East Carolina at Charlotte - 2026 Matchup Preview
East Carolina logo   East Carolina Pirates at Charlotte 49ers  Charlotte logo
Saturday, November 14th 2026 (12:00 PM EST)
Jerry Richardson Stadium - Charlotte, NC  (American Athletic)

 
Pirates (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Blake Harrell (14 - 5)
Avg Score : 33 - 20 (31 - 21 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8.5 - 3.5 (#20)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 8)
ECU is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: East Carolina -21  (SP+ ECU -34.5)
Projected Score: ECU: 37 - CHAR: 16 (52)
ECU Win prob: 92% | Cover: 53%
ECU Travel: 191 miles
49ers (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Tim Albin (1 - 11)
Avg Score : 14 - 36 (17 - 36 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 1.8 - 10.2 (#90)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 7)
 
East Carolina's 2026 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5 East Carolina at Alabama+19
Sat 9/12 East Carolina vs App State-16.5
Sat 9/19 East Carolina at Old Dominion-1.5
Sat 9/26 East Carolina vs North Carolina Central-26.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/10 East Carolina vs Rice-19.5
Thu 10/15 East Carolina at UAB-16
Thu 10/22 East Carolina at Memphis+5.5
Sat 10/31 East Carolina vs Temple-10.5
Fri 11/6 East Carolina vs South Florida+2
Sat 11/14 East Carolina at Charlotte-21
Sat 11/21 East Carolina at Army-2.5
Fri 11/27 East Carolina vs Florida Atlantic-13.5

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 6
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 6
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for East Carolina's Schedule
Charlotte's 2026 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5 Charlotte vs The Citadel-3
Sat 9/12 Charlotte at Ole Miss+45.5
Sat 9/19 Charlotte at App State+12.5
Sat 9/26 Charlotte vs Louisiana+11.5
Sat 10/3 Charlotte vs Memphis+24
Sat 10/10 Charlotte at North Texas+27.5
Sat 10/17 Charlotte at Temple+18.5
BYE WEEK
Fri 10/30 Charlotte vs Tulane+20
Sat 11/7 Charlotte at UAB+7.5
Sat 11/14 Charlotte vs East Carolina+21
Sat 11/21 Charlotte at Tulsa+17
Sat 11/28 Charlotte vs Navy+18.5

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 3, Bad 2, Poor 5
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 3, Bad 2, Poor 5
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Charlotte's Schedule
Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ECU#40 (.21)46% (22)32.745% (55)3.04 (54)17649% (11)2733.76 (63)#33 (.09)38% (27)20.138% (17)39% (45)3.05 (19)61.51.11.8
CHAR#136 (-.01)34% (133)14.334% (134)2.13 (135)8235% (123)2042.73 (131)#124 (.26)54% (136)36.355% (136)53% (135)4.16 (114)50.81.91.3
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ECU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
CHAR0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ECU Offense1332.730.846.4%3.761.1234491762734.152%46%45%49%13%.21
CHAR Defense1236.335.753.9%4.161.3 - - - - - 51%47%55%53%11%.26
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ECU Defense1320.120.838.3%3.051.8 - - - - - 47%52%38%39%19%.09
CHAR Offense1214.317.234.2%2.731.916286822042.744%54%34%35%19%-.01

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
East Carolina1328:1923.347%47%7.261.51.11.87.82.3131.2
Charlotte1228:0615.635%46%6.150.81.91.341.2127.6
Run Game Stats (2026)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ECU Offense1352% (44)45% (55)43176.34.131 (30).09 (77)3.04 (54)69% (94)8% (30)0.83 (120)
CHAR Defense1251% (88)55% (136) - - - - .22 (129)3.33 (130)81% (124)7% (129)0.86 (20)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ECU Defense1347% (30)38% (17) - - - - .02 (24)2.51 (11)49% (1)14% (5)1.09 (123)
CHAR Offense1244% (114)34% (134)30.381.82.75 (122)-.15 (136)2.13 (135)61% (125)12% (121)0.66 (136)

Pass Game Stats (2026)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ECU Offense1346% (91)49% (11)21.933.8272.78.112.422 (61)6 (34).37 (32)1.5 (71)26% (7)37% (12).49 (13)5% (33)1.8 (118)
CHAR Defense1247% (59)53% (135) - - - - - - 7 (123).34 (112)1.3 (4)24% (136)35% (127).42 (119)4% (135)2 (74)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ECU Defense1352% (113)39% (45) - - - - - - 10 (100).17 (36)1.4 (22)36% (11)28% (44).18 (23)6% (81)1.8 (22)
CHAR Offense1254% (24)35% (123)18.831.62046.510.914 (86)13 (108).13 (118)1.8 (10)35% (125)25% (122).12 (129)7% (99)1.9 (110)

East Carolina's Power Ratings
East Carolina's Power Rating: -2.12  #79
East Carolina's Offense Rating: 9.26  #90
East Carolina's Defense Rating: 16.38  #72
2026 Talent Rating: 636.00  #85
Blue Chip Ratio: 1%  #87
East Carolina's 2026 Expected Record: 8.5 - 3.5
East Carolina's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: 8.0  #38
East Carolina's Offense SP+ Rating: 32.6  #33
East Carolina's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.0  #51

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 576.71
Average Power Five Talent: 912.75
Average FBS Talent: 728.49

Power Ratings Matchup
East Carolina: -2.12   Charlotte: -18.25

SP+ Ratings Matchup
East Carolina: 8.0   Charlotte: -26.7




Charlotte's Power Ratings
Charlotte's Power Rating: -18.25  #123
Charlotte's Offense Rating: 6.59  #103
Charlotte's Defense Rating: 26.39  #133
2026 Talent Rating: 574.00  #98
Blue Chip Ratio: 0  #103
Charlotte's 2026 Expected Record: 1.8 - 10.2
Charlotte's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: -26.7  #134
Charlotte's Offense SP+ Rating: 14.5  #132
Charlotte's Defense SP+ Rating: 39.8  #132

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 576.71
Average Power Five Talent: 912.75
Average FBS Talent: 728.49


East Carolina Scoring
Offense: 32.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 30.8
Defense: 20.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 20.8

East Carolina's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
East Carolina 37
Charlotte 16

Projected Total Points: 52
Charlotte Scoring
Offense: 14.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 17.2
Defense: 36.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 35.7

Charlotte's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202511/08East Carolina48Charlotte22East Carolina -29.5Charlotte56.5Over
202410/05Charlotte55East Carolina24East Carolina -9.5Charlotte47.5Over
202310/21East Carolina7Charlotte10East Carolina -6Charlotte39.5Under
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Charlotte232 Overs
East Carolina101 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams2 - 11 - 20 - 21 - 0
Road Teams1 - 22 - 10 - 12 - 0

(#79) ECU at (#123) CHAR
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatECUCHAR
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #79 #123
SP+SP+ #38 #134
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #85 #98
Blue ChipsBC% #87 #103
East Carolina Notes
(2/25) Vibes: Good, Harrel a 14-5 start, won 9 LY
(2/25) Sneaky good portal class, #12 in G5
(2/25) QB1 Griffis (TT) vs Williams (Miami) will battle
(2/25) RB Allen (Marsh) & Gray (UNT) with depth
(2/25) WR has good looking trio & really good depth
(2/25) OL has 3 starters, need help at OT, 3 portals
(2/25) DL looks workable, solid DT combo, need rush
(2/25) Def back 7 needs work, 8 portals should help
East Carolina Injury Report
Charlotte Notes
(2/26) Vibes: Albin good HC, but Def will be awful again
(2/26) QB Loftis/Harrell were meh. Gonzales was FCS hit
(2/26) RBs 3 portal adds should boost bad unit LY
(2/26) WR 4 portals, 3 very prod Barnes/Pedro/Collick
(2/26) OL 2 back, 4 portal adds. Bot 5 rush off LY
(2/26) Def did not add enough, was near worst in CFB
(2/26) Better learn how to score, bc Def will be toast
Charlotte Injury Report
East Carolina on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat
ECU OffCHAR Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSuc #22 #136
ExplosiveExp #111 #3
PPAPPA #40 #124
PowerPwr #90 #133
SP+SP+ #33 #132
Pts POPPO #63 #114
HavocHav #25 #134
East Carolina Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat
ECU OffCHAR Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSuc #55 #136
Run ExplRExp #120 #20
PPAExp #77 #129
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLY #54 #130
Stuff RateStuff #13 #132
TackleTak - NR
East Carolina Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat
ECU OffCHAR Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSuc #11 #135
Pass ExplPExl #71 #4
PPAExp #32 #112
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7 #30 #129
DB HavocDB #33 #135
Charlotte on Offense
Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 44%
CategoryCatCHAR OffECU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSuc #133 #27
ExplosiveExp #49 #84
PPAPPA #136 #33
PowerPwr #103 #72
SP+SP+ #132 #51
Pts POPPO #131 #19
HavocHav #121 #11
Charlotte Run Game
Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 44%
CategoryCat
CHAR OffECU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSuc #134 #17
Run ExplRExp #136 #123
PPAExp #136 #24
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLY #135 #11
Stuff RateStuff #127 #3
TackleTak - NR
Charlotte Pass Game
Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 44%
CategoryCatCHAR OffECU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSuc #123 #45
Pass ExplPExl #10 #22
PPAExp #118 #36
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7 #121 #5
DB HavocDB #99 #81
Program Comparison
CHAR 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'26 Profile: Remains Poor G5

ECU 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg P4
'26 Profile: Up to Average P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Jerry Richardson Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Previous Matchups
East Carolina beat Charlotte last year (48-22)
Charlotte beat East Carolina in 2024 (55-24)
Charlotte beat East Carolina in 2023 (10-7)

  
ECU's OC Jordan Davis (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Mitch Griffis (Tr)263672%357209.9
Emory Williams (Tr)131968%156008.2
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Michael Allen (Tr)7738545.068
Ashton Gray (Tr)5837756.551
TJ Engleman5930615.223
DeJuan Lacy104414.415
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Brock Spalding42554313.255
Ja'Keith Hamilton (Tr)40545513.664
Landon Sides (Tr)34449113.260
Ismael Smith Flores19227611.943

View East Carolina's Full Roster

ECU's DC Jordan Hankins (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Zyeir Gamble (Tr)724004
DJ Johnson Jr.605120
Ayden Duncanson331001
Preston Carr315220
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jasiyah Robinson267530
Kendrick DuJour115411
Rion Roseborough166310
Preston Carr315220
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Zyeir Gamble (Tr)724004
Ashton Levells (Tr)211004
Kevon Merrell275012

CHAR's OC Todd Fitch (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Grayson Loftis12823255%1415886.1
Conner Harrell649667%737427.7
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Cameren Smith6222003.513
Jariel Cobb5119003.721
Conner Harrell286722.419
Khamani Alexander (Tr)125004.27
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Cam Pedro (Tr)65814412.559
Zyheem Collick (Tr)35670419.172
Jaden Barnes (Tr)55608711.159
Sean Brown36508114.146

View Charlotte's Full Roster

CHAR's DC Nate Faanes (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kadin Schmitz651032
Gavin Willis554012
CJ Clinkscales490000
Collin Gill351011
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Macyo Williams41100
Jaylon Johnson202130
Braden Mullen193121
Kadin Schmitz651032
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kadin Schmitz651032
Gavin Willis554012
Collin Gill351011