Colorado State at Colorado - 2016 Matchup Preview

Colorado State Rams vs Colorado Buffaloes

Friday, September 2nd 2016 (8:00 PM EDT)
Colorado -10 (56.0) (0) Open: 0.0
Colorado 44 - Colorado State: 7

Rams (7 - 6) (9 - 4 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 19 - 31 (17 - 36 on Road)
'16 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Our Line: -3 (SP+ COLO -6)
Projected Score: CSU: 23 - COLO: 28 (51)
COLO Win prob: 77% | Cover: 50%
CSU Travel: 57 miles

Buffaloes (10 - 4) (9 - 3 - 2)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 21 - 31 (24 - 27 @ Home)
'16 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
CSU Players
COLO Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Colorado State's 2016 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Fri 9/2	Colorado State vs Colorado	+10.0	56.0	L 7 - 44	U	N
Sat 9/10	Colorado State vs UTSA	-10.0	51.5	W 23 - 14	U	N
Sat 9/17	Colorado State vs Northern Colorado	-22.0
Sat 9/24	Colorado State at Minnesota	+15.5	56.0	L 24 - 31	U	Y
Sat 10/1	Colorado State vs Wyoming	-5.5	53.5	L 17 - 38	O	N
Sat 10/8	Colorado State vs Utah State	+6.0	53.5	W 31 - 24	O	Y
Sat 10/15	Colorado State at Boise State	+25.5	59.5	L 23 - 28	U	Y
Sat 10/22	Colorado State at UNLV	+1.5	56.5	W 42 - 23	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/5	Colorado State vs Fresno State	-13.0	58.5	W 37 - 0	U	Y
Sat 11/12	Colorado State at Air Force	+6.0	54.0	L 46 - 49	O	Y
Sat 11/19	Colorado State vs New Mexico	-5.0	61.5	W 49 - 31	O	Y
Sat 11/26	Colorado State at San Diego State	+12.5	53.5	W 63 - 31	O	Y
Thu 12/22	Colorado State vs Idaho	-13.0	65.0	L 50 - 61	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Colorado State's Schedule

Colorado's 2016 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Fri 9/2	Colorado vs Colorado State	-10.0	56.0	W 44 - 7	U	Y
Sat 9/10	Colorado vs Idaho State	-41.5
Sat 9/17	Colorado at Michigan	+20.0	55.5	L 28 - 45	O	Y
Sat 9/24	Colorado at Oregon	+11.0	69.5	W 41 - 38	O	Y
Sat 10/1	Colorado vs Oregon State	-16.0	56.0	W 47 - 6	U	Y
Sat 10/8	Colorado at USC	+4.0	62.5	L 17 - 21	U	Y
Sat 10/15	Colorado vs Arizona State	-8.0	63.0	W 40 - 16	U	Y
Sat 10/22	Colorado at Stanford	+3.5	50.0	W 10 - 5	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Thu 11/3	Colorado vs UCLA	-10.0	56.5	W 20 - 10	U	N
Sat 11/12	Colorado at Arizona	-16.5	61.0	W 49 - 24	O	Y
Sat 11/19	Colorado vs Washington State	-6.0	60.5	W 38 - 24	O	Y
Sat 11/26	Colorado vs Utah	-11.0	53.5	W 27 - 22	U	N
Fri 12/2	Colorado vs Washington	+6.0	55.5	L 10 - 41	U	N
Thu 12/29	Colorado vs Oklahoma State	-2.0	64.0	L 8 - 38	U	N

Important Stats (2015)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
CSU	.17	47%	18.5	46%	3.19	198	46%	228	3.57	.18	43%	30.8	43%	39%	3.33	69.1	2.1	1.2
COLO	.14	44%	20.9	45%	2.94	156	41%	241	3.14	.18	46%	30.5	49%	42%	3.38	50.3	1.6	1.7

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
CSU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
COLO		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2015

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
CSU Offense	13	18.5	16.6	47.2%	3.57	2.1	23	426	198	228	4.8	56%	43%	46%	46%	2%	.17
COLO Defense	13	30.5	27	46.2%	3.38	1.7	-	-	-	-	-	50%	48%	49%	42%	1%	.18

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
CSU Defense	13	30.8	36	42.6%	3.33	1.2	-	-	-	-	-	58%	40%	43%	39%	1%	.18
COLO Offense	13	20.9	23.9	44.2%	3.14	1.6	21	397	156	241	3.8	49%	50%	45%	41%	3%	.14

Additional Stats 2015

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Colorado State	13	30:16	23.2	46%	59%	7.5	69.1	2.1	1.2	0	0	3	30.4
Colorado	13	28:29	20.6	37%	56%	5.8	50.3	1.6	1.7	0	0	1	28.6

Run Game Stats (2016)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
CSU Offense	13	56%	46%	41.1	197.8	4.8	20	.12	3.19	75%	0%	0.89
COLO Defense	13	50%	49%	-	-	-	-	.2	3.19	75%	0%	0.98

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
CSU Defense	13	58%	43%	-	-	-	-	.21	2.89	69%	0%	1.2
COLO Offense	13	49%	45%	41.7	156.2	3.8	23	.08	2.94	77%	0%	0.81

Pass Game Stats (2016)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
CSU Offense	13	43%	46%	17.9	30.2	228.1	7.6	12.7	24	15	.28	1.5	30%	37%	.3	2%	1.7
COLO Defense	13	48%	42%	-	-	-	-	-	-	14	.18	1.5	30%	33%	.18	1%	1.8

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
CSU Defense	13	40%	39%	-	-	-	-	-	-	8	.16	1.6	33%	38%	.39	1%	1.8
COLO Offense	13	50%	41%	22	35.8	240.8	6.7	10.9	13	12	.22	1.5	31%	32%	.25	3%	1.7

Colorado State's Power Ratings
Colorado State's Power Rating: NR
Colorado State's Offense Rating: NR
Colorado State's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating: #90
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Colorado State's 2016 Expected Record: -
Colorado State's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: 0.8 #64
Colorado State's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.5 #44
Colorado State's Defense SP+ Rating: 34.0 #98

Average Talent
Average Pac-12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Colorado State: Colorado: 3.15

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Colorado State: 0.8 Colorado: 6.3

Colorado's Power Ratings
Colorado's Power Rating: 3.15 NR
Colorado's Offense Rating: NR
Colorado's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating: #62
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Colorado's 2016 Expected Record: -
Colorado's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: 6.3 #53
Colorado's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.3 #65
Colorado's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.7 #27

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Colorado State Scoring
Offense: 18.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 16.6
Defense: 30.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 36

Colorado State's 2016 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record on Road: 2 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 5 - 0 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 6 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 5 - 0 - 0

Projected Score
Colorado 28
Colorado State 23

Projected Total Points: 51

Colorado Scoring
Offense: 20.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 23.9
Defense: 30.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 27

Colorado's 2016 Record
Record: 10 - 4
Record vs Spread: 9 - 3 - 2
Over/Under Record: 4 - 10
Record at home: 6 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 1 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 2 - 1
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 1 - 1

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	09/14	Colorado State	9	Colorado	28	Colorado -7.5	Colorado	58.5	Under
2023	09/16	Colorado	43	Colorado State	35	Colorado -23	Colorado State	63.0	Over
2019	08/30	Colorado	52	Colorado State	31	Colorado -12	Colorado	55.0	Over
2018	08/31	Colorado State	13	Colorado	45	Colorado -7	Colorado	65.5	Under
2017	09/01	Colorado	17	Colorado State	3	Colorado -3	Colorado	69.5	Under
2016	09/02	Colorado	44	Colorado State	7	Colorado -10	Colorado	56.0	Under
2015	09/19	Colorado State	24	Colorado	27	Colorado State -1	Colorado	56.5	Under
2014	08/29	Colorado	17	Colorado State	31	Colorado -3	Colorado State	0
2013	09/01	Colorado State	27	Colorado	41	Colorado -1.5	Colorado	0
2012	09/01	Colorado	17	Colorado State	22
2011	09/17	Colorado	28	Colorado State	14
2010	09/04	Colorado State	3	Colorado	24
2009	09/06	Colorado	17	Colorado State	23
2008	08/31	Colorado	38	Colorado State	17
2007	09/01	Colorado	31	Colorado State	28
2006	09/09	Colorado State	14	Colorado	10
2005	09/03	Colorado	31	Colorado State	28
2004	09/04	Colorado	27	Colorado State	24
2003	08/30	Colorado State	35	Colorado	42
2002	08/31	Colorado	14	Colorado State	19
2001	09/01	Colorado State	14	Colorado	41
2000	09/01	Colorado State	28	Colorado	24

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Colorado	16	7	2 Overs
Colorado State	6	2	5 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	11 - 11	3 - 6	3 - 3	0 - 3
Road Teams	11 - 11	6 - 3	3 - 0	3 - 3

(#) CSU at (#) COLO

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	CSU	COLO
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#64	#53
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#90	#62
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Colorado State Injury Report

Colorado Injury Report

Colorado State on Offense


CategoryCat	CSU Off	COLO Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#44	#27
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Colorado State Run Game


CategoryCat	CSU Off	COLO Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Colorado State Pass Game


CategoryCat	CSU Off	COLO Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Colorado on Offense


CategoryCat	COLO Off	CSU Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#65	#98
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Colorado Run Game


CategoryCat	COLO Off	CSU Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Colorado Pass Game


CategoryCat	COLO Off	CSU Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
COLO 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Below Avg P4

CSU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Empower Field at Mile High
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 1
Colorado -10.0 (56.0)
Colorado won vs Colorado State this year (44-7)

Previous Matchups
Colorado beat Colorado State in 2024 (28-9)
Colorado beat Colorado State in 2023 (43-35)

CSU's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Colorado State's Full Roster

CSU's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

COLO's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Colorado's Full Roster

COLO's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD