Oregon State at Minnesota - 2016 Matchup Preview

Oregon State Beavers at Minnesota Golden Gophers

Thursday, September 1st 2016 (9:00 PM EDT)
Minnesota -7.5 (56.0) (0) Open: 0.0
Minnesota 30 - Oregon State: 23

Beavers (4 - 8) (8 - 3 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 18 - 29 (12 - 35 on Road)
'16 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Our Line: -11 (SP+ MINN -17)
Projected Score: ORST: 16 - MINN: 29 (45)
MINN Win prob: 73% | Cover: 49%
ORST Travel: 1466 miles, 2 hrs behind

Golden Gophers (9 - 4) (6 - 6 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 23 - 23 (30 - 13 @ Home)
'16 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
ORST Players
MINN Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Oregon State's 2016 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 9/1	Oregon State at Minnesota	+7.5	56.0	L 23 - 30	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/17	Oregon State vs Idaho State	-35.0
Sat 9/24	Oregon State vs Boise State	+14.0	60.0	L 24 - 38	O	Y
Sat 10/1	Oregon State at Colorado	+16.0	56.0	L 6 - 47	U	N
Sat 10/8	Oregon State vs California	+10.0	70.0	W 47 - 44	O	Y
Sat 10/15	Oregon State vs Utah	+13.0	43.0	L 14 - 19	U	Y
Sat 10/22	Oregon State at Washington	+31.5	53.0	L 17 - 41	O	Y
Sat 10/29	Oregon State vs Washington State	+17.5	55.0	L 31 - 35	O	Y
Sat 11/5	Oregon State at Stanford	+16.5	42.5	L 15 - 26	U	Y
Sat 11/12	Oregon State at UCLA	+10.0	48.5	L 24 - 38	O	N
Sat 11/19	Oregon State vs Arizona	-5.0	61.5	W 42 - 17	U	Y
Sat 11/26	Oregon State vs Oregon	+3.0	69.0	W 34 - 24	U	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Oregon State's Schedule

Minnesota's 2016 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 9/1	Minnesota vs Oregon State	-7.5	56.0	W 30 - 23	U	N
Sat 9/10	Minnesota vs Indiana State	-44.5
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/24	Minnesota vs Colorado State	-15.5	56.0	W 31 - 24	U	N
Sat 10/1	Minnesota at Penn State	+4.0	54.5	L 26 - 29	O	Y
Sat 10/8	Minnesota vs Iowa	+1.5	50.0	L 7 - 14	U	N
Sat 10/15	Minnesota at Maryland	+3.0	47.0	W 31 - 10	U	Y
Sat 10/22	Minnesota vs Rutgers	-21.0	45.0	W 34 - 32	O	N
Sat 10/29	Minnesota at Illinois	-10.0	46.5	W 40 - 17	O	Y
Sat 11/5	Minnesota vs Purdue	-16.5	54.0	W 44 - 31	O	N
Sat 11/12	Minnesota at Nebraska	+8.0	48.5	L 17 - 24	U	Y
Sat 11/19	Minnesota vs Northwestern	-2.0	46.0	W 29 - 12	U	Y
Sat 11/26	Minnesota at Wisconsin	+14.0	42.5	L 17 - 31	O	Y
Tue 12/27	Minnesota vs Washington State	+5.5	61.0	W 17 - 12	U	Y

Important Stats (2015)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ORST	.09	40%	17.6	44%	2.78	177	34%	159	2.75	.27	51%	29.4	53%	47%	4.32	58.7	1.3	1
MINN	.12	41%	23	38%	2.86	144	43%	215	3.3	.12	43%	22.9	45%	39%	3.4	45.5	1.7	1.4

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ORST		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
MINN		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2015

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ORST Offense	12	17.6	11.8	40.2%	2.75	1.3	18	336	177	159	4.8	54%	45%	44%	34%	2%	.09
MINN Defense	13	22.9	13	43.3%	3.4	1.4	-	-	-	-	-	54%	44%	45%	39%	2%	.12

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ORST Defense	12	29.4	35.2	51.4%	4.32	1	-	-	-	-	-	52%	46%	53%	47%	3%	.27
MINN Offense	13	23	30.1	41.1%	3.3	1.7	18	359	144	215	4.2	49%	49%	38%	43%	3%	.12

Additional Stats 2015

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Oregon State	12	26:12	17.5	32%	18%	6.3	58.7	1.3	1	0	0	3	26.6
Minnesota	13	29:00	17.6	39%	35%	5.6	45.5	1.7	1.4	0	0	2	28.2

Run Game Stats (2016)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ORST Offense	12	54%	44%	37.2	177.3	4.8	16	.1	2.78	78%	0%	0.93
MINN Defense	13	54%	45%	-	-	-	-	.1	3.1	74%	0%	0.84

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ORST Defense	12	52%	53%	-	-	-	-	.24	3.28	81%	0%	0.87
MINN Offense	13	49%	38%	34.3	144.1	4.2	17	-.01	2.86	67%	0%	0.8

Pass Game Stats (2016)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ORST Offense	12	45%	34%	13.4	28.6	159.1	5.6	11.9	10	11	.08	1.6	35%	26%	.11	2%	1.6
MINN Defense	13	44%	39%	-	-	-	-	-	-	10	.16	1.5	31%	34%	.3	2%	1.7

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ORST Defense	12	46%	47%	-	-	-	-	-	-	8	.35	1.5	25%	42%	.45	3%	1.6
MINN Offense	13	49%	43%	19.3	32.8	214.8	6.5	11.1	15	11	.25	1.5	34%	35%	.23	3%	1.5

Oregon State's Power Ratings
Oregon State's Power Rating: NR
Oregon State's Offense Rating: NR
Oregon State's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating: #63
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Oregon State's 2016 Expected Record: -
Oregon State's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: -4.6 #88
Oregon State's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.1 #86
Oregon State's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.0 #81

Average Talent
Average Pac-12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Oregon State: Minnesota: 8.8

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Oregon State: -4.6 Minnesota: 12.6

Minnesota's Power Ratings
Minnesota's Power Rating: 8.8 NR
Minnesota's Offense Rating: NR
Minnesota's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating: #59
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Minnesota's 2016 Expected Record: -
Minnesota's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: 12.6 #24
Minnesota's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.8 #76
Minnesota's Defense SP+ Rating: 17.5 #12

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Oregon State Scoring
Offense: 17.6 PPG
Offense on Road: 11.8
Defense: 29.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 35.2

Oregon State's 2016 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 8 - 3 - 1
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record on Road: 0 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 7 - 2 - 1
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Minnesota 29
Oregon State 16

Projected Total Points: 45

Minnesota Scoring
Offense: 23 PPG
Offense at Home: 30.1
Defense: 22.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 13

Minnesota's 2016 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 1
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 6 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 5 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2017	09/09	Oregon State	14	Minnesota	48	Oregon State -2.5	Minnesota	50.5	Over
2016	09/01	Minnesota	30	Oregon State	23	Minnesota -7.5	Oregon State	56.0	Under

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Minnesota	2	1	1 Overs
Oregon State	0	1	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	1 - 1	0 - 2	0 - 2	0 - 0
Road Teams	1 - 1	2 - 0	0 - 0	2 - 0

(#) ORST at (#) MINN

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	ORST	MINN
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#88	#24
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#63	#59
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Oregon State Injury Report

Minnesota Injury Report

Oregon State on Offense


CategoryCat	ORST Off	MINN Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#86	#12
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Oregon State Run Game


CategoryCat	ORST Off	MINN Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Oregon State Pass Game


CategoryCat	ORST Off	MINN Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Minnesota on Offense


CategoryCat	MINN Off	ORST Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#76	#81
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Minnesota Run Game


CategoryCat	MINN Off	ORST Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Minnesota Pass Game


CategoryCat	MINN Off	ORST Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
MINN 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Top 25 Contenders

ORST 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Huntington Bank Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 1
Minnesota -7.5 (56.0)
Minnesota won vs Oregon State this year (30-23)

No Matchups Past 4 Years

ORST's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Oregon State's Full Roster

ORST's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

MINN's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Minnesota's Full Roster

MINN's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD