UCF at Florida International - 2016 Matchup Preview

UCF Knights at Florida International Golden Panthers

Saturday, September 24th 2016 (7:00 PM EDT)
UCF -5.5 (52.5) (0) Open: 0.0
UCF 53 - Florida International: 14

Knights (6 - 7) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 24 - 24 (13 - 35 on Road)
'16 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

FIU is playing their 4th straight game
UCF is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: -6 (SP+ UCF -17)
Projected Score: UCF: 24 - FIU: 29 (53)
UCF Win prob: 67% | Cover: 51%
UCF Travel: 204 miles

Golden Panthers (4 - 8) (4 - 7 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 29 - 30 (31 - 28 @ Home)
'16 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
UCF Players
FIU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

UCF's 2016 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	UCF vs South Carolina State	-27.0
Sat 9/10	UCF at Michigan	+34.5	53.5	L 14 - 51	O	N
Sat 9/17	UCF vs Maryland	+9.0	56.0	L 24 - 30	U	Y
Sat 9/24	UCF at Florida International	-5.5	52.5	W 53 - 14	O	Y
Sat 10/1	UCF at East Carolina	+5.5	61.0	W 47 - 29	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/15	UCF vs Temple	-1.0	51.5	L 25 - 26	U	N
Sat 10/22	UCF at UConn	-2.0	46.5	W 24 - 16	U	Y
Sat 10/29	UCF at Houston	+12.5	59.0	L 24 - 31	U	Y
Sat 11/5	UCF vs Tulane	-16.5	47.0	W 37 - 6	U	Y
Sat 11/12	UCF vs Cincinnati	-10.0	55.0	W 24 - 3	U	Y
Sat 11/19	UCF vs Tulsa	-1.5	64.0	L 20 - 35	U	N
Sat 11/26	UCF at South Florida	+9.5	66.0	L 31 - 48	O	N
Sat 12/17	UCF vs Arkansas State	+6.5	51.0	L 13 - 31	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for UCF's Schedule

Florida International's 2016 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 9/1	Florida International vs Indiana	+3.0	64.0	L 13 - 34	U	N
Fri 9/9	Florida International vs Maryland	+7.0	56.5	L 14 - 41	U	N
Sat 9/17	Florida International at Massachusetts	-1.0	48.0	L 13 - 21	U	N
Sat 9/24	Florida International vs UCF	+5.5	52.5	L 14 - 53	O	N
Sat 10/1	Florida International vs Florida Atlantic	+5.0	52.5	W 33 - 31	O	Y
Sat 10/8	Florida International at UTEP	+2.5	49.5	W 35 - 21	O	Y
Sat 10/15	Florida International at Charlotte	-1.5	57.0	W 27 - 26	U	N
Sat 10/22	Florida International vs Louisiana Tech	+16.0	65.5	L 24 - 44	O	N
Sat 10/29	Florida International vs Middle Tennessee	+17.0	62.5	L 35 - 42	O	Y
Sat 11/5	Florida International at Western Kentucky	+25.0	65.5	L 21 - 49	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/19	Florida International vs Marshall	+3.0	53.5	W 31 - 14	U	Y
Sat 11/26	Florida International at Old Dominion	+14.0	60.0	L 28 - 42	O	Y

Important Stats (2015)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
UCF	-.04	36%	24.3	34%	2.35	81	36%	187	2.32	.29	46%	23.6	43%	48%	3.91	45.1	2.8	1.1
FIU	.13	42%	28.5	40%	2.71	110	42%	238	3.79	.19	49%	30	50%	46%	3.23	49.5	1.3	1.5

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
UCF		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
FIU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2015

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
UCF Offense	12	24.3	12.8	36%	2.32	2.8	16	268	81	187	2.7	43%	55%	34%	36%	2%	-.04
FIU Defense	12	30	28	48.6%	3.23	1.5	-	-	-	-	-	52%	47%	50%	46%	2%	.19

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
UCF Defense	12	23.6	34.6	46.3%	3.91	1.1	-	-	-	-	-	53%	45%	43%	48%	2%	.29
FIU Offense	12	28.5	30.5	42.1%	3.79	1.3	19	348	110	238	3.4	40%	58%	40%	42%	1%	.13

Additional Stats 2015

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
UCF	12	27:35	15.8	29%	33%	5.3	45.1	2.8	1.1	0	0	1	29.1
Florida International	12	29:47	18.9	42%	43%	5.8	49.5	1.3	1.5	0	0	3	28.2

Run Game Stats (2016)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
UCF Offense	12	43%	34%	29.7	81.3	2.7	4	-.18	2.35	65%	0%	0.65
FIU Defense	12	52%	50%	-	-	-	-	.17	2.85	71%	0%	0.96

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
UCF Defense	12	53%	43%	-	-	-	-	.18	2.84	72%	0%	1.12
FIU Offense	12	40%	40%	32.1	109.9	3.4	15	.1	2.71	62%	0%	0.95

Pass Game Stats (2016)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
UCF Offense	12	55%	36%	17.6	35.4	187.2	5.3	10.6	13	23	.07	1.5	36%	29%	.12	2%	1.8
FIU Defense	12	47%	46%	-	-	-	-	-	-	9	.22	1.3	30%	36%	.26	2%	1.8

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
UCF Defense	12	45%	48%	-	-	-	-	-	-	4	.45	1.7	33%	40%	.58	2%	1.9
FIU Offense	12	58%	42%	22.8	36.7	237.8	6.5	10.4	22	8	.16	1.4	31%	31%	.2	1%	1.8

UCF's Power Ratings
UCF's Power Rating: NR
UCF's Offense Rating: NR
UCF's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating: #69
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
UCF's 2016 Expected Record: -
UCF's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: -2.2 #76
UCF's Offense SP+ Rating: 19.3 #119
UCF's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.3 #35

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
UCF: Florida International: -7

SP+ Ratings Matchup
UCF: -2.2 Florida International: -19.0

Florida International's Power Ratings
Florida International's Power Rating: -7 NR
Florida International's Offense Rating: NR
Florida International's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating: #110
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Florida International's 2016 Expected Record: -
Florida International's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: -19.0 #124
Florida International's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.0 #93
Florida International's Defense SP+ Rating: 42.2 #125

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

UCF Scoring
Offense: 24.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 12.8
Defense: 23.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 34.6

UCF's 2016 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 9
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0

Projected Score
Florida International 29
UCF 24

Projected Total Points: 53

Florida International Scoring
Offense: 28.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 30.5
Defense: 30 PPG
Defense at Home: 28

Florida International's 2016 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 4 - 7 - 1
Over/Under Record: 7 - 5
Record at home: 2 - 5
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 5 - 1
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 3 - 4 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2017	08/31	UCF	61	Florida International	17	UCF -17	UCF	56.5	Over
2016	09/24	Florida International	14	UCF	53	UCF -5.5	UCF	52.5	Over
2015	09/03	UCF	14	Florida International	15	UCF -17	Florida International	44.0	Under
2013	09/06	Florida International	0	UCF	38	UCF -22	UCF	0
2012	09/15	UCF	33	Florida International	20
2011	09/17	Florida International	17	UCF	10

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Florida International	2	1	2 Overs
UCF	4	3	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	3 - 3	1 - 3	1 - 1	0 - 2
Road Teams	3 - 3	3 - 1	2 - 0	1 - 1

(#) UCF at (#) FIU

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	UCF	FIU
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#76	#124
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#69	#110
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

UCF Injury Report

Florida International Injury Report

UCF on Offense


CategoryCat	UCF Off	FIU Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#119	#125
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

UCF Run Game


CategoryCat	UCF Off	FIU Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

UCF Pass Game


CategoryCat	UCF Off	FIU Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Florida International on Offense


CategoryCat	FIU Off	UCF Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#93	#35
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Florida International Run Game


CategoryCat	FIU Off	UCF Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Florida International Pass Game


CategoryCat	FIU Off	UCF Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
FIU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Remains Poor G5

UCF 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in FIU Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 4
UCF 5.5 (52.5)
UCF won at Florida International this year (53-14)

No Matchups Past 4 Years

UCF's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View UCF's Full Roster

UCF's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

FIU's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Florida International's Full Roster

FIU's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD