Florida Atlantic at East Carolina - 2026 Matchup Preview

Florida Atlantic Owls at East Carolina Pirates

Friday, November 27th 2026 (12:00 PM EST)
Dowdy-Ficklen Stadium - Greenville, NC (American Athletic)

Owls (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Zach Kittley (4 - 8)
Avg Score : 30 - 36 (22 - 37 on Road)
Record Prediction: 4.8 - 7.2 (#73)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 2) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 7)

ECU is playing their 8th straight game
FAU is playing their 7th straight game
Our Line: East Carolina -13.5 (SP+ ECU -17)
Projected Score: FAU: 23 - ECU: 36 (59)
ECU Win prob: 84% | Cover: 56%
FAU Travel: 657 miles

Pirates (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Blake Harrell (14 - 5)
Avg Score : 33 - 20 (36 - 20 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8.5 - 3.5 (#20)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 8)

Matchup
Schedules
FAU Players
ECU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Florida Atlantic's 2026 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/5	Florida Atlantic at Florida	+20.5
Sat 9/12	Florida Atlantic vs Navy	+6
Sat 9/19	Florida Atlantic vs Florida International	-3
Sat 9/26	Florida Atlantic at UL Monroe	-7.5
Sat 10/3	Florida Atlantic vs Texas Southern	-15.5
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/17	Florida Atlantic at Army	+8.5
Sat 10/24	Florida Atlantic vs Rice	-8
Thu 10/29	Florida Atlantic at North Texas	+15
Thu 11/5	Florida Atlantic vs UTSA	+6
Sat 11/14	Florida Atlantic at Tulsa	+4.5
Sat 11/21	Florida Atlantic vs South Florida	+13.5
Fri 11/27	Florida Atlantic at East Carolina	+13.5

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 2, Bad 3, Poor 4
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 2, Bad 3, Poor 4
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Florida Atlantic's Schedule

East Carolina's 2026 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/5	East Carolina at Alabama	+19
Sat 9/12	East Carolina vs App State	-16.5
Sat 9/19	East Carolina at Old Dominion	-1.5
Sat 9/26	East Carolina vs North Carolina Central	-26.5
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/10	East Carolina vs Rice	-19.5
Thu 10/15	East Carolina at UAB	-16
Thu 10/22	East Carolina at Memphis	+5.5
Sat 10/31	East Carolina vs Temple	-10.5
Fri 11/6	East Carolina vs South Florida	+2
Sat 11/14	East Carolina at Charlotte	-21
Sat 11/21	East Carolina at Army	-2.5
Fri 11/27	East Carolina vs Florida Atlantic	-13.5

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 6
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 6
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for East Carolina's Schedule

Important Stats (2025)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
FAU	#43 (.21)	42% (80)	29.5	40% (97)	2.76 (104)	105	43% (55)	341	3.49 (93)	#123 (.26)	45% (121)	36.3	49% (127)	42% (76)	4.58 (132)	56	2.4	0.7
ECU	#40 (.21)	46% (22)	32.7	45% (55)	3.04 (54)	176	49% (11)	273	3.76 (63)	#33 (.09)	38% (27)	20.1	38% (17)	39% (45)	3.05 (19)	61.5	1.1	1.8

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
FAU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
ECU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2025

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
FAU Offense	12	29.5	21.8	41.7%	3.49	2.4	25	446	105	341	3.6	36%	62%	40%	43%	18%	.21
ECU Defense	13	20.1	19.8	38.3%	3.05	1.8	-	-	-	-	-	47%	52%	38%	39%	19%	.09

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
FAU Defense	12	36.3	37.2	45.5%	4.58	0.7	-	-	-	-	-	54%	45%	49%	42%	14%	.26
ECU Offense	13	32.7	36.2	46.4%	3.76	1.1	23	449	176	273	4.1	52%	46%	45%	49%	13%	.21

Additional Stats 2025

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Florida Atlantic	12	28:32	24.8	37%	66%	6.6	56	2.4	0.7	5.4	1.8	2	30.5
East Carolina	13	28:19	23.3	47%	47%	7.2	61.5	1.1	1.8	7.8	2.3	1	31.2

Run Game Stats (2026)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
FAU Offense	12	36% (135)	40% (97)	29.5	105.2	3.6	13 (99)	.04 (108)	2.76 (104)	77% (30)	10% (91)	1.04 (40)
ECU Defense	13	47% (30)	38% (17)	-	-	-	-	.02 (24)	2.51 (11)	49% (1)	14% (5)	1.09 (123)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
FAU Defense	12	54% (111)	49% (127)	-	-	-	-	.25 (133)	3.07 (103)	86% (133)	9% (89)	1.09 (122)
ECU Offense	13	52% (44)	45% (55)	43	176.3	4.1	31 (30)	.09 (77)	3.04 (54)	69% (94)	8% (30)	0.83 (120)

Pass Game Stats (2026)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
FAU Offense	12	62% (4)	43% (55)	32	48.4	340.5	7	10.6	28 (22)	20 (134)	.33 (42)	1.6 (49)	34% (111)	31% (64)	.39 (33)	8% (125)	2.1 (25)
ECU Defense	13	52% (113)	39% (45)	-	-	-	-	-	-	10 (100)	.17 (36)	1.4 (22)	36% (11)	28% (44)	.18 (23)	6% (81)	1.8 (22)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
FAU Defense	12	45% (26)	42% (76)	-	-	-	-	-	-	3	.31 (96)	1.6 (80)	29% (114)	29% (59)	.38 (108)	5% (110)	2.2 (117)
ECU Offense	13	46% (91)	49% (11)	21.9	33.8	272.7	8.1	12.4	22 (61)	6 (34)	.37 (32)	1.5 (71)	26% (7)	37% (12)	.49 (13)	5% (33)	1.8 (118)

Florida Atlantic's Power Ratings
Florida Atlantic's Power Rating: -7.60 #100
Florida Atlantic's Offense Rating: 8.81 #92
Florida Atlantic's Defense Rating: 21.41 #110
2026 Talent Rating: 606.00 #93
Blue Chip Ratio: 1% #87
Florida Atlantic's 2026 Expected Record: 4.8 - 7.2
Florida Atlantic's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: -8.7 #98
Florida Atlantic's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.8 #64
Florida Atlantic's Defense SP+ Rating: 38.1 #131

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 576.71
Average Power Five Talent: 912.75
Average FBS Talent: 728.49

Power Ratings Matchup
Florida Atlantic: -7.60 East Carolina: 5.44

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Florida Atlantic: -8.7 East Carolina: 8.0

East Carolina's Power Ratings
East Carolina's Power Rating: 5.44 #79
East Carolina's Offense Rating: 9.26 #90
East Carolina's Defense Rating: 16.38 #72
2026 Talent Rating: 636.00 #85
Blue Chip Ratio: 1 #87
East Carolina's 2026 Expected Record: 8.5 - 3.5
East Carolina's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: 8.0 #38
East Carolina's Offense SP+ Rating: 32.6 #33
East Carolina's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.0 #51

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 576.71
Average Power Five Talent: 912.75
Average FBS Talent: 728.49

Florida Atlantic Scoring
Offense: 29.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 21.8
Defense: 36.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 37.2

Florida Atlantic's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0

Projected Score
East Carolina 36
Florida Atlantic 23

Projected Total Points: 59

East Carolina Scoring
Offense: 32.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 36.2
Defense: 20.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 19.8

East Carolina's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	11/29	Florida Atlantic	3	East Carolina	42	East Carolina -6.5	East Carolina	66.5	Under
2024	11/07	East Carolina	49	Florida Atlantic	14	East Carolina -5.5	East Carolina	58.5	Over
2023	11/11	Florida Atlantic	7	East Carolina	22	Florida Atlantic -7.5	East Carolina	44.5	Under
2013	09/05	East Carolina	31	Florida Atlantic	13	East Carolina -15	East Carolina	0

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
East Carolina	4	4	1 Overs
Florida Atlantic	0	0	2 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	2 - 2	2 - 2	2 - 1	0 - 1
Road Teams	2 - 2	2 - 2	1 - 0	1 - 2

(#100) FAU at (#79) ECU

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	FAU	ECU
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#100	#79
SP+SP+	#98	#38
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#93	#85
Blue ChipsBC%	#87	#87

Florida Atlantic Injury Report

East Carolina Notes(2/25) Vibes: Good, Harrel a 14-5 start, won 9 LY
(2/25) Sneaky good portal class, #12 in G5
(2/25) QB1 Griffis (TT) vs Williams (Miami) will battle
(2/25) RB Allen (Marsh) & Gray (UNT) with depth
(2/25) WR has good looking trio & really good depth
(2/25) OL has 3 starters, need help at OT, 3 portals
(2/25) DL looks workable, solid DT combo, need rush
(2/25) Def back 7 needs work, 8 portals should help
East Carolina Injury Report

Florida Atlantic on Offense

Very Pass heavy Offense 62%, Run: 36%
CategoryCat	FAU Off	ECU Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	#80	#27
ExplosiveExp	#7	#84
PPAPPA	#43	#33
PowerPwr	#92	#72
SP+SP+	#64	#51
Pts POPPO	#93	#19
HavocHav	#111	#11

Florida Atlantic Run Game

Very Pass heavy Offense 62%, Run: 36%
CategoryCat	FAU Off	ECU Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	#97	#17
Run ExplRExp	#40	#123
PPAExp	#108	#24
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	#104	#11
Stuff RateStuff	#52	#3
TackleTak	-	NR

Florida Atlantic Pass Game

Very Pass heavy Offense 62%, Run: 36%
CategoryCat	FAU Off	ECU Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	#55	#45
Pass ExplPExl	#49	#22
PPAExp	#42	#36
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	#91	#5
DB HavocDB	#125	#81

East Carolina on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat	ECU Off	FAU Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	#22	#121
ExplosiveExp	#111	#100
PPAPPA	#40	#123
PowerPwr	#90	#110
SP+SP+	#33	#131
Pts POPPO	#63	#132
HavocHav	#25	#106

East Carolina Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat	ECU Off	FAU Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	#55	#127
Run ExplRExp	#120	#122
PPAExp	#77	#133
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	#54	#103
Stuff RateStuff	#13	#122
TackleTak	-	NR

East Carolina Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat	ECU Off	FAU Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	#11	#76
Pass ExplPExl	#71	#80
PPAExp	#32	#96
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	#30	#89
DB HavocDB	#33	#110

Program Comparison
ECU 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg P4
'26 Profile: Up to Average P4

FAU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg G5
'26 Profile: Up to Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Dowdy-Ficklen Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Previous Matchups
East Carolina beat Florida Atlantic last year (42-3)
East Carolina beat Florida Atlantic in 2024 (49-14)
East Carolina beat Florida Atlantic in 2023 (22-7)

FAU's OC Zach Kittley (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Caden Veltkamp	345	514	67%	3652	24	17	7.1
Drew Devillier (Tr)	10	21	48%	123	1	0	5.9

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Kaden Shields-Dutton	83	460	6	5.5	50
RJ Garcia II (Tr)	2	61	0	30.5	38
Easton Messer	3	51	1	17.0	39
Caden Veltkamp	81	45	4	0.6	18

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Easton Messer	100	1029	6	10.3	55
Dom Henry	40	575	4	14.4	90
RJ Garcia II (Tr)	27	283	0	10.5	28
Antonio Johnson (Tr)	20	231	5	11.6	30

View Florida Atlantic's Full Roster

FAU's DC Brett Dewhurst (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Leon Hart Jr.	83	5	2	0	1
Khmari Johnson	41	3	0	2	0
Jayden Sweeney	41	2	0	3	4
Gavench Marcelin	32	1	1	1	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jay Crable (Tr)	28	8	6	4	4
Deshaun Batiste	23	4	4	3	0
Josh Roberts	22	5	3	2	0
Wilky Denaud	29	5	3	0	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jayden Sweeney	41	2	0	3	4
Damarius McGhee	30	0	0	0	4
Jay Crable (Tr)	28	8	6	4	4

ECU's OC Jordan Davis (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Mitch Griffis (Tr)	26	36	72%	357	2	0	9.9
Emory Williams (Tr)	13	19	68%	156	0	0	8.2

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Michael Allen (Tr)	77	385	4	5.0	68
Ashton Gray (Tr)	58	377	5	6.5	51
TJ Engleman	59	306	1	5.2	23
DeJuan Lacy	10	44	1	4.4	15

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Brock Spalding	42	554	3	13.2	55
Ja'Keith Hamilton (Tr)	40	545	5	13.6	64
Landon Sides (Tr)	34	449	1	13.2	60
Ismael Smith Flores	19	227	6	11.9	43

View East Carolina's Full Roster

ECU's DC Jordan Hankins (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Zyeir Gamble (Tr)	72	4	0	0	4
DJ Johnson Jr.	60	5	1	2	0
Ayden Duncanson	33	1	0	0	1
Preston Carr	31	5	2	2	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jasiyah Robinson	26	7	5	3	0
Kendrick DuJour	11	5	4	1	1
Rion Roseborough	16	6	3	1	0
Preston Carr	31	5	2	2	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PRESS	PD
Zyeir Gamble (Tr)	72	4	0	4
Ashton Levells (Tr)	21	1	0	4
Kevon Merrell	27	5	1	2