Northern Illinois at Western Michigan - 2016 Matchup Preview
Northern Illinois logo Northern Illinois Huskies at Western Michigan BroncosWestern Michigan logo
Saturday, October 8th 2016 (6:30 PM EDT)
Western Michigan -19 (68.5) (0)  Open: 0.0
Western Michigan 45 - Northern Illinois: 30  (Mid-American)

 
Huskies (5 - 7) (7 - 5 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 31 - 30 (29 - 34 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
NIU 2nd straight Road Game
WMU is playing their 6th straight game
NIU is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: -9.5  (SP+ WMU -14)

Projected Score: NIU: 25 - WMU: 42 (67)
WMU Win prob: 91% | Cover: 51%
NIU Travel: 165 miles, 1 hrs behind
Broncos (13 - 1) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 42 - 20 (50 - 25 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Northern Illinois's 2016 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/3 Northern Illinois at Wyoming-10.554.0L 34 - 40ON
Sat 9/10 Northern Illinois at South Florida+11.555.0L 17 - 48ON
Sat 9/17 Northern Illinois vs San Diego State+8.048.0L 28 - 42ON
Sat 9/24 Northern Illinois vs Western Illinois-7.0
Sat 10/1 Northern Illinois at Ball State+1.057.5W 31 - 24UY
Sat 10/8 Northern Illinois at Western Michigan+19.068.5L 30 - 45OY
Sat 10/15 Northern Illinois vs Central Michigan+4.060.0L 28 - 34ON
Sat 10/22 Northern Illinois vs Buffalo-20.061.0W 44 - 7UY
BYE WEEK
Tue 11/1 Northern Illinois vs Bowling Green-17.072.0W 45 - 20UY
Wed 11/9 Northern Illinois vs Toledo+7.569.5L 24 - 31UY
Wed 11/16 Northern Illinois at Eastern Michigan-4.063.0W 31 - 24UY
Fri 11/25 Northern Illinois at Kent State-5.045.5W 31 - 21OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Northern Illinois's Schedule
Western Michigan's 2016 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/3 Western Michigan at Northwestern+6.553.5W 22 - 21UY
Sat 9/10 Western Michigan vs North Carolina Central-29.5
Sat 9/17 Western Michigan at Illinois-1.556.0W 34 - 10UY
Sat 9/24 Western Michigan vs Georgia Southern-4.055.5W 49 - 31OY
Sat 10/1 Western Michigan at Central Michigan-4.060.5W 49 - 10UY
Sat 10/8 Western Michigan vs Northern Illinois-19.068.5W 45 - 30ON
Sat 10/15 Western Michigan at Akron-10.567.0W 41 - 0UY
Sat 10/22 Western Michigan vs Eastern Michigan-23.562.0W 45 - 31ON
BYE WEEK
Tue 11/1 Western Michigan at Ball State-16.064.5W 52 - 20OY
Tue 11/8 Western Michigan at Kent State-18.555.0W 37 - 21ON
Sat 11/19 Western Michigan vs Buffalo-34.055.5W 38 - 0UY
Fri 11/25 Western Michigan vs Toledo-9.571.5W 55 - 35OY
Fri 12/2 Western Michigan vs Ohio-17.058.0W 29 - 23UN
Mon 1/2 Western Michigan vs Wisconsin+6.554.0L 16 - 24UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Western Michigan's Schedule
Important Stats (2016)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
NIU.244%30.545%3.1924042%2243.62.2145%30.345%44%3.4169.51.41.3
WMU.3453%41.651%3.222853%2524.68.1343%19.843%40%3.1344.90.61.9
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
NIU#86 (.16)42% (79)44% (72)3.25 (33)20440% (86)1793.39 (113)#11 (.06)38% (19)41% (52)35% (9)3.08 (12)42.81.21.1
WMU#43 (.24)45% (33)45% (59)3.05 (62)18446% (27)1874.11 (49)#122 (.29)49% (128)48% (115)51% (132)4.38 (119)39.211.6



Overall Stats 2016
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
NIU Offense1230.52944.5%3.621.4244642402245.355%44%45%42%15%.2
WMU Defense1419.824.742.5%3.131.9 - - - - - 48%51%43%40%18%.13
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
NIU Defense1230.333.744.6%3.411.3 - - - - - 53%46%45%44%17%.21
WMU Offense1441.650.352.9%4.680.625481228252558%40%51%53%11%.34

Additional Stats 2016
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Northern Illinois1227:4523.741%47%769.51.41.36.31.8128.4
Western Michigan1434:0225.254%88%4.944.90.61.95.62630.6
Run Game Stats (2016)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
NIU Offense1255%45%45.7239.85.327.183.1973%8%1.04
WMU Defense1448%43% - - - - .123.0770%11%0.96
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
NIU Defense1253%45% - - - - .173.0168%10%0.99
WMU Offense1458%51%45.3228.1536.23.278%8%0.86

Pass Game Stats (2016)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
NIU Offense1244%42%19.333.32246.711.62013.231.529%33%.367%1.9
WMU Defense1451%40% - - - - - - 15.151.732%37%.47%2
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
NIU Defense1246%44% - - - - - - 14.261.632%33%.297%1.8
WMU Offense1440%53%18.827252.49.413.4334.611.627%41%.394%1.4

Northern Illinois's Power Ratings
Northern Illinois's Power Rating: NR
Northern Illinois's Offense Rating: NR
Northern Illinois's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating:  #94
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Northern Illinois's 2016 Expected Record: -
Northern Illinois's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: -2.4  #77
Northern Illinois's Offense SP+ Rating: 32.0  #50
Northern Illinois's Defense SP+ Rating: 32.7  #91

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Northern Illinois:    Western Michigan: 8.25

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Northern Illinois: -2.4   Western Michigan: 11.5




Western Michigan's Power Ratings
Western Michigan's Power Rating: 8.25 NR
Western Michigan's Offense Rating: NR
Western Michigan's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating:  #81
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Western Michigan's 2016 Expected Record: -
Western Michigan's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: 11.5  #29
Western Michigan's Offense SP+ Rating: 40.0  #13
Western Michigan's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.9  #70

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


Northern Illinois Scoring
Offense: 30.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 29
Defense: 30.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 33.7

Northern Illinois's 2016 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Western Michigan 42
Northern Illinois 25


Total Points: 67

Based on Last 4 Games
Western Michigan 45
Northern Illinois 23

Total Points: 69

Based on Entire Season
Western Michigan 39
Northern Illinois 26

Total Points: 65
Western Michigan Scoring
Offense: 41.6 PPG
Offense at Home: 50.3
Defense: 19.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 24.7

Western Michigan's 2016 Record
Record: 13 - 1
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 8
Record at home: 6 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 7 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202511/18Northern Illinois19Western Michigan35Western Michigan -7Western Michigan39.5Over
202411/06Western Michigan28Northern Illinois42Northern Illinois -2.5Northern Illinois51.5Over
202311/14Northern Illinois24Western Michigan0Northern Illinois -4.5Northern Illinois55.5Under
202211/09Western Michigan21Northern Illinois24Northern Illinois -1Northern Illinois49.0Under
202111/23Northern Illinois21Western Michigan42Western Michigan -6.5Western Michigan60.0Over
202011/28Western Michigan30Northern Illinois27Western Michigan -18.5Northern Illinois64.5Under
201911/26Northern Illinois17Western Michigan14Western Michigan -10Northern Illinois51.0Under
201811/20Western Michigan28Northern Illinois21Northern Illinois -6.5Western Michigan48.5Over
201711/15Northern Illinois35Western Michigan31Northern Illinois -9Western Michigan49.5Over
201610/08Western Michigan45Northern Illinois30Western Michigan -19Northern Illinois68.5Over
201511/18Northern Illinois27Western Michigan19Northern Illinois -3.5Northern Illinois59.5Under
201411/28Western Michigan21Northern Illinois31Western Michigan -7Northern Illinois0
201311/26Northern Illinois33Western Michigan14Northern Illinois -33.5Western Michigan0
201210/27Western Michigan34Northern Illinois48
201110/15Northern Illinois51Western Michigan22
201010/30Western Michigan21Northern Illinois28
200910/03Northern Illinois38Western Michigan3
200809/06Western Michigan29Northern Illinois26
200710/13Northern Illinois13Western Michigan17
200610/14Western Michigan16Northern Illinois14
200511/23Northern Illinois42Western Michigan7
200410/23Western Michigan38Northern Illinois59
200310/18Northern Illinois37Western Michigan10
200210/26Western Michigan20Northern Illinois24
200110/20Northern Illinois20Western Michigan12
200010/20Western Michigan52Northern Illinois22
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Western Michigan956 Overs
Northern Illinois1785 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams16 - 104 - 92 - 52 - 4
Road Teams10 - 169 - 44 - 25 - 2

(#) NIU at (#) WMU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatNIUWMU
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #77 #29
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #94 #81
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Northern Illinois on Offense
CategoryCat
NIU OffWMU Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #50 #70
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Northern Illinois Run Game
CategoryCat
NIU OffWMU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Northern Illinois Pass Game
CategoryCat
NIU OffWMU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Western Michigan on Offense
CategoryCatWMU OffNIU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #13 #91
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Western Michigan Run Game
CategoryCat
WMU OffNIU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Western Michigan Pass Game
CategoryCatWMU OffNIU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
WMU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Average P4

NIU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Waldo Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 56° - Wind: 11 mph
Rematch from Week 6
Western Michigan -19.0 (68.5)
Western Michigan won vs Northern Illinois this year (45-30)

Previous Matchups
Northern Illinois beat Western Michigan last year (42-28)
Northern Illinois beat Western Michigan in 2023 (24-0)
Northern Illinois beat Western Michigan in 2022 (24-21)

  
NIU's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Northern Illinois's Full Roster

NIU's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

WMU's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Western Michigan's Full Roster

WMU's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD