Rice at Southern Miss - 2016 Matchup Preview

Rice Owls at Southern Miss Golden Eagles

Saturday, October 1st 2016 (7:00 PM EDT)
Southern Mississippi -21 (58.5) (0) Open: 0.0
Southern Miss 44 - Rice: 28 (Conference USA)

Owls (3 - 9) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 25 - 37 (19 - 41 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

USM is playing their 5th straight game
RICE is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: -11 (SP+ USM -17)
Projected Score: RICE: 20 - USM: 38 (58)
USM Win prob: 92% | Cover: 53%
RICE Travel: 378 miles

Golden Eagles (7 - 6) (4 - 8 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 33 - 30 (37 - 24 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
RICE Players
USM Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Rice's 2016 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 9/1	Rice at Western Kentucky	+14.5	64.5	L 14 - 46	U	N
Sat 9/10	Rice at Army	+7.0	52.0	L 14 - 31	U	N
Fri 9/16	Rice vs Baylor	+27.5	66.0	L 10 - 38	U	N
Sat 9/24	Rice vs North Texas	-7.5	55.0	L 35 - 42	O	N
Sat 10/1	Rice at Southern Miss	+21.0	58.5	L 28 - 44	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/15	Rice vs UTSA	-1.5	52.5	L 13 - 14	U	N
Sat 10/22	Rice vs Prairie View A&M	-22.0
Sat 10/29	Rice at Louisiana Tech	+23.0	68.0	L 16 - 61	O	N
Sat 11/5	Rice vs Florida Atlantic	-2.0	57.0	L 25 - 42	O	N
Sat 11/12	Rice at Charlotte	+10.0	60.0	W 22 - 21	U	Y
Sat 11/19	Rice vs UTEP	+1.5	55.5	W 44 - 24	O	Y
Sat 11/26	Rice at Stanford	+33.0	50.5	L 17 - 41	O	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Rice's Schedule

Southern Miss's 2016 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	Southern Miss at Kentucky	+7.5	62.0	W 44 - 35	O	Y
Sat 9/10	Southern Miss vs Savannah State	-57.0
Sat 9/17	Southern Miss vs Troy	-11.5	61.0	L 31 - 37	O	N
Sat 9/24	Southern Miss at UTEP	-10.0	58.5	W 34 - 7	U	Y
Sat 10/1	Southern Miss vs Rice	-21.0	58.5	W 44 - 28	O	N
Sat 10/8	Southern Miss at UTSA	-14.5	53.0	L 32 - 55	O	N
Sat 10/15	Southern Miss at LSU	+21.0	55.0	L 10 - 45	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/29	Southern Miss vs Marshall	-10.0	67.0	W 24 - 14	U	N
Sat 11/5	Southern Miss vs Charlotte	-18.0	60.5	L 27 - 38	O	N
Sat 11/12	Southern Miss at Old Dominion	+2.0	63.5	L 35 - 51	O	N
Sat 11/19	Southern Miss at North Texas	-5.5	58.5	L 23 - 29	U	N
Fri 11/25	Southern Miss vs Louisiana Tech	+13.5	71.5	W 39 - 24	U	Y
Sat 12/17	Southern Miss vs Louisiana	-2.0	57.0	W 28 - 21	U	Y

Important Stats (2016)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
RICE	.09	41%	25.3	44%	3.02	170	38%	215	3.54	.33	45%	37.3	44%	43%	3.68	47.2	1.5	1
USM	.21	44%	32.8	44%	2.69	174	42%	298	3.76	.12	36%	29.5	38%	31%	3.62	64.2	2.5	1.2

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
RICE	#126 (.05)	35% (127)		36% (127)	2.7 (118)	115	35% (121)	239	3.27 (119)	#60 (.16)	37% (11)		40% (37)	34% (4)	3.72 (62)	57.4	1.8	1
USM	#132 ()	35% (130)		40% (108)	2.59 (126)	109	30% (133)	175	2.75 (133)	#125 (.3)	44% (97)		45% (89)	43% (93)	4.17 (104)	48.3	2.4	0.8

Overall Stats 2016

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
RICE Offense	12	25.3	18.5	41.1%	3.54	1.5	22	385	170	215	4.2	50%	49%	44%	38%	18%	.09
USM Defense	13	29.5	23.5	35.6%	3.62	1.2	-	-	-	-	-	53%	45%	38%	31%	21%	.12

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
RICE Defense	12	37.3	40.7	44.7%	3.68	1	-	-	-	-	-	55%	44%	44%	43%	15%	.33
USM Offense	13	32.8	36.8	44%	3.76	2.5	24	472	174	298	4.2	48%	50%	44%	42%	19%	.21

Additional Stats 2016

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Rice	12	30:25	21.8	37%	65%	5.8	47.2	1.5	1	5.6	1.8	1	29.4
Southern Miss	13	33:27	23.6	41%	63%	7.5	64.2	2.5	1.2	7.2	2.6	3	27.7

Run Game Stats (2016)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
RICE Offense	12	50%	44%	40.3	169.7	4.2	23	.12	3.02	77%	10%	0.92
USM Defense	13	53%	38%	-	-	-	-	.16	2.53	58%	15%	1.33

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
RICE Defense	12	55%	44%	-	-	-	-	.27	3.11	70%	10%	1.2
USM Offense	13	48%	44%	41.8	174.2	4.2	26	.09	2.69	73%	12%	0.93

Pass Game Stats (2016)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
RICE Offense	12	49%	38%	20.1	34.3	215.2	6.3	10.7	16	10	.1	1.4	33%	30%	.19	7%	1.8
USM Defense	13	45%	31%	-	-	-	-	-	-	10	.07	1.8	38%	26%	.19	7%	1.9

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
RICE Defense	12	44%	43%	-	-	-	-	-	-	5	.44	1.9	34%	36%	.53	5%	2.2
USM Offense	13	50%	42%	21.9	36.8	298.2	8.1	13.6	26	16	.35	1.8	34%	36%	.38	7%	1.9

Rice's Power Ratings
Rice's Power Rating: NR
Rice's Offense Rating: NR
Rice's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating: #97
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Rice's 2016 Expected Record: -
Rice's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: -16.5 #120
Rice's Offense SP+ Rating: 22.8 #103
Rice's Defense SP+ Rating: 38.6 #118

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Rice: Southern Miss: 2.85

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Rice: -16.5 Southern Miss: 0.7

Southern Miss's Power Ratings
Southern Miss's Power Rating: 2.85 NR
Southern Miss's Offense Rating: NR
Southern Miss's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating: #83
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Southern Miss's 2016 Expected Record: -
Southern Miss's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: 0.7 #65
Southern Miss's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.1 #67
Southern Miss's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.6 #78

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Rice Scoring
Offense: 25.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 18.5
Defense: 37.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 40.7

Rice's 2016 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0

Projected Score
Southern Miss 38
Rice 20

Total Points: 58

Based on Last 4 Games
Southern Miss 40
Rice 17

Total Points: 56

Based on Entire Season
Southern Miss 37
Rice 24

Total Points: 61

Southern Miss Scoring
Offense: 32.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 36.8
Defense: 29.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 23.5

Southern Miss's 2016 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 1
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 4 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 6 - 1
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 0 - 4 - 1

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2022	12/17	Southern Miss	38	Rice	24	Southern Mississippi -7.0	Southern Miss	46.5	Over
2021	10/02	Rice	24	Southern Miss	19	Rice -1.5	Rice	45.0	Under
2020	10/31	Southern Miss	6	Rice	30	Southern Mississippi -3.0	Rice	0
2019	10/26	Rice	6	Southern Miss	20	Southern Mississippi -10	Southern Miss	51.5	Under
2018	09/22	Southern Miss	40	Rice	22	Southern Mississippi -14	Southern Miss	55.5	Over
2017	11/11	Rice	34	Southern Miss	43	Southern Mississippi -11	Rice	49.0	Over
2016	10/01	Southern Miss	44	Rice	28	Southern Mississippi -21	Rice	58.5	Over
2015	11/14	Rice	10	Southern Miss	65	Southern Mississippi -7.5	Southern Miss	60.5	Over
2014	09/27	Southern Miss	23	Rice	41	Rice -10.5	Rice	0
2012	10/27	Rice	44	Southern Miss	17
2011	10/01	Southern Miss	48	Rice	24
2008	10/18	Rice	45	Southern Miss	40
2007	10/03	Southern Miss	29	Rice	31

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Southern Miss	7	4	5 Overs
Rice	6	5	2 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	7 - 6	4 - 5	3 - 2	1 - 3
Road Teams	6 - 7	5 - 4	3 - 1	2 - 3

(#) RICE at (#) USM

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	RICE	USM
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#120	#65
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#97	#83
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Rice Injury Report

Southern Miss Injury Report

Rice on Offense


CategoryCat	RICE Off	USM Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#103	#78
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Rice Run Game


CategoryCat	RICE Off	USM Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Rice Pass Game


CategoryCat	RICE Off	USM Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Southern Miss on Offense


CategoryCat	USM Off	RICE Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#67	#118
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Southern Miss Run Game


CategoryCat	USM Off	RICE Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Southern Miss Pass Game


CategoryCat	USM Off	RICE Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
USM 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Top G5

RICE 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in M. M. Roberts Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 81°

Rematch from Week 5
Southern Miss -21.0 (58.5)
Southern Miss won vs Rice this year (44-28)

Previous Matchups
Southern Miss beat Rice in 2022 (38-24)

RICE's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Rice's Full Roster

RICE's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

USM's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Southern Miss's Full Roster

USM's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD