East Carolina at Alabama - 2026 Matchup Preview

East Carolina Pirates at Alabama Crimson Tide

Saturday, September 5th 2026 (12:00 PM EDT)
Bryant Denny Stadium - Tuscaloosa, AL

Pirates (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Blake Harrell (14 - 5)
Avg Score : 33 - 20 (31 - 21 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8.5 - 4.5 (#41)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Our Line: Alabama -18.5 (SP+ ALA -7)
Projected Score: ECU: 17 - ALA: 35 (52)
ALA Win prob: 91% | Cover: 44%
ECU Travel: 603 miles, 1 hrs ahead

Crimson Tide (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Kalen DeBoer (20 - 8)
Avg Score : 30 - 19 (39 - 11 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 11.3 - 3.7 (#10)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
ECU Players
ALA Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

East Carolina's 2026 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/5	East Carolina at Alabama	+18.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for East Carolina's Schedule

Alabama's 2026 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/5	Alabama vs East Carolina	-18.5
Sat 9/12	Alabama at Kentucky	-12.5
Sat 9/19	Alabama vs Florida State	-12.5
Sat 9/26	Alabama vs South Carolina	-11
Sat 10/3	Alabama at Mississippi State	-9
Sat 10/10	Alabama vs Georgia	+6.5
Sat 10/17	Alabama at Tennessee	+0.5
Sat 10/24	Alabama vs Texas A&M	+3
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/7	Alabama at LSU	+2
Sat 11/14	Alabama at Vanderbilt	+1.5
Sat 11/21	Alabama vs Chattanooga	-41.5
Sat 11/28	Alabama vs Auburn	-7.5

Important Stats (2025)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ECU	#40 (.21)	46% (22)	32.7	45% (55)	3.04 (54)	176	49% (11)	273	3.76 (63)	#33 (.09)	38% (27)	20.1	38% (17)	39% (45)	3.05 (19)	61.5	1.1	1.8
ALA	#48 (.2)	43% (62)	29.5	40% (103)	2.73 (109)	104	45% (33)	264	4.04 (38)	#27 (.08)	38% (23)	19.2	39% (31)	38% (33)	3.65 (66)	39.4	0.9	1.3

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ECU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
ALA		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2025

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ECU Offense	13	32.7	30.8	46.4%	3.76	1.1	23	449	176	273	4.1	52%	46%	45%	49%	13%	.21
ALA Defense	15	19.2	11.4	37.9%	3.65	1.3	-	-	-	-	-	50%	48%	39%	38%	18%	.08

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ECU Defense	13	20.1	20.8	38.3%	3.05	1.8	-	-	-	-	-	47%	52%	38%	39%	19%	.09
ALA Offense	15	29.5	39.3	42.7%	4.04	0.9	20	368	104	264	3.4	43%	56%	40%	45%	14%	.2

Additional Stats 2025

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
East Carolina	13	28:19	23.3	47%	47%	7.2	61.5	1.1	1.8	7.8	2.3	1	31.2
Alabama	15	31:34	20.3	42%	61%	4.5	39.4	0.9	1.3	5.7	2.2	3	30.3

Run Game Stats (2026)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ECU Offense	13	52% (44)	45% (55)	43	176.3	4.1	31 (30)	.09 (77)	3.04 (54)	69% (94)	8% (30)	0.83 (120)
ALA Defense	15	50% (74)	39% (31)	-	-	-	-	.1 (66)	2.81 (53)	75% (101)	11% (19)	1 (91)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ECU Defense	13	47% (30)	38% (17)	-	-	-	-	.02 (24)	2.51 (11)	49% (1)	14% (5)	1.09 (123)
ALA Offense	15	43% (118)	40% (103)	31	104.2	3.4	21 (99)	.02 (115)	2.73 (109)	67% (100)	8% (33)	0.83 (122)

Pass Game Stats (2026)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ECU Offense	13	46% (91)	49% (11)	21.9	33.8	272.7	8.1	12.4	22 (61)	6 (34)	.37 (32)	1.5 (71)	26% (7)	37% (12)	.49 (13)	5% (33)	1.8 (118)
ALA Defense	15	48% (60)	38% (33)	-	-	-	-	-	-	11 (31)	.11 (17)	1.5 (50)	35% (19)	28% (46)	.25 (53)	6% (47)	2 (72)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ECU Defense	13	52% (113)	39% (45)	-	-	-	-	-	-	10 (100)	.17 (36)	1.4 (22)	36% (11)	28% (44)	.18 (23)	6% (81)	1.8 (22)
ALA Offense	15	56% (15)	45% (33)	22.9	34.9	263.5	7.6	11.5	32 (2)	5 (3)	.35 (37)	1.6 (54)	30% (49)	33% (30)	.4 (29)	5% (42)	2 (72)

East Carolina's Power Ratings
East Carolina's Power Rating: -4.91 #78
East Carolina's Offense Rating: 7.41 #86
East Carolina's Defense Rating: 17.32 #70
2026 Talent Rating: 598.00 #87
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #101
East Carolina's 2026 Expected Record: 8.5 - 4.5
East Carolina's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: 8.0 #38
East Carolina's Offense SP+ Rating: 32.6 #33
East Carolina's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.0 #51

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 534.71
Average Power Five Talent: 883.28
Average FBS Talent: 705.75

Power Ratings Matchup
East Carolina: -4.91 Alabama: 20.25

SP+ Ratings Matchup
East Carolina: 8.0 Alabama: 14.8

Alabama's Power Ratings
Alabama's Power Rating: 20.25 #13
Alabama's Offense Rating: 18.92 #18
Alabama's Defense Rating: 3.22 #13
2026 Talent Rating: 1016.00 #11
Blue Chip Ratio: 73 #2
Alabama's 2026 Expected Record: 11.3 - 3.7
Alabama's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: 14.8 #20
Alabama's Offense SP+ Rating: 32.2 #36
Alabama's Defense SP+ Rating: 16.1 #11

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 985.38
Average Power Five Talent: 883.28
Average FBS Talent: 705.75

East Carolina Scoring
Offense: 32.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 30.8
Defense: 20.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 20.8

East Carolina's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0

Projected Score
Alabama 35
East Carolina 17

Projected Total Points: 52

Alabama Scoring
Offense: 29.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 39.3
Defense: 19.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 11.4

Alabama's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Alabama	0	0	0 Overs
East Carolina	0	0	0 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	0 - 0	0 - 0	0 - 0	0 - 0
Road Teams	0 - 0	0 - 0	0 - 0	0 - 0

(#78) ECU at (#13) ALA

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	ECU	ALA
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#78	#13
SP+SP+	#38	#20
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#87	#11
Blue ChipsBC%	#101	#2

East Carolina Injury Report

Alabama Injury Report

East Carolina on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat	ECU Off	ALA Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	#22	#23
ExplosiveExp	#111	#61
PPAPPA	#40	#27
PowerPwr	#86	#13
SP+SP+	#33	#11
Pts POPPO	#63	#66
HavocHav	#25	#26

East Carolina Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat	ECU Off	ALA Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	#55	#31
Run ExplRExp	#120	#91
PPAExp	#77	#66
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	#54	#53
Stuff RateStuff	#13	#66
TackleTak	-	NR

East Carolina Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat	ECU Off	ALA Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	#11	#33
Pass ExplPExl	#71	#50
PPAExp	#32	#17
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	#30	#19
DB HavocDB	#33	#47

Alabama on Offense

Pass heavy Offense 55%, Run: 43%
CategoryCat	ALA Off	ECU Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	#62	#27
ExplosiveExp	#50	#84
PPAPPA	#48	#33
PowerPwr	#18	#70
SP+SP+	#36	#51
Pts POPPO	#38	#19
HavocHav	#39	#11

Alabama Run Game

Pass heavy Offense 55%, Run: 43%
CategoryCat	ALA Off	ECU Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	#103	#17
Run ExplRExp	#122	#123
PPAExp	#115	#24
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	#109	#11
Stuff RateStuff	#109	#3
TackleTak	-	NR

Alabama Pass Game

Pass heavy Offense 55%, Run: 43%
CategoryCat	ALA Off	ECU Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	#33	#45
Pass ExplPExl	#54	#22
PPAExp	#37	#36
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	#33	#5
DB HavocDB	#42	#81

Program Comparison
ALA 5 Year Profile: Consistent CFP Hopefuls
'26 Profile: Down to Top 25 Contenders

ECU 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg P4
'26 Profile: Up to Average P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Bryant Denny Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

No Matchups Past 4 Years

ECU's OC Jordan Davis (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Mitch Griffis (Tr)	26	36	72%	357	2	0	9.9
Emory Williams (Tr)	13	19	68%	156	0	0	8.2

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Michael Allen (Tr)	77	385	4	5.0	68
Ashton Gray (Tr)	58	377	5	6.5	51
TJ Engleman	59	306	1	5.2	23
DeJuan Lacy	10	44	1	4.4	15

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Brock Spalding	42	554	3	13.2	55
Landon Sides (Tr)	34	449	1	13.2	60
Kanen Hamlett (Tr)	13	142	2	10.9	35
Michael Allen (Tr)	12	139	1	11.6	49

View East Carolina's Full Roster

ECU's DC Jordan Hankins (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Zyeir Gamble (Tr)	72	4	0	0	4
DJ Johnson Jr.	60	5	1	2	0
Ayden Duncanson	33	1	0	0	1
Preston Carr	31	5	2	2	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jasiyah Robinson	26	7	5	3	0
Kendrick DuJour	11	5	4	1	1
Rion Roseborough	16	6	3	1	0
Preston Carr	31	5	2	2	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PRESS	PD
Zyeir Gamble (Tr)	72	4	0	4
Ashton Levells (Tr)	21	1	0	4
Kevon Merrell	27	5	1	2

ALA's OC Ryan Grubb (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Austin Mack	24	32	75%	228	2	0	7.1
Keelon Russell	11	15	73%	143	2	0	9.5

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Daniel Hill	75	284	6	3.8	30
Kevin Riley	59	224	2	3.8	22
AK Dear	19	140	3	7.4	56
Austin Mack	9	22	1	2.4	20

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Ryan Williams	49	689	4	14.1	75
Lotzeir Brooks	32	441	2	13.8	53
Noah Rogers (Tr)	31	413	2	13.3	48
Daniel Hill	28	203	1	7.3	41

View Alabama's Full Roster

ALA's DC Kane Wommack (been DC for 3 years)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Brayson Hubbard	74	5	2	1	8
Caleb Woodson (Tr)	57	3	0	1	1
Keon Sabb	52	3	2	1	3
Yhonzae Pierre	52	15	8	8	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Yhonzae Pierre	52	15	8	8	1
Devan Thompkins (Tr)	30	7	3	1	2
Brayson Hubbard	74	5	2	1	8
Keon Sabb	52	3	2	1	3

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Brayson Hubbard	74	5	2	1	8
Zabien Brown	39	3	0	0	6
Dijon Lee Jr.	32	5	0	0	5