James Madison at North Carolina - 2016 Matchup Preview
James Madison logo James Madison Dukes at North Carolina Tar HeelsNorth Carolina logo
Saturday, September 17th 2016 (3:30 PM EDT)
North Carolina -24.5 (0)  Open: 0.0
North Carolina 56 - James Madison: 28

 
Dukes (0 - 1) (0 - 1 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 28 - 56 (28 - 56 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Our Line: -10.5  (SP+ UNC -16)
Projected Score: JMU: 24 - UNC: 38 (62)
UNC Win prob: 95% | Cover: 52%
JMU Travel: 175 miles
Tar Heels (8 - 5) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 32 - 25 (34 - 26 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
James Madison's 2016 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/17 James Madison at North Carolina+24.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for James Madison's Schedule
North Carolina's 2016 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/3 North Carolina vs Georgia+3.560.0L 24 - 33UN
Sat 9/10 North Carolina at Illinois-7.059.5W 48 - 23OY
Sat 9/17 North Carolina vs James Madison-24.5
Sat 9/24 North Carolina vs Pittsburgh-7.067.0W 37 - 36ON
Sat 10/1 North Carolina at Florida State+12.072.5W 37 - 35UY
Sat 10/8 North Carolina vs Virginia Tech-5.549.5L 3 - 34UN
Sat 10/15 North Carolina at Miami+7.067.0W 20 - 13UY
Sat 10/22 North Carolina at Virginia-9.068.5W 35 - 14UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/5 North Carolina vs Georgia Tech-9.563.5W 48 - 20OY
Thu 11/10 North Carolina at Duke-10.566.5L 27 - 28UN
Sat 11/19 North Carolina vs The Citadel-24.0
Fri 11/25 North Carolina vs NC State-10.063.0L 21 - 28UN
Fri 12/30 North Carolina vs Stanford+2.555.0L 23 - 25UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for North Carolina's Schedule
Important Stats (2016)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
JMU.3558%2866%3.85048%03.8660%5652%70%7000
UNC.2946%32.345%2.8914646%2934.13.1745%24.947%42%361.31.20.8
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
JMU#88 (.16)44% (61)47% (29)3.28 (30)19440% (87)2163.93 (66)#4 (.03)34% (1)34% (5)34% (3)3.64 (53)54.80.72.5
UNC#65 (.2)42% (80)47% (34)3.32 (22)17537% (114)2164.08 (52)#70 (.17)41% (53)44% (82)37% (26)4.01 (90)59.81.21.2



Overall Stats 2016
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
JMU Offense1282858.3%300000058%42%66%48%16%.35
UNC Defense1324.925.545.5%30.8 - - - - - 62%37%47%42%14%.17
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
JMU Defense1565660.3%70 - - - - - 53%47%52%70%8%.86
UNC Offense1332.334.346.3%4.131.2224391462934.743%55%45%46%17%.29

Additional Stats 2016
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
James Madison10:000NAN%0%000000026.8
North Carolina1324:2321.745%40%7.661.31.20.85.21.9330.2
Run Game Stats (2016)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
JMU Offense158%66%0000.323.85100%8%0.68
UNC Defense1362%47% - - - - .143.0968%10%0.84
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
JMU Defense153%52% - - - - .533.77100%5%1.43
UNC Offense1343%45%30.8145.84.721.122.8964%11%1.01

Pass Game Stats (2016)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
JMU Offense142%48%0000000.391.622%46%.148%1.3
UNC Defense1337%42% - - - - - - 1.211.529%35%.225%1.5
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
JMU Defense147%70% - - - - - - 01.231.917%90%1.453%1.7
UNC Offense1355%46%24.135.2293.28.312.2306.451.733%41%.576%2

James Madison's Power Ratings
James Madison's Power Rating: NR
James Madison's Offense Rating: NR
James Madison's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating:  #134
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
James Madison's 2016 Expected Record: -
James Madison's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
James Madison's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
James Madison's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
James Madison:    North Carolina: 10.45

SP+ Ratings Matchup
James Madison:    North Carolina: 15.9




North Carolina's Power Ratings
North Carolina's Power Rating: 10.45 NR
North Carolina's Offense Rating: NR
North Carolina's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating:  #29
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
North Carolina's 2016 Expected Record: -
North Carolina's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: 15.9  #17
North Carolina's Offense SP+ Rating: 38.5  #21
North Carolina's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.6  #41

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


James Madison Scoring
Offense: 28 PPG
Offense on Road: 28
Defense: 56 PPG
Defense on Road: 56

James Madison's 2016 Record
Record: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 1
Record on Road: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
North Carolina 38
James Madison 24

Total Points: 62

Based on Last 4 Games
North Carolina 30
James Madison 21

Total Points: 52

Based on Entire Season
North Carolina 45
James Madison 27

Total Points: 72
North Carolina Scoring
Offense: 32.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 34.3
Defense: 24.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 25.5

North Carolina's 2016 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 3 - 10
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202409/21North Carolina50James Madison70North Carolina -10.0James Madison48.0Over
201609/17North Carolina56James Madison28North Carolina -24.5North Carolina0
201109/03North Carolina42James Madison10
200709/01North Carolina37James Madison14
TeamWinsCoversO/U
North Carolina311 Overs
James Madison110 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams3 - 11 - 11 - 10 - 0
Road Teams1 - 31 - 10 - 01 - 1

(#) JMU at (#) UNC
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatJMUUNC
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+NR #17
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #134 #29
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
James Madison on Offense
CategoryCat
JMU OffUNC Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NR #41
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
James Madison Run Game
CategoryCat
JMU OffUNC Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
James Madison Pass Game
CategoryCat
JMU OffUNC Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
North Carolina on Offense
CategoryCatUNC OffJMU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #21NR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
North Carolina Run Game
CategoryCat
UNC OffJMU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
North Carolina Pass Game
CategoryCatUNC OffJMU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
UNC 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to CFP Hopefuls

JMU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'16 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Kenan Memorial Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 84° - Wind: 6 mph
Rematch from Week 3
North Carolina -24.5 (0)
North Carolina won vs James Madison this year (56-28)

Previous Matchups
James Madison beat North Carolina last year (70-50)

  
JMU's OC ()
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Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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JMU's DC ()
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SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
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UNC's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
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Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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UNC's DC ()
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