Bowling Green at Northern Illinois - 2016 Matchup Preview

Bowling Green Falcons at Northern Illinois Huskies

Tuesday, November 1st 2016 (8:00 PM EDT)
Northern Illinois -17 (72.0) (0) Open: 0.0
Northern Illinois 45 - Bowling Green: 20 (Mid-American)

Falcons (4 - 8) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 21 - 24 (24 - 29 on Road)
'16 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

BGSU coming off BYE
NIU coming off BYE
Our Line: -4.5 (SP+ NIU -4)
Projected Score: BGSU: 22 - NIU: 22 (44)
NIU Win prob: 90% | Cover: 52%
BGSU Travel: 269 miles, 1 hrs ahead

Huskies (5 - 7) (7 - 5 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 17 - 24 (18 - 21 @ Home)
'16 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
BGSU Players
NIU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Bowling Green's 2016 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	Bowling Green at Ohio State	+27.0	64.0	L 10 - 77	O	N
Sat 9/10	Bowling Green vs North Dakota	-20.0
Sat 9/17	Bowling Green vs Middle Tennessee	+3.5	73.0	L 21 - 41	U	N
Sat 9/24	Bowling Green at Memphis	+16.5	67.5	L 3 - 77	O	N
Sat 10/1	Bowling Green vs Eastern Michigan	-6.5	64.5	L 25 - 28	U	N
Sat 10/8	Bowling Green at Ohio	+15.5	60.0	L 24 - 30	U	Y
Sat 10/15	Bowling Green at Toledo	+24.0	71.0	L 35 - 42	O	Y
Sat 10/22	Bowling Green vs Miami (OH)	-3.5	52.0	L 26 - 40	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Tue 11/1	Bowling Green at Northern Illinois	+17.0	72.0	L 20 - 45	U	N
Wed 11/9	Bowling Green at Akron	+11.5	73.0	W 38 - 28	U	Y
Tue 11/15	Bowling Green vs Kent State	+3.0	54.0	W 42 - 7	U	Y
Fri 11/25	Bowling Green vs Buffalo	-11.0	60.0	W 27 - 19	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Bowling Green's Schedule

Northern Illinois's 2016 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	Northern Illinois at Wyoming	-10.5	54.0	L 34 - 40	O	N
Sat 9/10	Northern Illinois at South Florida	+11.5	55.0	L 17 - 48	O	N
Sat 9/17	Northern Illinois vs San Diego State	+8.0	48.0	L 28 - 42	O	N
Sat 9/24	Northern Illinois vs Western Illinois	-7.0
Sat 10/1	Northern Illinois at Ball State	+1.0	57.5	W 31 - 24	U	Y
Sat 10/8	Northern Illinois at Western Michigan	+19.0	68.5	L 30 - 45	O	Y
Sat 10/15	Northern Illinois vs Central Michigan	+4.0	60.0	L 28 - 34	O	N
Sat 10/22	Northern Illinois vs Buffalo	-20.0	61.0	W 44 - 7	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Tue 11/1	Northern Illinois vs Bowling Green	-17.0	72.0	W 45 - 20	U	Y
Wed 11/9	Northern Illinois vs Toledo	+7.5	69.5	L 24 - 31	U	Y
Wed 11/16	Northern Illinois at Eastern Michigan	-4.0	63.0	W 31 - 24	U	Y
Fri 11/25	Northern Illinois at Kent State	-5.0	45.5	W 31 - 21	O	Y

Important Stats (2015)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
BGSU	.35	50%	20.5	50%	3.18	180	50%	367	4.58	.16	44%	24.3	45%	41%	3.41	80.2	1.1	1.9
NIU	.14	42%	17.1	41%	2.73	190	41%	208	3.54	.07	43%	24.3	41%	41%	2.93	49.6	1.9	2.1

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
BGSU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
NIU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2015

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
BGSU Offense	14	20.5	24	50.3%	4.58	1.1	28	547	180	367	4.7	44%	56%	50%	50%	2%	.35
NIU Defense	14	24.3	20.8	42.7%	2.93	2.1	-	-	-	-	-	50%	48%	41%	41%	3%	.07

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
BGSU Defense	14	24.3	29	44.2%	3.41	1.9	-	-	-	-	-	49%	49%	45%	41%	2%	.16
NIU Offense	14	17.1	17.8	41.8%	3.54	1.9	20	399	190	208	4.1	58%	41%	41%	41%	2%	.14

Additional Stats 2015

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Bowling Green	14	27:55	27.8	50%	53%	8.8	80.2	1.1	1.9	0	0	1	29.7
Northern Illinois	14	26:24	20.2	38%	52%	5.7	49.6	1.9	2.1	0	0	4	31.2

Run Game Stats (2016)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
BGSU Offense	14	44%	50%	38.7	180	4.7	34	.28	3.18	74%	0%	1.07
NIU Defense	14	50%	41%	-	-	-	-	.01	2.92	85%	0%	0.77

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
BGSU Defense	14	49%	45%	-	-	-	-	.15	2.99	69%	0%	1
NIU Offense	14	58%	41%	45.9	190.1	4.1	31	.08	2.73	72%	0%	0.98

Pass Game Stats (2016)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
BGSU Offense	14	56%	50%	28.4	42.4	366.8	8.6	12.9	47	8	.41	1.6	28%	42%	.71	2%	2.3
NIU Defense	14	48%	41%	-	-	-	-	-	-	22	.17	1.5	32%	31%	.18	3%	1.6

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
BGSU Defense	14	49%	41%	-	-	-	-	-	-	20	.18	1.6	35%	42%	.44	2%	1.6
NIU Offense	14	41%	41%	17.1	28.9	208.4	7.2	12.2	22	10	.24	1.6	31%	31%	.24	2%	1.8

Bowling Green's Power Ratings
Bowling Green's Power Rating: NR
Bowling Green's Offense Rating: NR
Bowling Green's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating: #98
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Bowling Green's 2016 Expected Record: -
Bowling Green's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: -6.6 #93
Bowling Green's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.0 #93
Bowling Green's Defense SP+ Rating: 31.8 #87

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Bowling Green: Northern Illinois: 1.3

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Bowling Green: -6.6 Northern Illinois: -2.4

Northern Illinois's Power Ratings
Northern Illinois's Power Rating: 1.3 NR
Northern Illinois's Offense Rating: NR
Northern Illinois's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating: #94
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Northern Illinois's 2016 Expected Record: -
Northern Illinois's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: -2.4 #77
Northern Illinois's Offense SP+ Rating: 32.0 #50
Northern Illinois's Defense SP+ Rating: 32.7 #91

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Bowling Green Scoring
Offense: 20.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 24
Defense: 24.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 29

Bowling Green's 2016 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 8
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0

Projected Score
Bowling Green 22
Northern Illinois 22

Projected Total Points: 44

Northern Illinois Scoring
Offense: 17.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 17.8
Defense: 24.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 20.8

Northern Illinois's 2016 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record at home: 2 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	10/12	Bowling Green	7	Northern Illinois	17	Bowling Green -3	Northern Illinois	46.5	Under
2021	10/16	Northern Illinois	34	Bowling Green	26	Northern Illinois -9	Bowling Green	44.5	Over
2017	10/21	Bowling Green	17	Northern Illinois	48	Northern Illinois -14.5	Northern Illinois	56.5	Over
2016	11/01	Northern Illinois	45	Bowling Green	20	Northern Illinois -17	Northern Illinois	72.0	Under
2015	12/04	Northern Illinois	14	Bowling Green	34	Bowling Green -8	Bowling Green	69.0	Under
2014	12/05	Bowling Green	17	Northern Illinois	51	Northern Illinois -2.5	Northern Illinois	0
2013	12/06	Northern Illinois	27	Bowling Green	47	Northern Illinois -3	Bowling Green	0
2011	11/08	Bowling Green	14	Northern Illinois	45
2008	10/25	Northern Illinois	16	Bowling Green	13
2004	09/24	Northern Illinois	34	Bowling Green	17
2003	10/25	Bowling Green	34	Northern Illinois	18
2002	11/09	Northern Illinois	26	Bowling Green	17

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Northern Illinois	9	4	2 Overs
Bowling Green	3	3	3 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	6 - 6	1 - 6	1 - 3	0 - 3
Road Teams	6 - 6	6 - 1	3 - 0	3 - 1

(#) BGSU at (#) NIU

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	BGSU	NIU
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#93	#77
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#98	#94
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Bowling Green Injury Report

Northern Illinois Injury Report

Bowling Green on Offense


CategoryCat	BGSU Off	NIU Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#93	#91
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Bowling Green Run Game


CategoryCat	BGSU Off	NIU Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Bowling Green Pass Game


CategoryCat	BGSU Off	NIU Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Northern Illinois on Offense


CategoryCat	NIU Off	BGSU Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#50	#87
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Northern Illinois Run Game


CategoryCat	NIU Off	BGSU Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Northern Illinois Pass Game


CategoryCat	NIU Off	BGSU Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
NIU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Top G5

BGSU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Brigham Field at Huskie Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 10
Northern Illinois -17.0 (72.0)
Northern Illinois won vs Bowling Green this year (45-20)

Previous Matchups
Northern Illinois beat Bowling Green in 2024 (17-7)

BGSU's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Bowling Green's Full Roster

BGSU's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

NIU's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Northern Illinois's Full Roster

NIU's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD