Cincinnati at UCF - 2016 Matchup Preview
Cincinnati logo   Cincinnati Bearcats at UCF Knights  UCF logo
Saturday, November 12th 2016 (12:00 PM EST)
UCF -10 (55.0) (0)  Open: 0.0
UCF 24 - Cincinnati: 3  (American Athletic)

 
Bearcats (4 - 8) (3 - 9 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 30 - 26 (31 - 35 on Road)
'16 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
UCF 2nd straight Home Game
UCF is playing their 5th straight game
CIN is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: -3  (SP+ UCF -1)
Projected Score: CIN: 25 - UCF: 30 (55)
UCF Win prob: 77% | Cover: 50%
CIN Travel: 752 miles
Knights (6 - 7) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 24 - 24 (33 - 16 @ Home)
'16 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Cincinnati's 2016 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 9/1 Cincinnati vs UT Martin-24.0
Sat 9/10 Cincinnati at Purdue-7.057.5W 38 - 20OY
Thu 9/15 Cincinnati vs Houston+7.563.0L 16 - 40UN
Sat 9/24 Cincinnati vs Miami (OH)-19.555.5W 27 - 20UN
Sat 10/1 Cincinnati vs South Florida+6.064.5L 20 - 45ON
Sat 10/8 Cincinnati at UConn-2.549.5L 9 - 20UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/22 Cincinnati vs East Carolina-2.063.0W 31 - 19UY
Sat 10/29 Cincinnati at Temple+8.553.0L 13 - 34UN
Sat 11/5 Cincinnati vs BYU+10.054.0L 3 - 20UN
Sat 11/12 Cincinnati at UCF+10.055.0L 3 - 24UN
Fri 11/18 Cincinnati vs Memphis+7.561.5L 7 - 34UN
Fri 11/25 Cincinnati at Tulsa+18.563.0L 37 - 40OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Cincinnati's Schedule
UCF's 2016 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/3 UCF vs South Carolina State-27.0
Sat 9/10 UCF at Michigan+34.553.5L 14 - 51ON
Sat 9/17 UCF vs Maryland+9.056.0L 24 - 30UY
Sat 9/24 UCF at Florida International-5.552.5W 53 - 14OY
Sat 10/1 UCF at East Carolina+5.561.0W 47 - 29OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/15 UCF vs Temple-1.051.5L 25 - 26UN
Sat 10/22 UCF at UConn-2.046.5W 24 - 16UY
Sat 10/29 UCF at Houston+12.559.0L 24 - 31UY
Sat 11/5 UCF vs Tulane-16.547.0W 37 - 6UY
Sat 11/12 UCF vs Cincinnati-10.055.0W 24 - 3UY
Sat 11/19 UCF vs Tulsa-1.564.0L 20 - 35UN
Sat 11/26 UCF at South Florida+9.566.0L 31 - 48ON
Sat 12/17 UCF vs Arkansas State+6.551.0L 13 - 31UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for UCF's Schedule
Important Stats (2015)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
CIN.2349%30.347%2.8317849%3603.71.1743%25.644%40%3.4172.92.51.1
UCF-.0436%24.334%2.358136%1872.32.2946%23.643%48%3.9145.12.81.1
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
CIN0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
UCF0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2015
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
CIN Offense1330.330.849.1%3.712.5285381783604.544%54%47%49%3%.23
UCF Defense1223.615.746.3%3.911.1 - - - - - 53%45%43%48%2%.29
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
CIN Defense1325.635.342.9%3.411.1 - - - - - 51%47%44%40%2%.17
UCF Offense1224.332.636%2.322.816268811872.743%55%34%36%2%-.04

Additional Stats 2015
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Cincinnati1330:5228.551%64%872.92.51.100027.4
UCF1227:3515.829%33%5.345.12.81.100129.1
Run Game Stats (2016)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
CIN Offense1344%47%39.4177.94.525.132.8377%0%0.88
UCF Defense1253%43% - - - - .182.8472%0%1.12
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
CIN Defense1351%44% - - - - .143.1665%0%0.89
UCF Offense1243%34%29.781.32.74-.182.3565%0%0.65

Pass Game Stats (2016)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
CIN Offense1354%49%26.242.1359.98.613.72922.321.631%39%.353%1.8
UCF Defense1245%48% - - - - - - 4.451.733%40%.582%1.9
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
CIN Defense1347%40% - - - - - - 9.221.632%33%.282%1.7
UCF Offense1255%36%17.635.4187.25.310.61323.071.536%29%.122%1.8

Cincinnati's Power Ratings
Cincinnati's Power Rating: NR
Cincinnati's Offense Rating: NR
Cincinnati's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating:  #58
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Cincinnati's 2016 Expected Record: -
Cincinnati's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: -3.6  #82
Cincinnati's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.5  #98
Cincinnati's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.3  #53

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Cincinnati:    UCF: 1.4

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Cincinnati: -3.6   UCF: -2.2




UCF's Power Ratings
UCF's Power Rating: 1.4 NR
UCF's Offense Rating: NR
UCF's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating:  #69
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
UCF's 2016 Expected Record: -
UCF's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: -2.2  #76
UCF's Offense SP+ Rating: 19.3  #119
UCF's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.3  #35

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Cincinnati Scoring
Offense: 30.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 30.8
Defense: 25.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 35.3

Cincinnati's 2016 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 3 - 9 - 0
Over/Under Record: 3 - 9
Record on Road: 1 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 6 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
UCF 30
Cincinnati 25

Projected Total Points: 55
UCF Scoring
Offense: 24.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 32.6
Defense: 23.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 15.7

UCF's 2016 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 9
Record at home: 3 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202510/11Cincinnati20UCF11Cincinnati -10UCF55.5Under
202410/12UCF13Cincinnati19UCF -2Cincinnati58.0Under
202311/04Cincinnati26UCF28UCF -3.5Cincinnati59.5Under
202210/29UCF25Cincinnati21UCF -1.5UCF55.5Under
202110/16Cincinnati56UCF21Cincinnati -21.5Cincinnati56.0Over
202011/21UCF33Cincinnati36Cincinnati -4.5UCF66.0Over
201910/04Cincinnati27UCF24UCF -3.5Cincinnati64.0Under
201811/17UCF38Cincinnati13UCF -7.5UCF60.0Under
201710/07Cincinnati23UCF51UCF -15UCF52.5Over
201611/12UCF24Cincinnati3UCF -10UCF55.0Under
201510/31Cincinnati52UCF7Cincinnati -20.5Cincinnati61.5Under
TeamWinsCoversO/U
UCF563 Overs
Cincinnati658 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams7 - 48 - 35 - 23 - 1
Road Teams4 - 73 - 81 - 32 - 5

(#) CIN at (#) UCF
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatCINUCF
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #82 #76
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #58 #69
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Cincinnati on Offense
CategoryCat
CIN OffUCF Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #98 #35
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Cincinnati Run Game
CategoryCat
CIN OffUCF Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Cincinnati Pass Game
CategoryCat
CIN OffUCF Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
UCF on Offense
CategoryCatUCF OffCIN Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #119 #53
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
UCF Run Game
CategoryCat
UCF OffCIN Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
UCF Pass Game
CategoryCatUCF OffCIN Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
UCF 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Top G5

CIN 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Bright House Networks Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 11
UCF -10.0 (55.0)
UCF won vs Cincinnati this year (24-3)

Previous Matchups
Cincinnati beat UCF last year (20-11)
Cincinnati beat UCF in 2024 (19-13)
UCF beat Cincinnati in 2023 (28-26)

  
CIN's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Cincinnati's Full Roster

CIN's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

UCF's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View UCF's Full Roster

UCF's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD