Tulane at UCF - 2016 Matchup Preview
Tulane logo Tulane Green Wave at UCF KnightsUCF logo
Saturday, November 5th 2016 (5:00 PM EDT)
UCF -16.5 (47.0) (0)  Open: 0.0
UCF 37 - Tulane: 6  (American Athletic)

 
Green Wave (4 - 8) (7 - 5 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 24 - 28 (21 - 27 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Wind: 16.1 MPH
UCF is playing their 4th straight game
TULN is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: -8.5  (SP+ UCF -12)

Projected Score: TULN: 24 - UCF: 29 (53)
UCF Win prob: 90% | Cover: 54%
TULN Travel: 546 miles, 1 hrs behind
Knights (6 - 7) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 29 - 25 (26 - 19 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Tulane's 2016 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 9/1 Tulane at Wake Forest+16.043.0L 3 - 7UY
Sat 9/10 Tulane vs Southern-31.0
Sat 9/17 Tulane vs Navy+10.542.0L 14 - 21UY
Sat 9/24 Tulane vs Louisiana-3.046.5W 41 - 39ON
Sat 10/1 Tulane at Massachusetts-2.541.5W 31 - 24OY
BYE WEEK
Fri 10/14 Tulane vs Memphis+10.552.5L 14 - 24UY
Sat 10/22 Tulane at Tulsa+10.054.0L 27 - 50ON
Sat 10/29 Tulane vs SMU-1.048.0L 31 - 35ON
Sat 11/5 Tulane at UCF+16.547.0L 6 - 37UN
Sat 11/12 Tulane at Houston+22.049.0L 18 - 30UY
Sat 11/19 Tulane vs Temple+14.543.5L 0 - 31UN
Sat 11/26 Tulane at UConn+2.036.5W 38 - 13OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Tulane's Schedule
UCF's 2016 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/3 UCF vs South Carolina State-27.0
Sat 9/10 UCF at Michigan+34.553.5L 14 - 51ON
Sat 9/17 UCF vs Maryland+9.056.0L 24 - 30UY
Sat 9/24 UCF at Florida International-5.552.5W 53 - 14OY
Sat 10/1 UCF at East Carolina+5.561.0W 47 - 29OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/15 UCF vs Temple-1.051.5L 25 - 26UN
Sat 10/22 UCF at UConn-2.046.5W 24 - 16UY
Sat 10/29 UCF at Houston+12.559.0L 24 - 31UY
Sat 11/5 UCF vs Tulane-16.547.0W 37 - 6UY
Sat 11/12 UCF vs Cincinnati-10.055.0W 24 - 3UY
Sat 11/19 UCF vs Tulsa-1.564.0L 20 - 35UN
Sat 11/26 UCF at South Florida+9.566.0L 31 - 48ON
Sat 12/17 UCF vs Arkansas State+6.551.0L 13 - 31UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for UCF's Schedule
Important Stats (2016)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TULN.0337%24.140%2.8222830%1133.16.140%27.741%37%3.3755.11.52.3
UCF.0436%28.834%2.2314135%2103.14-.0436%24.639%32%2.4756.11.92
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TULN#20 (.27)45% (32)45% (61)3.15 (47)19747% (23)2094.5 (18)#14 (.07)38% (29)38% (14)39% (45)3.53 (42)50.11.11.6
UCF#58 (.21)46% (28)52% (8)3.62 (2)24838% (103)2003.75 (86)#63 (.16)40% (45)37% (12)42% (84)4.37 (118)54.41.60.9



Overall Stats 2016
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TULN Offense1224.120.537.2%3.161.5173412281134.664%34%40%30%15%.03
UCF Defense1324.618.736.3%2.472 - - - - - 52%46%39%32%21%-.04
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TULN Defense1227.726.840%3.372.3 - - - - - 54%45%41%37%18%.1
UCF Offense1328.825.935.8%3.141.9193511412103.549%49%34%35%19%.04

Additional Stats 2016
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Tulane1232:2317.328%56%6.455.11.52.37.32.4233.8
UCF1327:2819.229%43%756.11.927.82.8632.5
Run Game Stats (2016)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TULN Offense1264%40%49.3228.14.625.12.8265%10%1.02
UCF Defense1352%39% - - - - -.032.5667%13%0.87
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TULN Defense1254%41% - - - - .042.5166%13%0.98
UCF Offense1349%34%40.5141.53.525.052.2363%14%1.28

Pass Game Stats (2016)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TULN Offense1234%30%9.121.5113.35.312.5108-.091.734%24%.015%1.7
UCF Defense1346%32% - - - - - - 15-.041.736%25%-.079%1.8
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TULN Defense1245%37% - - - - - - 12.181.835%35%.355%1.8
UCF Offense1349%35%18.834.5209.76.111.2149.041.438%26%.215%2.2

Tulane's Power Ratings
Tulane's Power Rating: NR
Tulane's Offense Rating: NR
Tulane's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating:  #103
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Tulane's 2016 Expected Record: -
Tulane's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: -14.6  #114
Tulane's Offense SP+ Rating: 15.7  #127
Tulane's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.4  #66

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Tulane:    UCF: 1.4

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Tulane: -14.6   UCF: -2.2




UCF's Power Ratings
UCF's Power Rating: 1.4 NR
UCF's Offense Rating: NR
UCF's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating:  #69
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
UCF's 2016 Expected Record: -
UCF's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: -2.2  #76
UCF's Offense SP+ Rating: 19.3  #119
UCF's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.3  #35

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


Tulane Scoring
Offense: 24.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 20.5
Defense: 27.7 PPG
Defense on Road: 26.8

Tulane's 2016 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
UCF 29
Tulane 24


Total Points: 53

Based on Last 4 Games
UCF 31
Tulane 27

Total Points: 58

Based on Entire Season
UCF 27
Tulane 22

Total Points: 49
UCF Scoring
Offense: 28.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 25.9
Defense: 24.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 18.7

UCF's 2016 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 9
Record at home: 3 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202212/03Tulane45UCF28Tulane -3.5Tulane57.5Over
202211/12Tulane31UCF38Tulane -1UCF54.5Over
202111/06UCF14Tulane10UCF -13.5Tulane57.0Under
202010/24UCF51Tulane34UCF -21Tulane71.0Over
201911/23Tulane31UCF34UCF -7Tulane73.5Under
201611/05UCF37Tulane6UCF -16.5UCF47.0Under
201510/03Tulane45UCF31UCF -3Tulane44.0Over
201410/18UCF20Tulane13UCF -19Tulane0
201011/20Tulane14UCF61
200911/21UCF49Tulane0
200611/18Tulane10UCF9
200510/21UCF34Tulane24
200109/22Tulane29UCF36
TeamWinsCoversO/U
UCF1024 Overs
Tulane363 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams9 - 44 - 42 - 42 - 0
Road Teams4 - 94 - 40 - 24 - 2

(#) TULN at (#) UCF
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatTULNUCF
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #114 #76
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #103 #69
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Tulane on Offense
CategoryCat
TULN OffUCF Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #127 #35
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Tulane Run Game
CategoryCat
TULN OffUCF Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Tulane Pass Game
CategoryCat
TULN OffUCF Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
UCF on Offense
CategoryCatUCF OffTULN Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #119 #66
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
UCF Run Game
CategoryCat
UCF OffTULN Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
UCF Pass Game
CategoryCatUCF OffTULN Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
UCF 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Top G5

TULN 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Bright House Networks Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 78° - Wind: 16 mph
Rematch from Week 10
UCF -16.5 (47.0)
UCF won vs Tulane this year (37-6)

Previous Matchups
UCF beat Tulane in 2022 (38-31)

  
TULN's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Tulane's Full Roster

TULN's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

UCF's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View UCF's Full Roster

UCF's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD