Colorado State at Minnesota - 2016 Matchup Preview

Colorado State Rams at Minnesota Golden Gophers

Saturday, September 24th 2016 (12:00 PM EDT)
Minnesota -15.5 (56.0) (0) Open: 0.0
Minnesota 31 - Colorado State: 24

Rams (7 - 6) (9 - 4 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 19 - 31 (17 - 36 on Road)
'16 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

MINN coming off BYE
CSU is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: -8.5 (SP+ MINN -12)
Projected Score: CSU: 18 - MINN: 30 (48)
MINN Win prob: 86% | Cover: 55%
CSU Travel: 673 miles, 1 hrs behind

Golden Gophers (9 - 4) (6 - 6 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 23 - 23 (30 - 13 @ Home)
'16 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
CSU Players
MINN Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Colorado State's 2016 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Fri 9/2	Colorado State vs Colorado	+10.0	56.0	L 7 - 44	U	N
Sat 9/10	Colorado State vs UTSA	-10.0	51.5	W 23 - 14	U	N
Sat 9/17	Colorado State vs Northern Colorado	-22.0
Sat 9/24	Colorado State at Minnesota	+15.5	56.0	L 24 - 31	U	Y
Sat 10/1	Colorado State vs Wyoming	-5.5	53.5	L 17 - 38	O	N
Sat 10/8	Colorado State vs Utah State	+6.0	53.5	W 31 - 24	O	Y
Sat 10/15	Colorado State at Boise State	+25.5	59.5	L 23 - 28	U	Y
Sat 10/22	Colorado State at UNLV	+1.5	56.5	W 42 - 23	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/5	Colorado State vs Fresno State	-13.0	58.5	W 37 - 0	U	Y
Sat 11/12	Colorado State at Air Force	+6.0	54.0	L 46 - 49	O	Y
Sat 11/19	Colorado State vs New Mexico	-5.0	61.5	W 49 - 31	O	Y
Sat 11/26	Colorado State at San Diego State	+12.5	53.5	W 63 - 31	O	Y
Thu 12/22	Colorado State vs Idaho	-13.0	65.0	L 50 - 61	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Colorado State's Schedule

Minnesota's 2016 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 9/1	Minnesota vs Oregon State	-7.5	56.0	W 30 - 23	U	N
Sat 9/10	Minnesota vs Indiana State	-44.5
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/24	Minnesota vs Colorado State	-15.5	56.0	W 31 - 24	U	N
Sat 10/1	Minnesota at Penn State	+4.0	54.5	L 26 - 29	O	Y
Sat 10/8	Minnesota vs Iowa	+1.5	50.0	L 7 - 14	U	N
Sat 10/15	Minnesota at Maryland	+3.0	47.0	W 31 - 10	U	Y
Sat 10/22	Minnesota vs Rutgers	-21.0	45.0	W 34 - 32	O	N
Sat 10/29	Minnesota at Illinois	-10.0	46.5	W 40 - 17	O	Y
Sat 11/5	Minnesota vs Purdue	-16.5	54.0	W 44 - 31	O	N
Sat 11/12	Minnesota at Nebraska	+8.0	48.5	L 17 - 24	U	Y
Sat 11/19	Minnesota vs Northwestern	-2.0	46.0	W 29 - 12	U	Y
Sat 11/26	Minnesota at Wisconsin	+14.0	42.5	L 17 - 31	O	Y
Tue 12/27	Minnesota vs Washington State	+5.5	61.0	W 17 - 12	U	Y

Important Stats (2015)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
CSU	.17	47%	18.5	46%	3.19	198	46%	228	3.57	.18	43%	30.8	43%	39%	3.33	69.1	2.1	1.2
MINN	.12	41%	23	38%	2.86	144	43%	215	3.3	.12	43%	22.9	45%	39%	3.4	45.5	1.7	1.4

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
CSU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
MINN		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2015

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
CSU Offense	13	18.5	16.6	47.2%	3.57	2.1	23	426	198	228	4.8	56%	43%	46%	46%	2%	.17
MINN Defense	13	22.9	13	43.3%	3.4	1.4	-	-	-	-	-	54%	44%	45%	39%	2%	.12

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
CSU Defense	13	30.8	36	42.6%	3.33	1.2	-	-	-	-	-	58%	40%	43%	39%	1%	.18
MINN Offense	13	23	30.1	41.1%	3.3	1.7	18	359	144	215	4.2	49%	49%	38%	43%	3%	.12

Additional Stats 2015

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Colorado State	13	30:16	23.2	46%	59%	7.5	69.1	2.1	1.2	0	0	3	30.4
Minnesota	13	29:00	17.6	39%	35%	5.6	45.5	1.7	1.4	0	0	2	28.2

Run Game Stats (2016)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
CSU Offense	13	56%	46%	41.1	197.8	4.8	20	.12	3.19	75%	0%	0.89
MINN Defense	13	54%	45%	-	-	-	-	.1	3.1	74%	0%	0.84

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
CSU Defense	13	58%	43%	-	-	-	-	.21	2.89	69%	0%	1.2
MINN Offense	13	49%	38%	34.3	144.1	4.2	17	-.01	2.86	67%	0%	0.8

Pass Game Stats (2016)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
CSU Offense	13	43%	46%	17.9	30.2	228.1	7.6	12.7	24	15	.28	1.5	30%	37%	.3	2%	1.7
MINN Defense	13	44%	39%	-	-	-	-	-	-	10	.16	1.5	31%	34%	.3	2%	1.7

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
CSU Defense	13	40%	39%	-	-	-	-	-	-	8	.16	1.6	33%	38%	.39	1%	1.8
MINN Offense	13	49%	43%	19.3	32.8	214.8	6.5	11.1	15	11	.25	1.5	34%	35%	.23	3%	1.5

Colorado State's Power Ratings
Colorado State's Power Rating: NR
Colorado State's Offense Rating: NR
Colorado State's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating: #90
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Colorado State's 2016 Expected Record: -
Colorado State's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: 0.8 #64
Colorado State's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.5 #44
Colorado State's Defense SP+ Rating: 34.0 #98

Average Talent
Average Pac-12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Colorado State: Minnesota: 8.8

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Colorado State: 0.8 Minnesota: 12.6

Minnesota's Power Ratings
Minnesota's Power Rating: 8.8 NR
Minnesota's Offense Rating: NR
Minnesota's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating: #59
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Minnesota's 2016 Expected Record: -
Minnesota's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: 12.6 #24
Minnesota's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.8 #76
Minnesota's Defense SP+ Rating: 17.5 #12

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Colorado State Scoring
Offense: 18.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 16.6
Defense: 30.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 36

Colorado State's 2016 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record on Road: 2 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 5 - 0 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 6 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 5 - 0 - 0

Projected Score
Minnesota 30
Colorado State 18

Projected Total Points: 48

Minnesota Scoring
Offense: 23 PPG
Offense at Home: 30.1
Defense: 22.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 13

Minnesota's 2016 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 1
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 6 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 5 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2016	09/24	Minnesota	31	Colorado State	24	Minnesota -15.5	Colorado State	56.0	Under
2015	09/12	Colorado State	20	Minnesota	23	Minnesota -5	Colorado State	59.5	Under
2005	09/10	Minnesota	56	Colorado State	24
2004	09/18	Colorado State	16	Minnesota	34

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Minnesota	4	0	0 Overs
Colorado State	0	2	2 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	2 - 2	1 - 1	0 - 1	1 - 0
Road Teams	2 - 2	1 - 1	0 - 1	1 - 0

(#) CSU at (#) MINN

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	CSU	MINN
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#64	#24
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#90	#59
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Colorado State Injury Report

Minnesota Injury Report

Colorado State on Offense


CategoryCat	CSU Off	MINN Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#44	#12
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Colorado State Run Game


CategoryCat	CSU Off	MINN Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Colorado State Pass Game


CategoryCat	CSU Off	MINN Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Minnesota on Offense


CategoryCat	MINN Off	CSU Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#76	#98
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Minnesota Run Game


CategoryCat	MINN Off	CSU Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Minnesota Pass Game


CategoryCat	MINN Off	CSU Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
MINN 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Top 25 Contenders

CSU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Huntington Bank Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 4
Minnesota -15.5 (56.0)
Minnesota won vs Colorado State this year (31-24)

No Matchups Past 4 Years

CSU's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Colorado State's Full Roster

CSU's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

MINN's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Minnesota's Full Roster

MINN's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD