Air Force at Wyoming - 2026 Matchup Preview
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Air Force Falcons at Wyoming Cowboys

Wyoming logo
Saturday, October 24th 2026 (12:00 PM EDT)
War Memorial Stadium - Laramie, WY  (Mountain West)

 
Falcons (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Troy Calhoun (139 - 97)
Avg Score : 30 - 30 (32 - 33 on Road)
Record Prediction: 6.4 - 5.6 (#58)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 10)
WYO 2nd straight Home Game
WYO is playing their 8th straight game
AFA is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: Wyoming -1.5  (SP+ AFA -8)

Projected Score: AFA: 24 - WYO: 26 (50)
WYO Win prob: 50% | Cover: 47%
AFA Travel: 164 miles
Cowboys (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Jay Sawvel (7 - 17)
Avg Score : 16 - 21 (21 - 18 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5.9 - 6.1 (#66)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 10)
 
Air Force's 2026 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5Air Force vs Duquesne-16
Sat 9/12Air Force vs North Dakota State+4.5
— Bye Week —
Sat 9/26Air Force at Nevada-6
Sat 10/3Air Force vs Navy+5.5
Sat 10/10Air Force at Northern Illinois-6
Sat 10/17Air Force vs UNLV+7
Sat 10/24Air Force at Wyoming+1.5
Sat 10/31Air Force vs UConn+3
Sat 11/7Air Force at Army+8
Sat 11/14Air Force vs San José State-10
Sat 11/21Air Force vs UTEP-9.5
Sat 11/28Air Force at New Mexico+10

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 5, Poor 5
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 5, Poor 5
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Air Force's Schedule
Wyoming's 2026 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5Wyoming at Colorado State+0.5
Sat 9/12Wyoming vs Northern Colorado-15
Sat 9/19Wyoming at Central Michigan+3.5
Sat 9/26Wyoming vs Hawai'i+5
Sat 10/3Wyoming at North Dakota State+10.5
Sat 10/10Wyoming at San José State-4
Sat 10/17Wyoming vs Northern Illinois-9.5
Sat 10/24Wyoming vs Air Force-1.5
— Bye Week —
Sat 11/7Wyoming at UNLV+13.5
Sat 11/14Wyoming at UTEP-3.5
Sat 11/21Wyoming vs New Mexico+6.5
Sat 11/28Wyoming vs UConn+4

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 4, Poor 6
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 4, Poor 6
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Wyoming's Schedule
Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
AFA#19 (.29)47% (18)29.848% (23)3.27 (17)26247% (19)1454.6 (12)#136 (.41)50% (134)30.346% (110)54% (136)4.28 (122)31.310.8
WYO#123 (.05)38% (116)1638% (117)2.74 (108)13239% (103)1832.9 (127)#22 (.07)38% (24)20.540% (47)37% (20)2.77 (11)56.31.51.3
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
AFA0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
WYO0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
AFA Offense1229.832.247.3%4.61224072621454.877%21%48%47%9%.29
WYO Defense1220.518.338%2.771.3 - - - - - 55%44%40%37%13%.07
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
AFA Defense1230.332.849.8%4.280.8 - - - - - 49%50%46%54%11%.41
WYO Offense121620.738.1%2.91.5183151321834.147%51%38%39%19%.05

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Air Force1233:522251%71%3.631.310.83.31.3028.2
Wyoming1228:3117.734%52%6.656.31.51.34.41.3325.5
Run Game Stats (2026)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
AFA Offense1277% (2)48% (23)54.4261.54.833 (1).23 (18)3.27 (17)79% (20)7% (6)0.96 (69)
WYO Defense1255% (120)40% (47) - - - - .09 (60)3 (94)74% (93)8% (121)0.93 (53)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
AFA Defense1249% (54)46% (110) - - - - .31 (136)3.3 (127)76% (102)6% (135)1.21 (133)
WYO Offense1247% (93)38% (117)32.4131.84.19 (107).02 (119)2.74 (108)56% (135)10% (91)0.96 (67)

Pass Game Stats (2026)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
AFA Offense1221% (135)47% (19)8.113.7145.210.61813 (75)7 (34).55 (2)2.1 (2)24% (3)33% (39).39 (39)2% (3)2 (62)
WYO Defense1244% (17)37% (20) - - - - - - 10 (75).13 (18)1.6 (92)34% (26)27% (25).17 (22)6% (86)1.9 (42)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
AFA Defense1250% (84)54% (136) - - - - - - 7 (75).51 (135)1.5 (31)28% (128)40% (136).73 (136)4% (126)2.3 (127)
WYO Offense1251% (51)39% (103)17.9321835.710.213 (86)12 (108).12 (121)1.4 (132)35% (122)25% (118).16 (119)9% (132)1.8 (123)

Air Force's Power Ratings
Air Force's Power Rating: -11.81  #117
Air Force's Offense Rating: 10.83  #88
Air Force's Defense Rating: 27.64  #137
2026 Talent Rating: 166.00  #136
Blue Chip Ratio: 0%  #103
Air Force's 2026 Expected Record: 6.4 - 5.6
Air Force's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: -3.2  #80
Air Force's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.3  #59
Air Force's Defense SP+ Rating: 31.7  #101

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 486.6
Average Power Five Talent: 910.63
Average FBS Talent: 728.81

Power Ratings Matchup
Air Force: -11.81   Wyoming: -6.245

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Air Force: -3.2   Wyoming: -11.3




Wyoming's Power Ratings
Wyoming's Power Rating: -6.245  #97
Wyoming's Offense Rating: 6.95  #106
Wyoming's Defense Rating: 18.14  #84
2026 Talent Rating: 572.00  #101
Blue Chip Ratio: 1  #88
Wyoming's 2026 Expected Record: 5.9 - 6.1
Wyoming's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: -11.3  #110
Wyoming's Offense SP+ Rating: 15.3  #129
Wyoming's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.7  #55

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 486.6
Average Power Five Talent: 910.63
Average FBS Talent: 728.81


Air Force Scoring
Offense: 29.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 32.2
Defense: 30.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 32.8

Air Force's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Wyoming 26
Air Force 24


Projected Total Points: 50
Wyoming Scoring
Offense: 16 PPG
Offense at Home: 20.7
Defense: 20.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 18.3

Wyoming's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202510/18Air Force24Wyoming21Air Force -4Wyoming56.5Under
202409/28Wyoming31Air Force19Air Force -4Wyoming33.5Over
202310/14Air Force34Wyoming27Air Force -12.5Wyoming42.0Over
202209/16Wyoming17Air Force14Air Force -16.5Wyoming47.0Under
202110/09Air Force24Wyoming14Air Force -5.5Air Force46.5Under
201911/30Air Force20Wyoming6Air Force -13.5Air Force41.5Under
201811/17Wyoming35Air Force27Wyoming -3Wyoming42.5Over
201711/11Air Force14Wyoming28Air Force -2.5Wyoming51.0Under
201610/08Wyoming35Air Force26Air Force -13.5Wyoming50.0Over
201510/10Air Force31Wyoming17Air Force -21.5Wyoming57.0Under
201409/06Wyoming17Air Force13Wyoming -1Wyoming0
201309/21Air Force23Wyoming56Wyoming -2.5Wyoming0
201210/13Wyoming27Air Force28
201111/12Air Force17Wyoming25
201009/25Wyoming14Air Force20
200910/17Air Force10Wyoming0
200809/06Wyoming3Air Force23
200710/20Air Force20Wyoming12
200609/23Wyoming24Air Force31
200509/17Air Force28Wyoming29
200410/30Wyoming43Air Force26
200309/20Air Force35Wyoming29
200210/26Wyoming34Air Force26
200110/13Air Force24Wyoming13
200010/13Wyoming34Air Force51
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Wyoming11104 Overs
Air Force1426 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams16 - 97 - 54 - 43 - 1
Road Teams9 - 165 - 71 - 34 - 4

(#117) AFA at (#97) WYO
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatAFAWYO
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #117 #97
SP+SP+ #80 #110
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #136 #101
Blue ChipsBC% #103 #88
Air Force Notes
(3/3) Vibes: Calhoun era going wrong way lately
(3/3) QB Szarka back, serviceable but can run. Depth
(3/3) RB Allen back (lead LY), depth is ? Lack a FB
(3/3) WR/TE lost leaders LY, Dawson only one exp'd
(3/3) OL has 2 FT & 3 PT starters, decent unit
(3/3) Def was truly awful LY, can they improve?
(3/3) Pass Def #136 LY, DBs return a lot, will that help?
(3/3) DL is a disaster, at least on paper. Lack size/prod
Air Force Injury Report
Wyoming Notes
(3/3) Vibes: Up? This off could be better/fun.
(3/3) Started LY 2-0, finished 2-8 (2-6 in MWC)
(3/3) QB Hughes (W&M) was really great add, mobile
(3/3) RB Holman (FCS) + Hubbard (WVU) good adds
(3/3) WR is a problem, only 1 has 100 yds. Weak
(3/3) OL has 4 decent looking starters, 3 portals.
(3/3) DL relying on 4 FCS portals, but have some depth
(3/3) DBs have decent CBs, exp at S. 5 portal adds
(3/3) Wyo is trying, adding interesting portals
Wyoming Injury Report
Air Force on Offense
Option Offense 77%, Pass: 21%
CategoryCat
AFA OffWYO Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSuc #18 #24
ExplosiveExp #88 #47
PPAPPA #19 #22
PowerPwr #88 #84
SP+SP+ #59 #55
Pts POPPO #12 #11
HavocHav #2 #119
Air Force Run Game
Option Offense 77%, Pass: 21%
CategoryCat
AFA OffWYO Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSuc #23 #47
Run ExplRExp #69 #53
PPAExp #18 #60
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLY #17 #94
Stuff RateStuff #2 #105
TackleTak - NR
Air Force Pass Game
Option Offense 77%, Pass: 21%
CategoryCat
AFA OffWYO Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSuc #19 #20
Pass ExplPExl #2 #92
PPAExp #2 #18
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7 #6 #121
DB HavocDB #3 #86
Wyoming on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 47%
CategoryCatWYO OffAFA Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSuc #116 #134
ExplosiveExp #117 #123
PPAPPA #123 #136
PowerPwr #106 #137
SP+SP+ #129 #101
Pts POPPO #127 #122
HavocHav #124 #133
Wyoming Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat
WYO OffAFA Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSuc #117 #110
Run ExplRExp #67 #133
PPAExp #119 #136
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLY #108 #127
Stuff RateStuff #116 #133
TackleTak - NR
Wyoming Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 47%
CategoryCatWYO OffAFA Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSuc #103 #136
Pass ExplPExl #132 #31
PPAExp #121 #135
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7 #91 #135
DB HavocDB #132 #126
Program Comparison
WYO 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg G5
'26 Profile: Remains Below Avg G5

AFA 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average G5
'26 Profile: Up to Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in War Memorial Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Previous Matchups
Air Force beat Wyoming last year (24-21)
Wyoming beat Air Force in 2024 (31-19)
Air Force beat Wyoming in 2023 (34-27)

  
AFA's OC Mike Thiessen (been OC for 3 years)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Liam Szarka7512063%12949510.8
Josh Johnson162857%3744213.4
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Liam Szarka190922134.964
Owen Allen13174955.743
Kemper Hodges4920734.227
Josh Johnson347112.113
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jonah Dawson12260121.753
Rocco Conti1404.04

View Air Force's Full Roster

AFA's DC Brian Knorr (been DC for 3 years)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Blake Fletcher1081052
Roger Jones Jr.761010
Dallas Daley451013
Korey Johnson340004
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Isaac Hubert3011571
Grady Forsythe22200
Brody Bujnoch313100
Jaylin Reese101111
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Korey Johnson340004
Dallas Daley451013
Blake Fletcher1081052

WYO's OC Christian Taylor (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Tyler Hughes (Tr)20430866%23302037.6
Mason Drube203853%187014.9
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Markell Holman (Tr)22799974.432
Tyler Hughes (Tr)155670114.366
Samuel Harris10055215.550
Diore Hubbard (Tr)9633543.529
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Markell Holman (Tr)3931428.127
Samuel Harris16184011.552
Diore Hubbard (Tr)1615609.869
Eric Richardson10112111.241

View Wyoming's Full Roster

WYO's DC Aaron Bohl (been DC for 3 years)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jones Thomas461004
Ethan Stuhlsatz402001
Desman Hearns283005
Travis Franklin Jr. (Tr)250004
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jack Dunkley (Tr)42100
Esaia Bogar122101
Jones Thomas461004
Ian Bell20000
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Desman Hearns283005
Jones Thomas461004
Travis Franklin Jr. (Tr)250004