Southern Miss at UTSA - 2016 Matchup Preview
Southern Miss logo Southern Miss Golden Eagles at UTSA RoadrunnersUTSA logo
Saturday, October 8th 2016 (12:00 PM EDT)
Southern Mississippi -14.5 (53.0) (0)  Open: 0.0
UTSA 55 - Southern Miss: 32  (Conference USA)

 
Golden Eagles (7 - 6) (4 - 8 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 33 - 30 (30 - 37 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Game in Dome
UTSA coming off BYE
USM is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: -3.5  (SP+ USM -12)
Projected Score: USM: 31 - UTSA: 26 (57)
USM Win prob: 85% | Cover: 47%
USM Travel: 561 miles
Roadrunners (6 - 7) (9 - 4 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 29 - 28 (37 - 27 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Southern Miss's 2016 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/3 Southern Miss at Kentucky+7.562.0W 44 - 35OY
Sat 9/10 Southern Miss vs Savannah State-57.0
Sat 9/17 Southern Miss vs Troy-11.561.0L 31 - 37ON
Sat 9/24 Southern Miss at UTEP-10.058.5W 34 - 7UY
Sat 10/1 Southern Miss vs Rice-21.058.5W 44 - 28ON
Sat 10/8 Southern Miss at UTSA-14.553.0L 32 - 55ON
Sat 10/15 Southern Miss at LSU+21.055.0L 10 - 45UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/29 Southern Miss vs Marshall-10.067.0W 24 - 14UN
Sat 11/5 Southern Miss vs Charlotte-18.060.5L 27 - 38ON
Sat 11/12 Southern Miss at Old Dominion+2.063.5L 35 - 51ON
Sat 11/19 Southern Miss at North Texas-5.558.5L 23 - 29UN
Fri 11/25 Southern Miss vs Louisiana Tech+13.571.5W 39 - 24UY
Sat 12/17 Southern Miss vs Louisiana-2.057.0W 28 - 21UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Southern Miss's Schedule
UTSA's 2016 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/3 UTSA vs Alabama State-28.5
Sat 9/10 UTSA at Colorado State+10.051.5L 14 - 23UY
Fri 9/16 UTSA vs Arizona State+18.558.0L 28 - 32OY
Sat 9/24 UTSA at Old Dominion+1.549.5L 19 - 33ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/8 UTSA vs Southern Miss+14.553.0W 55 - 32OY
Sat 10/15 UTSA at Rice+1.552.5W 14 - 13UY
Sat 10/22 UTSA vs UTEP-7.045.0L 49 - 52ON
Sat 10/29 UTSA vs North Texas-4.051.0W 31 - 17UY
Sat 11/5 UTSA at Middle Tennessee+19.064.0W 45 - 25OY
Sat 11/12 UTSA at Louisiana Tech+19.063.0L 35 - 63ON
Sat 11/19 UTSA at Texas A&M+28.056.0L 10 - 23UY
Sat 11/26 UTSA vs Charlotte-7.053.0W 33 - 14UY
Sat 12/17 UTSA vs New Mexico+7.554.0L 20 - 23UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for UTSA's Schedule
Important Stats (2016)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
USM.2144%32.844%2.6917442%2983.76.1236%29.538%31%3.6264.22.51.2
UTSA.1741%29.242%2.816238%2143.66.1342%27.945%37%3.0659.81.21.4
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
USM#132 ()35% (130)40% (108)2.59 (126)10930% (133)1752.75 (133)#125 (.3)44% (97)45% (89)43% (93)4.17 (104)48.32.40.8
UTSA#61 (.2)40% (100)37% (123)3.03 (70)16943% (61)2833.63 (94)#42 (.13)34% (2)32% (1)36% (16)3.78 (66)81.11.71.6



Overall Stats 2016
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
USM Offense1332.829.744%3.762.5244721742984.248%50%44%42%19%.21
UTSA Defense1327.926.742.3%3.061.4 - - - - - 50%48%45%37%17%.13
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
USM Defense1329.53735.6%3.621.2 - - - - - 53%45%38%31%21%.12
UTSA Offense1329.23741%3.661.220375162214453%46%42%38%19%.17

Additional Stats 2016
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Southern Miss1333:2723.641%63%7.564.22.51.27.22.6327.7
UTSA1331:2619.644%54%7.159.81.21.462.1032
Run Game Stats (2016)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
USM Offense1348%44%41.8174.24.226.092.6973%12%0.93
UTSA Defense1350%45% - - - - .093.0778%11%0.86
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
USM Defense1353%38% - - - - .162.5358%15%1.33
UTSA Offense1353%42%40.3161.8422.092.872%13%0.89

Pass Game Stats (2016)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
USM Offense1350%42%21.936.8298.28.113.62616.351.834%36%.387%1.9
UTSA Defense1348%37% - - - - - - 7.221.834%32%.276%2
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
USM Defense1345%31% - - - - - - 10.071.838%26%.197%1.9
UTSA Offense1346%38%16.629.5213.67.312.9288.281.835%35%.426%1.9

Southern Miss's Power Ratings
Southern Miss's Power Rating: NR
Southern Miss's Offense Rating: NR
Southern Miss's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating:  #83
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Southern Miss's 2016 Expected Record: -
Southern Miss's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: 0.7  #65
Southern Miss's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.1  #67
Southern Miss's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.6  #78

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Southern Miss:    UTSA: -3.1

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Southern Miss: 0.7   UTSA: -11.2




UTSA's Power Ratings
UTSA's Power Rating: -3.1 NR
UTSA's Offense Rating: NR
UTSA's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating:  #96
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
UTSA's 2016 Expected Record: -
UTSA's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: -11.2  #105
UTSA's Offense SP+ Rating: 22.7  #104
UTSA's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.6  #95

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


Southern Miss Scoring
Offense: 32.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 29.7
Defense: 29.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 37

Southern Miss's 2016 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 1
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record on Road: 3 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 6 - 1
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Southern Miss 31
UTSA 26

Total Points: 57

Based on Last 4 Games
Southern Miss 34
UTSA 18

Total Points: 52

Based on Entire Season
UTSA 33
Southern Miss 29

Total Points: 62
UTSA Scoring
Offense: 29.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 37
Defense: 27.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 26.7

UTSA's 2016 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 7 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202111/13UTSA27Southern Miss17UT San Antonio -32.5Southern Miss54.0Under
202011/21Southern Miss20UTSA23UT San Antonio -9.5Southern Miss52.5Under
201911/16UTSA17Southern Miss36Southern Mississippi -17Southern Miss55.5Under
201810/20Southern Miss27UTSA17Southern Mississippi -16UTSA44.0Push
201710/07UTSA29Southern Miss31UT San Antonio -10.5Southern Miss50.0Over
201610/08UTSA55Southern Miss32Southern Mississippi -14.5UTSA53.0Over
201510/17Southern Miss32UTSA10Southern Mississippi -7.5Southern Miss56.5Under
201411/13UTSA12Southern Miss10UT San Antonio -11.5Southern Miss0
TeamWinsCoversO/U
UTSA422 Overs
Southern Miss464 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams5 - 33 - 51 - 42 - 1
Road Teams3 - 55 - 31 - 24 - 1

(#) USM at (#) UTSA
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatUSMUTSA
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #65 #105
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #83 #96
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Southern Miss on Offense
CategoryCat
USM OffUTSA Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #67 #95
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Southern Miss Run Game
CategoryCat
USM OffUTSA Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Southern Miss Pass Game
CategoryCat
USM OffUTSA Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
UTSA on Offense
CategoryCatUTSA OffUSM Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #104 #78
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
UTSA Run Game
CategoryCat
UTSA OffUSM Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
UTSA Pass Game
CategoryCatUTSA OffUSM Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
UTSA 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

USM 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Alamodome
Conditions:
Temp: 74° - Wind: 8 mph
Rematch from Week 6
Southern Miss 14.5 (53.0)
UTSA won vs Southern Miss this year (55-32)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
USM's OC ()
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UTSA's OC ()
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UTSA's DC ()
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