinnati-2.560.0W 39 - 17
2011Independence Bowl North Carolina vs Missouri  L 24 - 41
2010City Bowl North Carolina vs Tennessee  W 30 - 27
2009N/A North Carolina vs Pittsburgh  L 17 - 19
2008N/A North Carolina vs West Virginia  L 30 - 31
  
(#) CIN at (#) UNC
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatCINUNC
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTalNRNR
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Cincinnati on Offense
CategoryCat
CIN OffUNC Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Cincinnati Run Game
CategoryCat
CIN OffUNC Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Cincinnati Pass Game
CategoryCat
CIN OffUNC Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
North Carolina on Offense
CategoryCatUNC OffCIN Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
North Carolina Run Game
CategoryCat
UNC OffCIN Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
North Carolina Pass Game
CategoryCatUNC OffCIN Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
UNC 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'13 Profile: Remains Poor G5

CIN 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'13 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 1
North Carolina -2.5 (60.0)
North Carolina won vs Cincinnati this year (39-17)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
CIN's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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CIN's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

UNC's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View North Carolina's Full Roster

UNC's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD