Arkansas at TCU - 2016 Matchup Preview
Arkansas logo Arkansas Razorbacks at TCU Horned FrogsTCU logo
Saturday, September 10th 2016 (7:00 PM EDT)
TCU -6 (57.5) (0)  Open: 0.0
Arkansas 41 - TCU: 38

 
Razorbacks (7 - 6) (5 - 8 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 30 - 31 (32 - 41 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
TCU 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: -4  (SP+ TCU -3)
Projected Score: ARK: 27 - TCU: 30 (57)
TCU Win prob: 66% | Cover: 50%
ARK Travel: 295 miles
Horned Frogs (6 - 7) (3 - 10 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 31 - 28 (31 - 35 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Arkansas's 2016 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/3 Arkansas vs Louisiana Tech-20.552.5W 21 - 20UN
Sat 9/10 Arkansas at TCU+6.057.5W 41 - 38OY
Sat 9/17 Arkansas vs Texas State-32.559.5W 42 - 3UY
Sat 9/24 Arkansas vs Texas A&M+3.052.0L 24 - 45ON
Sat 10/1 Arkansas vs Alcorn State-53.0
Sat 10/8 Arkansas vs Alabama+13.048.5L 30 - 49ON
Sat 10/15 Arkansas vs Ole Miss+6.565.0W 34 - 30UY
Sat 10/22 Arkansas at Auburn+17.053.0L 3 - 56ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/5 Arkansas vs Florida+3.544.0W 31 - 10UY
Sat 11/12 Arkansas vs LSU+7.046.5L 10 - 38ON
Sat 11/19 Arkansas at Mississippi State+1.057.5W 58 - 42OY
Fri 11/25 Arkansas at Missouri-7.572.0L 24 - 28UN
Thu 12/29 Arkansas vs Virginia Tech+6.061.0L 24 - 35UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Arkansas's Schedule
TCU's 2016 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/3 TCU vs South Dakota State-39.5
Sat 9/10 TCU vs Arkansas-6.057.5L 38 - 41ON
Sat 9/17 TCU vs Iowa State-23.560.5W 41 - 20ON
Fri 9/23 TCU at SMU-24.068.0W 33 - 3UY
Sat 10/1 TCU vs Oklahoma+3.565.5L 46 - 52ON
Sat 10/8 TCU at Kansas-29.561.0W 24 - 23UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/22 TCU at West Virginia+5.065.0L 10 - 34UN
Sat 10/29 TCU vs Texas Tech-8.587.0L 24 - 27UN
Sat 11/5 TCU at Baylor+9.065.0W 62 - 22OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/19 TCU vs Oklahoma State-4.568.5L 6 - 31UN
Fri 11/25 TCU at Texas+3.060.5W 31 - 9UY
Sat 12/3 TCU vs Kansas State-4.550.0L 6 - 30UN
Fri 12/30 TCU vs Georgia-1.549.0L 23 - 31ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for TCU's Schedule
Important Stats (2016)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ARK.1944%30.342%2.5916445%2643.59.2145%31.146%44%3.5852.31.91.6
TCU.246%3148%3.2919542%2683.3.1641%2842%36%3.4761.31.51.2
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ARK#27 (.25)48% (13)52% (5)3.23 (38)16844% (41)2483.95 (64)#45 (.13)42% (66)39% (32)44% (100)3.31 (22)56.31.71
TCU#18 (.3)47% (20)45% (53)2.95 (85)10649% (9)2934.46 (20)#82 (.19)42% (67)46% (102)36% (18)3.82 (72)49.71.61.1



Overall Stats 2016
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ARK Offense1330.331.543.9%3.591.9224281642644.151%47%42%45%18%.19
TCU Defense132834.640.8%3.471.2 - - - - - 52%46%42%36%16%.16
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ARK Defense1331.14145.4%3.581.6 - - - - - 50%49%46%44%17%.21
TCU Offense133131.445.9%3.31.5234631952685.245%53%48%42%15%.2

Additional Stats 2016
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Arkansas1334:4322.240%56%6.252.31.91.64.62428.5
TCU1328:0722.840%59%6.861.31.51.26.53.3229.4
Run Game Stats (2016)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ARK Offense1351%42%39.8164.24.121.032.5956%11%0.89
TCU Defense1352%42% - - - - .183.182%10%0.99
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ARK Defense1350%46% - - - - .263.0273%10%1.28
TCU Offense1345%48%37.51955.230.253.2968%9%1.04

Pass Game Stats (2016)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ARK Offense1347%45%1931.2264.28.513.92615.381.832%41%.417%1.8
TCU Defense1346%36% - - - - - - 8.171.734%34%.36%1.7
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ARK Defense1349%44% - - - - - - 10.161.431%33%.327%2.1
TCU Offense1353%42%22.738.7268.26.911.81814.171.432%33%.317%1.7

Arkansas's Power Ratings
Arkansas's Power Rating: NR
Arkansas's Offense Rating: NR
Arkansas's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating:  #27
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Arkansas's 2016 Expected Record: -
Arkansas's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: 7.9  #47
Arkansas's Offense SP+ Rating: 36.2  #29
Arkansas's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.9  #70

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Arkansas:    TCU: 8

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Arkansas: 7.9   TCU: 11.0




TCU's Power Ratings
TCU's Power Rating: 8 NR
TCU's Offense Rating: NR
TCU's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating:  #30
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
TCU's 2016 Expected Record: -
TCU's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: 11.0  #34
TCU's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.5  #37
TCU's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.4  #36

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


Arkansas Scoring
Offense: 30.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 31.5
Defense: 31.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 41

Arkansas's 2016 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 5 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record on Road: 2 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
TCU 30
Arkansas 27

Total Points: 57

Based on Last 4 Games
TCU 26
Arkansas 23

Total Points: 50

Based on Entire Season
TCU 34
Arkansas 31

Total Points: 65
TCU Scoring
Offense: 31 PPG
Offense at Home: 31.4
Defense: 28 PPG
Defense at Home: 34.6

TCU's 2016 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 3 - 10 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record at home: 2 - 5
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 7 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 8 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 0 - 6 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
201709/09Arkansas7TCU28TCU -3TCU56.5Under
201609/10TCU38Arkansas41TCU -6Arkansas57.5Over
TeamWinsCoversO/U
TCU111 Overs
Arkansas111 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams0 - 20 - 20 - 10 - 1
Road Teams2 - 02 - 01 - 01 - 0

(#) ARK at (#) TCU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatARKTCU
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #47 #34
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #27 #30
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Arkansas on Offense
CategoryCat
ARK OffTCU Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #29 #36
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Arkansas Run Game
CategoryCat
ARK OffTCU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Arkansas Pass Game
CategoryCat
ARK OffTCU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
TCU on Offense
CategoryCatTCU OffARK Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #37 #70
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
TCU Run Game
CategoryCat
TCU OffARK Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
TCU Pass Game
CategoryCatTCU OffARK Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
TCU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Average P4

ARK 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Amon G. Carter Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 83° - Wind: 8 mph
Rematch from Week 2
TCU -6.0 (57.5)
Arkansas won at TCU this year (41-38)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
ARK's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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ARK's DC ()
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SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

TCU's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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TCU's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD