Sat, Sep 7 2024
·
Week 2
·
🏟 Alumni Stadium
Chestnut Hill, MA
·
Turf
·
44,500 cap
Duquesne✈ 475 miSame TZ
Preseason projection — This game has not yet been played and 2024 in-season data is not yet available.
Edges are based on 2023 full-season performance.
Confidence will increase once in-season games are logged.
Matchup Prediction
Toss-up — no clear edge
Neither metric shows a meaningful pre-game edge in this matchup.
Momentum Control
58.4%
—
Lean
Game Control
76%
Boston College wins
Strong
Vegas Spread
Boston College -33.5
O/U 52.5
ESPN Bet
Duquesne 2024 Schedule
Duquesne's 2024 Schedule
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thu 8/29 | Duquesne at Toledo | +27.5L10–49 | 53.5 | L10–49 | O | N |
| Sat 9/7 | Duquesne at Boston College | +33.5L0–56 | 52.5 | L0–56 | O | N |
Boston College 2024 Schedule
Boston College's 2024 Schedule
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mon 9/2 | Boston College at Florida State | +16.5W28–13 | 50.0 | W28–13 | U | Y |
| Sat 9/7 | Boston College vs Duquesne | -33.5W56–0 | 52.5 | W56–0 | O | Y |
| Sat 9/14 | Boston College at Missouri | +14.5L21–27 | 51.5 | L21–27 | U | Y |
| Sat 9/21 | Boston College vs Michigan State | -4.5W23–19 | 45.5 | W23–19 | U | N |
| Sat 9/28 | Boston College vs Western Kentucky | -7.5W21–20 | 48.0 | W21–20 | U | N |
| Sat 10/5 | Boston College at Virginia | +2.0L14–24 | 52.5 | L14–24 | U | N |
| — Bye Week — | ||||||
| Thu 10/17 | Boston College at Virginia Tech | +8.5L21–42 | 47.5 | L21–42 | O | N |
| Fri 10/25 | Boston College vs Louisville | +7.0L27–31 | 54.0 | L27–31 | O | Y |
| — Bye Week — | ||||||
| Sat 11/9 | Boston College vs Syracuse | -5.5W37–31 | 51.5 | W37–31 | O | Y |
| Sat 11/16 | Boston College at SMU | +19.0L28–38 | 54.5 | L28–38 | O | Y |
| Sat 11/23 | Boston College vs North Carolina | +2.0W41–21 | 50.5 | W41–21 | O | Y |
| Sat 11/30 | Boston College vs Pittsburgh | -3.5W34–23 | 50.5 | W34–23 | O | Y |
| Sat 12/28 | Boston College vs Nebraska | +3.0L15–20 | 47.5 | L15–20 | U | N |
Momentum Control (CSS)
Consecutive Scoring Sequences
Who builds scoring momentum?
Duquesne Edge
Duquesne +0.00
CSS Edge (season-to-date)
Teams with this edge win 58.4% of games historically
Based on 2023 full season · preseason estimate
Game Control (GC)
Win Probability Dominance
Who controls games start to finish?
Boston College Edge
Boston College +23.1
GC Edge (season-to-date)
Teams with this edge win 76% of games historically
Based on 2023 full season · preseason estimate
About these metrics
Advanced Stats shows matchup-adjusted factor edges (offense vs opponent defense). Combination signals — when PPA, PPO, Success Rate, and Havoc all point the same direction — have historically predicted the SU winner in 95–97% of games and the ATS winner in 82–83% of games (2021–2025, FBS vs FBS, regular season).
Impact: Advanced Stats are the best performance based metric used to predict the outcome of games. ✓
Momentum Control (CSS) measures consecutive scoring sequences — when a team scores, holds the opponent scoreless, then scores again. Teams entering a game with a CSS edge of +1.0 or more have won 71–78% of games historically (2021–2025, FBS vs FBS).
Impact: Momentum Control is a great measure for predicting game outcome but NOT an ATS advantage, data shows this is already considered when lines are set. ✗
Game Control (GC) measures win probability dominance — how thoroughly a team controlled the game from start to finish. Teams with a GC edge of +12 or more have won 67–76% of games historically. When both metrics agree, combined confidence is higher. When they split, treat as a lean at best.
Impact: Game Control is another great measure for predicting game outcome but NOT an ATS advantage, data shows this is already considered when lines are set. ✗
Power Ratings are a custom-built composite of a Teams Talent, Experience & Production, Coaching & Performance Metrics. These are updated constantly with roster changes, performance once the games start for the 2026 season, injuries the team is dealing with and scheduling situations.
Impact: There are a wide range of power ratings available, we think ours is the best, you can decide for yourself ✓
Advanced Stats shows matchup-adjusted factor edges (offense vs opponent defense). Combination signals — when PPA, PPO, Success Rate, and Havoc all point the same direction — have historically predicted the SU winner in 95–97% of games and the ATS winner in 82–83% of games (2021–2025, FBS vs FBS, regular season).
Impact: Advanced Stats are the best performance based metric used to predict the outcome of games. ✓
Momentum Control (CSS) measures consecutive scoring sequences — when a team scores, holds the opponent scoreless, then scores again. Teams entering a game with a CSS edge of +1.0 or more have won 71–78% of games historically (2021–2025, FBS vs FBS).
Impact: Momentum Control is a great measure for predicting game outcome but NOT an ATS advantage, data shows this is already considered when lines are set. ✗
Game Control (GC) measures win probability dominance — how thoroughly a team controlled the game from start to finish. Teams with a GC edge of +12 or more have won 67–76% of games historically. When both metrics agree, combined confidence is higher. When they split, treat as a lean at best.
Impact: Game Control is another great measure for predicting game outcome but NOT an ATS advantage, data shows this is already considered when lines are set. ✗
Power Ratings are a custom-built composite of a Teams Talent, Experience & Production, Coaching & Performance Metrics. These are updated constantly with roster changes, performance once the games start for the 2026 season, injuries the team is dealing with and scheduling situations.
Impact: There are a wide range of power ratings available, we think ours is the best, you can decide for yourself ✓